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Russia - threadbanned users in OP

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,106 ✭✭✭Christy42


    Not really. Defense treaties are just formalising what would happen anyway.


    Monaco isn't defended because of a treaty with France. It is defended because France would suffer if it was taken over by a hostile force. Similarly for other countries, the larger military sees a benefit in having the smaller country protected. Nato was to establish bounds as to how far Russian aggression could go and the US saw this as an advantage for itself and obviously smaller countries saw the benefit of Russia not being able to attack them.


    We can join Nato or not join Nato. The end result if Ireland was invaded would be the same. It would be unacceptable for the US/EU to have Atlantic shipping threatened by a large hostile army in Ireland and the UK would struggle to build adequate defenses.


    That said I don't see an issue formalising it though obviously Ireland would need something other than a gdp target as it is a skewed number for us. However a defensive alliance is simply not a requirement for Ireland. We should put money into cyber which is easily the most likely avenue of attack and one it is hard for friendly nations to protect us from.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,795 ✭✭✭threeball


    No point in throwing a generation of teenagers into the mix if they have nothing to fight with. Without artillery supplies this will go south fast and no amount of people and small arms will halt an army with artillery. It will be the meat grinder again except it will be Ukrainians this time.

    For a party so obsessed with Commies and Reds under the bed, the republicans have fairly changed their tune.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,574 ✭✭✭rogber


    Lots of the Slava Ukraini brigade here (almost all banned or disappeared by now) called Scholz a Marxist Russia lover early on. Which was ridiculous even then. Germany was slow to get going but has really pulled its weight in the last year and a bit.

    However I still think his use of words is interesting. It's always "Putin must not be allowed win", never "Putin must lose". Part of this very clear Western policy of going Ukraine enough so it can keep fighting, but never enough for real victory.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,818 ✭✭✭✭Mr. CooL ICE




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,232 ✭✭✭Paddigol


    Wouldn't blame him for not wanting to leave his infant and head back to a war zone.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,616 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    How many troops do Ukraine have defending this town?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,532 ✭✭✭Virgil°


    Hold your breath today everyone.

    We're probably going to find out whether Senate Democrat Chuck Schumers plan to separate the border bill from the foreign aid bill will be palatable to the Republicans. If they choose to play games, obfuscate or just generally sniff the orange man's pants like they did yesterday it could be a very tough year for Ukraine in 2024.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,441 ✭✭✭✭TheValeyard




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,012 ✭✭✭roosterman71


    Ah yeah. Man who fled the war for whatever reason, meets a woman and settles down, recently has a baby and then thinks, "ya know what, I'm gonna high tail it back to a war zone and maybe get myself killed"



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,449 ✭✭✭zv2


    It looks like history is starting up again.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,313 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    That isn't a Russian victory.


    Let's go back to 2022

    A Russian victory and the total capitulation of Ukraine was the goal, along with a more divided West, and fractured NATO.


    Today

    NATO is bigger than ever.

    Large commitments to increase spending in NATO countries, especially Germany

    Ukraine still exists under the old pro-West guard and has been pushed forever into the Western fold.

    The Russian military has lost approx 50% of its pre-war strength.


    From here, it looks like the war is in a stalemate. Neither side has the edge to achieve total victory.

    Strategicly Russia has lost this war though.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 233 ✭✭IdHidden


    Yes correct, This war is already a Strategic defeat for Russia. Bigger stronger NATO, hated by Ukrainians for many years to come, Shown to the world to be a kleptocratic dictatorship, their army shamed with war crimes and shown to be inept.

    Well done Putin.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 233 ✭✭IdHidden


    Oh and their propaganda machine has been exposed also.


    GFxjb7BW0AAyo6B.jpg




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,620 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    Ukraine and Russia will both lose the war. It is not realistic that either side comes out of this better than they started.

    The real winners are the USA. Not a soldier killed, they got rid of or sold lots of their unneeded stock, lots of orders for US mil equipment to replace European countries old stock that was given to Ukraine, a bigger NATO, and Russian army gets massively depleted.

    Not to mention field testing patriots and other weapons against Russian missiles, planes and vehicles. A roaring success for the US, without a doubt.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,350 ✭✭✭RoyalCelt


    Ukraine releases footage when it favours them. Russia does likewise when they make gains or force Ukrainian losses. So I'll ask again why no footage.

    Oh I see you are thread banned again. I don't know the reason but maybe you should have just laid off replying to almost everyone in this thread. It can be a bit overwhelming.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 99 ✭✭mikefromcork




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 233 ✭✭IdHidden


    Oleksandr Syrskyi, Ukraine's new army chief is a great choice. Born in Russian, graduated from the Moscow Higher Military Command School, the Soviet Union’s leading higher military educational institution, served in the Soviet Army in Afghanistan.

