Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email us on hello@boards.ie for help. Thanks :)
Hello all! Please ensure that you are posting a new thread or question in the appropriate forum. The Feedback forum is overwhelmed with questions that are having to be moved elsewhere. If you need help to verify your account contact hello@boards.ie

Russia - threadbanned users in OP

1345734583460346234633690

Comments

  • This content has been removed.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,046 ✭✭✭✭briany


    @threeball

    Russia will be emboldened and try to expand, every man and their dog will become a Russian Nationalist, happy to expand the motherland after their glorious victory. Taiwan will be come an appetizer for China while they eye up Korea, Japan and the rest of South East Asia.

    Russia has a population of around 140,000,000 (-350,000?). NATO countries have a combined population of almost one billion. Even assuming that NATO falls apart, the EU has common defence policies in place, and the population of the EU is 448 million.

    The point is that Russia ain't that big if it wants to start trying to throw its weight around some more. Sure, it's big geographically, but most of Russia is wilderness and arctic wasteland. When you're talking about the livable parts, it's much, much smaller.

    In order for Russia to launch any other attacks on countries, they would first have to totally rebuild their military and then wait for a point that the alliances protecting their intended targets fall apart, which is not a guarantee.

    Frankly, I'm surprised that Russia bothered with any military action at all. Their undermining of Western solidarity with online trolling was going pretty well for them, and it was, ironically, Russia trying to land a real physical blow that didn't bring the edifice down, but instead galvanised it. Putin could have brought the whole thing down without ever raising a finger if he'd been patient, but I suppose he wanted to sit in the shade of the tree he planted.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,571 ✭✭✭XsApollo


    If they had them now maybe?

    they don’t have them now , if they were to go down that road , I imagine putin would have died of natural causes by the time they acquired them



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,571 ✭✭✭XsApollo


    I am not saying they can’t acquire them, what I am saying is they won’t be getting help from the US or Europe to do so.

    and I imagine any supposed intentions of joining the EU or NATO will stipulate they don’t have them.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 36,711 CMod ✭✭✭✭pixelburp


    Frankly, I'm surprised that Russia bothered with any military action at all. Their undermining of Western solidarity with online trolling was going pretty well for them, and it was, ironically, Russia trying to land a real physical blow that didn't bring the edifice down, but instead galvanised it. Putin could have brought the whole thing down without ever raising a finger if he'd been patient, but I suppose he wanted to sit in the shade of the tree he planted.

    Maybe the answer is simple, and human: that someone who'd think himself king looked at lands once "his" and as he creeped towards the grave gambled on one last throw of the dice to secure his legacy. He wouldn't be the first king or dictator to try and go out swinging & we're not that far removed from that era that I couldn't see Putin's mindset heading that way.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,859 ✭✭✭✭Timberrrrrrrr


    Maybe/maybe not


    I dont think Ukraine will care too much one way or another, I think they will do whatever they feel is necessary to ensure they're never attacked like this again.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,859 ✭✭✭✭Timberrrrrrrr


    "they won’t be getting help from the US or Europe to do so"


    Maybe not "officially".



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,352 ✭✭✭RoyalCelt


    Why does 200k shells cost 1BN? Seems a bit pricey no or are these the higher quality shells?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    Someone posted about it a few months back I believe it said something like it was €8000 per shell, still very expensive



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,551 ✭✭✭✭Sleepy


    That really does sound exhorbitant for a dumb shell. Is it down to the cost of brass for the casings? The munitions within? Or is it labour/machinging costs?



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    I think it's a mix of all of the above and the fact very few companies based in Europe actually produces shells I think it's something like 3 companies the biggest which is based in Norway so they can pretty much charge a premium because they have no real competition,

    I'm surprised were not seeing or hearing anything about 3D printing shells in various alloys



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,795 ✭✭✭threeball


    If Russia had any sense they wouldn't have invaded Ukraine but its obvious that they don't. Hoping they don't go a step further after a victory in Ukraine is wishful thinking at best. Regardless of population, I doubt any western nation savours the idea of even one missile landing in their city or town. They may be a shambles but they have the capacity to inflict serious damage where its absolutely unnecessary to absorb any just by giving Ukraine enough to get the job done.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,040 ✭✭✭Polar101


    All European countries which are interested in defense are already in NATO (except maybe Austria, Moldova and obviously Ukraine). Some people will say Europe can't rely on the USA, but I doubt USA is going to pull out any time soon - they will be happy to sell weapons to their European allies no matter what.



  • This content has been removed.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,066 ✭✭✭✭Danzy


    Between people in occupied Russian territory and that fled abroad, Ukraine has lost about 35% of its pre war population. That's an existential issue for them.


    Of course they are going to be short of labour and conscripts when that is the extent.


    Russia is going to expect losses, sinking a few black fleet ships or the entire fleet with thousands dead, shooting down AWACS and such are not going to change the game on the ground In Ukraine, welcome as they would be and they are good days for Ukraine, a good start.


    It will be killing as many of the Russian forces there as possible, minimum 6 figures on top of the already dead and then some and enduring, on top of what you suggest. It is not one or the other.


    That's it, what other choice do they have, it's not neaderthal. It's up to date. It's the reality of war, it's kill or be killed.


    If by some miracle the West decided to give Ukraine so many missiles that every Russian base in Ukraine can be hit, every staging area and supply depot inside of Russia, that will really speed things up. It won't happen though and it would still vast amounts of dead.



