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Take one player from each province

135

Comments

  • Posts: 2,692 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    The only thing that id worry about munster is that they dont seem to have a ton of good props coming through like leinster. However, their senior props are generally quite young .



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,996 ✭✭✭✭Clegg


    Jamie Osborne is being slept on a bit here. In terms of young Irish backs I think he has the highest potential. He turned 21 just two weeks ago but already has 22 caps for Leinster.

    Has an extremely well rounded skill set already and generally doesn't seem to get panicked into making poor decisions. Just needs to settle on a position, be it 13 or 15. He even played well on the occasions he was asked to step in as a wing.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,851 ✭✭✭✭aloooof


    It’s definitely our weakest position and has been for awhile now.

    Hooker is relatively promising with Barron and Buckley.

    But I think the prop positions are prime candidates for an NIQ player post-RWC if the budget allows, while the likes of Knox, Salanoa and Josh Wycherley get more experience. They only have 27 starts between them.



  • Posts: 2,692 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    I dont know if he has it athletically at an elite level but i find that backs are the hardest to figure out.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,992 ✭✭✭TRC10


    Leinster

    Connacht: It's tricky. Aki is brilliant but we're stacked at 12 with Henshaw, Ngatai and Frawley. Hansen is good but we have Lowe. I'll go for Prendergast

    Munster: I would have said Beirne to play 6. But I had to pick a Connacht player and Prendergast was the only one I'd consider taking. So I'll take Crowley

    Ulster: Would have said Henderson but were fairly well sorted at lock with Jenkins and Ryan. I'll go for Baloucoune to give us the game breaker in the backs that we lack.

    I'm going to pick an Irishman playing abroad as well. I'll go for James Cronin.



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  • Posts: 2,519 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Top 5 U23 at Leinster is pretty strong too - I'd probably go for Ryan Baird, Joe McCarthy, Scott Penny, Harry Byrne and Jamie Osborne.

    Three guys in there who have already been capped internationally, plus two who were in the squad this November.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,148 ✭✭✭Hey_Ho_Lets_Go_3


    Below that you have James Culhane, Jack Boyle, Alex Soroka, Sam Prendergast/Charlie Tector, Ben Brownlee.



  • Posts: 2,692 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    That is strong but i’m still taking the 5 from munster. Crowley and Casey alone at such important positions is massive.

    However, the fact that it is even an argument is a different ball game from a few years ago. This would have been obviously leinster any time in the last ten years probably.

    Of the 5 guys named there btw, i think i’m higher on baird and byrne (at this point ) than most people, but lower on penny and osborne.



  • Posts: 2,519 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    It's subjective. I would argue Baird & McCarthy are ahead of Ahern and Edogbo obviously; both are full internationals at this point and Baird in particular has played a lot of European rugby and has racked up 8 Ireland caps.

    Scott Penny is indisputably ahead of John Hodnett imo at this point in both of their careers, and I rate Hodnett very highly. But Penny has played more games (41 versus 27), scored an incredible amount of tries (23) and been called into the Ireland squad this November, alongside being the Pro14 Young Player of the Year in 2021 and being named in the Team of the Season.

    Harry Byrne v Jack Crowley is an interesting debate. Byrne is a year older, but has played a lot more rugby (despite his well documented injury problems). It's not that long ago that he was the great white hope for the future at 10, and if he can remain healthy then by no means is it settled that he's out of the reckoning.

    That leaves Craig Casey - indisputably the best established of all 10 players, who looks a bonafide star player and a guy who will pick up 50 caps+, and Jamie Osborne. I'm sky high on Osborne - think he has all the physical tools he'll need for a player so young, and will have a big couple of weeks coming up hopefully playing against Ulster this weekend and then European games after that.



  • Posts: 2,692 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Yea, i’m just plainly going by who i think has more upside. If we were ranking guys over 23 yea, but i dont think what they have done matters as much as what they will do… as well as the rarity of the skill set.

    If i was ranking all those guys together, it would probably be…

    1 Crowley

    2 Casey

    3 Ahern

    4 McCarthy

    gap

    5 Edogbo

    6 Baird (and i think of him as a 6)

    7 Byrne

    8 Osborne

    gap

    9 Hodnett

    10 Penny

    Edogbo is closer to the top group than bottom, and hodnett closer to middle.

    i really dont rate penny that much. I’d put Boyle in that 5 over him and he’d be higher on the list. I think hodnett clearly has more upside.

    edit: actually i might make the top 6 one group all with elite potential.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,851 ✭✭✭✭aloooof


    Scott Penny is indisputably ahead of John Hodnett imo at this point in both of their careers, and I rate Hodnett very highly. But Penny has played more games (41 versus 27), scored an incredible amount of tries (23) and been called into the Ireland squad this November, alongside being the Pro14 Young Player of the Year in 2021 and being named in the Team of the Season.

