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F1 2023 thread

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,845 ✭✭✭quokula


    I agree that it's a tiny sample size, but it's no worse than using the sample of one race to declare the outcome of the season, which was what I was replying to when I brought it up.

    We only have one single data point that involved all 20 cars setting competitive lap times over a single lap. And that one single data point gave a result that was closer than that data point has ever been any time it's been collected in all of F1 history. It might be an anomaly and other tracks might have a bigger spread, but it's all we have right now and if you were to guess you'd say it's because the field is quite close over a lap.



  • Posts: 127 ✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Here's another 'basic and simple objective' fact for you quokula - The average human has one testicle and one ovary.

    Sometimes taking the simple view doesn't paint the full picture.

    I'll go back to the Alonso example that ridicules your logical approach that you keep not acknowledging.

    In 2001 Tarso Marques finished higher in the drivers championship than Fernando Alonso. Another basic and simple objective fact.

    The reality - Alonso destroyed him, being more than 2 seconds faster than Marques in qualifying on several occasions.

    People are poking holes in what you're saying because it's lazy analysis, there's nobody fighting you it's just that what you're saying is fundamendtally flawed.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,182 ✭✭✭eviltimeban


    I get what Quokola is trying to say - that looking at the hard facts / numbers and comparing them to previous years' hard facts / numbers, it was the closest Q1 since that format began.

    Of course there are factors that muddy the waters somewhat.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,882 ✭✭✭McFly85


    Just think there’s too many other potential factors to consider before taking it as a performance indicator.

    I reckon there’s an element of shakedown with the short practice time and we have cars like the McLaren that basically aren’t ready yet - I would expect more than a few early season upgrades are on the way.

    For sure, it’s something to keep an eye on, and I would love for it to be the case across the season, but we won’t really know if it’s meaningful for a few races.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,191 ✭✭✭✭AMKC
    Ms


    Way to go on ruining them races with more fake qualifying. A waste of time if you ask me. No one even cares for or even remembers the sprint races once they are done. They are instantly forgotten about. I have never once seen a sprint race thread or recomondation pop up on my You-Tube feed for instance.

    Even Netfliks does not bother with them in DTS if they did they should have had the Haas of Kevin Magnessun on pole and covered that but they did not they did not care about it because they are a stupid gimic that needs to go.

    Time for them to die now.

    Live long and Prosper

    Peace and long life.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,142 ✭✭✭muckwarrior


    We need to start an F1 thread Bingo card.

    So far we have:

    • AMCK ranting about how sh1t sprint races are.
    • Quokula trying to argue that Hamilton is the worst driver in the history of the sport.

    Only a matter of time before ElDuderino goes on his annual rant about how the Monaco Grand Prix is actually worse than the holocaust.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,294 ✭✭✭✭Jordan 199


    I'm going through a pile of old Autosport magazines, and saw this. Those horror stepped-noses.

    20230307_160834.jpg




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,690 ✭✭✭✭Frank Bullitt


    "All 20 drivers were out at the same time in Q1. Everyone pushed in Q1 to the same extent they always push in any Q1 session." This is hilarious.

    Do you actually think that Max is pushing, and in the fastest mode in Q1 as he is in Q3? Compared to lets say Piastri who was struggling all session, and would be going as fast as he can to get out of that session.

    Q1 is not a true picture of the field spread at all. It never has been, no matter how many there have been or will be either. Any F1 fan worth their salt would know that.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,845 ✭✭✭quokula


    How many times do I have to explain this simple concept. There have been 300+ qualifying sessions previously in F1 since the current format was introduced. This one had a smaller field spread than any other that has ever occurred.

    Do you think Schumacher and Alonso were pushing 100% in every Q1 of 2006? Was Vettel in 2013? Button in 2009?

    There was nothing unique about this session that differentiates it from previous qualifying sessions, yet it had the smallest field spread in the entire history of the current qualifying format.

    This is a simple basic statement of fact. I swear someone could post on this thread that current F1 cars have 4 wheels and people would pile on them for the sake of arguing and being negative instead of just enjoying the sport.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,690 ✭✭✭✭Frank Bullitt


    You are not factoring in the variables at all here though. Teams have a general idea of what time they can achieve and what the delta time will be for the cut off, top teams just build up to this over the laps and leave it all on the table for the final runs in Q3.

    The times in Q1 are meaningless for field-spread, because not all cars are running on the same tires at the same time or in the same PU modes either. And at that, the top cars will be playing qualifying poker to ghost the others as well into a false sense of security.

    Verstappen did a 1:31.295 in Q1, the slowest time in Q1 was 1:32.181. In Q3 Verstappen did 1:29.708, that is the true field-spread right there.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,678 ✭✭✭✭El_Duderino 09


    The holocaust was awful, but at least it only happened once.

