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Irish Property Market chat II - *read mod note post #1 before posting*

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,619 ✭✭✭Timing belt


    Not according to your earlier post…would also assume based on your previous post that as there low paid and in the private sector the government should stop helping them with housing.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,786 ✭✭✭DownByTheGarden


    Its almost like we havent seen the effects of not looking after things essential to the economy before. In fact its almost like some people still refuse to believe we are seeing the effects of just that right now.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 210 ✭✭Mr Hindley


    Moving away from public sector salaries - from what I can see, the housing market is heating right up again, at least in Dublin. High attendance at viewings, and serious bidding wars. Am desperately regretting not buying something - anything - during the lull over the winter. It's all very dispiriting.



  • Posts: 14,768 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    When you consider that the subsidy is linked to the provision of low cost rental housing, that the developers would not build at present due to cost, and that the cost of the State building the homes would be substantially more than 150k per unit, and probably take a decade, then I’m not sure why your first thought is, welfare for struggling builders. Would you prefer they sit on the sites until costs drop and they can sell for more profit to institutional investors?

    Post edited by Boards.ie: Mike on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,839 ✭✭✭mcsean2163


    Supply has ticked up ever so slightly.

    Myhome 13,608

    It's pretty scary to be honest. We were outbid before Christmas. There doesn't seem to be any bargains out there, the opposite, doer uppers for a small fortune requiring another small fortune to do up.....

    Post edited by mcsean2163 on


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  • Posts: 14,768 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Seems that some British people are moving here, because property is less expensive and better value.

    https://archive.ph/ZeP0a



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,625 ✭✭✭fliball123


    Why shouldn't it happen there is no reason why modular homes cannot be put in to different areas in all counties including the likes of leafy Foxrock and Dublin city center. Let them object either take the modular home or hit the streets the days of Angie the single mum of 4 from 3 different daddies telling the state she wants a 5 bedroom house near mumsy in a nice south Dublin suburb with a south facing garden for the sunshine and one of her baby daddies staying there on the QT and working away should no longer be tolerated. Also if it was done right it would not be taking them out of the location but it is freeing up housing stock. Why should people be given houses for free or one set of workers prioritized over another, we are basically setting up a system for people who get up off their asses and work and do things the right way and they will never be able to buy or rent in the country but if your from a different country and fleeing from some kind of persecution or on the dole or your biased view of what an essential worker is that they should all be prioritized for a house which is wrong. We are all running the same race and jumping the same hurdles with regards to housing and the cost of living and every worker who pays income tax in this county is essential for the running of the country.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,625 ✭✭✭fliball123


    Will you give over (Mods please you have asked me not to comment on public sector workers, yet this poster has posted on this topic numerous times with out warning? Please will you tell this poster that this thread is not about this topic as they keep bringing it up and baiting.) Your post is applicable to every worker. If as a worker you have no reasonable expectation to own or confidently rent long term at a price that is affordable in this country your not going to hang around regardless of what job you do. So in your narrative if we do prioritize teachers and nurses for housing further impugning every other worker in order to do so, do you think they are going to hang around in Ireland? No they wont and who will be left to pay their wage and pensions long term when the our younger workers who are currently working here the likes of the shop/coffee shop/retail worker and basically all of the other SME workers feck off to Oz for a better life or at the very least in a warmer and in a country where they can rent or buy a house??

    Already our pensions age is up at 68 as 65 is deemed as being no longer affordable. Already kites bring flown about upping PRSI as well. So if this cohort of young people cant get housed they will leave or they will have less or no kids meaning the pool of future tax payers paying into the system will be decimated, the kids who will be their will be from the likes of Angie above and if ever the term "monkey see monkey do" analogy can be used its for this situation, studies show that if a kid is brought up with the expectation of a welfare handout they are most likely to follow suit into adulthood.

