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Sinn Fein and how do they form a government dilemma

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Comments

  • Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators Posts: 10,929 Mod ✭✭✭✭Jim2007


    You are talking about past generations, many of whom I actually knew, not O'Neil and McDonald.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,115 ✭✭✭pureza


    For all the noise here,SF are not wrote off

    They will be back with gusto at GE time and will definitely increase their T.D total

    There is a lot of merit in the 10 to 20% or so of voters not turning out being in their pool

    Anyone that thinks otherwise is deluded

    I doubt the online army will be calling Lyn Boylan,Lyn Boylan the 12th though if its the 12th cpunt she's elected on

    One thing this election has shown is the various online armies are the most deluded of them all



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,088 ✭✭✭Clo-Clo


    The other option is to say she made another election f**k up, 3 in a row now

    Honestly she is just a TikTok dream at the moment, all of her interviews and then a piss take of them, the really funny one I seen this morning was a mock up of her v Harris…..Harris just laughing at her, making funny comments and people actually laughing standing beside him

    Then flicks to Mary lou going on about how she talked to people and they said they didn't want the government, real people 😂

    Hilarious stuff

    Someone in SF should just tell her to do the same as she did after the last election and disappear for a few weeks and hope everyone forgets



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 74,220 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    I think when the dust settles it will be realised that FF FG didn't gain a single vote in this election, they are down on their vote share again.
    They also took few from the Shinners,.
    Sinn Fein lost out to Independents as the result of a crisis, or a talked up crisis.

    Yes they need to recover and adjust but the outlook for them is the same as it is for the incumbents in government.

    As a commentator on RTE last night said, it is either fold and regress time for SF or a timely kick in the proverbials to pay attention to why they are losing out to independents.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,186 ✭✭✭wazzzledazzle


    SF need to pivot bigtime.

    Populism is not going to work. MLMCD needs to get her act together.

    Health (5 year plan)

    Housing (Clear costed plan communicated)

    Childcare(Free)

    Just focus on core issues, stop being so shouty, reshuffle their team. Otherwise they are fcuked come election time.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,520 ✭✭✭✭Bass Reeves


    The deluded online army is that the SF one that is virtually full time online.

    SF will not dissappear but it will not be part of the next government IMO. The idea that it was only there vote that stayed st home is delusion. Ya a higher percentage but not all. The SF vote has trickled away. The independents hovered up some and so.e returned to Labour while it's anti immigration wing fractured off as well.

    FF and FG have a pep in there step as has Labour. SF will reset but now it will have the Labour and SD taking it soft left vote and PBP pulling it harder to the left while the ultra right snaps at it heels over immigration.

    The Dail will recess soon until September a give away budget and an election in late October.

    Regularise the one off payment in social welfare giving 15-20 euro rise. Bring the marginal rate of tax up to 48k, increase the credits, reduce the USC and its game on.

    Slava Ukrainii



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 31,111 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    The revisionism on here is hilarious. I mean, look at this quote from one of the SF excuse-makers:

    "When the dust settles, it will be realised that FF FG didn't gain a single vote in this election, they are down on their vote share again"

    Has there ever been a post as delusional as that?

    Firstly, both Fianna Fail and Fine Gael have increased their national share of the vote since the 2020 general election, FG by a full two percentage points, Fianna Fail, only slightly. The quote is a lie, as is normal.

    Secondly, those 2020 general election shares of the vote were sufficient to get them into government, with Sinn Fein in opposition.

    Therefore, if the realisation when the dust settles is as predicted in the quote, the conclusion will be that this thread is pointless as Sinn Fein don't have a chance in hell of being in government.

    Sinn Fein have a delusional whingebag as a leader, are devoid of policies that might work, and lack any credibility in their front bench.

    Jennifer Carroll-McNeill summed it up that the only Shinner having a good day was Jonathon Dowdall who was selling his house for 800k before Sinn Fein reduced all the prices to 300k.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 74,220 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Just focus on core issues,

    I have already said this and I think that is what will happen.

    May take another GE election cycle or it might not. FF and FG's ability to mess up is a factor in the mix too.

    I do think the immigration issues will recede and I think a lot of the motley crew of independents will show their feet of clay tbh.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 74,220 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,115 ✭✭✭pureza


    I wouldn't disagree with all of that,I do think a lot of the under 30's stayed away but will be back in the GE and we know who has the majority of that vote,it's Sinn Féin

    Sinn Féin took a seat off FF in my local LEA btw but at 11% it was poor

    It was their first seat here

    Double their previous outing.

    Sinn Féin will have a 'think in' now and will fix this because the want for a UI referendum is strong,so Belfast are going to listen to the message on the ground and alter their message accordingly

    Gaffe's like the €300k house,sack the Garda commissioner and Hijab Mary will be no more.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,437 ✭✭✭rolling boh


    We can argue about small gains or not for the government but SF will get nowhere near the number of seats required to present a viable alternative at the next election .There seems little prospect of a large anti government vote getting behind any one group so as the opposition is so thinly spread its easy enough to see the government getting re elected .



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,088 ✭✭✭Clo-Clo


    Did you honestly expect anything but nonsense from that account?

    Sinn Fein are a joke, an incompetent joke. I have said it a long time

    Plus as I posted before, online fake accounts can't vote. All the clowns running multiple accounts across the web have at a max one vote, even those clowns probably didn't even bother to vote because too busy slagging people online.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,186 ✭✭✭wazzzledazzle


    She was very silly making the comments she made yesterday on RTE about why they got hammered but she looked a bit shell shocked and obviously not thinking straight.