    I’d dispute that. ;)

    It’s marginal, to my mind. Hodnett has had his injury troubles which accounts for the difference in games and I don’t really think the URC awards have told us much historically. For example, Billy Holland and Kevin O’Byrne were on the team of the season just 2 seasons ago, for example. Penny’s try-scoring record is impressive tho.

    At the moment, I’d find it difficult to say who has the higher ceiling. And in the short to medium term, Hodnett has the advantage of not having to contend with VdF and the returning Connors for game time.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,595 ✭✭✭✭CIARAN_BOYLE


    I see what people mean about Osbourne. He is so young and has had so little gametime I understand anyone having doubts.


    He only just turned 21 about 2 weeks ago.


    He needs to perform at a high level in high level games to convince people.


    I do wonder if he will get a run in a full strength leinster side (due to injuries in the centre). If so he could have a very good month. As D'Arcy put it on OTB start vs Ulster, keep his place vs Racing and Gloucester and with a few good performances suddenly he is up there for the six nations squad.


    That said Nagati could be back from injury or Lowe and Larmor could come come back and push JOB to centre and Osbourne might not get any game time in the next month.



  • Posts: 2,692 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    My doubts are based on his size/athleticism. He doesnt seem that big or that fast.

    Take that with a giant pinch of salt though. Young backs are hard to figure.



  • Posts: 2,519 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Yeah, but the very fact that Penny competes for gametime and yet has racked up way more minutes for Leinster is a major plus for him, granted though Hodnett has missed time with injuries. Penny made his debut for Leinster well over a year before Hodnett (Nov '18 v Feb '20), despite being c. 8 months younger.

    Penny significantly outplayed him when they were both opposite each other as recently as October in the Aviva, when Penny would have been my MotM on the day. I think Penny would start for Munster, ahead of Hodnett or Kendellen.

    You can ignore the individual honours if you want, but he's also been closer to Irish recognition, being called into the full Ireland squad for the Fiji game this Autumn and making the A squad for the NZ A game.

    As I said, it's subjective, and they're both excellent players in my view, but to me, I don't buy into the notion that that young Leinster group are inferior.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,595 ✭✭✭✭CIARAN_BOYLE


    I'd agree that he isn't quiet fast enough to be a winger. That said he pretty fast and can read a game wonderfully which can mean that he just appears in the right spot.


    In terms of size he is almost 6 foot 4 which is very tall for a back. He will probably bulk up a few more kilos over his career but he is 95kg already. That's a little light for his size.



  • Posts: 2,519 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Yea, i’m just plainly going by who i think has more upside. If we were ranking guys over 23 yea, but i dont think what they have done matters as much as what they will do… as well as the rarity of the skill set.

    Well unless you've got a crystal ball, I don't think we can rank them on what they will do.

    There is a fair bit of recency bias in your analysis - I doubt if you were making the exact same evaluation at the start of September you'd have had Jack Crowley ranked as No 1. Similarly, you're probably a bit high on Edogbo for a guy who has played 6 games, starting 2 of them (7 & 3 including SA A).

    You're free to form whatever view you like of the players, but there is no evidence based on their performances to date at this point in their careers that justifies the rankings you've given out.



  • Posts: 2,692 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    I’ve had Crowley number one for a while. I spent most of last year hoping Ulster could get him when JvG wouldn't play him. 10 is the most important position and in my opinion he has everything. I like Byrne as well but durability is a real concern with him.

    Edogbo has an extremely rare skillset and Penny does not. That matters alot to me. More than caps pre 23.



  • Posts: 2,519 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    I’ve had Crowley number one for a while.

    We'll just have to take your word for that.

    I like Edogbo, but haven't seen enough of him yet to form a view. I'd be higher on Ahern than him. As powerful as he looks, I would have concerns that's he's possibly too heavy to be a lineout presence and possibly a little too short too at 6ft 5.

    Penny has done pretty well to make his debut for the European Champions two months past his 19th birthday and amass in excess of 40 caps since then (scoring 23 tries) for a guy who doesn't have a rare skillset.

    How lucky we are that players like him just grow on trees apparently.



