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Russia - threadbanned users in OP

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,208 ✭✭✭jmreire




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 36,711 CMod ✭✭✭✭pixelburp


    Yeah, I think the truth might be somewhere in the middle: it was an Islamist attack but the perpetrators have escaped and the Russian authorities have been gutted and rendered so dysfunctional by the Ukraine war they have had to bullshít some patina of competence cos they've been caught with their àsses hanging out. The nonsense about Ukraine a particularly desperate attempt to curry some 2 Minute Hate energy towards the "enemy"



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 4,181 ✭✭✭Field east


    The guys who carried this out must have known the layout of the building in great detail. In order to do this they must have been through the building on a number of occasions - all of them - and they must have been walking around the place where they lived , entering the building , etc. if I was Putin I would be examining the list of employees, service contractors, individuals who have suddenly left/ gone sick and of course any CCTV in the area. There is a high possibility that those involved would be ‘thrown up’ by such a thrall.

    but instead of Putin considering the above approach he decided to get 4 ‘volunteers’ to agtree to plead guilty and that they were guided/managed and funded by Ukr



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,208 ✭✭✭jmreire


    About 3 hrs ago, I was talking to a friend in Russia, and the word there is that it was done by the US, through Ukraine, using the Telegram channel, as described by one of the captured gunmen. But what they think is that the 4 guys were stupid and lured by easy money. No mention of ISIS. not yet anyhow.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 265 ✭✭strathspey


    I'm thinking there should be a submarine or two in that list. Are submarines not part of the Black Sea Fleet?



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,208 ✭✭✭jmreire


    Exactly!!! This was a professional hit, for sure, and for the people carrying it out, it was not their first time either. Apparently, 3 gunmen concentrated on the killing while one laid the explosives, spread the fire accelerant, and locked the escape exits. Military precision written all over it. These were not amateurs. The miracle was that the death toll was not much higher, obviously they planned to kill many more in the ensuing fire, which later collapsed the roof.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,208 ✭✭✭jmreire


    See my reply to Rogber, post 108066, Fresh from the oven.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,240 ✭✭✭selectamatic


    It's also pretty unbelievable that Isis terrorists would be captured alive. They die in holy combat for their rewards in the afterlife. It's their raison d'être and why they're hard to defend against. Why give all that up to be captured by the Russian FSB above all organisations? It seems like nonsense to me.

    Surely the most believable theory is that Isis carried out this and the perpetrators are also dead.

    The rest is a Russian performance to garner some sort of positive spin for their war effort out of what is a bad situation for them.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,715 ✭✭✭amandstu


    So they think it is fair game for a foreign power(eg CIA) to mount a terrorist operation in Moscow?

    If they believe that that has happened,what do they think should be the reaction?

    How do they imagine they can prevent it happening again?(hint:stop pathetic wars of aggression and territorial acquisition against your neighbours,perhaps so that you can protect your own population?)


    Edit:This may well be something the CIA could orchestrate and keep its hands clean but I don't see how it could be perceived to be in their interest.

    Noone suspected Putin of ever staging comparable events in the West ( maybe he has considered it and is now projecting?)


    ps If this is the start of an Isis campaign in Russia ,can they fight on that front as well? How much help would the West be prepared to give ?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,002 ✭✭✭ToweringPerformance


    That seems to be the story the Kremlin are selling and unfortunately being believed by ordinary Russians. No way Putin isn't going to use the attack to his advantage for justification of further war crimes.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,208 ✭✭✭jmreire



    I think that they got away safely and are or even possibly back at their base, as the pics being shown by ISIS indicate, These pics show 4 very much alive and healthy individuals celebrating. Had they been killed, it would have been broadcast by now, with the bodies displayed by the FSB.. You are right of course about the Martyrdom part of ISIS, and thats another indication they got away, had they been martyred, ISIS would be celebrating it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,702 ✭✭✭rolling boh


    It was a certainty that some would be 'captured 'no way could Putin admit the shooters got away ,he would feel he had lost some face so he had to produce the 'culprits ' to make it look like he had the situation under control .We might never know the real story like so often in that country .



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,936 ✭✭✭wandererz


    The Russian language version of this video should be plastered across Russia and the rest of the BRICS countries.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,171 ✭✭✭techman1


    But NATO is a tool created to destroy the former Soviet Union and the current Russia. Ukraine is also a little toy in the hands of America.

    wrong the soviet union collapsed because it could not compete with the western capitalist economies and because the occupied european countries were able to break free and the soviet union was too weak to do anything about it. This time the russian federation may collapse because of Putin and his illegal invasion of Ukraine and Russia will again not be able to survive without western trade and technology and Putin gobbling up the small russian economy to finance an illegal war



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,909 ✭✭✭Brussels Sprout


    This guy is sharp (and brave)




    This was his response when asked was he not afraid of being so honest in speaking his mind:


    image.png




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,011 ✭✭✭macraignil


    Irish man reported to be doing good work in Ukraine:




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,891 ✭✭✭✭briany


    I thought martyrdom was half the point of these kinds of attacks? That you put on an explosive vest, walk into a crowd of 'infidels', shout 'Allahu akbar!' or some such, pull the rip cord, and next thing you know, you've got a penthouse in heaven and are neck deep in nice ladies, or something like that.

    The apparent fact that the attackers tried to escape rather than blowing themselves up is going to fuel speculation about the true nature of the attack, because it is at least the public perception that real Islamist attacks are usually of a suicide nature, but maybe that's not true if you sort through each IS attack individually and look at the tactics involved.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,132 ✭✭✭Big Ears


    Well considering the efficiency and competency of that horrendous attack, you'd have to assume these guys are very experienced.