    Post edited by fliball123 on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,625 ✭✭✭fliball123


    2 month on month drops nationwide on prices (5 month on month drops in Dublin) and at least another 3 Interest rate hikes coming the first this month hardly heating up its more like the electricity has been cut and the pan is no longer boiling over and the sauce is cooling down. So you will excuse me if I think you may be a bit of a Ray Charles with the "from what I can see" analysis.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 940 ✭✭✭mike_cork


    My partner & I have been at 2 viewings this week in Cork city. We were the only ones at either viewing.

    In contrast we were at a viewing 2 months ago and there were 5-7 other people.

    In both cases no offers on either property have been placed per the respective estate agents.

    Could be purely coincidental though.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,625 ✭✭✭fliball123


    Its not and the figures have what your seeing as being the narrative overall. I mean its not just the interest rate hikes it the other costs that have been hitting would be house buyers not to mention the bank still has to do its due diligence and stress test at at least 2% above the rate, that will lock a hell of a lot of people out of the market. Not to mention people will see the stats 5 price drops in Dublin month on month and 2 in the the first 2 months of the year not to mention the threat of another 3 rate hikes coming up so it would be insane for someone to buy now when all trends are showing prices are coming down.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 332 ✭✭Hillmanhunter1


    I find the doctor's story implausible. Where did you find evidence that "the landlord appears to admit to changing accounts"?

    I can find no information provided by the landlord. As far as I can see all we have is the doctor's version of events.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,463 ✭✭✭✭rob316


    Its the right move, we need rental properties at all costs. State controlled cost rental is the way forward I believe, long term secure tenancies and moving away from home ownership like mainland european cities. State can recoup most the costs through the rental and retain the property rights.

    Post edited by Boards.ie: Mike on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 584 ✭✭✭theboringfox


    Doer uppers? I think houses requiring work or extensions are being priced too high. Im interested to see are prices holding up where house is in good order and can be moved straight into. Id be shocked if market just absorbs rate rises. The savings you've to show monthly are very high for 2% stress rate. Ill be interested to see how many can borrow at 4x or even 3.5x due to it. If prices are even stabilising also people not just bidding to get in before price rises. Strange market right now



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,248 ✭✭✭JohnnyChimpo


    5 month drops in Dublin are the same as what happened in the winter of 2014 and 2018 as well, all 3 amounting to about a 2% drop in sale price over the winter. None of those resulted in a continued price drop as we all know. The interest hikes will obviously most likely have a cooling effect as they're expected to, but I wouldn't be especially convinced by a slight undulation of the CSO graph.

    This isn't particularly motivated reasoning on my part, because even though I'm a homeowner I would prefer a cooling of the market (both to allow some of my peers to access property, and to make it easier for me to upgrade in the coming years).

    A lot of prognostication, but as always its trying to over-fit the model of the GFC property crash to the current datapoints, when the fundamentals are vastly different.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,625 ✭✭✭fliball123


    One simple question will show that it is different now and this what were the interest rates in both of those years that seen prices fall in both 2014 and 2018??



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,248 ✭✭✭JohnnyChimpo


    Did you just read one sentence and lose the head and mash the "Post Comment" button? If so, please look back at the very next sentence where I acknowledge the differentiating circumstances of the interest rate hikes.


    I'm not even disagreeing with your conclusion, just that it's far from definitive and you're cherry-picking sparse data for your own reasons



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,625 ✭✭✭fliball123


    I did, but I am just pointing to the fact that you choose to 2 periods over the last 12 years where we had a small reversal in property prices but the conditions are completely different in 2023 we have ravenous demand and p1ss poor supply and yet prices are dropping and that will continue while rates get higher I am not cherry picking just stating how it is.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 940 ✭✭✭mike_cork


    Both houses are livable right now but both need work, especially house no 1.

