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N5 - Ballaghaderreen to Scramoge [construction to commence shortly]

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  • Registered Users Posts: 667 ✭✭✭Westernview


    Sounds very expensive but construction costs going up all the time so maybe it's accurate.

    Great to see it get to construction stage though. It will make a big difference in getting to and from Dublin when at last those small town/village obstacles in Roscommon will be removed. Good to see active travel facilities part of the plan as well.

    Another link here with quotes from local politicians

    https://www.con-telegraph.ie/2023/09/26/missing-link-to-mayo-dublin-road-connection-to-be-built-at-cost-of-e450m/



  • Registered Users Posts: 770 ✭✭✭DumbBrunette


    450 million does seem insane considering that there aren't that many bridges or other grade separation on this scheme. My worry would be that the poor value for money could discourage the government from pushing other road projects to the construction phase.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,091 ✭✭✭spakman


    So obviously it hadn't already been approved to go to construction before now. I thought it was all ready to go.

    So how long is it likely to be before there's actual activity on site?



  • Registered Users Posts: 6,767 ✭✭✭Pete_Cavan


    Standard practice now is to include all design and land acquisition costs when quoting a project's cost so I presume that is the case here now. The press release says "The estimated total scheme cost of the N5 Ballaghaderreen to Scramoge Road Project is more than €450 million ...". The c.€200m previously was purely the construction contract.

    There are also public realm works and some cycle facilities included now. I assume these works are to be done separately after the new road has been built (don't think it would be possible to do these until the majority of traffic has shifted to the new road), hence the four year time period.



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,858 ✭✭✭Chris_5339762


    Seems fair. Still quite expensive though, especially since this is Type 3 single carriageway, not any dual carriageway (and T3SC is all thats needed).


    I've only driven this stretch once and got caught behind a lorry for all of it.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 9,396 ✭✭✭irishgeo


    The fun start when the lorry gets stuck behind a tractor.



  • Registered Users Posts: 770 ✭✭✭DumbBrunette




  • Registered Users Posts: 667 ✭✭✭Westernview


    Yeah Eamon Ryan said as much - that it's very difficult to sanction any major project now such are the costs. The focus going forward will be on addressing dangerous stretches and removing bottlenecks with town bypasses. At least they will continue.



  • Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 14,361 Mod ✭✭✭✭marno21


    Quite convenient isn't it.

    As I posted on the Galway thread, this scheme was priced at 134.63m euro in the 2021 tender return with a total project cost of 200m (I'm baffled at how a single carriageway project with limited structures through absolute shite land in Roscommon could incur 66m in land and soft costs - these should not have increased substantially since 2021 as they are mostly sunk by now).

    I'm equally baffled at how a project can now be priced at over twice that, given that there is comparatively few structures on this scheme.



  • Registered Users Posts: 667 ✭✭✭Westernview


    The lack of structures is the thing alright. I heard that only 1 contractor was left to re-price it once Roadbridge went under. If that's true then it's not helping competitive pricing either.

    Then again prices everywhere seem to be gone that way. Dublin Metro final cost predicted to be 10-23bn, Childrens hospital over 2bn but no one knows what the final figure will be.

    Mind boggling numbers.

    Post edited by Westernview on


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  • Registered Users Posts: 6,767 ✭✭✭Pete_Cavan


    I think Ryan was being a bit disingenuous with that comment. I costs have increased to that extent it will obviously affect rail projects too (probably even more so due to the more specialised nature of the work) but I doubt he'll be saying decisions to proceed with such projects are becoming increasingly difficult. If costs increase across the board, then the decisions are basically the same as before, particularly given the big increases in revenue available to the state.



  • Registered Users Posts: 667 ✭✭✭Westernview


    You are right in that we have to continue building what we need to build but I'd like to hope he is thinking in an overall sense that it's costing so much to do anything when it could be done cheaper when compared to other countries. Our cost per km of metro for example is expected to be almost 10 times per km what they spend in Italy. I'm sure similar ratios apply to our rail and road projects.

    It's true that the government have never had such a surplus but it seems irresponsible to continue to lose control of budgets the way have been. We don't know when inflation and interest rates will fall again so a better approach would be to improve efficiencies in planning, procurement and construction while continuing to build. Wouldn't hold my breath on that happening though.



  • Registered Users Posts: 6,767 ✭✭✭Pete_Cavan


    Well I think first clarity is needed as to what is and isn't included in quoted costs before comparisons can be made. The Dept staff obviously know all the relevant figures but the figures that get released to the public can be selected for particular reasons. For us, we'll probably have to wait for the Tender Award Notice before we can draw comparisons to the tender which Roadbridge won. I suspect the €400m includes all design, land acquisition, retendering and additional public realm costs, plus a hefty chunk of contingency so that they can say that the project came in under budget.

