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Irish Property Market chat II - *read mod note post #1 before posting*

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Comments

  • Posts: 14,768 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    If you receive the benefit of the service at the time you pay for it, it seems odd to characterise it as dead money. There aren’t many services that we pay for that give a future benefit.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,699 ✭✭✭Padre_Pio


    Renting is dead money if you are in a position to buy, and it makes financial sense.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,132 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    Agreed, but let's not throw the baby out with the bathwater. There are times when renting makes sense, and if we had a functional rental market, this would be fine. Long term, it's not something that someone should opt to do if they have a choice, but it's not a total loss in and of itself.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,457 ✭✭✭SharkMX


    If you are renting because you are waiting for prices to come down before eventually buying its dead money.

    If you were renting because you thought it was cheaper than buying, its dead money.

    If you are renting because you have no intention of staying in the area in the future its not dead money. But if you are planning on buying somewhere else where prices are also going to go up in the future - dead money :)

    If you are renting in Ireland dont expect the rental market to ever be functional again in your lifetime. We are way past the point of no return. I could be wrong, but i dont feel like testing it out while renting.

    Nightmare scenario would be to be renting when we retire.



  • Posts: 14,768 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    If you are paying rent and receiving the benefit of accomadation, how is that dead money? If you didn’t pay rent, you would have no where to live.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,619 ✭✭✭Timing belt


    Your post reminds me of the fact that investors loose more money from missed opportunities investing because they are expecting a crash than they actually would have if they had invested and the market crashed….. I guess it comes down to people thinking they’re clever than everyone else.. Same people daydream about how much money they would have made if they invested in Apple 20/30 years ago.

    if you are lucky enough to be in a position to buy and continue to rent then I would agree it’s dead money. However there are lots of reasons people rent that aren’t just about money.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,619 ✭✭✭Timing belt


    I think you’re missing the point his talking about people that are in a position to buy but choose to rent…. So to answer your question they would buy somewhere to live and therefore wouldn’t have to pay rent. In this scenario I would agree with OP that it’s dead money but you need to remember that money isn’t the only consideration when choosing to rent



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16 blowintothewest


    Honestly theres so many edge cases the idea of a linear list of dead money vs non dead money is a bit restrictive. It seems like you are trying to turn what is quite a complex and grey topic into a black and white one which I don't believe it can ever be.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,518 ✭✭✭Blut2


    That exact nightmare scenario is very likely to come to pass for large numbers of people, given trends in the Irish housing market:

    "The share of 25-34 year olds who own their own home more than halved between 2004 and 2019, falling from 60 per cent to just 27 per cent.

    Future cohorts of retirees are likely to have substantially lower rates of homeownership than current retirees. The research – funded by the Pensions Council – estimates that only 65 per cent of those currently aged 35-44 are likely to become homeowners by retirement given current trends, compared to 90 per cent of those currently aged 65+"

    One third (or more, if trends continue worsening, which by every indication appears likely) of pensioners not owning their own homes is going to be completely unsustainable. Imagine trying to pay private sector rent on a pension.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,487 ✭✭✭herbalplants


    Yes I envisage the same, a lot of people approaching retirement not owning their homes. I hope government will think how will they will deal with these people in future.

    Remember the shills only get paid when you react to them.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,457 ✭✭✭SharkMX


    tbh I cant think of too many situations where renting long term is better than buying in Ireland.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16 blowintothewest


    There's many who don't chose the situation they are in. The only houses near me are defective block, scummy neighbourhoods or not able to buy due to cute hoorism surrounding planning.

    There's an element of finger pointing in many posts that implies many people chose to rent right now, again trying to black and white an often complex issue and ignore the real issues underlying this situation.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,699 ✭✭✭Padre_Pio


    I agree with the sentiment of your post, its especially true of the last 4 years

    Personally, if I found myself in a position where I had no option but to rent long-term, then I would move. Your house is more than your home. It's a (hopefully) inflation-proof asset that can provide security and a better standard of living for you and your family throughout your life. House ownership is expensive, but I view my principal mortgage payment like a long-term savings account.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16 blowintothewest


    Exactly the same positon here I can afford to and would love to settle down but I can just not because what is being offered is not suitable for me to live in (if suitable to live in at all). Throughout the last year of bidding, going sale agreed and getting the rug pulled away on two (and soon to be three) occasions the worst part is not that there are no houses its the attitudes of people that I know and online. In many cases people seem to talk at you and not to you.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 2,991 ✭✭✭PommieBast


    Ultimately what made me give up on my last sale agreed was not so much problems with the property but the attitude of the vendor. To me it seems people in this market were making that extra effort to make the process even more horrible than it needs to be.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16 blowintothewest


    Current place I'm sale agreed on waited nearly 3 months for the contracts and turns some of the planning stipulations havnt been followed (the expensive ones). Called the estate agent to get an idea of what the story is with it and was told I could do them at my own expense. He was politely reminded that if the bank won't lend on it then it's unlikely anyone else will be able to buy either.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,699 ✭✭✭Padre_Pio


    IMO no one gives a sh*t.

