Advertisement
Help Keep Boards Alive. Support us by going ad free today. See here: https://subscriptions.boards.ie/.
If we do not hit our goal we will be forced to close the site.

Current status: https://keepboardsalive.com/

Annual subs are best for most impact. If you are still undecided on going Ad Free - you can also donate using the Paypal Donate option. All contribution helps. Thank you.
https://www.boards.ie/group/1878-subscribers-forum

Private Group for paid up members of Boards.ie. Join the club.

EU Elections 2024 - Results

1…78101213…50

Comments

  • #272
    magicbastarder
    Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Sports Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 54,235 CMod ✭✭✭✭magicbastarder


    so, based on cafolla's transfers - 140 to o'riordan, and 90 or so to niall boylan.

    though cuffe jumped by 450.



  • #273
    josip
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 15,010 ✭✭✭✭josip


    Count 7 results in and no surprises, Niall Boylan the biggest beneficiary among the candidates who will still be in the running beyond teatime.

    Rebecca Barrett didn't quit manage enough to leapfrog Ogle, so the 729 transfers she got from Quinlan will be looking for new homes immediately.



  • #274
    L1011
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 74,265 ✭✭✭✭L1011


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122242355#Comment_122242355

    102 to Smith was a sufficient surprise for me!

    As was only about 1/11th being non-transferrable.



  • #275
    Field east
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,787 ✭✭✭Field east


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122241015#Comment_122241015

    you are right , .i should have said ‘B’ or ‘C’.



  • #276
    Augme
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,629 ✭✭✭Augme


    Boylan only got 227 voted from the National Party candidates exclusion, that around 10%. He's got no chance of getting a seat if he's only getting 10% of the transfers from other right wing candidates.



  • Advertisement
  • #277
    Christy42
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,111 ✭✭✭Christy42


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122242478#Comment_122242478



    1. The NP and IFP have done better at getting transfers from the right than him but do they circle back around to him when they go? However the right in general so far are bleeding transfers when they are knocked out and are not transferring to each other at a massively high rate so far. Only about 54%.



  • #278
    L1011
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 74,265 ✭✭✭✭L1011


    Eva Braun transferring to N Boylan, Aontu and the other two remaining far-right mostly. But some going everywhere including L Boylan.

    563 more papers dead, Ogle out now.

    N Boylan has got 1400 transfers out of many, many thousands of right wing votes so far - and some of them came from non right wing candidates.



  • #279
    josip
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 15,010 ✭✭✭✭josip


    It's all a bit shuffling-the-deck-chairs-on-the-Titanic until we get to the elimination of Sinead Gibney I feel.



  • #280
    L1011
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 74,265 ✭✭✭✭L1011


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122242590#Comment_122242590

    The question these counts are posing, and answering, is will N Boylan continue to pick up as relatively few of the far right transfers as he currently is.



  • #281
    Augme
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,629 ✭✭✭Augme


    Lol, Lynn Boylan with 335 transfer from Heir Barret. Nearly the same number as Philip Dwyer and the Irish Freedom Party candidate and more than Malachy Stenson. I can only assume most of those transferred to her by mistake when voters msitskenly put her down rather than Niall Boylan?



  • Advertisement
  • #282
    Tombo2001
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,986 ✭✭✭Tombo2001


    Niall Boylan must be out of it at this point.

    Gibneys transfers will go to Cuffe, then O'Riordan I think. Brid Smiths will go to Clare daly and lynn Boylan.

    Would be Ironic if Niall Boylan's transfers ended up getting Ciaran Cuffe or Brid Smith elected….



  • #283
    magicbastarder
    Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Sports Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 54,235 CMod ✭✭✭✭magicbastarder


    There'll be some frothing at the mouth if he doesn't get elected.



  • #284
    Tombo2001
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,986 ✭✭✭Tombo2001


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122241911#Comment_122241911

    Funny enough - I didnt have one person knock on the door the whole election campaign, so I'm not sure who much 'affable on the doorstep' matters.



  • #285
    Downlinz
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,877 ✭✭✭Downlinz


    I would be surprised if the Social Democrats transfer was stronger to Labour and Greens than Clare Daly, Sinn Fein and PBP but I guess we'll find out before too long.