    She'll regret saying it, because it will be brought up, again and again and again



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,582 ✭✭✭Quitelife


    Aontu got a good few votes in many constituencies which impacted Sinn Fein in particular making the difference between winning a seat and not winning a seat , Sinn Fein have lost some good old school republicans to Aontu over abortion/ transgender stuff etc . Two brothers in their sixties who used sell an phoblacht in our town back in the day were putting up posters and canvassing for local Aontu candidate for past month which definitely took a few hundred votes from Sinn Fein



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,088 ✭✭✭Clo-Clo


    She has done multiple interviews and made lots of silly comments.



  • Posts: 45,738 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    That the problem SF have. A lot of people vote for them and have voted for them in the past as they are republicans at heart. However they may not agree with a lot of other left ideas that SF stand for.

    It's a bit of a jump to Aontu though 😂



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,186 ✭✭✭wazzzledazzle


    As has Harris and MM, However, for her to basically say that people didn't know what they were voting for, or were punishing SF, was silly, actually, was stupid.

    She should keep her head down, because i expect things to be as bad this week when EU results are announced.



  • Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 11,033 Mod ✭✭✭✭squonk


    Has to be said, is this the type of Taoiseach the country needs? It’s a full on job and it sounds like she’s not up to the pressure and, more so, we’re sensitive negotiations are happening, the last thing you need is a leader with a mouth like a loose cannon.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 74,220 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Aontu almost got a seat in Monaghan, but SF added two new seats.
    Aontu votes are coming from elsewhere here it would seem…more conservative voters in other parties maybe? FG added one seat while FF lost one.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,088 ✭✭✭Clo-Clo


    None of SF are up to it, I see SF supporters now saying Pearse should be the leader. He is more incompetent, if he thinks faux outrage and shouting is how you are a leader of a party then he is sadly mistaken. Everything he has tried to do politically has been a disaster as well. Oh I want to tax the rich, 140k one month and 100k the next. Disaster



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,472 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    As a commentator on RTE last night said, it is either fold and regress time for SF or a timely kick in the proverbials to pay attention to why they are losing out to independents

    We all know why.

    SF supporters are more nationalist, nativist, anti-climate change and anti-immigration. The SF leadership and elite are nationalist but very much pro immigration and all things progressive.

    One can't square that circle.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,186 ✭✭✭wazzzledazzle


    They need to Pivot one way or the other.

    They won't be able to to keep their "original" core voter base happy whilst also trying to win seats in the centre.

    Make your mind up and choose what way you want to go.

    Oh, and change leader.

    I have a lot of time for Louise O'Reilly and she is more than capable, but you know what way they would shift if she was to become leader.

    Only other two that spring to mind would be Matt Carthy or Mairead Farrell



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,549 ✭✭✭Raoul Duke III


    You saw the same thing in Greece when Syriza got power (a party that Sinn Fein was very closely aligned with).

    They were great at roaring and shouting in opposition but were exposed as clueless and incompetent in government. You don't hear much about them anymore.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 74,220 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    No more or less than us when FF incompetence cheered on by FG led to the Troika coming in, Syriza hadn't a chance up against the juggernaut they were up against.
    We had to swallow the pills as Greece had to.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 31,111 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    Yeah, Syriza were great when Sinn Fein were aligned with them, when they ruined Greece, that alignment was quietly shelved.



  • Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 11,033 Mod ✭✭✭✭squonk


    Thsts the problem. I think people do want change, or at least options. FG/FF are sitting firmly in the centrist position right now. Times are changing and the loyalty to these parties isn’t guaranteed any longer. There isn’t a viable third alternative though. Labour/Greens/SD aren’t big enough to make it in their own or together. The biggest otherwise is SF but they can’t get their message across because it changes as often as the weather and you don’t need a degree in economics to see through many of their policies. So people have an appetite for change but they’re not stupid either. I think a competently run party with credible policies could make good headway in garnering a lot of votes butSF is not that party. It also makes them a bit of a toxic partner in any potential rainbow coalition b



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,457 ✭✭✭SharkMX


    Anybody else suddenly getting bombarded with tiktoks and memes on whatsapp of Mary lous comments and flip flops. Someone seems to have put them all together. Spectacular selection of own goals by herself and Eoin (I wrote a book you know) O'Broin.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 74,220 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Look what happened here - FF ruined Ireland and are now aligned with FG because FG rehabilitated FF. They both need each other to stay in power. That is undeniable.
    No sour grapes there from me by the way, I said at the time FF would be back.

    Why? Because political forces like the FF or SF or FG ones don't just disappear overnight. They take their disappointments, rejections and dust themselves down, readjust and go again.




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,549 ✭✭✭Raoul Duke III


    The one thing that comes through loud and clear is that leadership matters.

    Martin (right or wrongly, and in my view the electorate give him an undeserved free pass for his role in the various disastrous Bertie governments) is seen as a wise elder statesman and Harris is viewed as a breath of fresh air.

    Mary Loo and Pearse Doherty compare very badly at present. They only have one gear and it's marked 'roaring\shouting'. Once they need to adjust course on the fly they are incapable of it and you see the results in count centres all around the country.

    Unfortunately for SF, there's no sign of any credible replacements so they might as well keep going with Statler and Waldorf at the helm until the GE.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,523 ✭✭✭✭Red Silurian


    Party breakdown of Limerick City and County council, 40 seats in total

    • Fine Gael – 13
    • Fianna Fáil – 10
    • Independents – 5
    • Sinn Féin – 3
    • Labour – 3
    • Social Democrats – 2
    • Independent Ireland – 2
    • Green Party – 1
    • Aontú – 1

    Government parties with 60% of the seats while the local hospital is being described as a warzone… The mind truly boggles



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