    Not the EA, not the seller, not the valuer, not anyone. If you don't take it someone else will, and good service or bad service, they all get paid.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16 blowintothewest


    Honestly that is probably the reality of the situation. However for some reason it's acceptable in accomodation but when that same don't care I got paid attitude is exhibited in other places people go wild. The same attitude of don't care I still get paid for example in the HSE or things like public transport drives people on here to complain.

    That might be the way of it but the same people spending 12 hours in ED shouldn't then be entitled to complain when the shoe is on the other foot.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,037 ✭✭✭Villa05


    No let up in ex/politicians milking the property market for self gain. No appetite or willingness for political leaders to put in deterrents.

    Carry on as before, just don't get caught; attitude prevails




  • Posts: 14,768 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Again, just to provide for the usual lack of context, the director mentioned was last a councillor on 2009.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,037 ✭✭✭Villa05


    Thanks for that, unfortunately it does not deal with the obvious need for deterrents which are not forthcoming despite decades of this type of behaviour

    This familiar response is getting tiresome

    Last week, a solicitor acting on their behalf told RTÉ Investigates that "they have not been involved in any wrongdoing



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,658 ✭✭✭Royale with Cheese


    I backed out of a sale in the summer when a lot of little things were adding up to it being a bad deal and a bit deceitful on the seller/EA's part too. I was in the lucky position of having a cheap no lease place to rent while I looked so didn't have to just bend over and take it. I reckon that's what sellers/EA's think most people will do when problems arise before contracts are signed.

    Months later it was still on the market and last week the ad was just deleted from Daft, MyHome and the EA's website so looks like this time their shíte wasn't rewarded for once.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,671 ✭✭✭✭Frank Bullitt


    All they have to ask her is "how?", that is when the fun begins.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 8,829 ✭✭✭ongarite


    To get Dublin house prices to that level would mean either total economic collapse, 20% unemployment or force 50% cut to labour costs & 25% to material costs.

    Post edited by Boards.ie: Mike on


  • Posts: 14,768 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Post edited by Boards.ie: Mike on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,457 ✭✭✭SharkMX


    Even the great financial crash of 2007 wouldnt do that :)

    SF - you have to laugh every time they open their mouths. And the time O'Broin (he wrote books you know) was on talking about how much landlords can deduct and got it all completely wrong. And never a word said again.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,518 ✭✭✭Blut2


    "LONDON, Oct 6 (Reuters) - British house prices fell at the fastest pace since 2009 over the 12 months to September, data from mortgage lender Halifax showed on Friday, echoing other measures of the housing market which have cooled after a jump in interest rates.

    Halifax said house prices were 4.7% lower last month than in September 2022, compared with a 4.5% annual fall in August. It was the biggest drop since August 2009 when the housing market was still in shock after the global financial crisis."

    Interesting news from our most closely related housing market out today. If our population hadn't grown by so much in the last 2 years I wonder if our housing market might have been declining along the lines now happening in the UK or Germany.

    https://www.reuters.com/world/uk/uk-house-prices-fall-by-most-since-2009-12-months-sept-halifax-2023-10-06/



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,956 ✭✭✭Nermal


    Not at all. Relax planning and zoning restrictions and roll back building regulations. Remove the CGT exemption on principal private residences. Remove the other elements of tax & SW systems (means tests, Fair Deal, dwelling house CAT exemption etc.) that favour maximising property over other investments. Change the LPT to a land value tax, while at the same time reducing other taxes.

    Of course I know SF don't plan to do any of this and it was just a soundbite, I'm just pointing out that it's not impossible.

    Ultimately, if any other product fell dramatically in price, you'd be happy. Your living standards would have increased. Why should housing be any different?

    Post edited by Nermal on


  • Posts: 14,768 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Not the same thing at all.

    Mary Lou just got a big anchor, and attached it to her neck. Now she has put a figure on what houses should cost in Dublin, let’s see how close SF get to that price point if elected to govern.

    Edit: Now you see what the effect of her €300k claim is, can she back it up? The other party leaders must have a huge smile on their faces.

    https://www.finegael.ie/how-exactly-will-sinn-fein-deliver-e300k-homes-in-dublin-cummins/

    Post edited by Boards.ie: Mike on


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 75,249 ✭✭✭✭L1011


    Removing all the state-derived costs (development levies, water connection costs, VAT etc) and subsidising other stuff (road works developers are asked to do, electricity connection costs) would probably still come nowhere close to that.

    [and this would basically just be subsidising rather than cutting the real cost anyway]

    So are they proposing to cut building standards then? We do have quite high requirements for new houses in energy efficiency, but cutting those wouldn't go down well with the pseudo-green European group they're in.



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