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Russia - threadbanned users in OP

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,428 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    A very similar set of questions like that were mention wrt western tanks.

    I don't think it's like Russia were they send qualified artillery soldiers to the Frontline as cannon fodder.

    It would be a waste of resources sending qualified technician's to the Frontline, so one would assume all the ground support staff Ukraine had prior to the war are still in some support role. It's also wartime, so those qualified soldiers who retired/left the force can be called back. No doubt during wartime they can skip some red tape and work just a little harder and longer to get stuff done. Thus 1 technician can do more during wartime than during peacetime.

    A few months ago Ukraine had zero soldiers trained on western tanks and IFV, there should easily be over 1000 of them trained (600+ trained on Bradley's already)

    If the west decide to give Ukraine F16's, it would also include training.

    The argument is that it takes, let's say 6 months to train them. So that's too long, no point in giving them F16's.

    Rather than, let's just train them on F16's in case something drastic changes in the future and they need them ASAP. Or maybe when the war is over they will need modern fighter jets and they can't buy them from Russia anymore. So at least they will be trained for that.

    There will be a big investment in Ukraine when the war is over. It will also have to be rearmed for defensive purposes. If most Ukrainian soldiers are trained exclusively on leopards, it means it makes sence for Ukraine to refill their army with leopards. Nice little boost in the future for Germany.

    Same will happen for fighter jets, I'm surprised France/Sweden or the US are not jumping in there offering training on their jets to get the contracts after the war etc...



  • Posts: 7,946 [Deleted User]


    I don’t think you understand the concept of failed state.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,067 ✭✭✭✭Danzy


    I don't understand your sentence.


    Both Russia and Ukraine might have broken economies, broken societies, broken political systems, worn out from the brutality, cost and loss of this conflict. That's with Ukraine playing a blinder and being the side likely to win.


    There is a quote about Russian history having the line "and then it got worse".


    It might not be Somalia failed, but it could be Syrian style failed State.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,067 ✭✭✭✭Danzy


    It's dodgy business getting people to correct a sentence, the person doing it nearly always has a mistake themselves. I think I got away with it though. 🫣



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,341 ✭✭✭fly_agaric


    I know what you mean, but it is all so pointless and wasteful, "progress" becomes just the wrong term to use.

    So if Bakhmut (or other towns they are attacking) fall they take another piece of Ukraine by burning through "expendible" soldiers (this can't go on forever), making the whole area into a desert (which they will get no benefit from) and driving almost all people that were living there out as well.

    Russia has a declining population which is being further reduced by this war. That will get worse if Putin has to move Russia even further into war economy mode and there is press ganging of men aged 18-40 or so to keep the war in Ukraine going at current tempo.

    Biggest country on Earth that (IMO) already cannot exploit all the territory and resources it had (before Putin started land grabbing in Ukraine) because of too few people/brain drain/population decline.

    The whole thing is utterly brain dead.

    As for Ukraine becoming a failed state under the strains this war is imposing on society I hope the US/European/other countries aiding it will provide enough support to prevent that outcome.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,695 ✭✭✭✭Igotadose




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,108 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    If they had had more aircraft and attack helicopters, the attackers might have been easily suppressed and that might not have happened. Reminds me of that other great tragedy, the medical workers who died in the steel works in Mariupol.

    Azovstal has already lost 15 young women - military and medical workers.

    One of them was Olena Kushnir, the last doctor treating the wounded of the Azov battalion and civillians in the Azovstal steel works. Her husband, also in the military, was kiiled earlier. She managed to have her 7 year old son evacuated while she stayed to do her job and was killed in one of the attacks on the plant.

    Olena Kushnir - Last doctor Mariupol Azov.jpg


    https://en.lb.ua/news/2022/04/17/13243_military_medic_olena_kushnir_killed.html



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,108 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    Sometimes, I will strip out the audio from a clip before I upload it if the soundtrack is too obnoxious or there is a copyright hit on it. See how kind I am.. ;-)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,037 ✭✭✭jmreire


    From your post:- Quote:

    There are about 75000 Ukrainian refugees in Ireland.

    A poll taken in 2011 showed 49% of Ukrainians had relatives in Russia (that's 36,000 at a minimum)

    I am sure when their relatives are forcibly conscripted against their will, trucked to the front lines and killed, the majority of refugees in Ireland will certainly not be rejoicing in the death of their family members.

    It seems the majority of boards members will though. UnQuote.

    This last line is where we disagree, and from it all my posts stem. I've clearly stated my opinion on the war, opinions that I've held since the beginning of this thread, but I don't believe that every poster on here is a blood thirsty maniac, calling for the death of every Russian.



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  • Posts: 7,946 [Deleted User]


    I don’t understand your entire post. In the context of being invaded what’s the point you are trying to make?

    Back to failed state…The Ukrainian government has the overwhelming backing of its people. Now, don’t throw around terms you don’t understand.


