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"Green" policies are destroying this country

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 13,742 ✭✭✭✭machiavellianme


    Are you actually claiming that's a genuine answer to any question you were asked?

    You can't even produce the hydrogen itself for 20c per unit of electricity and that's before it needs to be stored and then converted back into electricity. Nevermind the losses in doing so.

    How much are the capital costs for your "diverse" solution (insofar as Onshore and Offshore is somehow diverse) plus whatever storage and grid infrastructure is required? Nearest 50 billion guesstimate will suffice.

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,088 ✭✭✭Clo-Clo


    No they changed the system to be a CO2 based. The car manufacturers then developed a software to hide the actual outputs of the car to make diesel seem better to the environment.

    This happened across the World remember, it wasn't just Ireland who got hook-winked by the car manufacturers.

    Diesel is now public enemy number 1 because of what that. If you think the Green Party in Ireland are responsible for the drop in diesel sales across the World you would be wrong. Ireland is one of the smallest markets in the World and we are sold the cars the manufacturers decide they are going to sell.

    If they decide tomorrow not to make electrics then Ireland is not going to stop them. VW for instance in Europe concentrate on what the German and UK market want. Not the Irish one



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,049 ✭✭✭creedp


    So basically they implemented policy without giving any proper consoderation to the possible unintended consequences of the policy. Or maybe like the oil and gas industry they knew exactly what they were doing but didnt care as long as they could achieve the holy grail of low CO2 emissions, the end justified the means.

    Lets hope if this wonderful plan to build massive offshore wind farms goes ahead, there wont be similar or equally problematic unintended consequences facing the Irish population in the years ahead



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,063 ✭✭✭roosterman71


    That's not quite right. The CO2 tax bands were in long before anyone knew about the manufacturers messing about with SW to trick the testers. When we changed over, cars like big BMW 520s seen their motor tax collapse, whereas small petrol cars that were the norm in the 1.4/1.6 range go up. People, en masse swapped over to the cheaper taxed diesels. Thus creating more problems wit NOx in cities, more service costs for punters as they bought wholly unsuitable cars for their needs. The tricky SW was put in to keep cars in the lowest bands but the bands were already set, and diesels were already planted in the lower end.

    The introduction of those bands seen car sales rise (logic of punters is very questionable!).



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 992 ✭✭✭InAtFullBack


    Far left rag, if they reported the sky was blue I'd have to go outside and double-check.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,088 ✭✭✭Clo-Clo


    The reason diesel prices went so low for tax was because the system was been tricked. If the system was not been tricked would people have moved to diesel?

    Also it came to a point in Ireland when you went to a dealer looking for a petrol they had no stock, they only wanted to sell diesel cars. Nobody buys petrol is what you got told by the main dealers.

    Same as electric now, you have people going out spending stupid money on electric cars and dumping perfectly good cars. If you listen to the Green Party they have said, Eamonn Ryan as well, that keeping your own car and running it into the ground is the best option for the environment.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 992 ✭✭✭InAtFullBack


    20c per unit, that's a wholesale price.

    Add on VAT, profit margins and that is at least 40c to the household consumer, even more for the business consumer.

    You then go on to say that even double that would be still a reasonable cost per unit.

    There you have it folks, 80c a unit to the householder is considered 'reasonable' to the greens.

    If you think the current cost-of-living crisis is tough going, the greens are saying 'hold my beer'.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,726 ✭✭✭antoinolachtnai


    vat is 13.5 percent. What are the other wholesale costs that would bring the retail cost to 40 cents?

    wholesale electricity costs frequently go above 30c/kWh as things stand.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 23,471 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    You want a very big number so you can point at the big number and say 'Look how big that number is'

    What is the point in me guesstimating (ie plucking a number out of thin air) when you've already completely disregarded the figure I gave for the cost per KWh of electricity produced using Ammonia

    You can buy ammonia right now available in the international markets, and burn it in an existing thermal power station and it would cost about 20c per kwh for that electricity

    That's using existing plant, that includes all of the fixed costs, capex, opex, transport, storage etc etc etc

    If we use very cheap electricity that has an extremely low marginal cost, to produce that ammonia because the energy used would otherwise have been curtailed, then the round trip efficiency of power lost in converting from wind, to H2, to NH3, storing it until its needed and converting it back to electricity is less of a barrier to production.

    Even if we lost 80% of the initial energy, we would have lost 100% if the generators were switched off

    You might think a round trip efficiency of 20% is terrible, but it's not that much worse than LNG, which has a round trip efficiency of about 35%, and produces an awful lot of CO2 and CO2 equivalent pollution along the way, especially if the LNG involves fracking

    Chomsky(2017) on the Republican party

    "Has there ever been an organisation in human history that is dedicated, with such commitment, to the destruction of organised human life on Earth?"