  • This content has been removed.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,664 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    Yes, although Afghanistan did have an environment more conducive to such asynchronous operations, and a more independent \ dispersed population.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,758 ✭✭✭macraignil


    "after a victory in Ukraine"

    There are thousands of dead moskovytes and thousands of pieces of military equipment lost by putin in invading Ukraine that would mean even holding the territory they still occupy or ceasing some more could not be viewed by anyone of reasonable sanity as a victory. putin's forces could not even hold large areas of Ukraine that they initially tried to occupy as their attack was the very definition of the phrase biting off too much to chew. I can see a future where the term Pyrrhic victory will be replaced by the term putin victory as any imagined gains he will have achieved for himself in attacking Ukraine will be so massively outweighed by the losses the russian federation have and will continue to suffer because of his empire building ambitions.

    I would like to see more shipment of arms to Ukraine from the countries that have pledged to support them in their fight against putin's terrorist state but unlike many here on this thread I wont pretend to be well informed about the actual quantity or quality of weapons being sent there. It is in Ukraine's interest to always say they need more and it is in no one's interest to give putin an accurate picture of what his forces are going to face in their fight to occupy parts of Ukraine. From the sources I would give credibility to there is agreement that weapons production is increasing in those countries that support Ukraine and more importantly for Ukraine their own weapons production abilities are rapidly increasing and in a much better state now than they were before putin attacked.


    Post edited by macraignil on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,046 ✭✭✭✭briany


    @threeball

    If Russia had any sense they wouldn't have invaded Ukraine but its obvious that they don't. Hoping they don't go a step further after a victory in Ukraine is wishful thinking at best. Regardless of population, I doubt any western nation savours the idea of even one missile landing in their city or town.

    What Russia wants to do and what the can do are two very different things, and we've seen this already. The idea that they could launch a successful ground invasion against a well-equipped European country, particularly where supported by allies, is pretty far fetched, given how they have failed so far to do this against a Ukrainian army using NATO hand-me-downs.

    But I share your doubts about any Western nation savouring the idea of a missile landing in their city or town. That doesn't mean, however, that they would capitulate if it did. Harrowing as that is, we've also seen in history how such things focus the mind. If it happened in your city or your town - and especially if it killed or maimed people you know and love - you'd probably want to fight or support those doing so on your behalf.

    Russia does have a lot of nuclear weapons, but once those start flying around, war becomes a bit pointless because the sides stand to gain nothing.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    That photo predates nk shells Ukrainian guns have suffered malfunctions extensive use will eventually do that to any artillery piece



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,571 ✭✭✭XsApollo


    you seriously think the us or the EU would help Ukraine get nukes?

    ukraine might be trying to change, but it still has a soviet hangover., and Russians are entrenched there.

    the country could still swing back under Russia in the future, depending on what happens there. ( the weakness of democracy is the public can vote in some lunatic) the likes of china russia and North Korea don’t have that problem.

    Last thing the world needs is another nuclear state gone rogue.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,066 ✭✭✭✭Danzy


    Afghanistan is one of the most mountainous countries in the world, eastern Ukraine is one of the flattest places on earth.

    The red army still killed millions upon millions there in fighting.


    The Afghani forces also got what they needed, money, weapons and a steady stream of jihadis fighters.


    But that doesn't change toe challenges facing Ukraine



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,066 ✭✭✭✭Danzy


    No idea, maybe that includes transport, fitting out a factory.


    Lidl need to do them.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,010 ✭✭✭jmreire


    Under normal circumstances, yes, the US and EU would be considered partners, but these are not normal times. What started in Feb 2022, could have and should have been nipped in the bud. This can never be allowed to happen again, ever. Europe must develop its own defense capabilities and not have to depend on US Support. NATO is all very fine and well, but its powerless unless a member state is attacked, as is happening now, it can only stand and watch helplessly as Putin continues his murderous rampage. This has to change, no matter what form the change will take.



  • This content has been removed.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,010 ✭✭✭jmreire


    Even at €8'000 a pop, but with guaranteed 90-95% accuracy, one of those shells can cause millions of $ worth of damage. and that would be very good value for money.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,730 ✭✭✭saabsaab


    Ukrainian attacks on oil infrastructure recently show a willingness to damage Russian capacity to earn the funds to continue this war. Makes good sense and I'm sure they will finds new ways to further this aim..



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 447 ✭✭thereitisgone


    Prices for shells have gone up

    They were about 2000 euros before the war and now , if you check internet you can find reports of 2000 to 8000

    But Rheinmetall the German manufacturer recently got an order, probably for Ukraine and sold them for 3300 euros each

    Still expensive, never thought they would cost that much

    https://www.technology.org/2023/01/05/how-much-do-155-mm-artillery-rounds-cost-now-and-how-many-are-fired-in-ukraine/



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,355 ✭✭✭Field east


    How could he have brought the whole thing down unless he used ALL his nukes while we were ‘all in Bed’ - although that would be difficult to do given the different timelines. This conversation about Ru being very big - area wise - when compared to a lot of other countries. Yes , it is one of the biggest counties in the world - maybe second to China .

    but when it comes to measuring income per capita, standard of living, production per capita , GDP, GNP and similar, IT IS WAY DOWN THE CHARTS when compared to even Italy, Belgium France Germany UK, US, etc, etc, etc ,etc, etc, etc

    it looks like whatever few ‘dollars’ it has Its military structure gets FIRST CALL” In association with the well positioned individuals



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    They apparently went to the UK ,but the current market rate is still €8000 per 155 shell, considering the numbers now being ordered that price should have fallen by now but it's still a relatively small production ,

    But profits first and foremost for theses companies



This discussion has been closed.
Advertisement