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Russia - threadbanned users in OP

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,220 ✭✭✭vixdname


    South Africa are still a bit dodgie, joint naval exercises between themselves, Russian and China are planned I believe.

    South Africa's naval exercise with Russia, China raises Western alarm | Reuters



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,096 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    Ukraine only has a certain amount time to get back as much territory as possible. It as simple as that.

    Russia will inevitably get the lion's share of what it holds at the point negotiations start.

    Stating the obvious but the more territory Ukraine has, the better those negotiations go.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,699 ✭✭✭Padre_Pio


    Both sides are limited by time.

    Ukraine by how long the good will of the West can sustain it's war effort.

    Russia by how long the population will cope with the war losses and sanctions.


    The interesting factor is that the weaker the Russian situation, the stronger the West will apply pressure, and vice versa.

    Who would have thought 6 months ago that we could soon see Abrams tanks tearing through Ukrainian countryside?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,764 ✭✭✭storker




    In reality, NOT all wars end in an agreed settlement - a few examples off the top of my head...

    • The invasion of Iraq ended with the defeat of Iraqi forces, the operation of Iraq and the execution of Saddam Hussein.
    • World War II in Europe ended with the unconditional surrender of Germany.
    • World War II in the Pacific ended with the unconditional surrender of Japan.
    • The Falklands War ended in the ejection of Argentinian forces from the islands.
    • The Zulu wars ended with the submission or dispersal of Zulu forces
    • The American Civil War ended with the total defeat of the Confederacy.
    • The Napoleonic Wars ended with the exile of Napoleon and the Allied occupation of Paris.
    • The Hundred Years War ended (eventually) after the ejection of England from all French territories except Calais.
    • The Punic Wars ended in the total destruction of Carthage.
    • The Pelopennesian Wars ended in the defeat of Athens.




  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Regional West Moderators Posts: 62,851 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gremlinertia


    @MudSpud you are thread banned do not post here again unless that gets lifted



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,819 ✭✭✭greenpilot


    Re: Fighter Jets.

    I cannot see any Western fighters entering the arena in Ukraine. There are a number of reasons for this, most of this has been mentioned already by many posters.

    1. Flying is easy. In most aircraft that are designed to be stable. It's basic stick-and-rudder stuff, from simple gliders, right up to multi-engine aircraft, such as a Beech King Air or even a CASA. A pilot from the Ukrainian AF could hop into any Western built, stable, aircraft and be flying with reasonable confidence In 10 hours or so. Stable aircraft. However, in, for example, an F-16, say a basic Block A, or the F-18, Eurofighter, Grippen etc, without a CPU giving millisecond, constant inputs through Fly By Wire, to the control surfaces, the aircraft doesn't fly. As a pilot, it takes a long, long time to learn the " envelopes" of the aircraft through various speed, attitude, altitude and load outs before even getting to combat training. Now, there are some similar systems in the Su-27 series, but only some. In Western aircraft, you wear it like a glove. In Eastern aircraft, you drive it like a van.

    2. Systems.

    If, and only if, a Western fighter was given to Russia, I can guarantee you that the covetted radar systems that the Ukraine keep mentioning will not be in the radome. Not a hope. They will be getting the most basic, stripped-down, export version with absolutely no sensitive systems or hardware installed. There is no way any of these systems are getting into Russian hands.

