Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email us on hello@boards.ie for help. Thanks :)
Hello all! Please ensure that you are posting a new thread or question in the appropriate forum. The Feedback forum is overwhelmed with questions that are having to be moved elsewhere. If you need help to verify your account contact hello@boards.ie

Softening house market?

18687899192145

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2


    In fairness, the Central Bank make decisions independent of government. Although there has been pressure from government via the media for them to loosen the rules.

    Political reaction to this will be interesting to watch, and the Central Bank's statement will be too.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 89 ✭✭triddles




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2


    And more of his/her income will be going on a mortgage repayment for the next few decades at the stroke of a pen for reason only known to the Central Bank. And that's if all goes well. Probably competing for lower quality housing stock also. Not good news.

    This is a direct transfer to those to developers taking a fatter margin on new builds, those already who own property, and ulimately the banking sector.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,070 ✭✭✭MrMusician18


    It's of absolutely no use to any purchaser because more credit is available to all - it doesn't give anyone an edge. That was the idea with 4.5x exemptions - those would have an edge over the rest of the market.

    Giving everyone access to more money only benefits vendors. It doesn't address competition in the market and tbh it's unlikely to increase new build supply (which is really what this measure is seemingly meant to do). It is akin to pouring petrol on the market and is utterly reckless of our CB.

    All it will ensure is that those in the 50-70 cohort get fatter inheritances, developers make more profit, the property merry go round with associated hangers on keeps turning and that those seeking a family home and stability carry even more debt.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2


    The only rationale is that it might increase supply, but the mechanism they're using to do it is to directly dip into the pockets of first-time-buyers and people trading up to their second home.

    The construction sector is at full-capacity in any case, difficult to see how this could really increase supply.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,070 ✭✭✭MrMusician18


    I fully agree. It won't work and it can't work because it's increasing lending to chase inflation.

    The CBs big idea is that because wages aren't keeping pace with building inflation we have to allow borrowers to borrow more so that builders can afford to build houses and sell at a profit. But building construction inflation is showing no signs of slowing and we have a concrete levy coming, so what happens 12 months down the line when builders complain of the same issues again? Will the CB display the same imagination and just allow more money to flood the market?

    The point that they draw the line will be the point the bubble bursts.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    This sh*tshow is only starting. Unless one absolutely has to and has no other choice, why would you buy a house now. You'll have even more negative equity to look forward to. Mortgage applications have been way down the last few months. Is that because of affordability issues? I'm not so sure, people have copped on and know things are about to change. This shouldn't change anyones decision to hold off buying. People had lost faith in the market and I can't see why this decision would entice someone to buy a house. Taking on more debt at higher interest rates. Waiting for the replies, people need to move on with their life etc, blah blah blah.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    This might sound mad, but this actually could lead to more houses being built as the spoilt developers will feel they will be able to charge higher prices. I really hope anyone that can hold off buying does, don't buy in this trap the government and developers are setting.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,817 ✭✭✭✭Cyrus


    But people do have lives to live , if you are an investor sure wait it out, if you have a family and need your own home then you may not have a choice.

    as I’ve said before people have been saying similar for the past 5 or 6 years, we are still waiting on the predicted sh1tshow as you call it. It’s closer now than it was then but it probably won’t take the form you expect anyway.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    As I said if people need to buy then go ahead. Take on even more debt at higher interest rates, we'll see how well living their life goes then. Unless one is about to be made homeless, and can afford to pay these crazy prices then I'd hold off.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,817 ✭✭✭✭Cyrus


    The alternative is pay higher rent in most cases and have no security of accommodation, the benefits to owning your own home are more than a solely financial decision, it’s like having kids if you ran the numbers no one would do it!

    anyway your point remains but people have been making that point for some time now, could be waiting a while to tell everyone I told you so:



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 76 ✭✭Cllr_Dermod_Fahy


    Can you please tell me where, a new build can be bought for 250k? And if you do find me somewhere new costing 250k, please let me know if people can expect to earn 50k there.

    For a person on the average industrial wage of 50k it will give them another 25k. With the HTB and a deposit it will allow the to purchase at the 250k bracket. Repayments @3% would being the 1250/month.

    Conservative borrowing rules or not, it doesn't change the number of houses being built. Houses are still being bought by first time buyers.

