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Russia - threadbanned users in OP

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Comments

  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 60,351 Mod ✭✭✭✭Wibbs


    Put it this way and outside a Russian context, imagine this:

    The US has her own private military contractor force, Blackwater. What happened over the last few days would be like the head of Blackwater in the middle of I dunno the war in Afghanistan goes on social media bitching about Biden and the US military leadership. Then he gets his men to go marching towards Washington with his private army, on the way shooting down a couple of US helicopters and a plane, takes a major US logistics base with tanks, while Washington can’t seem to stop him and barricades the city putting trucks up as roadblocks. Biden then goes on national TV calling for severe punishments for the traitorous mutineers of Blackwater.

    Then the Mexican PM calls the head of Blackwater and negotiates a peace and full pardon for him and Blackwater, while hinting at getting a few of the US generals sacked. And then quietly goes back to base. And Biden pardons them all.

    And all this happens in a day.

    If a Hollywood hack came up with that script he'd be laughed at. But that's what happened in Russia.

    Many worry about Artificial Intelligence. I worry far more about Organic Idiocy.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,891 ✭✭✭✭briany


    Assuming that were to be attempted (and we're really stretching the limits of possibility at that), Ukraine has had over a year to heavily fortify that whole flank virtually uncontested and plan. You don't even read anything about Russia firing long range weapons at those positions. Think of how little progress Russia made in its Winter offensive from the east, and then extrapolate that to a line where Ukrainian defences are extremely well established at this point and we can rightly conclude the much larger headache would be Prigozhin's.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 510 ✭✭✭AerLingus747


    anyways...

    Formal request for F-16 training was received by the US from the Dane's with regards to training Ukrainian F-16 pilots, during the week.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,177 ✭✭✭relax carry on


    With all the chaos yesterday, was Ukraine able to take advantage to make some more gains?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,909 ✭✭✭Brussels Sprout



    Honestly, who knows? They made some vague statement about gaining ground in the east but also that they had gained a village a week ago but were only announcing it now. I saw rumours that they had crossed the Dniepr in Kherson but haven't seen any evidence of that or heard anything more about it since.

    Realistically it all happened so quickly - from start to finish in 24 hours that it's unlikely to have had any short-term effects on the front-lines that the UAF could take advantage of. Hopefully it has sewn long-term problems though that will manifest themselves in time.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 15,460 ✭✭✭✭Igotadose


    And, hey, the sister of the head of Blackwater was a cabinet officer in the government prior to Biden's! Extra goodies for the plot!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,395 ✭✭✭✭Francie Barrett


    The missile strike by the Russian MoD on Wagner was clearly created by Wagner as a pretext to start the coup. As demonstrated by US intelligence, this insurgency was in the planning for weeks.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 60,351 Mod ✭✭✭✭Wibbs


    Oh it's always about the power and following the money concentrated in a few hands. But the US has control of private outfits like Blackwater. The very idea they'd run a potential coup/march for fairness towards Washington and then be all pardoned and never mind, with their leader in exile in Mexico with more cash mere hours later is beyond fantastical.

    Many worry about Artificial Intelligence. I worry far more about Organic Idiocy.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32 JohnJoe1000


    Huge headache. Yesterday turned into a very bad day all in all for Ukraine. There is absolutely no positives to take from the outcome.



  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,709 ✭✭✭✭antodeco


    In fairness if you took what happened the last 24 hours and replaced them with the Fast and Furious crew, it would 100% be part of the movie franchise.


    A group of mercenaries secretly working for the government plan an attack on government buildings to rescue their friend but then the government step in and give them pardons and release their friend on condition they go to Brazil with lots of money and nevermind a out all the damage caused along the way



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 39,288 ✭✭✭✭BorneTobyWilde


    One thing we learned is Putin is not the leader of Russia, and should be totally ignored now by the west. He should be called out and mocked ferociously for his weakness yesterday.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,111 ✭✭✭Christy42


    They did at least have it confirmed that Russia has next to no reserves left. Though Wagner causing more damage to Russian forces would have been ideal.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,395 ✭✭✭✭Francie Barrett


    Bakhmut direction:


    - 600-800 m on the northern flank


    - 600 m to the south-northeast of Ivanivskoye


    - 500 m in the area of the Siverskyi Donets-Donbas canal


    - 300 m between Ozaryanivka and Mayorsk


    - 500 m in Bakhmut (!)


    Vasylivskyi direction:


    - 300 m in the direction of Robotyny


    - 400 m south of Pyatikhatok


    All of the above - not in one day, if anything.


    There are successful counterattacks in the Avdiiv direction, the fighting continues. Previously, about 100 meters of freed land in the depth of the ranks of the occupiers.


    On the other hand, in the area of Masyutivka (Kupyan direction), the enemy advanced 250 meters, but ours counterattacked and drove the occupiers back to their starting positions.




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,556 ✭✭✭amacca




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 15,460 ✭✭✭✭Igotadose


    On a day when the casualties are from RuZZians killing RuZZians, is a good day for Ukraine. Following days, who knows, but life is day to day during war.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32 JohnJoe1000


    It's not unexpected that Russia has a soft underbelly when so much of their fighting force is committed to Ukraine. Wagner faced no resistance right up until they where within a couple of hrs driving distance from Moscow. As a nuclear power they don't fear invasion from any other country so didn't keep much back.

