Russia - threadbanned users in OP

How can someone misspell czech so badly?

The lack of supply of munitions is no excuse not to have mined the shìt out of the northern border and have time to document the position of every mine for future reference.

It is a year's worth now but that is because that is all they are getting.

Ukrainian Commanders speak of getting 2 shells a day and often no delivery some days. A million a month would be closer to need for an offensive to drive Russia out.

You dont have to be a soldier to know that's a problem, never mind Zelensky and the Ukrainian military leadership constantly pointing out they are profoundly starved of shells.

Russia during one offensive was firing 60k a day, that's near 2 million a month. That's taking it serious, if they get within range of Kharkiv they can pound it indefinitely.

The global news story should be of European States launching a massive and aggressive rearmament strategy. It is far from that and every bad actor from Iran over to China see that and will take chances.

It will cost much more in the long term.

The bill is a bit of a circus, it was easily circumventable by Biden by executive order under excess arms, the problem is that the will to win is not in the West.

Hold Russia, wear out Russia but don't beat it to collapse is the mantra and no one wants a collapsed Russia, that's this nightmare on steroids but Russia holding ground is also a long term problem as it shows might is right and the West are no longer interested in keeping peace or order globally.

The last few years have been a Green light to a lot of violent states and groups.

No but they fired that many per day because that is what being on the offensive requires and if, the big if, people want Ukraine to take back the lost territory that is what they must be doing at times and probably for months at a time.

They say about 10k shells fired a day by Russia with Iran and others supplying as well.

Russia is currently producing shells at 3 times the rate of the EU and US combined. A country where a flush toilet is fancy Moscow or St Petersburg stuff.

Sh1thouse Russia is going all out to carve out and keep a stretch of Ukraine.

If there was even a slight will to win in the West the situation would not be where it is now.

The figures I gave were from last month.

They won't have changed that much and they won't change from the West for a long time, the will is lacking, the ramp up should have started on day one.

There is a cold war on now and Ukraine is a hot site in it.

Countries like Iran, Korea Russia and in a cagey way China are all in, the economic behemoth of Western democracies are not all in.

Western Europe needs to look at 2% NATO defense spending targets as a relic of a peaceful past and not relevant to today's world and need to spend for a much more violent world where we are the active target.

If not we'll all pay.

Europeans need to be preparing for multi front wars, at the least having the resources to arm allies involved in serious and prolonged conflict and up to fighting and that is where things are heading. Our opponents are willing.

The mad thing is that this will ensure Ukrainian victory, a more peaceful world etc.

All of Europe should have moved at least a bit towards preparing for upcoming war when Russia invaded, world events since then should have moved it further towards that.

It will not be a popular suggestion. Ukraine will be given good wishes, solidarity and just enough to hold a line but that's it. It is so obviously going to bite Europe in the ass.

Sorry though I had that linked.

For the next few years the West is effectively out of shells just to give Ukraine a derisory amount.

It's incredible and shameful that it could be let happen.

Driving armaments spending and productivity should be major govt priorities across Europe, prepare for war.

https://edition.cnn.com/2024/03/10/politics/russia-artillery-shell-production-us-europe-ukraine/index.html

What you fire doesn't always relate to production, Old stock, bought in stock, kinda obvious.

Russian production is not impressive or at levels to win a decisive victory, it is what a country with an economy only the size of Belgium and Netherlands combined can do.

It's just looking good compared to the lethargy of the West, it shouldn't be so.

This summer is going to be about Russian gains in Ukraine, how significant remains to be seen but the potential for a big disruption is there.

That's down to 2 years of lackluster.

Ukraine was saved by Russians poor military and political leadership.

Russia looks like being saved by poor political leadership in the West.

European States need to view themselves as part of the fight, and that any scale of loss for Ukraine is multiple for Europe.

What is the dread of giving Ukraine what it needs and on top of that having a West that can defend itself across multiple theaters.

Germany recently forecasting a 10bn defense spending shortfall in 2028.

France spending less than half what it did in the 80s, on and on. It's disturbing.

The next presidential elections in France are 3 years away. That's a long time in politics and an even longer time in a war economy. With any luck, this mess will be well over by then.

CNBC euro report that the new Russia attack from the North is down to Ukraine not having long range weapons to target Russia logistics during the last 6 months. Big mistake from president Joe to hold off on those weapons. At lest UK and France saw this problem over the last few months and did what they could.

In Luhansk we see the benefit of long range weapons. Been a while since I've seen a big Russia ammo depot go up like this. If you want to cause the Russians an artillery shortage at the front this is how.

Meanwhile the endless waves continue.

May is going to be a bloody month for the Russians. Knowing them they'll somehow going even harder at it in June.

I don't think you build defenses right at the border because you're placing those defences at a range where the enemy can kind of sit there and lob ordinance at those lines and those constructing them. The idea would more be that you build them a few miles back where you can take advantage of a logistically-stretched enemy when they decide to advance.

We saw this last Summer when Ukraine launched an offensive and were able to move forward in small pockets early on, but we were reliably informed that Ukraine had yet to reach Russia's main defensive line.

1740 Russians destroyed in the last 24 hours. This is a daily record-