    You simply don't become experienced by blowing yourself up the first chance you get, so I assume that sort of philosophy is left to those considered useless cannon fodder and not competent soldiers.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,308 ✭✭✭aidanodr


    Sunday read:

    In this country where no freedoms are allowed and political discussion is strongly censored, trust in national security services is in short supply. Of course, the harassed population will go along with the government narrative, but fear and mistrust has already led to the blossoming of all sorts of conspiracy theories, questioning and undermining everything the Kremlin has said about Friday’s attack.

    At some point, the Russian people came to realise that Putin will stop at nothing to achieve his objective, and that he would be fully capable of committing any crime against his own people, however horrible. That’s a problem he faces in the aftermath of attacks: big brother technology, brutal force and repression can only get you so far.




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,308 ✭✭✭aidanodr


    Trump and the Crocus City Hall owner ..




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,852 ✭✭✭zv2


    It looks like history is starting up again.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,308 ✭✭✭aidanodr


    Anne as usual hits nail on head .. Donald Trump wants Ukraine to lose. Why??




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,180 ✭✭✭eire4


    Probably for the same reasons comrade Trump was all pally with the Russian dictator when he was actually in office.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,052 ✭✭✭saabsaab




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,308 ✭✭✭aidanodr


    Added this in other thread also .. well worth a read.

    Timothy Snyders take on this:

    SNIPPET - Russia and the Islamic State have long been engaged in conflict. Russia has been bombing Syria since 2015. Russia and the Islamic State compete for territory and resources in Africa. Islamic State attacked the Russian embassy in Kabul. This is the relevant context for the attack outside Moscow. The horror at Crocus City Hall obviously has nothing to do with gays or Ukrainians or any other of Putin’s enemies of choice.

    I love this bit:

    He ( PUTIN ) claimed that the suspects in the terrorist act were heading for an open "window" on the Russian-Ukrainian border.

    The term "window" is KGB jargon for a spot where the border has been cleared for a covert crossing. That the leader of the Russian Federation uses this term in a public address is a reminder of his own career inside the KGB. Yet Putin had obviously not thought this claim through, since a "window" must involve a clear space on both sides of the border. For escaping terrorists, it would be the Russian side that opened the window. By speaking of a "window" Putin indicated that the terrorists had Russian confederates preparing their exit, which he presumably did not mean. It seems that Putin was hastily making things up.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,208 ✭✭✭jmreire



    Quote" So they think it is fair game for a foreign power(eg CIA) to mount a terrorist operation in Moscow?

    If they believe that that has happened,what do they think should be the reaction? They will believe what the Kremlin tells them to believe (at least publicly) because they are powerless to do otherwise. They don't really have much say in it. The friend I was talking to, is convinced that the evil west, US, CIA, UK etc is behind all of Russia's problems including the war. Although there's a slight change in the story now, what Putin is doing is only because he is being forced to do, because you know, he's not really that kind of person at all.

    How do they imagine they can prevent it happening again?(hint:stop pathetic wars of aggression and territorial acquisition against your neighbours,perhaps so that you can protect your own population?) All depends on Putin, and he has convinced them that he's the only one who can protect them against the evil west, US etc. Putin cannot prevent it happening again, and neither does he want to. Its his main leverage on power. However, he does need to keep it at an "acceptable" level, failure to do this might lead people to think that maybe, he's not the right man for the job.


    Edit:This may well be something the CIA could orchestrate and keep its hands clean but I don't see how it could be perceived to be in their interest. I'm sure that the CIA (and others) are working every way they can against Putin. I don't know what their thinking was to give Putin advance warning of the ISIS attack, unless it was to alert Americans or others who might have been caught up in it? It's pretty standard practice for Embassys to give warnings to its citizens about impending events. But to officially warn Putin? For sure, there was method in their madness, maybe to dis- associate themselves from it and prove they had nothing to do with it?

    Noone suspected Putin of ever staging comparable events in the West (maybe he has considered it and is now projecting?) Putin has been waging war on the west for many years and in many country's, and western Intelligence agencys are fully aware of this. Any attacks, assassinations or attacks like the Moscow theatre etc. will have Putin's fingerprints all over them


    ps If this is the start of an Isis campaign in Russia ,can they fight on that front as well? How much help would the West be Putiprepared to give? ISIS has been fighting Putins military anywhere they have met in the world, so it's nothing new, but the theatre attack was a different matter. Taking the fight to Moscow was a big statement. And it proves to be the first of many, then Putin will have no choice but to try and contain it. Putin cannot expect any help whatsoever from the west, UK, US etc.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,395 ✭✭✭✭Furze99


    Insofar as we can believe anything, it seems likely to be the case that they came, killed and escaped. And what does this suggest about Russian internal security and policing but that for civilian infrastructure it's thin on the ground as efforts are more geared to the active war fronts. Which has to be of considerable concern/ noteworthiness for ordinary Russians and for the state itself.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,052 ✭✭✭saabsaab


    What does it say about security around Moscow and for Putin himself?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,208 ✭✭✭jmreire


    It has been reported that there were some branches of the police present, but when the shooting started, they ran away also there was an OMON (I think) barracks 4 or five kilometers away, but it took them more than an hour to arrive, by which time the killers were long gone. For sure, the internal security of Moscow / St Petersburg etc. has been affected by the war.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,052 ✭✭✭saabsaab




This discussion has been closed.
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