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Irish Property Market chat II - *read mod note post #1 before posting*

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,025 ✭✭✭growleaves


    The price to income ratio for housing is much lower in most of the US, mainly due to the reserve status of the dollar and the deflationary effect that has, and there are arguably more opportunities to get rich in the US.

    You can get a two-bed condo in Florida for €175,000 ($180,000). If you earn e.g. $60,000 p.a. and pay 20-30% tax that is cheaper than here.

    Price to income ratio for Dublin is 1:9. That's more expensive than New York, San Francisco, Las Vegas and Miami.

    In Dallas it's 1:3.8; Chicago 1:3: Minneapolis 1:2.7; Tampa 1:4.1.

    So housing in Minneapolis is over three times less expensive than Dublin is, and it has a huge, thriving economy.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,612 ✭✭✭fliball123


    yeah I have been looking at that and I had a builder quote me to do some work for me at the end of last year paid the deposit and said he couldnt start till march and then I was quoted 40% extra in March. I said thanks but no thanks and he said he has been giving back deposits left right and center due to the costs shooting up. He reckoned a lot of the vanity projects are now on hold until costs drop and only jobs that are necessary and people who have so much money they will not care about a recession are getting work done, anecdotal but he was flat out busy there right up until March got a call there last week with a 10% drop in the price he quoted back in March, I once again said thanks but no thanks I said call me when its gone down past 40% :)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,025 ✭✭✭growleaves


    Melbourne, Perth and Christchurch, New Zealand also have significantly lower price to income multiples than Dublin

    No big discount for moving to Canada as far as I'm aware.

    Also if you can save a big deposit here, the money will go a lot further in Spain, Portugal, Turkey - though you may be on lower wages thereafter.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,932 ✭✭✭yagan


    I've relative who recently moved back from Florida and she's lived in a good many US states. She had a typical three bed in Orlando that only sold for about the same as she paid 15 years, but in those 15 years her combined annual property taxes went from about $9.000 to $16.000. It might be a low sales tax state which would have tourists raving about it but it is expensive for residents.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,390 ✭✭✭✭Bass Reeves


    As well as that no need of heating systems in Florida, Nit much insulation needed. Aircon much cheaper to install that a heating system. Maybe not as much living area either as you patio/deck functions as another room or two.

    In the states wood is used to a much greater degree than Ireland. I think it can go to 85 feet. Balcony's can be done with timber as well remember the one that collapsed in the San Francisco

    Slava Ukrainii



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,932 ✭✭✭yagan


    She spends a lot less on heating in Ireland (even with the war prices) than she spent on aircon in Florida. If you lived there you'd know the aircon is needed both day and night for a lot of the year there.

    Happy holiday types just don't see the living costs in the US.

    Meanwhile in China...

    Untitled Image




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,839 ✭✭✭mcsean2163




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,839 ✭✭✭mcsean2163


    Great way for young people to get out in the world.

    https://youtu.be/RArS00O1NHk

    Have to respect the lady, she's been living in her car for about three years. I wonder if that is where we're headed. It's actually really sad, she reminds of I girl I knew...



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,603 ✭✭✭tigger123


    Thats so **** depressing.

    These are the kinds of outcomes that leads to populist parties being elected.

    We're just storing up so many problems for the future.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,909 ✭✭✭Villa05


    I don't think there are too many that expect society to provide them with a home. If we had a government that did not at every chance implement policy that further increased property prices, so many more people would be able to afford their own home be it rent or purchase

    If we had a properly functioning market, would so many people need to emigrate to afford a place to live. Are you saying that you studied and worked abroad to enable a house purchase in Ireland. Should you not be able to study and work in Ireland to afford a place in Ireland



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  • Posts: 14,769 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    It is simplistic to think that the Government is solely at fault for house prices, and that they/SF will make it so you will be able to buy. Ireland has full employment with many high paying jobs, and the highest population since the famine. We also don’t have enough houses, which for the most part are built by private developers, the pariah of the last recession, because they borrowed/speculated and built too many houses too quickly. Who can forget the “ghost estates” left unfinished because there were no buyers/developers went bust. Let’s also remember we have just emerged from a 2 yr pandemic during which building stalled, that was hardly the Government’s fault.

    This is not new, but it seems people still ignore the facts and look to attach blame.

    See, there you go again, should I not have been able to work/study here? There were better opportunities to do both abroad, even as a new graduate in my early 20s, I was mature enough, and had enough savvy to realise there were better opportunities abroad, and to get what a I wanted, I left Ireland. Both my older kids have done the same, neither think they should be able to stay here to progress their careers/earn and save enough to return if they want to. Like me, they don’t think they are owed anything by anyone.