    TIA.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,108 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    Yes I do, otherwise they wouldn't be asking for them. It would only take between 3-6 months to train their already, highly skilled pilots. As someone else suggested, their reservists could then be put in the SU-27s and Mig 29s. Ukraine likely has a few hundred pilots and I think around 200 planes, though that is a bit rubbery due to being highly classified.

    They have a lot more than I think most people imagine.

    All of Ukraine's top military people, From Zelenskyy on down, have been practically screaming for western fighter jets for more than 8 months. They aren't a bunch of Walter Mitty's stupidly flying kites of impracticality. They know what their resources and capabilities are and they are fighting for their very existence, they aren't going to waste their time asking for stuff that would drain their resources and actually be a hindrance. The west should give them the credit they truly deserve.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,558 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    I don't think the West doubts either their commitment or their capability.

    The West is quite obsessively preoccupied with giving Ukraine just enough gear to give them a chance to roll the Russians back, without giving them too much gear so that they start World War III by proxy.

    And that ain't nothin.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,939 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06



    What was or wasn't said is vague other than to do with East Germany and irrelevent really -> it was superseded by the signed NATO-Russia Founding Act in 1996 which implicitly accepts the right of countries to join NATO and lays out ground rules for what installations \ weapons systems can be permanently deployed therein.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,398 ✭✭✭SortingYouOut


    Ah there are a few on here who sound like they'd be very comfortable in a skull and bones cap with the leather trenchcoat.

    The problem with online forums is that most people going to the effort to use them usually have very strong opinions on whatever they're discussing. There's very little room levelness, it's either this camp or you're in that camp. It's been decided that there are two camps and you'll do well to make sure you don't cross foot in the wrong one. Obviously real life isn't as black and white, with most people finding themselves in the grey as it should be. Anyone I talk to in real life is horrified by this invasion but they're certainly not out for the blood of civilians.

    It wasn't long ago that a prominent poster on here said "Russia needs to burn". I don't know about anyone else but if I started going around saying things like that to friends, family, work etc., i'd probably be lonely very quick because that extremism doesn't translate across into civil life. Not to say that it can't and that's always a danger but we're a long way from that off screen.

    Beverly Hills, California



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 275 ✭✭Seanmadradubh


    Just a little something for folks who might think the "fall of Bakhmut" would be a loss for Ukraine and/or a victory for Russia.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,037 ✭✭✭jmreire


    I think that particular quote was rather in the context of this particular war, where the bombing etc. is all one sided iE; Happening mainly in Ukraine, in ww2, for example, it ended up with Germany being heavily bombed into submission. But for some time before the end, Germans were well aware that they were in a war, and they knew full well that they were losing. Now due to the tight restrictions Putin has imposed, while Russians know that there's a war, they are not aware of the full extent and implications of it. So Putin still can do a lot of covering up. But if Moscow, St Petersburg etc, were being regularly bombed it would have an effect on the Russian population. Could make them revolt or give Putin more support. If they see that they are losing, then its curtains for Putin, but so far they've been spared the horrors of war., and that's what I think that poster meant.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4 slavaslavcoleslaw


    while I agree with the sentiments... sitting in the grey favours Russia... so unfortunately, even though people like to make out theirs 3 choices, when it comes down to it, it's a binary choice...



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 275 ✭✭Seanmadradubh


    And here is something for people who are calling for an end to fighting and peace talks.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,108 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    A Ukrainian fighter pilot who shot down five Iranian drones in one day has said he could learn how to fly a western jet within a few months – and help his country act as “a safe shield for the world” against Russian aggression.

    Maj Vadym Voroshylov, a well-known figure in his homeland, said he believed it would take “up to three months to learn all the combat tasks” given his years of experience of flying in a Soviet-era MiG-29.

    Engineers could learn how to repair a jet like an F-16 in a similar time, the Ukrainian pilot added, because “ground crews can be trained simultaneously”, in an interview as part of Ukraine’s latest lobbying campaign for military aid.

    Anyone thinking he's exaggerating his own skills and capabilities, is wrong.

    He noted the United States is ready to start training Ukrainian pilots at Columbus Air Force Base, Mississippi and possibly in Texas as well. It would take about three months to train the pilots to fly the F-15s and F-16s at a basic level.

    Who is this idiot 'he' who is suggesting it would take 3 months instead of the years that Rishi Sunak claimed? He was until very recently a Republican rep. who sponsored a bill to train Ukrainian pilots. He's Adam Kinzinger, currently a Lt Col in the USAF Wisconsin Air National Guard. He's been a military pilot for years who also served in the Air Force Special Operations Command, Air Combat Command, and Air Mobility Command.

    Oh but he's just one experienced pilot, the Whitehouse said different, or some other politician or mouthpiece trying to shut down discussion on the topic quoted the longest time the military would actually stand by as possibly being correct.

    No he isn't. The US Air National Guard have been training with and doing joint exercises with the Ukrainian Air Force since the 1990's. 29 years of joint operations and experience.

