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What does the future hold for Donald Trump? - threadbans in OP

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,950 ✭✭✭Hande hoche!


    Some would, they seemed to be silenced by those who want a rematch of 2020.

    Think quite a few Republicans have just written off 2024 at this stage. Around nine months to go, so who knows what will happen?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,394 ✭✭✭PropJoe10


    I mean, he could very well still win due to the weakness of Biden as a candidate. But they'd have a much better chance with Haley than with a 4 times indicted and twice impeached former President who'll likely have at least one criminal conviction against his name by November, not to mention the fact that he's already a court-certified sex pest.

    I think Biden's approval rating is a bit unfair on him. He's actually accomplished a lot domestically in his first term. It's a shame he's not ten years younger.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,026 ✭✭✭✭duploelabs


    And to think, if the Republican Senators voted to convict trump in the second impeachment, they would be gifted a somewhat viable candidate against a single-term Biden in Haley.

    Well well well, how the turntables...



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,016 ✭✭✭✭briany


    For those senators, it was never an option. Losing their seats in the next election would have been the low end of the potential consequences, with harassment and threats of violence/death to them and their families likely.

    Trump owns the Republican base, and so long as he is that, the party can do nothing against him. This is why he has remained relevant despite losing the last election and his candidates losing the midterms.

    To get rid of Trump, the party must figure out a way of wresting that base away from him, but it's nearly been a decade, now, and still they are no closer to figuring this out. The best they will be able to do is replace him with someone similar, which is only a very slight net improvement.

    So they're stuck with him until he dies or is incapacitated. Even then, his 'ideas' and rhetoric will hang around like a bad smell, and he will continue to be worshipped, in that which all personality cult leaders are, with his successor being more of a custodian of Trumpism.

    It's a bed the Republican party simply must lay in for a looooooong time.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,201 ✭✭✭✭Bass Reeves


    The sooner you lance a boil the better. In 2021 the GOP Senator's taught that Trump would go away. TBF the Democrats taught the same and did not start to pursue criminal prosecutions until 12-18 months later.

    I say a significant number of GOP senator's if they could set the clock back they would. The migrant bill that many in the GOP wanted is now dead and gone for 10 years. Many of them want to fund Ukraine and Trumpism is creating issues there. As the saying goes its hard to get the Genie back in the bottle.

    Trump is like Haughy you will only get one chance to take him down showing empathy or mercy is not something tgat you should do its a sign-off weakness. They do not.play by the rules.

    I do not share the confidence many have here that Biden will walk this election. If anything the polling shows that Trump is leading. Neither do I think the Robert Kennedy will hurt Trump more than Biden. He will cause serious trouble for Biden in the old industrial belt for Biden and may take states there.

    It's highly unlikely that SCOTUS will keep Trump off the ballot. Its a significant hurdle to remove a name from a ballot paper. TBF to the justices they have ruled against Trump a number of time and will rule against him in the immunity case as wellas the civil cases. But they will not take him off the ballot as he has not been convicted of anything that goes back to the failure of the Democrats to start prosecutions in the and the GOP Senator's.

    It's a bit like a special forces soldier even after a terorist is down they put one in the head to make sure

    Slava Ukrainii



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,408 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    The primaries would have played out very differently without Trump in the mix, I wouldn't assume Haley would come out on top, and you might have other candidates involved also.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,950 ✭✭✭Hande hoche!


    Another theory is that the prosecution of Trump is to boost his chances of achieving the nomination. Then he is easily beaten by Biden in the general election. Some of the defeated campaigns have accused the various indictments of overshadowing the race for the GOP nomination. Imagine others though Trump would emerge as endorser rather than a candidate.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,686 ✭✭✭✭looksee


    Its rather stating the obvious, but the obvious needs to be stated as often as possible:

    When he loses an election, he claims it’s rigged; when the press reports the truth, he blasts the “fake news”; when he’s investigated, he claims it’s a witch hunt; when he’s indicted, he warns the grand jury is biased; when he loses a case, he condemns the entire court system as corrupt. The mantra of victimization is now at the center of a presidential campaign based on the perception that he’s being politically persecuted and is driving his determination to dedicate a second term to retribution.

    https://edition.cnn.com/2024/02/08/politics/donald-trump-supreme-court-2024-analysis/index.html



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,950 ✭✭✭Hande hoche!


    It goes back to Iowa in 2016, same playbook. Guts of a decade later, rinse & repeat. Depressing really.



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 16,725 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    It goes back much longer than that - That's the 1st political one , but he claimed that the Emmy awards were "rigged" against him as well for years before that.

    He is functionally incapable of processing the concept of defeat/loss and as a result is incapable of any kind of introspection or personal growth. It's why he cannot move on from 2020.

    When things don't go to plan it simply cannot possibly be his fault and has to be as a result of some kind of nefarious actions specifically designed to impact him.

    It's a core feature of Malignant Narcissism.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,394 ✭✭✭PropJoe10


    Indeed. The fact that a fair percentage of the population is willing to believe one man, a conman and court-confirmed sexual deviant with multiple bankruptcies against his name, 4 times indicted and twice impeached, over the findings of the courts and Congress, just confirms to me that its a cult we're dealing with.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,950 ✭✭✭Hande hoche!


    That's a fair point. One can argue that narcissism seems to be a common trait amongst most high level politicians, so specifying the malignant nature is a good call.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,612 ✭✭✭Rawr


    I kind of doubt he'd be happy even then.

    I think I remember watching a documentary on Trump shortly before the 2016 Election, where they covered a lot of Trump's adventures and failures throughout the 80's and 90's. From his early days working with his father up to the incredible disaster that was the Trump Taj Mahal.