    It will make a big difference to those couples paying significant rent in the 80-100k total income who may be squeezed out of buying

    And also in response to this, how does this help? There aren't any extra houses built because of this rule change. So a couple combined earnings of 100k will now get a mortgage for 400k rather than 350k. So let's say a house costing 440k now. A couple currently on 115k combined salary can buy that house. So loosening the rules does allow the 100k couple to now buy, but it just means that the couple earning 115k have competition now and can be left without. Houses are currently being bought by first time buyers. If houses were left unsold then yeah, expanding the limit would make sense but there isn't.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 76 ✭✭Cllr_Dermod_Fahy


    We have heard this over and over again, that giving developers more money will make them build more houses. The reason government brought in the help to buy was to push prices up to improve margins for them. Then they upped it to 30k. Guess what, builders are still planning on cutting back so they can still charge insane prices. All this talk of not being profitable for builders yet wait and you see, builders will be posting record profits next year.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 132 ✭✭AySeeDoubleYeh


    Unfortunately, this is absolutely the case. You just need to look at home ownership rates for 40s and under in this country. Lots of families looking to buy, and plenty more putting family on hold until they can secure a property.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 132 ✭✭AySeeDoubleYeh


    Also, to those trying to spin this, take a look at yourselves. It shouldn't be difficult to acknowledge how this impacts the population - including those who will benefit from it.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    I didnt know you couldn't start a family while renting?



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    I posted about these record profits just on Monday........



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,901 ✭✭✭thomas 123


    Anyone know when the 4x comes into effect?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 132 ✭✭AySeeDoubleYeh


    What type of properties do you think they're renting? And - even those who are prepared and willing to rent - what availability is there? And what is the cost?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,603 ✭✭✭Padre_Pio


    You can, but many people don't like the idea of having children in insecure accommodation. A lot of couples don't live together until they buy, since the cost of co-renting with a partner is absurd.

    You may notice that a lot of people tend to buy a house, get married, and have a baby all in a very short amount of time.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,666 ✭✭✭✭rob316


    Lol it's going to end in tears again. 3.5 was the only thing keeping a lid on this, we are about to explode past Celtic tiger prices. The government have been lobbying the central bank to ease up for years, get this lot out now before anymore damage is done to housing.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,901 ✭✭✭thomas 123


    Security is the biggest factor by a long shot. Imagine having a baby then suddenly the landlords cousin comes back from Thailand and needs the house.

    Maybe ten years ago renting and starting a family would be possible. Absolutely bonkers to try it now.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Believe or not there are people who are not paying massive rent, my Wife and I included. We are renting a 3 bedroom house for €1200 per month. People that are renting for years are lucky, many landlords haven't been greedy particularly to good tenant's who respect their house and keep it clean. If we were to buy right now our mortgage would be significantly higher with negative equity awaiting us. We will wait and see, let the posters who say rent is dead money begin. I know people living in prefabs and mobile homes on sites where they are building their house which could take between 12 and 18 months. Yes it is possible to bring up a family this way....



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Yes, of course I realize this. This is the norm in normal circumstances, seeing as their is a crisis at the moment things are far from normal for many.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,817 ✭✭✭✭Cyrus




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,603 ✭✭✭Padre_Pio


    Different strokes for different folks I suppose, and it depends on where you are and what you're looking for. I recently bought a house.

    Our rent was the same as yours, and the mortgage is the same again. It's nice knowing that every month I'll own a few more bricks in the house. Negative equity is only a problem if you need to sell.

    Renting is great, lots of flexibility, zero responsibilty. I've rented for the past 10+ years and barely spent a penny on house upkeep. The boiler and underfloor went last year, I doubt our LL made any money from us.



  • Administrators Posts: 55,019 Admin ✭✭✭✭✭awec


    You must surely realise that you are the exception, not the norm, right?

    €1200 per month for a 3 bed house is insanely low in this market, this is absolutely not normal and a million miles from what the overwhelming majority of renters are facing right now.

    What would you do if your landlord told you tomorrow they are selling?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,121 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    This is precisely it. The state is NOT making decisions to benefit the Irish people, and voting in another set of neoliberals or lefty useful idiots will change that.

    Ireland 2022 is a pension fund with a flag,



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 132 ✭✭AySeeDoubleYeh


    Nobody said it was impossible, but nor is it the norm to have a great deal on a 3-bed rental tied up. It's great that it worked out for you - sincerely - but not everyone has been so fortunate.



  • Advertisement
  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Believe it or not, many people haven't gotten a ridiculously under market rent like yourselves so your situation is borderline irrelevant to any family looking to buy.



This discussion has been closed.
Advertisement