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 13,742 ✭✭✭✭machiavellianme


    Marginal costing is dead in the RESS/ORESS world. It's disengenuous to suggest that the costs of production will somehow be very low when it will not be given the guaranteed prices.

    As for wanting a big number, it's amazing how quick you and your fellow green supporters are to rubbish the really big numbers associated with conventional thermal or nuclear generation, but can't offer up the same for your proposed solution? Compare apples with apples at least.

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 23,471 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    Ammonia is intended to be used as a backup for when wind and solar and interconnectors are not available. Battery storage would be used for daily storage needs and balancing loads, Hydrogen/ammonia is only needed a few times a year when demand exceeds supply over a longer period, and even then, it's only covering the gap between renewable output and demand.

    Chomsky(2017) on the Republican party

    "Has there ever been an organisation in human history that is dedicated, with such commitment, to the destruction of organised human life on Earth?"



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 23,471 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    OK, but the sky is blue, (and if you decided to not believe them, if you went outside to check for yourself, you'd be back in here to say it's actually grey and the Guardian is wrong. )

    Anyway, This story is reporting on a report from the CSIRO. Are CSIRO also a 'far left rag'?

    Chomsky(2017) on the Republican party

    "Has there ever been an organisation in human history that is dedicated, with such commitment, to the destruction of organised human life on Earth?"



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 23,471 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    The MARGINAL cost of production (I put it in bold last time, maybe putting it in caps this time will help) is extremely low because renewables have zero fuel costs, and almost all of the costs are fixed.

    Chomsky(2017) on the Republican party

    "Has there ever been an organisation in human history that is dedicated, with such commitment, to the destruction of organised human life on Earth?"



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 23,471 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    And the big numbers I 'rubbish' when talking about Nuclear, is the number of decades it would take to actually build one in Ireland

    The costs aren't the biggest barrier to nuclear in Ireland, other than the fact that all that investment produces not a single watt of electricty for decades until the plant gets switched on, and in the meantime, we're stuck with the status quo because it makes no sense to do both nuclear and large scale renewables as one of them will be a white elephant


    I wonder who stands to benefit the most from countries not building renewables and instead starting multi decade projects to build nuclear power plants? Hmm, whoever could that be??

    I'll give you a hint, it rhymes with the Boil industry.

    Chomsky(2017) on the Republican party

    "Has there ever been an organisation in human history that is dedicated, with such commitment, to the destruction of organised human life on Earth?"



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 13,742 ✭✭✭✭machiavellianme


    So you're not going to pay the price per the RESS / ORESS auctions?

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 23,471 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    The intended outcome was that CO2 emissions from transport fell significantly following from the change.

    If the changes weren't made in 2007/2008 would our transp emissions currently be about double what they are now?

    image.png

    What were the actual downsides of the policy? A slight reduction in particulates air quality in urban centres (this was due to diesel manufacturers cheating on their emissions tests) and it had negative consequences on residuals for cars bought before 2008 who had to pay higher vrt and motor tax.

    Chomsky(2017) on the Republican party

    "Has there ever been an organisation in human history that is dedicated, with such commitment, to the destruction of organised human life on Earth?"



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,726 ✭✭✭antoinolachtnai


    The hydrolyser plant is going to be paying the market price not the strike price.

    Not all wind is or will be in RESS.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 23,471 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    The price paid to the producer under their ORESS agreements is different to the price paid on the wholesale market by whoever would be generating the hydrogen to make the ammonia

    Chomsky(2017) on the Republican party

    "Has there ever been an organisation in human history that is dedicated, with such commitment, to the destruction of organised human life on Earth?"



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 13,742 ✭✭✭✭machiavellianme


    Fantastic, thanks for clarifying this. Now if you could just point to the relevant market design documents to support that, it'd be marvellous. It just seems a little odd to me that we'd be paying the RESS and ORESS anyway, including for curtailment in most cases as we build "at scale" but we'd still require other legacy renewables to get low cost hydrogen (rather than the curtailment we're already paying for).

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,744 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    Yet again this refusal to answer anything. I asked you if you are the same poster who a number of years ago posted something or other on IAEA and unit size but then could not or would not answer questions posed. Do supporters of green ideology give some kind of pledge never to answer anything ?