  • Subscribers, Paid Member Posts: 43,569 ✭✭✭✭sydthebeat


    jaysus, id describe a back rower who has a try scoring rate of 1 in 2 as having an extremely rare and valuable skill set.

    Edogbo has a rare physique and athleticism for a 19 year old, but i haven't seen anything yet in his skillset, in the 6 pro games hes played, that id describe as "rare"



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,595 ✭✭✭✭CIARAN_BOYLE


    You make a fair comment about Edogbo's size. I'll draw your attention to Brad Thorn and Will Skelton.


    No one would deny that they are (or were) amazing locks. Neither routinely jumped at lineout time.


    I'm not saying he can't jump (he can) but there will definitely be people who are ahead of him as a jumper and he may be limited as a threat on opposition ball.


    I'll also say that one of the reasons Edogbo is getting so much hype is because we haven't produced a lock of his style before.



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  • Posts: 2,692 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    I’d describe most of Penny’s tries as tries that were going to be scored anyway. Doris has an elite rare skillset.

    Physique, size and athleticism are part of your skillset imo.

    We have like two true tighthead lock prospects. That’s rare.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,992 ✭✭✭TRC10


    I’d describe most of Penny’s tries as tries that were going to be scored anyway.

    I'm sorry but this makes no sense. How come every openside doesn't average a try every other game in that case? Most wingers would dream of having his strike rate.



  • Posts: 2,692 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    We might just have to agree to disagree. I think you could RELATIVELY easily replace Penny’s game compared to Edogbo when he is fully developed.

    Tighthead locks are rare, especially potentially elite ones, so I rate them higher. Scarcity affects how good a player you are relative to your peers.

    To put this another way, Boyle in the leinster academy is not someone they’d give up for someone at another province with alot of production at a young age. Props with his ability at his age, and seemingly all the tools are rare. He isn’t a porter level prospect but its still rarer than most back rows.



  • Posts: 2,692 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    He is good at scoring tries from close in. However, tries from close in generally get scored anyway. I’d say the same for Coombes.

    It’s an overrated skill. It’s a real skill, just overrated.



  • Posts: 2,519 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Yeah, I agree with that. And I would be high on him as a player. He has a great doggedness about him that's needed in packs today, and seems to have good ability over the ball on the deck. He looks a powerful unit when scrummaging and especially on defensive mauls.

    But we haven't seen much of him as a carrier yet, and he is not credited with a single line out win all season in his 6 appearances. So if you're carrying a non-jumping lock, they pretty much have to be a massively dominating Skelton-like presence because you're losing a jumper out of your pack.



  • Posts: 2,692 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Are lineout wins only on opposition ball? I’m almost certain I’ve seen him catch multiple times in the lineout.



  • Posts: 2,519 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    This is nonsense, and is perfectly illustrative of the kind of hypocrisy of your analysis.

    If the two groups of players we were comparing were at different points in their careers, like one set of 5 were well established internationals at the peak of their careers and the others were Academy players, it wouldn't be acceptable to compare their actual achievements.

    But we're not.

    We're comparing here two sets of players who are of the same vintage, 23 years old and under.

    You're dismissing the facts around the actual achievements of the Leinster group because it doesn't suit your narrative, and basing it all on your beliefs / projections as to what kind of players they might become.

    I'm saying, judge them on what they've done so far, first and foremost, because that's not speculative and is much more objective.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,922 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    Leinster....

    .....

    .....

    .....

    Honestly, drawn a blank.

    But seriously, I'd have Iain Henderson, Mack Hansen and I'd also take Joey Carbery back on condition that nobody speak of the last four years ever again.



  • Posts: 2,519 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    https://www.unitedrugby.com/clubs/munster/edwin-edogbo - I was basing it on this, but i think from comparing it, that it seems the line outs won stat is based on hooker's throwing in, so it would only indicate he hasn't stolen one.

    I can't recall him winning many, but you could be right that he has won some.

    It doesn't change the point that at 6ft 5 and 122kgs, he's not exactly ideal lineout jumping material.



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  • Posts: 2,692 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    I’m dismissing Penny’s achievements because I don’t rate his skillset.

    I’ve already explained that I rate skillset (and scarcity of that skillset) way over caps at under 23s and an ability to score close in tries.

    Which part of that is hypocritical? I don’t care what these guys have done already except as a vehicle to see their potential. You disagree. That’s fine but don’t bs me about hypocrisy because you don’t like my POV.



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