Russia - threadbanned users in OP

If anything, that could describe Russia's Summer offensive. Tried to shell their way across the Donbas, only to be halted, and are now being driven back.

No .

Russia is losing at the rate of men and equipment they simply cannot maintain in any term short -medium,

Equipment alone has set back the Russian military decades , yesterday they apparently lost 40 + tanks in one day add that to the thousands of tanks,APCs and fighting vehicles they have already lost over the last 7 months,you have to look back to WW2 to see these kind of losses in any military forces,

Meanwhile Ukraine has been turning people away from the army and recruitment offices because they now operate with a surplus of men ,they have more artillery,tanks, vehicles and aircraft than they did pre invasion -

The Ukrainans are fighting and want to fight where the Russians not receiving any real training,and properly equipment before being dumped in Ukraine and told to fight

Ukraine are turning people away while thousands of others are being trained by Nato forces, Russia is scraping the barrel already and we're only 7 months in and by all accounts the losses for ukraine are less than the 60,000 + Russians killed and a similar number wounded and incapacitated

Respectfully, I do not agree. When Ukraine liberates its south areas, Crimea is effectively cut off from Russia. The Kerch bridge will be unusable, only way to re-supply Russian troops in Crimea is by the sea, with significant risks.

Plus they make such good video clips when they explode. Like a jack-in-the-box.

They're relying on alcoholics and retirees to get another 300,000, the country would be anarchy if they try to conscript many more (they also need people to work as well, this conflict will be a huge brain drain).

They could try running as one big group towards Kyiv in order to strangle Zelensky. Think of the rolling news coverage.

The Ardennes offensive was reversed because the huge Allied air force that had total air superiority was grounded for the first few days by bad weather, once the weather cleared, it was "clobberin' time." The Germans were also short of men, supplies - particularly petrol; the plan envisaged raiding American fuel dumps along the route of advance - and time because of Soviet advances in the east. None of these constraints apply to the Ukrainians, so while the attack will almost surely run out of steam at some point - unless the Russian army disintegrates completely first, which I wouldn't rule out completely, it's hard to see what the Russians are going to bounce back with.

Re “—— calls for escalation ——“. It may not be as simple as that. Are you not aware , in Ireland, when the opposition might continually argue that gov should be spending much more than it is in some sectors/ should be paying higher amounts on something, etc . But when the opposition gets in it does not do what in was shouting about when it was in opposition and the reason is a or b or c. If on,y we had the money., etc, etc.

so maybe those Ru saying Putin should escalate to nuclear are hoping that if he does that it will bring him down and his replacement might be a bit more pragmatic and start on the LONG ——————- —————————————————————————————————-, LONG , LONG ROAD to healing fences

If Putin decides to use those WMD , be it a nuclear strike or chemical weapons, he has been warned in no uncertain terms what the response will be and that is, he will not have any military worthy of the name. Navy and air force gone completely. as be any land based assets. His successor will want to be very stupid or crazy, to continue Putins mad vision, and invite further destruction on Russia. Plus, if it goes down to the wire like that, how would Russians themselves react? Revolt? or what?

600000-700000 people have already fled the country since the "partial" mobilisation was called.

Russia doesn't have modern gear for all of their current troops, any mobilised reserves will have even worse gear. Maybe they'll be able to form new units by next spring, but they won't be well equipped.

And Ukraine have reserves too,

They could try to mobilise all 140 million souls in the Russian Federation, but it would make no difference. Once Ukraine restores its territorial integrity, as it is well on the way to doing, no other force in the World will be able to take it again, not with ummatchable western weapons and technology.

It will become the hardest frontier on the planet, eclipsing the Korean peninsula and Ukraine's permanent reserve force will be in the millions, along with a rejuvenated Air Force as well as the very best in offensive and defensive missile technology.

Russia cannot match any of this, short of the dreaded nuclear attack and if that happens, all they do is sign their own literal and political death warrants and end the Russian Federation as an entity, forever.