    “If you know the enemy and know yourself, you need not fear the result of a hundred battles.”

    ― Sun Tzu, The Art of War



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,905 ✭✭✭TinyMuffin




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 877 ✭✭✭eoinbn


    You are just ignoring the facts that don't align with version of reality.

    NATO is done. It's worthless. It is likely that the US will pull out of it next year under Trump - the odds on favourite to win the presidency.

    Will it be the victory that Putin wanted? Of course not, but it isn't a terrible consolation prize.

    NATO split down the middle.

    The EU economic outlook is dire. It has literally got nothing going for it.

    The migrant crisis, which is only going to get worse, is pushing Europe to the right.

    Yes, Russia is in far worse shape but that is a secondary concern for Putin



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,313 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    NATO is done. It's worthless. It is likely that the US will pull out of it next year under Trump - the odds on favourite to win the presidency.

    Nonsense.

    NATO has just added Sweden and Finland to its ranks. It's more relevant than ever now, and stronger today thanks to the missteps of Putin.

    Trump was President last time out, and despite all his bluster, the US remained in NATO. That is Trump for you, he talks an awful lot of shite.


    Will it be the victory that Putin wanted? Of course not, but it isn't a terrible consolation prize.

    Can you elaborate on this please, what will the Russian victory look like?


    NATO split down the middle.

    How so? Please do elaborate.

    The EU economic outlook is dire. It has literally got nothing going for it.

    Really? An economy of $19.5 Trillion growing at approx 1.3% this year, has nothing going for it....?

    Best not to look at Russia or China then if that is your benchmark.

    The migrant crisis, which is only going to get worse, is pushing Europe to the right.

    Why are migrants coming to the EU, if it has nothing going for it?

    We have heard all these proclamations of doom before.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 99 ✭✭mikefromcork


    I believe the US will see right through the rapist and reelect Joe Biden. Does that change your prediction?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,283 ✭✭✭jackofalltrades


    Putin hasn't divided NATO. This is about NATO members supporting a non-NATO country, there are no rules for that.

    If a NATO member wasn't getting support from it's other members you'd have a point, but that hasn't happened yet.

    I'll agree with you that Europe needs to stand on it's own feet given the current happenings in the US.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,620 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    You can't really release footage when the bodycams containing said footage is attached to a soldier still on the frontline?

    Zaluzhny was of similar stock, he studied under Gerasimov and is very familiar with the general and his doctrines of choice.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,532 ✭✭✭Virgil°


    I'm a bit torn about the Zaluzshni thing. On the one hand Zaluzshni is well liked by UAF, clearly competent and forward thinking. Where Sryskyi, it's reported that he isn't liked by the Ukrainians and is of old school Soviet stock.

    On the other hand Syrskyi was in charge of the counteroffensive that retook most of kharkiv. He was also in charge of the defense of Bakhmut which he was criticized harshly for. However that little decision almost caused the collapse of the entire Russian federation. At any rate is very hard to know why Zelensky would fire such a well liked General at such a critical point. There are discussions and decisions that none of us internet fools are privy to.

    Really gotta wait and see.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,574 ✭✭✭rogber


    If he learned his military tactics in Russia and fought in the Soviet army then I wouldn't hold out much hope for genius insights to help Ukraine make any serious breakthrough in 2024



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,950 ✭✭✭Hande hoche!


    If the UAF are largely moving to a defensive posture for 2024 he might be the right man for the job. He seemed to have been a success on a number of fronts, with the exception of Bakhmut (as you rightfully pointed out). Of course it might be the precursor to more decisions being made on political rather than military grounds. Ukraine is going to have a rough year.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 233 ✭✭IdHidden


    No need to worry. As he preaches NATO principles of decentralised command.

    (7 months ago) From the Economist:

    "Colleagues describe the general as ascetic, with an addiction to gym. He is said to be an obsessive planner. His operational flexibility differentiates his approach from that of Russian generals. He preaches NATO principles of decentralised command, learned during a stint in Brussels in 2013, where he met representatives of the alliance to discuss how to modernise Ukraine’s forces. He emphasises the importance of “hybrid warfare”. And he prioritises his troops’ morale: every day he reads messages from hundreds of soldiers and he regularly visits them in the field. “You must feel the spirit of the army,” he says."



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 233 ✭✭IdHidden


    Speaking of General Gerasimov, he hasn't been seen for 55 days, probably 'conferring' somewhere with Admiral Sokolov, who hasn't been seen for 133.

    https://www.newsweek.com/putins-top-generals-have-gone-missing-1866349



This discussion has been closed.
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