    Never again (Monaco)!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,678 ✭✭✭✭El_Duderino 09


    Ah, you're at nothing. They said it once so they're going to keep saying it over and over.

    One thing that we were chatting about watching the race was the lack of poor pay-drivers on the grid this year. It's as strong a grid as I can remember. No Mazepins or Lattifis. The rookies are decent this year. Zhou and Sargent are helped by the fact that they offer access to their home country's market. But they aren't bad drivers. Stroll is a special category of pay driver but his experience means he's not terrible either.

    Looking at last years Sakir quali, (if you exclude Lattifi) the gap from first to last in q1 was 1.6s and q3 was 2.5 seconds.

    The grid is closer this year and partly due to culling the poorest drivers.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,459 ✭✭✭✭Dont be at yourself


    I wonder will people begin to revise their opinions on Stroll this year.

    Missed all of testing, raced with significant injuries and still put together a very solid weekend, battling past "future world champion" George Russell -- who is older than Stroll, it's worth mentioning...



  • Moderators, Motoring & Transport Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 753 CMod ✭✭✭✭LIGHTNING


    One swallow doesnt make a summer as they say. Nobody doubts he has pace, its the fact that he swings wildly from a good weekend to a disaster so often is his issue.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,142 ✭✭✭muckwarrior


    No doubt he'll get some good results given he has such a strong car this year, but I can't see him beating Alonso, despite being in the twilight of his career. It begs the question, has any other driver lasted so long in F1 while having such a poor record against their team mates?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,690 ✭✭✭✭Frank Bullitt


    Good point, and another variable in the measuring of how close the field is. Either way, you get the impression that if things were to close up a tad, RB would ramp it up anyway. Their advantage over the field is bigger now than at any point last season, they have gained more over the winter than their closest rivals so field-spread is of no matter really.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,343 ✭✭✭thefa


    Good race from Stroll but way too early to suggest he’s turned a corner for me. He was also a split second from ending his and Alonso’s race so the narrative could have been very different.

    Looking at the 2022 standings, 14 drivers finished ahead of him and don’t think he’s an obvious choice on ability over any of the 12 still with seats.

    Russell went into Hamilton’s team last year and outscored him so deserves some hype.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,678 ✭✭✭✭El_Duderino 09


    Yeah I admire him for pushing through the pain and doing a decebt job at the weekend. Wrist operation and a broken toe is no joke.

    It doesn't make me think he's a good driver. He's experienced. He's in the top 60 most experienced f1 drivers of all time.

    He battled past Russell but the suggestion is that the AM is actually really good and it was good enough for alonso to get to third (though he would probably have been 4th behind Leclerc) . It seems very easy on tyre wear so you'd expect them to be at their best in the final stint of the race.

    We'll see how it pans out through the season.



  • Moderators, Education Moderators, Sports Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 12,377 Mod ✭✭✭✭artanevilla


    He's good enough to race in F1 no doubt, but not to compete for titles.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,845 ✭✭✭quokula


    I've been saying for years that he's the most underrated driver on the grid - not that he's absolute top tier but he's generally been very unfairly maligned because of his dad. It's true that he probably wouldn't have got to F1 and stayed there without that support in the early days, but he's gained experience and applied himself very well. He's consistently put in respectable performances relative to very strong teammates in varying cars in recent years.

    I wouldn't be surprised to see him run very close to Fernando once he's fully recovered and up to speed. There's a lot of understandable hype around Alonso and it's great to see him finally in a car that's worthy of his talent again, but the reality is that even all time greats can't defeat the march of time and he isn't getting any younger. It's not like he had a whole lot in hand over Ocon and I wouldn't rate Lance any lower than Esteban, though I'm sure Alonso will have a level of motivation this year that he lacked in the Alpine.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,362 ✭✭✭Schorpio


    Lance is not a bad driver, but is he one of the best 20 in the world? in my opinion, absolutely not.

    He is a pay driver, obviously, and F1 has a long a storied history of pay drivers. However, lance takes things to a new level.

    In 2017, prior to his first F1 season, it was estimated that his father spent $80 million just to get him into F1. When you look up what that spend entailed, it's utterly wild.

    Link to a story from 2017, but I'll paste the highlights below;

    Lawrence Stroll, bought the Prema F3 team and installed well-known Ferrari engineer Luca Baldisserri to oversee Stroll's rise. Young Stroll was then the clear No. 1 driver this year, benefiting from F1 engineers seconded to his F3 campaign and a special simulator installed at Williams' Grove base.He also embarked on a round-the-world test program with a 2014 Williams, supported by a staff of 20, five Mercedes engineers and two engines prepared specifically by Mercedes. Stroll's F1 test program went to Silverstone, Hungary, Monza, Austria, Barcelona, Abu Dhabi, Austin and Sochi.