    And given that we don't have a standard way of publicly reporting project costs, making drawing comparisons between projects difficult, I don't think it is possible to accurately compare projects internationally. I mean, when was the last time Italy build a brand new driverless metro requiring all new rolling stock, depot, etc.?



  • Registered Users Posts: 480 ✭✭loco_scolo


    Actually..... Italy is currently building a brand new driverless metro through the middle of Milan with bored tunnels and cut and cover stations. It connects the airport in the east (Linate, previously unconnected to rail) with the city centre and out to a rail station in the south west.

    8 stations opened since last year (7km) with 21 stations to be operational by next year on the 15km track. It is expected to cost €1.7B.



  • Registered Users Posts: 6,767 ✭✭✭Pete_Cavan


    I assume you are getting the €1.7bn figure from Wikipedia. The citation for that is an article from 2011 announcing award of the construction contract, so was obviously tendered earlier than that. Obviously there will be a huge difference in cost between a project tendered pre-2011 and one to be tendered in the next couple of years. Pre-2011 were recessionary times and today we are in a high inflation period with labour shortages. The article also states a completion date of 2015, the first part of a phased opening happened in 2022 so there is no way that initial figure remained constant.

    The above cost based on a 2011 article can't include rolling stock as Hitachi say they signed a contract with ATM, so directly with the contracting authority, in 2015;

    So this just highlights my point, comparing costs is not as simple as is often made out.



  • Registered Users Posts: 667 ✭✭✭Westernview


    I don't have any data on how accurate the N5 costings are but there seems to be little doubt that generally projects are costing much much that they should. I believe this is what Eamon Ryan was getting at. It's not just an Irish issue but Ireland is part of a group of countries delivering very expensive large projects. Of course comparisions can be carried out internationally and this has been done in detail.

    David McWilliams interviewed a guy called Sean Keys back at the start of September. Keys has been studying Ireland's housing and infrastructural spending and bases his comparisions on international research (called The Transit Costs Project). This research has be carried out by Transport experts based in New York and they spent 5 years carrying out comprehensive research on almost 900 metro projects around the world. They found that English speaking countries in particular were far less efficient at building projects and in Europe Latin countries tended to be best at it. Spain and Italy in particular were high in efficency.

    One interesting finding was that there was no correlation between material and labour costs and project efficiency so the way projects were run was the main factor in differences. Countries like Ireland haven't the expertise at Government level so we rely on consultants who haven't the same motivation to manage costs. Latin countries have 'in-house' infrastructure agencies, comprising experienced rail experts and set up by the government but independent of the the civil service and accountable in terms of cost and delivery. Keys said it takes years to get these agencies set up but that we should make a start on it.

    Madrid - 1km of tunnelled metro - 100m per km

    Metro link north - estimated to be 500m per km but this is before any work has been done and could be far higher by the time it's completed.

    I think the podcast is a very interesting listen. The discussion with Keys starts 21mins in.

    https://open.spotify.com/show/6dzfsIlMVEdKVSfSd1mclr



  • Registered Users Posts: 667 ✭✭✭Westernview


    We are probably gone a bit off topic on all this even though it relates to the N5.



  • Registered Users Posts: 6,767 ✭✭✭Pete_Cavan


    My point was not about the difference in costs between different countries, my point was that the €450m in the recent press release is largely meaningless as we dont know what is or isn't included in it. It's almost certainly not the case that this figure is directly comparable to the tender amount with which Roadbridge won they previous tender.



  • Registered Users Posts: 667 ✭✭✭Westernview


    One of your points was that you said that you didn't think it was possible to compare projects internationally. I've shown that it is.

    I never said that the 450m figure should be compared with the original Roadbridge figure. I just said that the 450k figure in general seems high but I accepted that its possible with inflation, supply costs etc.

    A quote from what I said 2 days ago "Sounds very expensive but construction costs going up all the time so maybe it's accurate."

    The international comparision illustrates that in general we aren't getting things built efficiently so its rational to query if a figure for a particular project like N5 figure is excessive. Projects across Europe that have less competition in tendering for example are known to come in with a final figure of on average 8 percent higher. From what ive heard only one contractor tendered for the N5 but as I said im open to correction. Thats just in tendering side.



  • Registered Users Posts: 6,767 ✭✭✭Pete_Cavan


    I didn't say we can't compare projects internationally, I was talking specifically about these headline figures which are included in press releases. We don't have a standard methodology as to what is included or not. We can't even compare that €450m figure to another recent Irish project. The figure is "estimated total scheme cost" but we don't know the extent to the scheme (public realm and active travel routes seem to have been added) and we don't know allowances for contingency, future inflation, etc. Its meaningless without any context and I suspect has been purposely inflated as much as possible.

    Actual construction costs can be compared but thats not what we have here or for Metrolink. And before any comparison is made, the figures have to be on a like for like basis, costs derived from more than 10 years apart are naturally going to be very different.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 667 ✭✭✭Westernview



    I agree that we can't properly assess the €450m figure when we haven't the specific scope of work it comprises.