    One segment covered Trump making the move to Reality TV and "The Apprentice". In it, one of the creating producers of The Apprentice described going to Trump Tower in the late 90's to pitch the idea to Donald Trump, to see if he'd be interested being the lead character in their new show. He described a sorry sight upon entering Trump's office. The room apparently stank and looked like it was decaying, as if it hadn't been maintained in years.

    Futhermore, upon agreeing to be in the show Trump apparently insisted that he be described as a "Billionare". Apparently this was very important to him, and came up often.

    Kind of paints a picture of a washed up loser, already then in the late 90's, early 2000's. who had pissed away all of his inheritence on countless failed business ideas and if it hadn't been for the life-saver of Reality TV, he would have decayed futher into obsurity.

    Trump needs the limelight, and something to declare himself as special. Be it "Billionare", "The Donald", or most lately the "President of the United States". I think beyond the protections of the office of POTUS, both legal and financial, it is this sense of *being special and important* that he wants to cling onto, no matter the cost to the rest of the world.

    For his efforts, I hope the history books will remember him as the danger that many of us already percieve him as.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,016 ✭✭✭✭briany


    The thing about Trump is that he's pretty much always been that. Every single thing that goes against him is in some way unfair. What's changed is the amount of people amenable to listening to him when he says that kind of thing. Why have people lost such faith in various public institutions that they will take it as read when Trump says a particular element of an institution is corrupt, and if you would find out the reason why that's happening and reverse it, you'd be on your way to making Trump irrelevant.

    But it's like people either can't get their heads around the fundamental problems which give rise to something like MAGA or figure that they're too big to tackle that we're all just looking to put out fires where and when they appear rather than remove the fuel, so to speak.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,552 ✭✭✭✭Penn


    Regarding the thing about wanting to make sure he was called a billionaire, years ago when they did the Roast of Donald Trump, the comedians were told the only thing that was off limits was his bankruptcies and saying he had less money than he claimed; they could only refer to him as a billionaire not a millionaire.

    His marriages, kids... none of those were off limits. Just don't say he's not a billionaire.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,637 ✭✭✭✭Igotadose


    Apparently, one of the Trump attorneys involved in the Mar-a-Largo documents case (remember that one?,) has never owned a laptop and was unable to process the discovery documents on their tablet. The prosecution graciously provided the attorney a laptop, but they were flummoxed on how to use it and repeatedly called from help from the Prosecution. I mean, the attorney had to look at videos on a laptop, that's hard...


    Amazing. "The best people." An attorney that's never owned a laptop? Sure they're really an attorney?


    Edit: Attorney owns a tablet. Link to abovethelawarticle.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,031 ✭✭✭✭everlast75


    SCOTUS are hearing arguments today re whether Trump should be on the ballot.

    Considering his wife was involved, how the **** is it okay for Clarence Thomas to not recuse himself?

    Elect a clown... Expect a circus



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 16,725 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    It isn't , but he doesn't give a damn and no one is going to tell him otherwise.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,016 ✭✭✭✭briany


    Unless Thomas himself has expressed support for the 'Stop the Steal' movement, then the argument would be that he's unduly influenced by people with whom he has a close association. I cannot discount that as a possibility, but it then opens up the question of what individuals a SCOTUS justice is surrounded by and what their political beliefs are, not just for him, but everyone on the panel. At the end of the day, they're human beings and it has to be trusted that they're making judgements on points of law rather than what their spouse thinks about a particular issue. Not a perfect system, but what system made of people is?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,725 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    Roberts and ACB also worked as lawyers arguing for Bush in Bush v Gore.

    They were quite evasive during confirmation about how much of the case they worked on.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,595 ✭✭✭francois




  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 16,725 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    There's a very real difference between "A few of my mates down the pub voted for that guy" and "My wife was directly and actively involved in the attempted commission of a coup".

    The 1st one can be forgiven on the basis of objectivity and professionalism , the 2nd one is a conflict of interest without any question because if he were to concur that Trump should be barred from the ballot because he is guilty of Insurrection then his wife instantly becomes open to those very same charges.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,016 ✭✭✭✭briany


    If it is a clear conflict of interest, then is there not some mechanism to recuse him without needing his approval?



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 16,725 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    Sadly no - It's up to each individual Justice to make that determination themselves - They can't be recused against their wishes.

    Roberts could "ask" if he wanted to , but Thomas could equally tell him to get stuffed.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,940 ✭✭✭✭VinLieger


    Nope when it comes to scotus they are literally a law unto themselves beyond being impeached which thanks to the high threshold requirement of a super majority in the senate is incredibly hard to do.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,016 ✭✭✭✭briany


    If the court finds against Trump on the questions being asked, then a dissenting opinion from Thomas wouldn't really matter because such a finding requires a majority of justices to agree. If we assume that Thomas and Trump's three appointees are walking around in private wearing MAGA hats, the SCOTUS still has a non-MAGA majority of 5-4, as the assumption of conservative=Trump supporter disregards that Conservatism before Trump and after aren't exactly the same.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,637 ✭✭✭✭Igotadose


    That is a possible outcome. Some of the legal commentariat are saying the DC appeals court (Circuit #3) did such a good job with their ruling that one realistic outcome is that the SCOTUS doesn't even hear the case. IMO the SCOTUS would be smart to do that. They're pretty busy these days with other Trump nonsense as well as destroying regulatory powers and other "Conservative" agenda items.



  • Moderators, Computer Games Moderators Posts: 23,408 Mod ✭✭✭✭Kiith


    There's no way in hell they are ruling against Trump.



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  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 36,711 CMod ✭✭✭✭pixelburp


    If the SC rules against Trump, they're gonna need secret service protection if they didn't already, and the Conspiracy Theory of MAGA will go into overdrive and then some.



This discussion has been closed.
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