    House no 1 is currently single glazed, gas boiler on it's last legs and has water damage/discoloration in a small part of the kitchen ceiling due to a leak from the upstairs bathroom. The estate agent said it's all sorted and all it needs is some paint to but i contacted a builder buddy and showed him some pics i took. He said it's very fixable but you're looking at a couple of grand to resolve.

    Finally the kitchen & bathroom is outdated and both would need to be upgraded.

    All in you're looking at at least 15-20K (and probably a good bit more) to do it up.

    Considering the work required the property it's well over priced imo and hence may explain why there isn't any offers on the property/why the estate agent was keen to get us back for a 2nd viewing.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,786 ✭✭✭DownByTheGarden


    Because the state are so good at collecting the rent they are owed :)



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,463 ✭✭✭✭rob316


    That's an argument for another day but your talking about a tiny minority not paying.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,786 ✭✭✭DownByTheGarden


    Some doer uppers dont need to be done upped though :)

    One person doer upper is another persons it will do me grand.

    One person needs an extension but another person may not need one.

    And remember that in the non starter home bracket, most people will probably not be borrowing all of the moeny they could. They will probably be selling a property with some equity in it to trade up.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,046 ✭✭✭MacronvFrugals



    More stories today of international money chomping at the bit for council leases.


    Investment giant buys flats in Dublin’s Blackrock to rent to council


    GLOBAL investment giant M&G’s Real Estate arm has bought a development of 67 apartments in the Dublin suburb of Blackrock for €31.3m.


    The two blocks, known as The Butter Yard, have been let to Dun Laoghaire Rathdown County Council for social housing use on a 25-year term.


    The sale suggests an average price of €460,000 for the units.


    Small investment firm snaps up €14m of homes in two years


    Arena Capital, a small investment firm that has bought up second-hand homes, has built a portfolio of residential property in Ireland worth more than €14 million over two years.


    The company has acquired second-hand homes in a bid to lease the properties to local authorities for social housing. In November 2021






  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 414 ✭✭ingo1984


    Are 70% of people in arrears of some sort to Dublin city council?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,853 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    I never excuded them, I just gave some examples that didnt include food workers specifically.

    I did say salaries are irrelevant, so low paid key workers should be prioritised along with mid/high earning key workers.

    Key workers dont have to be public sector, though they generally are.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,036 ✭✭✭Villa05


    The subsidy would be up to 150k per unit. The state have a proven track record of building for between 200 and 350 per unit depending on location

    We need to move away from public private partnerships where the tax payer gives the money and the private sector collects the income tax free

    Where has your concern for the taxpayer gone?



  • Posts: 14,768 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    My concern for the taxpayer, including myself, includes not entrusting the State to competently cost, and manage large scale property projects.

    It takes some kind of myopic viewpoint to dismiss the 1Billion OVERSPEND on the children’s hospital with the line, someday it might be value for money.

    If you want to wait for the State to build tens of thousands of homes, I have no problem with that, but those that want affordable rental homes as soon as possible, or anyone with even a meagre understanding construction, will understand that the fastest way to build houses, and quite possibly the cheapest way, is to enter a public private partnership.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,839 ✭✭✭mcsean2163


    Good grief, it's a shame the state doesn't just freeze anu new deals with funds for 12 months and purchase property without having to compete with the funds.

    The country has gone mad.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,036 ✭✭✭Villa05


    The children's hospital and it's issues has been done to death. It was an FG pet project that was rushed ahead despite the final design not being complete, full of political interference they all want a hospital on there patch but not houses

    Links have been provided for you showing housing delivery from public bodies that compare favourably with what the private sector can deliver cost wise, yet you continue to bladder on about the hospital which is a completely different project and falsely claim that the state can't provide housing without a massive overspend



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 75,224 ✭✭✭✭L1011


    The history of disastrous PPPs in this country, generally on the private side (builders going bust, backing out, substandard works) does not make me think that they are a solution for anything.

    The core issue with the children's hospital is BAM. Who are also the problematic builder on a number of PPPs.



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