    You make that point that you suspect that the figure been purposely inflated. But if on one hand you contend that we haven't enough information to assess the figure then I don't see how you can suspect anything. It could be accurate, it could be higher, it could be lower.

    The point I'm making is that we are squandering money on large infrastructural projects and that can feed into roads as well.

    While the Metro hasn't been built that doesnt mean an assessment cannot be made to compare it for value against other Metros internationally. We do know that €300m has already been spent Metro North, Metro West and DART interconnector and nothing has been built so the project has already got off to a wasteful start. The government has now promised a completed date of 2034, 23 years after planning was granted, another indicator that things are not being done properly.

    You mentioned about needing like for like figures. The 100m per km figures for Milan in the international report are for sub metro, underground tunnelling construction so they have picked complex complicated expensive projects for comparison. Even if they tunnelled the entire Metro North is would be far more expensive by comparison.

    The Dáil’s public spending watchdog has said the project should not exceed €9.5bn so already it is almost giving permission that it can be €475m per km. In terms of inflation Sam Keys has said that factoring it in over the lifespan you can pick any number between 500m-1bn.



  • Registered Users Posts: 6,767 ✭✭✭Pete_Cavan


    We know the €450m is the estimated total scheme cost but it is very difficult to see how it could cost that much. We do have a valid comparison, the same project was tendered a couple of years ago! Inflation doesn't get close to explaining the increase so there are obviously other factors. The public realm works in Strokestown and a cycle lane aren't costing €100m.

    I have already shown you that the cost for Metrolink is not a like for like comparison to Milan Line 4 given the different time periods and different scopes for the costs you are using. The cost for Metrolink includes the PPP covers operating and maintenance for 25/30 years. Academic research like make necessary adjustments to allow for suitable comparison, you aren't doing that so can't make a valid comparison.



  • Registered Users Posts: 770 ✭✭✭DumbBrunette


    It's worth noting the scope of the active travel schemes being progressed in parallel with the main construction project, because they will hopefully be transformational for the 4 towns being bypassed.

    Tenders have already been issued for surveys and engineering consultants for developing the active travel schemes in Frenchpark, Bellanagare, Tulsk and Strokestown as well as between Rathcrogan and Tulsk (below).

    In Frenchpark, the council has announced the junction between the R361 and N5, which is an accident black spot, will have traffic and pedestrian lights installed. Once the new bypass opens, the R361 will get priority at the junction.


    They should really do the same in Tulsk, where the N61/N5 junction is also a blackspot for crashes, but I haven't heard of any plans to do so. Hopefully the active travel works will include some traffic calming measures which could have the same effect.

    Finally, in Strokestown the active travel scheme will run from the roundabout in the town centre up to Kildalloge, where it will link up with AT measures being provided as part of the new N5 works.



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,543 ✭✭✭veryangryman


    Tulsk crossroads should have been converted to a roundabout decades ago. The whole N61 really needs work. I can audibly hear the Glenroe or Deliverance theme every time I drive it towards Boyle



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,915 ✭✭✭paulbok


    There is a separate proposal for the streets in Strokestown under consultation at the moment. The plan is to dramatically reduce the parking around the town (on the wide streets) to the dismay of local business, and tallying with that outline on the above map, limit parking to one side of Bridge St and Elphin St and put in a cycle path out towards the main roundabout to the town off the new road. It's not very popular to put it mildly.



  • Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators, Motoring & Transport Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 67,948 Mod ✭✭✭✭L1011


    I've not been in Strokestown in a decade at this stage, but was there rather a lot back then, and at that point:

    a: there were bugger all businesses in the town centre

    b: most of the parking that was used was used by all day parkers, not people using the remaining businesses.

    Looking at Streetview, if anything there's even less businesses in the town centre at the last pass (2022) than when I used to spend a fair bit of time there.



  • Registered Users Posts: 6,767 ✭✭✭Pete_Cavan


    The vast, desolate main street makes Strokestown feel like a ghost town. There is huge potential there if that space was used right.



  • Registered Users Posts: 56 ✭✭Norteño


    If they don't do the same at Tulsk, it'll end up like the N52 where it meets the Kingscourt Road, which was previously the main road before the advent of National Roads.



  • Registered Users Posts: 667 ✭✭✭Westernview


    Interesting information. Good to see active travel being catered for in tandem with road projects and not an afterthought like in the past.

    Strokestown looks like a town that should be doing better. Strokestown House is a significant attraction.

    The closure of Bank of Ireland a few years ago must have been a serious blow. Feels like the town is part of an area suffering from a general malaise - Frenchpark, Bellanagare, Tulsk don't seem to have much signs of activity either.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 4,915 ✭✭✭paulbok


    Heard over the weekend Wills have the contract.

    Also seen a few council cars/jeeps in the fenced off route, maybe an inspection before handing over possession to Wills?



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