    A military coup is the only realistic threat and Prigozhin seemingly overplayed his hand. The Chechens and Belarussians sided with Putin and, whilst the rest of the Russian army hardly showed unwavering loyalty to Putin, no other significant forces came out in support of Wagner.

    Wagner could probably have stormed the Kremlin and holed up for a few weeks we'll never know. All the people that they needed to be choked off for the uprising to stick - Putin, Gerasimov and Shoigu - would have been bunkered off elsewhere plotting. Without wider support it would have been futile - although still greatly beneficial to Ukraine, as it turns out all Ukrainians will be disappointed with the outcome.

    I'm afraid that Putin has come out of this rather well. Even more so when you consider he will dictate the narrative over the coming days and how all consuming the propaganda is.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,242 ✭✭✭✭Danzy


    Thanks for giving us the latest Socialist perspective on the matter.


    Another day like that with such solidarity building and internationalism between Russia and Belarus and the reactionaries in Kiev would collapse.


    The Russian position is so strong that 25k soldiers can leave the front line for a weekend road trip, don't see any of the Kiev regime on holidays.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,556 ✭✭✭amacca


    It was an absolute shitshow for Russia I would have thought and that means it cant have been a "very bad day" for Ukraine as that poster stated...........the question marks were incredulous...I'm waiting with amusement for their justification for the statement.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32 JohnJoe1000


    I don't think so as Putin survived to fight another day. Then again Prigozhin was a very very dangerous man and that's someone you don't want sitting in the hot seat either.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,556 ✭✭✭amacca


    Contrast what happened yesterday with it not happening at all....which would be better for Russia.



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  • Site Banned Posts: 899 ✭✭✭I.am.Putins.raging.bile.duct




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,852 ✭✭✭zv2


    It looks like history is starting up again.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32 JohnJoe1000


    This time yesterday there was a chance of a civil war/popular uprising/civil unrest etc.. within Russia that could have resulted in the Russian army being pulled from Ukraine to deal with it. 24hrs later that is not going to happen and it's as you where. Which would be better for Ukraine?

    This isn't rocket science lads. Many analysts on TV are saying similar this morning. I never said yesterday was a win for Russia but it was a bad day for Ukraine when you consider the possible outcome.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,909 ✭✭✭Brussels Sprout


    image.png


    Ok



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32 JohnJoe1000


    Well rounded argument.

    I guess Boards hasn't changed all that much within the last couple of years.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32 JohnJoe1000


    Oh look another one pointing out it's a new account.

    The "Putinbot" comments will be along in the next few minutes right on time.

    It's pretty sad that a lot of posters on here can't handle a counter argument and are happy enough to have their little echo chamber/safe space.

    I signed up to this new account willing and able to discuss matters around the conflict but i can see many of you aren't interested in discussion on a "discussion" site. I'll go back to my original account from 2003 now with my point proven from my original 1st post as to why Boards is dying a death.



  • Posts: 1,656 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Anyone who takes these past days at face value is very naive. People have been telling us the whole time not to believe Russia, we have had so many predictions of false-flags, propaganda, deepfake videos etc. Now there was an attempted coup playing out basically live on tv and people immediately take events at face value and believe it was exactly what it seemed? Stupid.

    The purpose of PMCs like Wagner (and Blackwater etc) is to do bad things and give plausible deniability to the government.

    This incident should be viewed with that in mind. Tactical nukes have been moved to Belarus. Now this 'renegade' mercenary group are moving to Belarus also. Putin has gone on TV and denounced them as traitors. If Wager get hold of nukes and use them against Ukraine, Putin will wash his hands of it. 'Russia had nothing to do with this, you saw that they don't take orders from me any more'. Maybe even he blames Lukashenko and uses it as an excuse to go into Belaraus and 'secure' the remaining nukes.

    It's a worrying development.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,556 ✭✭✭amacca


    So thats your argument eh? Well the day before that it hadn't happened and Russia didn't look quite as fractured and incompetent so it can only have been a good day for Ukraine as now theres even more blood in the water........to use a probably poor analogy, if this was boxing match Ukraine may not have drawn any blood but Russias trainer and backroom team are arguing amongst themselves in the corner and meanwhile it looks as if their fighter has a couple of self inflicted cracked ribs from hanging around with dodgy characters in the neighbourhood.

    Yesterday can only have been a bad day for Russia not Ukraine by any sensible measure.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 17,894 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    No one can argue with a straight face that putin is in a better position than 24 hours ago.

    Zero people are more afraid of russia now than 24 hours ago.

    If something similar happened in the states (and to be fair, the closest we got was a bunch of idiot trump supporters storming the capital building and that was hailed as an embarrassment for the US) then all the anti-NATO heads would be furiously writing their obituary.

    The fact that no one is really surprised shows how little the world thinks of russia.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 17,894 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    Likely re-reg calling blanket statements a "counter-argument" and then goes off in a pre-huff as they know what comes next :)

    Literally 0 arguments or evidence.

    Just:

    "Mars must be feeling better today after what happened, I feel really good about Mars, look at how controversial I am, you all can't handle how good the planet Mars is."



This discussion has been closed.
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