    In a properly functioning market, where demand outstrips supply, prices rise. When the cost of providing goods and services rise, the cost to the consumer rises. When you bid on a commodity against someone paid more than you and with more savings, in a properly functioning market the highest bidder wins. Where the State is under pressure to provide social housing, in a properly functioning market they become the biggest fish in the pond. So saying it’s all the Government’s fault is to discount that your fellow domestic buyers for the most part are the ones bidding against you, and the State are buying social housing because there is huge pressure on them to do so.

    So again, stop waiting for someone to help you, when more houses come on stream, there will probably be buyers with more money than you in Dublin, so broaden your search, help yourself.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 132 ✭✭AySeeDoubleYeh


    "I had enough savvy" 😂😂😂😂😂😂

    It's the kids that are wrong, alright, no doubt about it. If only today's kids-I mean people in their late 30s-had the savvy you had.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,909 ✭✭✭Villa05


    @Dav010

    Long post, but you dodged the underlying question. Should those for the most part that study and work in Ireland be able to afford a home in Ireland?

    You acknowledge full employment, therefore one can accept that very few expect society to provide them with a home

    You acknowledge ghost estates at the start of this cycle therefore government had a significant head start on the supply demand imbalance and get significant advance notice of new high paying jobs. This gives significant time to plan housing supply.

    Where is the logic in saying one type of housing was ok to proceed during the pandemic while another is not?

    Broadening your search is a solution, but it should not be the only solution as you will end up back at the ghost estate situation you were at at the start of the cycle.

    Don't be a disciple for the insanity that brought this country to its knees and had our government sending it's begging bowl to some of the poorest countries in the eu

    Housing should be built where it is needed with a range of product for each income level. Private provision with state subsidies that only cater for the top 20 to 30% of income earners is not sustainable.

    At full employment with some very high wages never before seen in this country and the lowest interest rates and still almost every house in the country is subsidised by the taxpayer.

    Our homes are high value because of insane policies that attack and handicap our children. It not a result of our personal genius and foresight, far from it



  • Posts: 14,769 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    The alternative is to stay put, griping that you are being hard-done-by. That might be ok for you, not for others though who realise, who are savvy enough to see that if you don’t help yourself, you deserve to be where you are.



  • Posts: 14,769 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Sorry, let me answer the “underlying question”, should you be able to afford a home in Ireland? That depends on how much you earn, where you want to live, and the availability of property at a price you can afford. If you can’t afford it, then no, there should not be any guarantee that you should be able to afford to live where you want.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,909 ✭✭✭Villa05


    If you can't afford a home, you rent which is far more expensive. Should the non home owning population be far more savy and leave the country? What are the implications for the economy if they did?

    If we had functioning property market, why is evey new home in the country subsidised by the taxpayer in one form or another, with more subsidies in there infancy stage. Do the wealthiest in our country expect society to subsidise there home?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 132 ✭✭AySeeDoubleYeh


    A woman in her late 50s recently told me that herself and her husband 'had to' buy a small 3-bed in Bray when they were starting out, because they couldn't afford to buy in Dublin. They were 21. Entry level bank jobs. they could afford to buy in BRAY!!

    Another couple, similar ages to the above, had the same story - mid 20's they 'had to' buy in Kildare, because they couldn't afford Dublin. Again, entry-level salaries for both. And the house price was less than 2x income!

    Nobody is here asking for handouts. it's insulting to suggest as much (to say nothing of your use of "deserve" in the above), but of course you know that already because you hold the ludicrous notion that yourself and your generation had more savvy than today's house-seekers. Your refusal to acknowledge that things could, just possibly, be worse in this regard than they were for you is blinding you to the stark realities of our housing market.



  • Posts: 14,769 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    And if you had a time machine you could go back there yourself and buy. But this is not the 80’s, things are worse, but where others consider options outside of staying put and waiting for help, you are stuck blaming the market, the Government, the international investors, the MNCs etc etc.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,932 ✭✭✭yagan


    What's most disturbing about the current Dublin market is that it's so warped that workers essential to keeping the city going can't afford to live there.

    It's easy to say that that's a common theme around the world, but it's also true in previous decades essential workers could afford to own in the city that needs them.

    All this talk about meeting building targets is meaningless if investor funds are allowed to outbid homemakers. It's doubly crazy when the government joins in the bidding.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,909 ✭✭✭Villa05


    Why do you say people are waiting for help? Could they be waiting for those that are making it far more expensive than it should be to stop?