    3. It makes no sense.

    A potent, integrated, data-linked missile system makes way, way more sense than using fighter aircraft. Try flying even a Cennna anywhere near Israeli airspace. Painted is not the word. One of the greatest threats to operations at the moment, even to this day, is the Mig 31, firing from well within Russian, Belarusian or even Kaliningrad ( hasn't happened yet, but 10 are stationed there) airspace. UKR needs the means to protect itself from the Mig's missile systems and the Mig itself. An old F-16 isn't going to do that. The Mig-31 was designed to catch an SR-71 and can fly two times faster than an F-16 and twice as high. Control of the airspace will only come with an integrated missile system, data-linked to Western Awacs systems. Easy to train on, easy to operate, mobile, powerful, adaptable and very, very potent. Even now, with MANPADS, a secure digital connection with CnC operations to give vectoring info, Russian aircraft are becoming lawn-darts every day. Set up a "no fly area dome" that extends 200km into Russian airspace and ensure deniabiltiy of Russian air, sea and ground assets ( all can be targetted by missile systems


    Finally, my only experience with "Russian" aircraft is training in a Yak-52 and regular visits to MAKS. Western aircraft are like precision watches. Perfectly fitted together with an audible "click". Finesse, accuracy, clean, precise, expensive, new-car-smell, powerful. These words describe what sitting in a Saab Grippen feels like.

    Rough, capable, safe, rugged, easily fixed, powerful, metres, metres, metres....( had to keep reminding myself that I wasn't at 600ft...lol), best describe a Russian aircraft. Designed to take abuse.

    Missile systems, not aircraft, will gain the upper hand here. Forget the fighters. Never going to happen. I'd also be genuinely surprised if a Jet-Engine-powered Abrahms ever tracks into Ukraine. Stalling the promise methinks!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,819 ✭✭✭greenpilot


    I've just discovered who you are, and am kicking myself as I regularly watch your shorts. I'm enjoying your engaging posts very much.

    By the way, if you happen to know any of the chaps who run the little Museum in the Curragh, ( with the tanks lined up outside), would you mind asking them to open weekends? It's incredible that they only open an odd day during the week but won't open on the busiest day for museums, Saturday!

    You may, just may, know one of the CO's involved. Long shot, if you excuse the pun!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,819 ✭✭✭greenpilot


    Good stuff. It seems to be the best, long term, strategy at this stage.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,746 ✭✭✭20silkcut


    Russia have stated numerous times whether fantasy or not that their ultimate goal is to bring war to the entire continent and ultimately reach the western edges of Europe.

    Before 24th February 2022 that was a more plausible and threatening and realistic prospect. They were on paper the worlds second army. That it is now an absurd and fantastical prospect is thanks to the tenacity and sacrifice of the Ukrainians who have defended their land and died in huge numbers to keep the Russian advance bogged down in far distant in eastern Ukraine.

    For people living far removed in comfort to be now dismissing this war as a distant Eastern European conflict with no relevance when it was anything but prior to 24th frebruary 2022 is grotesque. Ask yourself what information you are consuming and where it is coming from to bring you to the conclusion that this war is distant and irrelevant and why we shouldn’t be bothered supporting it. Who does that help? Who wants that outcome?

    There is no guarantee that the next country Russia invade will fight like the Ukrainians or that some development will switch the fortune of war in the Russians favour and they will rapidly advance much closer to the heart of Europe. What will you say then? Will the war just be some Eastern European conflict then?



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 60,351 Mod ✭✭✭✭Wibbs


    This. SO much this. Talk of F-16's and the like has always been to my mind a pointless exercise, or a propaganda thing to appeal to people. Oh it sounds great but as you note realities beg to differ. Fighter/bombers will always have a role, but only as a very expensive in resources and time combined arms force with the massive infrastructure to support them. Russia has that, at least to a large degree, Ukraine quite simply doesn't and it would take years and huge investment to get them to that point. Missiles are far cheaper, far easier to train on, far more robust, far easier to move around, far easier to protect and far more actually effective as a means to deny contested airspace to the enemy.

    As for Abrams tanks, well I'd prefer one meh ex Soviet era battle tank on the ground than one fantastic battle tank that isn't, and the Abrams are as it stands six months away, if not more. Leopards are months away too. The Bradleys are on the way, if not already there and in decent numbers and I can see them having a much bigger impact in day to day realities than ten or twenty Western MBT's, even if they were there. Highly mobile, easier to maintain and operate, can carry and protect troops thereby upping the whole combined forces thing and can kill tanks to boot.

