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Irish Property Market chat II - *read mod note post #1 before posting*

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 744 ✭✭✭drogon.


    I guess the question is how much do you think the prices will drop though ?

    Do you think it is going to be as bad as 2008 - 2012 ? It took close to 4 years to bottom out last time. I personally don't see that, however I do see a price drop from the crazy 2022 situation.

    Post edited by drogon. on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 641 ✭✭✭J_1980


    Uk prices are far more mental and unaffordable than Dublin. 5* salary and proof of repayment showing your p60 is enough. No diligent savings etc.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 641 ✭✭✭J_1980


    I’m in office 5 times a week around Dawson street. And happy to commute from Honeypark Dun Laoghaire if it came to it. Currently walking from Ballsbridge.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 47 Murph3000


    Maybe, but real data shows we are following their trend, so far.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 47 Murph3000


    No idea, I think a lot depends on rates, I cant see rates reversing anytime soon, but who knows.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,720 ✭✭✭✭rob316


    I've seen some bonkers bidding on auction sites again. People realizing prices are staying high, no real supply and salary increases are cancelling the effect of interest rate rises?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 47 Murph3000


    Prices have been dropping in all latest available recorded data.

    You could be right of course, but best off monitoring the actual data. We will see soon what latest update brings.

    The only way I could see drops like in 2007 is if we see rates stay persistently high.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 744 ✭✭✭drogon.


    I agree rates won't be reversing anytime soon.. But at the same time, I reckon there might be 1 or 2 more small rate hikes by the ECB (.25%) and rates will be let to sit at that rate for a period. I think people need to realise that two recession's won't be the same.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,084 ✭✭✭kevthegaff


    I think its all to do with confidence, when the media starts to report falls more regularly, landlords with a few houses will consider selling part of their portfolio. Buyers will be cagey and hold out longer before buying. Media has been very quiet so far...



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,367 ✭✭✭✭Bass Reeves


    We have been hearing that this will happen for the last 4-5 years but the situation has not changed much.

    I predicted a 10% drop last year to happen throughout this year and into next year. Things are moving that way slower than I taught but I expect it to stabilize around that.

    Unless supply jumps for some reason out of the ordinary I cannot see a fall of much beyond that. The one factor that might change it is the government intends to start building modular houses mid/late next year which may jump supply rapidly.

    Slava Ukrainii



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 210 ✭✭Mr Hindley


    Supply starting to very slowly inch up again - having been remarkably flat for a good while, there have been small increases the last few weeks.

    I suspect this is mostly apartments - lots of anecdotal stories on here of people still being outbid left, right and centre on houses. Inchicore prices seem to be going nuts, for example.

    image.png




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,367 ✭✭✭✭Bass Reeves


    Solicitors who send the letter demanding payment for not objecting has lost his job.

    It's seems it was a limited cabal that were looking for payment for not objecting of high flyers in the area probably without the knowledge of other house owners. They were looking for boundary changes for other house owners.

    However this solicitor used his company email and probably letter headings to send the demand. He has ''left'' the company he was working for the largest legal firm in Ireland where he he was a senior solicitor.

    The other involved are a company director and a director of a semi state body. I would like to see action against them as well.

    This looks more like an attempted shakedown/ fraud than a legitimate negotiation over a planning issue

    Slava Ukrainii



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,218 ✭✭✭wassie


    Its concerning when these people seemingly hold/held professional positions that demand ethical behaviour. Its simply pure greed.

    Whats even worse is they were prepared to shaft their own neighbours to help line their own pockets under the guise of helping them.

    The group also proposed to bring an offer to other residents along the road, but this would not be for cash, merely for boundary changes. In effect, their own neighbours would not be getting the same benefit.

    I think that would be an awkward little neighbouhood these days.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,619 ✭✭✭Timing belt


    How common is this practice? Is it similar to paying protection money to build that was standard practice for years.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 641 ✭✭✭J_1980


    Seeing same in Dublin4

    Only things NOT selling are apartments without outside space and small houses with dated interiors.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 641 ✭✭✭J_1980


    A lot of for sale stuff is already “sale agreed”. Lisney for example keep it as such until contracts are signed.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 210 ✭✭Mr Hindley


    Very true, but the same was just as true a month ago. I think the total supply figure is still a good broad brush indicator of where prices may be heading (supply up, prices down, or at least, not going up as fast.)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 579 ✭✭✭theboringfox


    Ya exactly. Agents didn't just start leaving sold or sale agreed houses up on daft.




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 768 ✭✭✭dontmindme


    Was about to question your graph. although I use mainly myhome, I presumed the sites were similar for content but when I compared, I see that there's just under three thousand more properties for sale on daft compared to myhome. I'm wondering is this more properties or just more properties already sale agreed with the daft ads not updated as much?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 210 ✭✭Mr Hindley


    I think the difference is due to sites. The ‘all property’ search on Daft includes sites by default, and there’s 2,938 of them on Daft as of today.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,908 ✭✭✭Villa05


    Initially for up to 4 person families, shows what can be done were the will present and barriers removed

    The Irish Examiner understands the cost of each unit is working out at around €145,000 per unit which includes supply, delivery, and provision of electrical and household items

    However, this figure does not include the cost of site development and utility connection costs




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,268 ✭✭✭Elessar


    These look like a great solution to housing issues. Interesting that they only became a solution for the government once the EU could see that they might start letting down refugees otherwise. There was nothing stopping them introducing these as fast as they are now for the indigenous population. But, of course, they didn't.

    Another thing about these is that they will never be "temporary". Nothing the government says is temporary ever turns out to be. What are they going to do to these families in 12 months? Kick them out? If they have decided to stay, you can be guaranteed most of this housing will be permanent for them. I'd be galled to be on the social housing list right now. No sign of them racing to get these up for social/affordable housing.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 768 ✭✭✭dontmindme


    Was at a viewing yesterday morning in Dublin in the (>300k) price bracket. By the time I was leaving there was just over fifty names on the EAs sheet.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,800 ✭✭✭✭suvigirl


    I bet anyone offered one of these houses doesn't turn them down though!

    How many Irish people on a housing list for their 'forever home' would accept one?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 641 ✭✭✭J_1980


    None. Many don’t accept apartments or poor locations either as your stuck with your choice.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 47 Murph3000


    We are going to see a lot more of this. Government built refugee modular homes are going to open up the floodgates on self builds.

    https://tippfm.com/featured-2/local-man-face-council-court-log-cabin-erected-familys-land/

    Will be interesting to see if they have the balls to start building modular social homes for the Irish. Would be a quick and cheaper solution to the housing crisis. If there is such a push, I could see property prices decimated, which make me skeptical if they would do it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 47 Murph3000


    People who need them, will take them.

    Welfare professionals would fight.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,121 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    If there ever was a time where ethics governed the actions of any group, we are well past it. These days, everything is about the grift. If you have ethics and a conscience, you don't go very far.



  • Posts: 573 [Deleted User]


    These are not going to be accepted by those looking for the State to provide their forever home. They are modern day prefabs.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,121 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    Hmm, I have some recollection of the state's attempt to build prefabs for housing a few years ago, only for the cost to be largely the same as build a "real" house.

    I agree that none of this will be temporary. The USC was, I believe, meant to be a temporary measure, but it's still here. Most people here as refugees will not ever return home, even if the ostensible circumstances for their being here no longer exist, and the state will allow this because it adds to GDP growth. Prefab slums beckon, I opine...



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