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Russia - threadbanned users in OP

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Comments

  • Posts: 1,338 ✭✭✭ Rayden Large Varnish


    What worries me is that I'm seeing a place that's falling in line behind a 'strongman' authoritarian and one the has basically no culture of democracy. It might have art, pretty buildings, ballet and all sorts of stuff, but it has never really been through the same enlightenment experience that occurred in most of of Europe and the west more broadly.

    They stood up against the Czarist regime of old and replaced it with a collectivist form of authoritarianism, never really having adopted anything even remotely like democratic values. It was just one crushingly all powerful system replacing the next. One type of unaccountable power replaced by another.

    You see bubbles of protest, but the state has its tentacles into every aspect of life and seems to only have ever had a facade of pretending to be democratic in the 90s for a few years, while regularly using every power it had to intimidate, arrest, jail anyone who opposed it.

    I talked with quite a few Russians in London who'd left and most of them just seemed to have turned their back on the place permanently if they had a bad experience, while others were just in that 'I don't talk about politics' kind of mode, which is also a feature of a society where talking about politics might get you into a lot of trouble. So, they focus on something else or they become highly critical about other countries' political upheavals, while completely ignoring their own.

    I think we're probably kidding ourselves if we think that there's going to be a popular uprising in Russia. There isn't the desire to do so. It's a modern country on the surface of it but has really never moved on from feudal medieval leadership ideology. They seem to like their 'powerful king' and I suspect any solution to this is going to be a internationally driven diplomatic solution which creates a military stalemate. The Russian people are fundamentally cowed and fearful of their government and they're too weak to do anything about it or couldn't be bothered rocking the boat.

    I don't really feel that the people fleeing should be pilloried for doing so. They can't organise within Russia and they're far better off out than in. At least there's some hope they might be able to live normal lives and impact Russian internal politics from outside.

    It looks to me like Russia is still very much in Soviet mentality when it comes to control and oppression, but just it's now a sort of corporatist oligarchical company like state. It has more in common with a 1800s pre-democratic European imperial state than with anything else really.

    It's also why I cannot in anyway understand why some morons on the far left of western politics seem to idolise Russia. It's neither left wing nor is it socialist. It's at best some kind of authoritarian state facilitated ultra capitalism.

    If your argument is NATO is bad, therefore Russia must be good, then you're a complete moron and a simpleton of some sort. You can be critical of NATO's track record without getting into 'my enemy's enemy is my friend' nonsense.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,766 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    You just don't understand the subtle logic of mirage economics, developed by the horde during the soviet era: You see the real problem is not adequately equiping your forces, particularly new recruits, so when you can't adequately equip 300,000 conscripts, you have an even larger mobilisation, making sure you take even more manpower from the industries that currently can't produce enough materiel for your current armed forces or equip the last smaller mobilisation.

    If 100 employees can't meet current demand, conscript 75 of them to improve things.

    In soviet Russia, less is more less. It's profundly misunderstood innovations, like mirage economics, that have been delivering the results that have astonished the world.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,208 ✭✭✭jmreire


    The Russians will have to be defeated militarily, and cleared out of Ukraine completely, inc. Crimea. Only when that happens will anything change in Russia. Waiting for internal change to happen, while possible, is very unlikely as things stand at present. Putin's control is just too strong.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 954 ✭✭✭junkyarddog


    Some insight into the war and Putin's health from Danish millitary intelligence.




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 954 ✭✭✭junkyarddog


    Putin coughs and splutters his way though this short clip,is this the best he can now do?

    In front of his rent-a-mob too.




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,012 ✭✭✭✭Say my name


    Not sure what to make of this.

    Form is there from the Russian secret service to launch false flag attacks on it's own people to gain favour for a war.

    It happened already with the Chechen wars and the apartment bombings.

    Watch tonight and tomorrow. Hopefully nothing happens. But with a new wave of mobilization due to begin on the 5th January and the borders being rumoured to be closed. There's a very real possibilty of Putin going back to his terrorist tendencies to gain support from the home population.




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,852 ✭✭✭zv2


    It looks like history is starting up again.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,766 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    Interesting. I once sold a car to a Dane who worked for their equivalent of GCHQ. He told me about that rule that no phones were allowed in meetings.

    I don't share their belief that Putin has no rivals. I think Prigozhin is definitely manoeuvring and that the FSB aren't up for taking the Wagner group on.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,568 ✭✭✭✭TheValeyard


    Reports of explosions north and south of Moscow. But its very much unconfirmed.