    Many worry about Artificial Intelligence. I worry far more about Organic Idiocy.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,303 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    Most people in this thread and outside it want Ukraine to prevail. Ukraine has chosen to defend itself, Europe has chosen to defend itself.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,303 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭Nate--IRL--


    Never really appreciated how big the Su-25 is!

    Nate



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,852 ✭✭✭zv2


    And the rout in Viet Nam during the Tet Offensive.

    It looks like history is starting up again.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,395 ✭✭✭✭Furze99


    Not so, there have been many posters who advocate as you do or along similar lines. What tends to happen after a while though when they engage is that they turn out to be either supporters of Russian policy pretending otherwise or just haters of everything NATO or EU etc or some mixture of both. Or bots of some sort peddling disinformation and sowing doubt. There maybe the odd genuine soul but in times of crisis, there is no room for those who vacillate and wring their hands.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 32,765 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    The less support given the Ukraine the more destructive it will end up being for the country.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,525 ✭✭✭Curious_Case


    You haven't even made it through 2 sentences - it's not THEIR war.

    Never mind the stupid, comfort-obsessed public, the intelligent people in charge understand what's at stake.

    " Let's just give Putin the 2nd biggest country in Europe and hope he dies before he wants another one "

    Maybe this episode in history will become known as "The Stand".

    Ukrainians are bravely dying in their thousands and you're more concerned with holidays and makeovers.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,242 ✭✭✭✭Danzy


    Thanks for the Socialist News update on the war.

    Countries with Socialist party leaders are providing political cover to Russia, limiting arms supplies etc, the left across Europe is on about building a peace movement and ending the war as it stands.


    Unfortunately for the Kremlin and the Socialists most of the arms and funding is not directly influenced by them and while they can hinder Ukraine, they are not going to change the outcome.


    I agree that without a return of the people who have left that Ukraine is finished as a functioning State in short order.

    Post edited by Danzy on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,764 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui



    This endless nonsense of hi-tech secrets in US equipment falling into enemy hands as an excuse to not field systems in this conflict is tiresome. There aren't a lot of secrets the Chinese, and one should probably include the Orcs here, don't already have.

    Lets start with the big one's, the ultra secret F-35 and F-22: A Chinese businessman was arrested in Canada for running a hacking operation that penetrated Boeing's computer network and accessed a lot, including the entire plans for the C-17, F-35 and F-22, and one should suspect a lot more than just those. As a result, the Chinese Y-20 is basically a C-17 Globemaster.

    Chinese hackers have also broken into BAE systems and compromised a vast amount of their systems; they have hacked US naval contractors, gaining access to super secret underwater warfare secrets that haven't even been fielded or announced yet.

    After the Iranian revolution, the Iranians ended up with multiple F-14s and of course their radars and the very capable Phoenix missiles.

    So no secrets left on those.

    The RQ-170 stealth drone is thought to contain advanced IR optics as well as an active electronically scanned array (AESA) radar. The Iranian's managed to spoof the GPS of one and landed it intact. No more secrets there.

    Possibly worse, the Iranians shot down am RQ-4 Global Hawk, which has very advanced radars and these have been used almost non-stop to observe the entire region of this conflict. And having shot it down they recovered the wreckage. It would be wise to conclude there are no secrets left on that and it's radars and IR sensors.

    In addition to this, the US has lost several other ground attack drones.

    And to top it all off, the Chinese hacked the crown jewels of US and global cybersecurity - RSA - allowing them to access so much I'm not going to attempt to go into it, aside from just mentioning Northrop Grumman and Lockheed Martin.

    There are no secrets left, basically.

    The US uses secrets as an excuse to not do things, like supplying un neutered Gay Eagles, but it's just a game - having lost the RQ-170, RQ-4, RQ-9 drones and others, the bottom tier RQ-1 Gay Eagle doesn't have any secrets.