    An American pilot who's trained with Ukrainian fighters for decades argues they have been 'underestimated' at every turn in the war... "The Ukraine air force has the pilot corps to fly these types of advanced aircraft," Col. Rob Swertfager said. "The Ukrainian pilots are fantastic. I've flown with every air force in Europe – especially their regional partners.... I'm the Operations Group Commander for the California F-15 unit. One of my duties is to challenge and evaluate ability to fly combat aircraft. My professional assessment, and I've been sharing this with lawmakers this (last) week, is these guys are more than capable of flying our aircraft. 100 percent... Juice, who was given his call sign while training with the California Air National Guard in 2018 after repeatedly ordering juice instead of alcohol when out with his American comrades, said the Ukrainian pilots could be trained up on modern American planes in a three to six-month period... When questioned about this relatively short training period, Swertfager backed the suggestion and said he would roughly estimate that a four-month training program would suffice.

    An F-16 instructor has said training could be as short as 69 days.

    I actually don't think the F-16 is the plane the west should be looking at to supply to Ukraine. Barring F-15 strike eagles, I think Australia's 46 surplus f-18s are the ideal aircraft:

    F-18 aircraft can operate from Ukrainian airfields, without their reconstruction - aviation expert Romanenko...

    Valerii Romanenko, an aviation expert and senior researcher at the State Aviation Museum, says that Ukrainian runways are made of slabs with gaps between them, and F-18s have stronger landing gear than F-15s and F-16s

    “The main technical problem for which the American partners do not supply us with their aircraft is known. It consists in the fact that their F-15 and F-16 will not be able to operate from our airfields. Because our runways are made of slabs with gaps between them, and the landing gear of these warplanes just can't handle it. In my opinion, we need to do short-term planning and we should ask our allies to provide the F-18, because this aircraft has a much stronger chassis and it would be able to operate from our airfields, without their reconstruction,” the aviation expert noted.

    This Youtube discussion about what western fighters would be most suitable for Ukraine mentions the F-18 as being more suitable than F-16s.

    I think the A-10 would also be perfect if they had air-cover from F-18's which have good radars.

    The most critical issue in this topic is the training of the pilots. It needs to be done now and it should have been begun 6 months ago if for no other reason than as a contingency.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,468 ✭✭✭zv2


    Russia stirred up separatism in Donbas and created false flags (attacked civilians and blamed Ukrainians) so they would have an excuse to invade. I have no time for them.

    Post edited by zv2 on

    It looks like history is starting up again.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,065 ✭✭✭✭briany


    If it's only a few people, then they're not dominating the tone of the conversation and therefore shouldn't be fixated upon to any great degree.

    There is the flip side to online discussion which is that in the apparent pursuit of balance, you'll have those popping up to question what should be/have been accepted facts, i.e. is the earth really round? Regarding this discussion, I've no time for those trying to add nuance to the issue of Russia invading Ukraine and being apparently prepared to lay waste to the whole country if need be. If Russian soldiers are coming to Ukraine to take territory and kill anyone who gets in their way, it shouldn't be at all surprising when many of them may meet their end in that pursuit. That kind of carry-on can make the locals angry, apparently. If Russia leaves Ukraine tomorrow, no more of their sons have to die and Russia still is a huge big country with plenty of territory for its own benefit and advancement.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,398 ✭✭✭SortingYouOut


    It's still grey though because that black or white choice can't be as clean cut in the context of views on Russian civilians. I completely agree with the binary black or white when it comes to the invasion being wrong and unjustifiable, but the grey I was referring to comes in when you have to acknowledge the mass of land behind Ukraine that is home to millions of civilians. Stating "Russia needs to burn" is stating Russian civilians need to burn, which is madness and this is what i'm talking about.

    The eye for an eye approach was taken by the Allies in WWII with aeriel bombings on civilian infrastrucuture in Germany and Japan. The debate continues today on whether the likes of the Dresden or Tokyo fire bombings were justified, with more siding to agree that it was excessive and immoral as time goes on. The emotions that war can stir has led to mass murder in the past, that we really only appreciate once the dust settles.

    So any intentional move to kills civilians is wrong in my view and the fair game should remain as targets with military significance only.

    Beverly Hills, California



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,108 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,939 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    And look at the shenigans they'd started in Moldova going back to 1992 waaay back any of this nonsense about NATO expansion.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,108 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    That loud sobbing sound you hear is Zelenskyy and Reznikov as they view this video of the US equipment in Poland awaiting shipment back to the US.

    FFS!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,398 ✭✭✭SortingYouOut


    Great to see. Did someone not say it was going to be months before they arrive?

    Beverly Hills, California



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,108 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    That is not showing US equipment for Ukraine arriving, it's their equipment about to be shipped back to the US.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,398 ✭✭✭SortingYouOut


    Oh...

    I'm not up to speed with this, why are they being sent back?

    Beverly Hills, California



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,108 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    The units have been on deployment in Europe for a while and are being rotated back.



This discussion has been closed.
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