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Russia - threadbanned users in OP

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,303 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    Putin is known to have a vast entourage of personal staff (in February last year it's alleged he had 1,000 staff replaced).Apparently he is extremely paranoid of being assassinated, so I would suspect he has personal cooks and multiple tasters.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,235 ✭✭✭EltonJohn69




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,568 ✭✭✭✭TheValeyard


    Airport was cirtical to Russian success however. If they secured the airport they would have landed thousands of highly trained troops into Kyiv.

    Luckily brave Ukranian defence and ability to shoot down incoming helicopters and Russian transports, then they blew up the runway, preventing Russian re-enforcements probably helped save Kyiv.

    Think the Russians held it for around a month, but never able to use the airstrip, just as a forward base.

    Looks like I picked the wrong week to quit sniffing glue



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 4,181 ✭✭✭Field east


    One of the tasters could be a magician and ‘slip something in ‘ after having tasted ???????????



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 4,181 ✭✭✭Field east


    Very possible if Flavahans Jumbo flakes are used to make it - otherwise they would be spotted !



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,962 ✭✭✭rogber


    My point exactly. It's just prediction bingo at this stage



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,549 ✭✭✭Raoul Duke III



    He is clearly diminished in his authority and a weakened dictator. That was a serious and direct challenge to his monopoly of violence in Russia - by far the most serious of his time in power - and, instead of crushing it mercilessly he has effectively let the perpetrators off the hook. That sends a clear message and that message is 'I am weak'.

    I agree that no-one knows how it plays out but, for the first time, Putin looks vulnerable. It was very noticeable on Saturday how few Russian figures popped up in the media to support the regime. They all kept their heads down and waited to see how it played out.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,111 ✭✭✭Christy42


    If nothing else it seems like Russia have lost their best troops in the Wagner mercenaries. Who knows what went on behind the scenes but overall that is a win for Ukraine.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 60,351 Mod ✭✭✭✭Wibbs


    The Russian spin machine is pushing that as one of its narratives through bot farms as some damage control after they(and their bots) hadn't a script prepared as it was happening. A near sure sign it wasn't planned or imagined. There was no scheme IMHO.

    Think about it; why would they want to scheme up a coup that makes putin look bad to the world and most of all and most important to him, his subjects? A scheme that had people either passive or openly cheering the coup leader in the streets of Rostov? A scheme where Prig, once a very close "friend" in his innermost circle went from Russian patriot, to Russian traitor, to Russian exile in under 24 hours?

    When putin could just have sent his loyal general to Belarus after the "triumph" of Bakhmut.

    Many worry about Artificial Intelligence. I worry far more about Organic Idiocy.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,346 ✭✭✭✭ejmaztec



    It must have been well over a year ago that Lukashenko was reported as having asked Putin if Belarus could have its nukes back, the ones that were transferred to Russia under the same circumstances as the Ukrainian nukes years ago.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,549 ✭✭✭Raoul Duke III


    I agree with this - there was clearly no co-ordinated scheme here. It was a badly planned, and apparently quite reactive, act of defiance where the instigator didn't really have any clear objectives.

    It was cockeyed and chaotic on the part of both the mutineers and the dictatorship. Almost comedic.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 202 ✭✭scrubs33


    Normally I just throw a few blueberries in myself😂



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,208 ✭✭✭jmreire


    It opened up a very fast route to flood Kiev with soldiers and equipment, and to take complete control of the Capital. An enormous not only psychological, but also military blow to the Ukrainians. ( or any Country, to lose their Capitol ) And had Putins two pronged approach worked, ( Attack by air and road) it would have been a very big and possibly fatal blow, to Ukraine.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,395 ✭✭✭✭Francie Barrett


    Agreed. Whether it's one thug in charge, or another, nothing really changes for Ukraine.

    At no stage during this coup was there even a debate about ending the war. The argument was all about how to kill Ukrainians most efficiently.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 667 ✭✭✭Private Joker


    Russian aircraft on its way to Washington. I wonder who's on it?

    https://fr24.com/RSD898/30e449fe



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,208 ✭✭✭jmreire


    And Putin knows his environment 100% inside out too, its how he has survived. There are layer upon layer of intermediaries' between him and any source of "Contamination", be that food or Covid. The Cooks who prepare his food will also have to eat it before it gets to Putin. He has a special detail who look after all his toilet requirements, even to transferring the "by-products" back to the Kremlin for disposal, lest any foreign power take some samples, have them analyzed, and gain an insight into his state of health. A wee bit paranoid is our Vladimir.