  • #286
    breezy1985
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 31,897 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122242662#Comment_122242662

    I can't see SD being all that transferable to the latter 3. They are a very different branch of left.



  • #287
    padd b1975
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,883 ✭✭✭✭padd b1975


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122242478#Comment_122242478

    Heard him being interviewed on RTE radio yesterday.

    He seemed to have caught a bad dose of Saoirse McHughitis* as he said he would prefer to be taking the third seat instead of a dogfight for the fourth.

    • The lovely Saoirse somehow managed to publicly fret about getting accommodation in Brussels before a box was opened.
    • This was off the back of a comically inaccurate exit poll.


  • #288
    L1011
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 74,265 ✭✭✭✭L1011


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122242662#Comment_122242662

    Take a look at their transfers in the locals - it'll be Labour/Green but hard to say which more than the other.



  • #289
    Genghis
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 3,405 ✭✭✭Genghis


    Following the first 8 counts, among the top 10 remaining candidates, Niall Boylan has gained the most transfers.

    Niall Boylan and Aisling Considine are the only two top 10 candidates that have changed position (Boylan +1 to 5th, Considine +1 to 11th). Notable they are the two right of centre candidates.

    image.png

    Dwyer, Steenson and Considine will have up to 28,000 'right of centre' votes to distribute in the next few rounds, and I think Niall Boylan could go on a bit of a run then. So, even allowing that many will not transfer further, Niall Boylan still has a chance of being ahead of Lynn Boylan when we get down to the last 9 candidates (her major pool during this phase is about 12,000 votes from Doolan). I think Niall Boylan will also pass Cuffe, not convincved Cuffe will get transfers in volume in these rounds either.

    Niall Boylan may not survive much longer after that, and as others have said the transfers of Gibney, Smith and Daly will settle it.

    I think it could be Andrews, Doherty, O'Ríordáin and Lynn Boylan in that order.



  • #290
    namloc1980
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,668 ✭✭✭✭namloc1980


    Any word on when there'll be a count from the other 2 constituencies?



  • #291
    Genghis
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 3,405 ✭✭✭Genghis


    Calling South Count Centre, Nemo Rangers. Six One is on air now, feel free to take centre stage.



  • Advertisement
  • #292
    ngunners
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 792 ✭✭✭ngunners


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122242696#Comment_122242696

    Where did Saoirse McHugh fret about accommodation. A brief google failed to enlighten me. Would you have a link?



  • #293
    Highlighter75
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 203 ✭✭Highlighter75


    Still a lot of non left transfer up for grabs for Niall Boylan. I reckon he has a 50/50 chance.



  • #294
    Genghis
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 3,405 ✭✭✭Genghis


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122242801#Comment_122242801

    To quote myself. On six one, Pascal has said they are taking a meal break and now expect a first count around the Nine O'Clock news instead.



  • #295
    hotmail.com
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,541 ✭✭✭✭hotmail.com


    The images from the Castlebar count centre are straight out of Father Ted. Still no first count.



  • #296
    Backstreet Moyes
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 9,529 ✭✭✭Backstreet Moyes


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122241628#Comment_122241628

    I do believe in free speech.

    I don't agree with calling posters morons because you don't agree with them, it is childish, aggressive and something an uneducated far right individual might do.



  • #297
    L1011
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 74,265 ✭✭✭✭L1011


    Ogle's transfers - Steenson (he was left, once), Smith, but then O Riordain before Daly.

    O Conarain out now.



  • #298
    gmisk
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,343 ✭✭✭✭gmisk


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122242810#Comment_122242810

    I just don't see it tbh, but we will see soonish I suppose! I think the people with big transfers still to come like Smith or Daley won't really be many going to him.



  • #299
    gym_imposter
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,066 ✭✭✭gym_imposter


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122242270#Comment_122242270

    I think I know Cafollas dad , is he in the horticulture business?

    Sandro Cafolla



  • #300
    Genghis
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 3,405 ✭✭✭Genghis


    84% of votes are still transferring (3421 of Ogles 4052 went to remaining candidates). About the same as previous count. So plenty to play for.



  • Advertisement
  • #301
    Christy42
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,111 ✭✭✭Christy42


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122242783#Comment_122242783

    I suspect a bit of a meltdown from some if they see their guy go up to 3rd and then back down out of the top 4.



Advertisement