    If true and big If....we sure it's the Ukrainians and not a Russian false flag? Or just for the insurance money.

    Lot more information needed

    Looks like I picked the wrong week to quit sniffing glue



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 21,927 ✭✭✭✭Bass Reeves


    I do not think the regular army would tolerate either Prigozhin or Kadyrov in charge. An intellegence servie never directly challenges anyone they pull strings in the background to achieve a result.

    Slava Ukrainii



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,844 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    If they plan another round of mobilisation, a false flag like the apartment bombings may help keep the public onside.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,766 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    photo_2022-12-31 22.12.31.jpeg

    This is another big exchange that we managed to carry out - 140 people are returning home


    Among them are the wounded, as well as the defenders of Mariupol, Zmeinyi Island, volunteers of the TRO from Slavutych, fathers and sons who were in captivity together, as well as ours from the Bakhmut direction.


    82 soldiers of the Armed Forces, 15 from the TRO, 22 from the National Guard, 11 from the Navy and 10 from the State Border Guard Service.


    132 men and 8 women, 22 officers and 118 sergeants and soldiers...

    Great news for the new year.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,568 ✭✭✭✭TheValeyard


    I tell you what. You go find them and report back here.

    Looks like I picked the wrong week to quit sniffing glue



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,766 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    I think you will find that is not the case and that they are amongst the worlds' most accomplished openers of windows, appreciators of Cathedral architecture and dispensors of highly active radio isotopes.

    Ukrainian authorities on Wednesday announced the "neutralization" of a team of the Russian Federal Security Service (FSB) who were preparing to assassinate commanders of the Ukrainian Army's special operations forces.

    The Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) has indicated in a message on its Telegram account that the operation has been carried out by the Counterintelligence Department and added that the arrests have taken place in the capital Kiev and in the Sumy region. Nov 9



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 890 ✭✭✭Ultimanemo


    Russian propaganda fake video

    Post edited by Ultimanemo on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,766 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    Every day of sanctions for the war in Ukraine "cost" Russian oligarchs $330m, The Guardian


    The combined losses of oligarchs close to Russian President Vladimir Putin are estimated at $95bn.


    Roman Abramovich was the hardest hit, with his fortune shrinking by 57% to $7.8bn.

    That's a shame.................................that their losses haven't been greater.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 954 ✭✭✭junkyarddog


    I don't think Prigozhin would be eligible due to the rule that nobody with a criminal record can be russian president.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,473 ✭✭✭Jinglejangle69




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,766 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    Video shows a wounded soldier, and an amazing heroine.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,568 ✭✭✭✭TheValeyard


    Looks like I picked the wrong week to quit sniffing glue



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,473 ✭✭✭Jinglejangle69




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,568 ✭✭✭✭TheValeyard


    I wont publish links without them getting verified first.

    Looks like I picked the wrong week to quit sniffing glue



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 890 ✭✭✭Ultimanemo


    Russian propaganda fake video





  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,556 ✭✭✭bennyineire


    Or maybe they weren't false flag operations but indeed actual terrorist's attacks. People seem to forget how brutal that war was on the local population



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,012 ✭✭✭✭Say my name




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,766 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    The 'Witch' of Bakhmut. I have no idea what she's saying, but I'm in awe that she doesn't even blink when things go bang.


    She does seem kind hearted and generous in helping to deliver gifts and kind messages to the losers on the other team.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,766 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    If cute could kill...



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,208 ✭✭✭jmreire


    Nope, the 3 apartment block bombings were Boris Yeltsin's way to project his protégé Vladimir Putin into the spotlight, and pave the way for him to be elected President. The Chechens were blamed for the bombings and deaths, and Putin was portrayed as the man to "solve" the Chechen problem. And it worked, as history has shown. The 4th planned apartment bombing did not happen because a by now vigilant Russian population were on the alert, and caught the bombers in the act of placing the bomb in the building, and called the police. The bombers were not Chechens, but the Russian Security Services, and the whole episode was passed off as training exercise, with the bombs containing only sugar. But if the apartment bombings were not caried out by Chechens, they did carry out other attacks, largely in response to Russian atrocities in Chechnya. There was the Nord-Ost Theatre hi-jacking, an open air rock concert double suicide bombing in Moscow, and the horrific Beslan School hi-jacking.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,766 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    A happy new year to all, particularly Ukraine.



This discussion has been closed.
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