  • Posts: 1,656 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    I stumbled across a graphic mine video I wish I hadn't seen

    I assume it's this one here. Commented out because it's very graphic, nfsw:

    https://www.reddit.com/r/UkraineRussiaReport/comments/14jl6n9/ua_pov_video_about_how_the_47th_specialized/
    

    It's absolutely brutal. Ukrainian forces have seemingly walked into a minefield, there's injured everywhere and now they're trying to recover the injured into a personel carrier. But they keep standing on more mines. 9:15 is the most horrible footage I have seen in a long time, and the steadiness and quality of the footage makes it all the more upsetting. I strongly caution against watching it.

    If this is representative of the counter-offensive, you can understand why they are making such little progress. Their casualties the last couple of weeks must be astronomical. I hate to say it but Russia have been given way too much time to create minefields and fortifications.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,208 ✭✭✭jmreire


    Or maybe it was as Progozhin is now claiming, that after countless appeals to Shoigu and Gerasimov, and reporting them to Putin and getting no response, he decided take matters a stage further and personally take out his two arch enemy's himself. Hence the military convoy. But Putin was not taking any chances, and promptly bailed out, leaving an awful lot of fence sitters waiting to see which side would take the upper hand. And so Prigozhin go to within 200 klms of Moscow, easily overcoming any opposition ( seemed like most actually supported him en-route) and there was reports that after he shot down several Russian aircraft, the Pilots refused to attack him again. Seems like they were hedging their bets too. Had he taken the Kremlin, would that have been enough to collapse Putin? Well, we wont ever know now. (unfortunately) But one way or another Putin feared that it would, hence his inaction or rather panic in the first crucial hours. Another Leader would have destroyed Prigozhin's convoy the minute it left Rostov for Moscow, or maybe even after it had crossed over the border back into Russia. Putin could not at that point depend on his own military, and that's how it made such progress. And then for reasons we are still unsure about, Prigozhin did his by now famous U turn.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,620 ✭✭✭combat14


    wagner now apparently handing their heavy weapons over to russian ministry of defence..

    only a matter of time before pergohzin is bumped off



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 6,306 ✭✭✭roosterman71


    FSB have closed the investigation into the mutiny

    So either it's all cool and deals were made, or Wagner and co have been found guilty and the hunt is on



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,890 ✭✭✭✭briany


    If Ukraine military command had apparently spent months organising a counter offensive, knowing that A) Russians have no problem whatsoever using anti-personnel mines (and these are easily deployed in great number) and B) Ukraine doesn't have Russia's numbers advantage, then they're hardly going to be ordering forces blindly through these regions. Obviously, defences like mines are going to slow down the counter-offensive, but that's not only because soldiers and vehicles will get blown up by them, but also because AFU forces have to try and carefully pick their way through these regions by demining and otherwise attempting to find routes that aren't so heavily mined. They're not going to be pulling a Wagner on it.

    Obviously, Russia are scared to death of what Ukraine could do if they did manage to breach Russian lines with the firepower they've been given in tow, so this is why we're seeing Russia put all of its stock in defence. It's the last conventional card that they have to play.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 38,046 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    And remember this is just the tip of the iceberg that the UN was about to document.

    People following the thread for some time will remember the denials on this thread of Russian executions and sexual abuse of civilians.

    Russia has summarily executed 77 civilians being held in arbitrary detention during its war in Ukraine, according to a United Nations report released this morning. Since Russia began its invasion in February last year, the UN Human Rights Monitoring Mission in Ukraine has documented 864 individual cases of arbitrary detention by Russia, many of which also amounted to enforced disappearances...