    Williams' Pat Symonds admits: "The last rookie with that many kilometers of testing for his debut was Jacques Villeneuve."

    Not only that, Lawrence Stroll paid for a new high-tech simulator at Williams' race shop, which Williams F1 drivers Bottas and Felipe Massa could not use throughout the year as it was calibrated for F3.

    Bear in mind, since 2017 Lance has had his seat paid for, and his Dad bought a whole team!! Even for F1, it's absolutely bonkers the spend needed to get (and keep) Lance in F1.

    He has had so much preparation and training, you'd wonder how others mildly talented drivers would have fared given the same......



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,882 ✭✭✭McFly85


    In terms of pay drivers, Stroll is below Norris but above any of the other recent ones. I have no doubt he’ll be challenging for the odd podium this season in that car. He will finish well behind Alonso you’d imagine.

    Stroll does get brought up more than the other ones because the other ones haven’t had their dads buy an F1 team outright! And you get the feeling that it doesn’t matter how slow he is, his is one of the safest seats in the sport.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,142 ✭✭✭muckwarrior


    Wow. I heard he received preferential treatment in lower formula, but that's insane!

    After all that and the only team mate he could come close to beating in F1 was Sirotkin. Remember him? Probably not. He was another pay driver of similar level to Stroll, therefore only lasted one season.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,843 ✭✭✭Brief_Lives


    this made me laugh (I agree with you by the way), "It doesn't make me think he's a good driver. He's experienced. He's in the top 60 most experienced f1 drivers of all time."

    that list on wiki?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,845 ✭✭✭quokula


    That's a bit of an exaggeration. He didn't just come close to Sirotkin, he beat him, and he's improved a lot since then. A teammate he did come close to was Felipe Massa, a guy who could have been a world champion. Massa was of course past his best at the time, but Lance was a rookie so it balances out. The only team mates he's ever been clearly behind were a 4 time world champion and Sergio Perez, a multiple race winner and a driver who's beaten anyone he's ever sat alongside other than Verstappen (who he's gotten closer to than any other driver since Max was a teenager) and Jenson Button (and even that was reasonably close considering it was a time when Button was in his peak and Perez was a near rookie coming into a new team)

    And yes, he's had a lot of privilege and training. Without that he wouldn't be the driver he is today. But that doesn't change the fact that, with all that training and experience, he is now a very solid driver and has been for the past few years.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,142 ✭✭✭muckwarrior


    I think you're the one exaggerating.

    Yes, technically he beat the rookie Sirotkin, but they were very evenly matched https://www.redbull.com/au-en/f1-team-mate-battles

    Massa was miles faster than him, but due to bad luck this wasn't reflected in the points. e.g. Massa was on course for a win in Azerbaijan only for a mechanical, which meant Stroll got his first podium. Bear in mind, this was Massa's last season, i.e. he wasn't deemed good enough for another season in F1.

    Perez was on the same level as Hulk. Ocon was more than a match for him.

    Vettel was beaten by Ricciardo and LeCelrc, so hardly on the level he once was.

    Alonso is probably at least 2 or 3 years past his prime, but I'd still put all my money on him beating Stroll this year.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,678 ✭✭✭✭El_Duderino 09


    Got it here. I haven’t heard of the site before so don't know its reputation. Check not out for yourself.

    If you click about through the stats, it's a really interesting site. Assuming they're accurate, it's class



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,362 ✭✭✭Schorpio


    Yep, he is a solid driver. No question. This year will really see what he's made of.

    I guess for a lot of people, it is the sheer vastness of the spend though. Most pay drivers just buy their seats. The Stroll's seem to buy teams. $80 million just to get to F1 + whatever the payment to Williams was for the first few years + a reported £90 million for Racing Point (which had £15 million in debt) and another £212 million for Aston Martin.

    (I know the Racing Point and Aston take-overs were investment funds which Stroll heads, but still).

    That is a lot. Even by F1 pay driver standards. It's insane.

    Yes, he is a very solid driver at the end of it all. But I understand why, for some people, the asterisk keeps popping up next to his results.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,182 ✭✭✭eviltimeban


    When you're worth $3bn, buying an F1 team for your son is probably the equivalent of a regular parent buying a car for one of their children!



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,843 ✭✭✭Brief_Lives


    that site is amazing... they have a stat on everything you can think of... you're right, is it verifiable? but its a lot of fun....Stroll is more experienced than Damon Hill... 😂


    and what about this:

    image.png




This discussion has been closed.
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