    What this thread has shown, especially lately, is that for supporters of this offshore plan basic mathematics and economics are ignored in favor of the "expertise" of Irish Green Party ideology, when there are examples of how flawed this "expertise" has been strewn all over the place from culling cattle, to energy security on gas storage and LNG etc. My particular favorite was the "expertise" that was going to somehow create boundaries around communities of 500+ and 500- where it would be legal to sell and gift turf in one, when it would be illegal to do so in the other.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,726 ✭✭✭antoinolachtnai


    it’s all there in the trading and settlement code, the SEMOpx rules and the terms of the RESS contracts. You do have to understand the workings of the market to understand this documentation

    Maybe this report helps illustrate the overall picture, though it really only goes up to 2030 and doesn’t account for the longer term impact of hydrogen and ammonia

    https://www.eaireland.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/06/Our-Zero-e-Mission-Future-Report.pdf#page47

    I don’t think I said anything about what would be ‘required’.

    The whole point of hydrolysers is to minimize curtailment and minimize the amount of new generation required to meet the peaks in demand.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,744 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    Do you really not understand this offshore hydrogen hybrid plan and the rational behind it, or are you just playing dumb because on cost alone you know it is insane ?

    These offshore providers are being guaranteed we will pay them for all the produce even if we do not need or use it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 13,742 ✭✭✭✭machiavellianme


    Actually, it's not "all there in the Trading and Settlement code". It was queried at a recent MOUG as to when we would get a detailed design of how this would all work and Eirgrid/SEMO didn't have any definitive information.

    There's a new initiative kicked off as part of "Shaping our electricity future" which aims to figure it all out, all based on the "Reform of the electricity market design" agreed by the European Parliament and Council just 7 days ago.

    And

    https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/press/press-releases/2023/12/14/reform-of-electricity-market-design-council-and-parliament-reach-deal/

    So it's great that yourself and Akrasia have it all figured out and that ye've already made the necessary modifications to the codes. I'm sure the Market mods committee will be thrilled.

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,726 ✭✭✭antoinolachtnai


    Surely it makes sense to use the electricity that is generated?

    are you assuming that Eirgrid is procuring tens of gigawatts of generation all at once? They aren’t. They won’t procure more than they think the electricity system and the economy will absorb in the medium term.

    This is exactly the same as the procurement of a motorway or bridge or IT system or any other capital item.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,744 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    What are we going to use it for if we do not need it ?

    It doesn`t matter to these offshore providers what GW of generation Eirgrid needs at any given time. They are guaranteed payment for what they generate whether it`s needed or not.

    If you somehow beleve it is good policy for a company guaranteeing those tendering to construct a bridge that it will pay them for another bridge that they may not be needed, then I have a very good second hand bridge I can let you have at a great price.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,726 ✭✭✭antoinolachtnai


    So if you know all this then why are you asking me? Be great if you could post a link to the minutes of that meeting when you have them.

    If you are complaining that the overall design which is spread across the codes and scheme agreements is hard to understand, I agree that that is fair comment.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 23,471 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    Have a little bit of patience.

    These are multi decadal projects. There will be many tweaks and revisions to the pricing and regulatory frameworks as it's a dynamic economic and political operational environment. The contracts agreed today will be different to the contracts agreed next year or in 10 years time.

    What we require at this point are firm political commitments to agree a framework and binding targets, and once those are in place, the horsetrading can proceed.

    What's your alternative? The never ending business as usual/wait and see approach? where we do nothing except continue burning fossil fuels in the hope that ??? will happen and we'll fall into a cheap stable sustainable long term energy solution?

    Cause nobody is banging down our door to build nuclear in Ireland any time soon, and other than that, you have nothing.

    Chomsky(2017) on the Republican party

    "Has there ever been an organisation in human history that is dedicated, with such commitment, to the destruction of organised human life on Earth?"



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 13,742 ✭✭✭✭machiavellianme


    I was only asking you because I am trying to understand how you can be so sure of said design that you can respond here with confidence, despite the fact that the detailed design doesn't yet exist?

    As for minutes of the MOUG, they aren't taken AFAIK. It's an open forum for all participants to join. The slides are published on the SEMO website though so feel free to review and post any questions to SEMO. They're very helpful.

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 13,742 ✭✭✭✭machiavellianme


    The Minister for naps thinks he's going to be around for years to come as he is planning rolling out electric transport hubs for the next few years:

    https://www.irishtimes.com/ireland/2023/12/22/solar-power-has-gone-gangbusters-in-ireland-says-minister-for-energy/

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,063 ✭✭✭roosterman71


    No harm to be planning ahead, even if he's not there to oversee it. The mobility hub thing does sound like a good idea. I'll give him that. Though he then goes bananas on numbers when he says

    Mr Ryan said that sales of EVs were up 45 per cent year-on-year and it was now likely there would be 110,000 EVs on the road by the end of the year. “Our target for the end of 2024 is 195,000. So the way things are going we are going to exceed that.”

    I don't know when EVs came to be first on the roads and 110,000 seems like a good number. But expecting to add another 85,000 in 13 months is deluded when sales in 2023 so far are 22,590. He thinks there be a 4 fold increase in sales next year. Not likely.



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