    I can guarantee you that worrying about 'secrets' in the 30-40 year old radars on US fighter jets that have been mentioned for possible supply to Ukraine is risible, a complete joke, in light of seemingly every major US and Uk defence contractors being comprehensively infiltrated and compromised to the gills.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,852 ✭✭✭zv2


    @cnocbui "This endless nonsense of hi-tech secrets in US equipment falling into enemy hands as an excuse to not field systems in this conflict is tiresome"

    With that kind of logic weapons would never be used and the tyrant would always win.

    It looks like history is starting up again.



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  • Posts: 15,801 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Another excellent vid from Perun




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,346 ✭✭✭✭ejmaztec



    The US has been particularly stupid in allowing Chinese nationals to attend American universities, in particular the ones engaged in "relevant" research. When the "students" completed their time in the US, off they went back to China with brains full of goodies. I don't know if they're still allowing this stupidity to continue, or if they've pulled the plug on it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,764 ✭✭✭storker


    Well that was a little different. The Americans didn't leave Vietnam for a number of years after Tet, which was tactically a disaster for the communists, but strategically a victory because it turned public opinion in the US against the war. There was a peace deal when the Americans left but the North broke it and rolled down south to collect the win a couple of years earlier than agreed. Washington had threatened renewed bombing if that happened, but when push came to shove there was no stomach for it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,242 ✭✭✭✭Danzy


    That's true but when you are leaving your embassy under gunfire while your Vietnamese allies are being shot at the gate of the building, it can be lumped into the category.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,764 ✭✭✭storker


    "By the way, if you happen to know any of the chaps who run the little Museum in the Curragh, ( with the tanks lined up outside), would you mind asking them to open weekends?"

    I'll second that. My brother lives nearby in Newbridge and we've gone a couple of times when visiting at the weekend to find the place closed.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,764 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    IMG_20230219_125744_885.jpg

    Muchos boomba. Por favor no fumes cigarrillos.



  • Posts: 2,015 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    The stealth fighters China and Russia have are based on the F117 shot down over Serbia,where they took samples.

    And neither China or Russia doesnt have lockheed martins fiber mat stealth technology,yet.

    And neither do they have the Electro-Optical Targeting System EOTS F35 have.

    And i doubt they have the low probability of intercept radars either

    And to copy and reverse engineer something as complicated as stealth,you wont get by stealing a few blueprints



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,396 ✭✭✭ZX7R


    It's run by the Irish defence, so the opening hours would be during the week when a person is stationed there.

    That what I was told.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,764 ✭✭✭storker


    "Rough, capable, safe, rugged, easily fixed, powerful, metres, metres, metres....( had to keep reminding myself that I wasn't at 600ft...lol), best describe a Russian aircraft. Designed to take abuse."

    I got up close to an Su-25 Frogfoot at Farnborough and was almost shocked at the poor finish. Some of the skin sections near the tail were riveted in such a way that their edges actually formed an angle relative to each other instead of the parallel lines one would expect. Princess Leia's line on first sighting the Millenium Falcom came to mind. Despite the lack of finish, however, the other impression it gave was of great toughness - an aircraft that could soak up a fair bit of punishment.

    It gave a very agricultural impression and you sould readily believe that this was from the same country that gave the world the An-2 which is what you would get if a biplane and a bus had a baby together. Another aircraft known for it's toughness, the emergency landing procure for the "Annushka" goes something like this:

    1. Pull pack on the stick and keep it there.
    2. You will crash more or less level at about 30 knots and stand a good chance of surviving.
    3. Er...
    4. ..that's it.

    As some character in a Tom Clancy novel said, "The Russians have their own way of doing things."



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 275 ✭✭Seanmadradubh


    Had a flight in an An-2 once, it left the ground at walking speed, felt like a nice gentle VTOL 😊, as for the inside; agricultural is the word. Lovely machine.



This discussion has been closed.
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