    "Russian armed forces, law enforcement and penitentiary authorities engaged in widespread torture and ill-treatment of civilian detainees," said Ms Bogner. Most of those we interviewed said they had been tortured and ill-treated, and in some cases subjected to sexual violence," which included rape. Torture was used to force victims to confess to helping Ukrainian armed forces, compel them to cooperate with the occupying authorities, or intimidate those with pro-Ukrainian views."

    https://www.rte.ie/news/ukraine/2023/0627/1391346-ukraine-russia/

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 940 ✭✭✭mike_cork




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,208 ✭✭✭jmreire


    Yes, they're are positive examples of Serbian activities' out there for sure, especially in the field of sports etc. But also many like the BBC one's you mention. Just bring the Serbs up in any casual conversation over a few beers or any other circumstances, and see the reaction's you will get.

    I shared a house with a demining team in Libya, ( amongst other places) and occasionally they brought their work home with them. A new or unusual type of trigger etc. They also took pictures of the destruction of their daily "haul", usually a massive explosion. I've been in minefields myself, ( not on purpose, I assure you!! ) but didn't know it until I getting out the far side , which was clearly marked "MINES" , but no such signage was on the entry side. ( mainly because it was on the "Other" side. I've recovered several vehicles ( and injured / dead) from mine incidents, and only for the Guardian Angel on my shoulder, I'd have been long gone by now myself. Like the incident where the mine was remotely triggered a fraction of a second too soon, and blew just as the vehicle approached it and not when it was directly over head. Or where the explosive had been placed in a dried up river bed, and lightly covered over. Fortunately, it had rained the night before and the main charge failed to go off, and the muted explosion only covered the underside of the vehicle is a fine white powder. But 20' away, there was another on, and this one worked 100%.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,938 ✭✭✭Cake Man


    How are minefields effectively cleared, what’s the strategy there that armies use (i.e. what equipment is used and how is it done?). Apologies if it’s a stupid question but is there some equipment like a metal detector that can pick them up perhaps?

    I’d imagine whatever is done it’s still a difficult and extremely dangerous job to do. Not only the obvious risk of setting one off but no doubt the enemy also treats the minefield as a kill zone knowing the opposition will get bogged down, panic and then they can be picked off from range.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,962 ✭✭✭rogber


    He hasn't let them off the hook. The organisation has effectively been disbanded, is handing over its heavy weapons and its leader exiled to Belarus. Who knows, he might be bumped off in two weeks.

    So yes, Putin was humiliated and looked weak is one valid interpretation. Another is that the only organisation with the military means to threaten his grip on power has been swiftly rendered toothless. I mean, there's no sign of a democratic, peace-proposing Wagner substitute ready to seize the moment.

    Like I say, no one has a clue. Putin might be vulnerable now, or he might still be there in 5 years.



  • Posts: 1,656 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Clearing minefields in active combat zones is extremely difficult, because they can be coming under attack from artillery, helicopter gunships etc. You can't walk around with a metal detector in these circumstances.

    There are mine-clearance vehicles, which can be a tank or other heavy vehicle with a roller attachment (or flail etc) on the front. They drive over minefields and try to set off mines with the roller.

    There are mine-clearing line charges - they shoot a rocket which drags an explosive cable behind it. So the cable lands on the ground in a straight line, then it blows and (hopefully) takes out mines along it's length.




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,549 ✭✭✭Raoul Duke III


    They're alive and not under arrest. In a dictatorship built on fear and coercion, where the State maintains a monopoly on violence that is the very definition of being 'off the hook'.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,208 ✭✭✭jmreire


    In a post war situation, with all the time in the world, and no restrictions whatsoever, and the best equipment available, there are mine fields existing that that will never be cleared completely. Twenty, 30, 40+ years after they were laid, they still remain as deadly as on the first day. Mines laid in Tobruk during the 2nd world war, are still killing people today. The best case scenario is that with newer technology, better methods are being designed to locate and neutralize them. Even so, 50+ years into the future, there will still be mines maiming and killing people.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,395 ✭✭✭✭Furze99


    And characteristic of the haphazard critical video messages he’d been coming out with. But Prigozhin didn’t get to where he was with his businesses inc Wagner without both pull and smarts. So surely there was element of thought and strategy in his words and actions? What seems to be the result is exactly what he said he was railing against and he appears a destroyed man. So maybe what appears to be the case is all smoke & mirrors.



This discussion has been closed.
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