Russia - threadbanned users in OP

"The total losses of the Rashists according to the General Staff for the week (September 19-September 25).

▪️personnel — minus 2220.

▪️aircraft — minus 8.

▪️helicopters — minus 3.

▪️tanks — minus 65.

▪️OTR UAV — minus 48.

▪️ACM (armored combat vehicles) — minus 114.

▪️Air defense — minus 3.

▪️MLRS — minus 16.

▪️art systems — minus 59.

▪️automotive equipment and tanks with fuel and lubricants — minus 123;

▪️special equipment (radar) — minus 8.

And this is not counting the wounded and captured katsaps + trophy equipment. "

That is quite a rate of attrition. Long may it continue.

But the Russians are the equivalent of a nutcase with a grenade in their hand threatening to pull the pin.

Also, the regime is threatening to use nuclear weapons in pursuit of their aim of colonising a neighbouring country. Nobody has ever threatened Russia with invasion. They're effectively saying "Let us wipe out Ukraine or we will nuke everyone".

Those orange dots indicate fires that were captured by NASA's satellite 12-24 hours ago. During summer these can often by wildfires but now they are most definitely strikes by the Ukrainian army on Russian positions.

Searching Twitter for that city name it appears to have been a strike on either a Wagner base or an ammunition depot.

Either way, given how far that is from behind the front-line it was almost certainly the work of HIMARs

This happens, there's no point at all in having a threat if you're not willing to implement it. It's how major conflicts start, people make mistakes, there are red lines. The alternative is equal chaos.

What 'spirit of war'? I would think the Ukrainians maybe planning a very fiery welcome for new conscripts arriving - to get the message back that really this ain't a great idea and 10 years in jail might be preferable. Reported today that new law also passed of 10 years for surrendering. You'd have to see the actual wording, but if it applies to soldiers surrendering against the odds in battle, it'd be completely daft. Who would serve under those conditions of obligatory death/ serious injury?

No, but they have been considering it officially since 1st September.

Well I suspect 50% of them will die of alcohol poisoning before they even make it Ukraine judging by the videos posted since the call up.

If these new recruits could meet a really hot welcome wonder what the chances are of a fair degree of panic that might make the rest think twice about what is happening and revolt I know that is a long shot but I do think the army and people have to turn on Putin in big numbers to maybe bring him down .

I wonder if the Russians are going to try for Kyiv again with their extra manpower.

As much as a mess the 40km convoy was, it did mean that the Ukrainians were tied up with a potential assault on the city. And it's not as if the Russians give a crap about high personnel losses.

One of the biggest problems I see for the Russians is that they are clearly low on transport vehicles. We keep on seeing videos of ancient Z emblazoned buses being blown up.

Maybe they have notions of the new recruitsbmarching across Ukraine on foot?

Seems like Dagestan is saying a big fat no to mobilisation, lots of protests and fighting with local police, search #dagestan on Twitter

They probably are realising that whilst complete villages of men are being mobilised there that a fraction are being called up in Moscow and St. Petersburg.

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/09/24/world/europe/ukraine-south-kherson-russia.html

Whoever's commanding the Ukrainian forces in this part of the front should be sacked.

There are dozens of Russian videos like the above showing Ukrainian forces advancing in completely open ground and taking heavy losses.

From a Russian legal point of view they couldn't.

Russian law dictates that conscripts cannot be sent to fight outside Russia. Apparently one of the goals of the referenda was to make it so that it would be legal to send all of the conscripts being mobilised to the front lines without breaking that law. Since Kyiv (and Kharkiv) will still be considered part of Ukraine, conscripts wouldn't be allowed to be sent there.

Now obviously they could always just create a new law if they wanted but for now it doesn't look likely.

Supposed we haven't had the daily pro Russian update in a few days .

Whoever's commanding the Ukrainian forces in this part of the front should be sacked

There's always going to loses and casualties can't sack commanders every time a soldier gets killed.

Its not done Russia any good now had it