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  • Posts: 14,769 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    The implications for the economy is as pointed out earlier by another poster, emigration was a safety valve where those who couldn’t afford to, or didn’t want to live here went abroad. With that comes less demand and more opportunities for those who stay.

    The “wealthiest” in this society are your fellow workers who just have higher paying jobs, they aren’t nefarious company executives. Ask a tech/pharma employee if they feel the Government subsidised their €600k home, or is it they can afford to pay more because of the job opportunities here in Ireland.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,609 ✭✭✭Tonesjones


    "What's most disturbing about the current Dublin market is that it's so warped that workers essential to keeping the city going can't afford to live there"


    This is exactly what happened in San Francisco when tech became big tech!


    https://www.theguardian.com/cities/2019/jul/01/san-francisco-big-tech-workers-industry



  • Posts: 14,769 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,909 ✭✭✭Villa05


    The country to grow up and realise that high unaffordable house prices are a ball and chain around the ankles of our children and catastrophic for the economy. It is literally shooting yourself in the foot.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,634 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    And isn't San Fran such a functional and great place nowadays, with nothing wrong with it 🙄



  • Posts: 14,769 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    You are waiting for 5 million people to “grow up” and come around to your way of thinking?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,612 ✭✭✭fliball123


    Its also true in previous decades that essential workers could also afford their own home in highly sought after areas around the world, its not just an Ireland and Dublin thing. The dynamics have changed and a house is no longer looked at as just somewhere to live but as a commodity to make money off as well this cannot change now the horse has bolted, but its a bit distressing to see someone pay 1/2 a million for a house or paying 3k for renting the same house and then seeing someone on welfare being handed the same for a hell of a lot less. The rules are skewed and allow for all kinds of abuse to go on.. Look there are other areas other more affordable than Dublin to live within commuting distance of Dublin, but we still have savage demand due to Brexit and Covid and the population increase. This will take at least another decade to sort out and will only be sorted if the government start building social housing on a higher scale again and if a house is social it does not belong to the tenant, it should belong to the tax payers of Ireland and should be used for future needs, we need a stock for those who cannot afford to buy but a tenant in one of these houses (if they are able bodied) should not be allowed stay there without payment and forever. They should also have evidence of them saving to buy their own property in the future and working. The days of any girl who wants the state to be baby daddy should be done away with, by all means let them stay in the house till the kids are 18 then out you go and look after yourself like everyone else in the world we need to get our welfare recipients in all guises more accountable and stop with the handouts. The fact is the government have made the issue worse by setting up schemes to keep prices high FTB, HAP etc. They also have control over emigration which is the elephant in the room we have not got enough properties to house our domestic needs and yet we keep allowing others in without any thought of where they will be housed, I may be called a racist after that last sentence but I am a realist there is a nightmare coming up when college kids flood back for their accommodation which is currently being used to house Ukrainians, who are in fairness having a horrible time of it but we are selling our own population short to help them... The government also stopped building over the last decade and are now playing catch up by competing with those trying to get on the ladder as well throw in the REITS and Vultures and how they are taxes compared to small landlords and the government seem to be doing their best to phuck over Irish people in helping out everyone else from the outside....



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,390 ✭✭✭✭Bass Reeves


    Anybody in there late 30's had option to buy from 2011-2016. Apartments were the price of top of the range cars in Dublin and mid rage cars in every other city in Ireland. They either had no savings after 4-8 years of work or waited for there forever home. There was options they choose not to take them options.

    Slava Ukrainii



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,932 ✭✭✭yagan


    The government subsidized their education so they've no reason to believe they did it all themselves.

    It's not sustainable that essential workers can't afford to live in the city that needs them. We're at the stage now where specialists are withdrawing from job offers in Ireland because the living expenses negate the benefit of the higher wage that initially attracted them.

    My wife works in a medical specialty with major staff shortages and the growing trend of recent years is those who come to Ireland only last a couple of years with most leaving for lower wage in more affordable markets where starting a family is sustainable.

    I've encountered immigrants in the tech bubbles like the Silicon docks who opine similar outlooks, Ireland is great for getting a few years experience before moving on to somewhere more affordable.

    It's no good talking about meeting building targets if essential medical staff get outbid by investor funds and government via local authorities; the need for the latter could be reduced by restricting the former.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 132 ✭✭AySeeDoubleYeh


    Oh for sure, what with the high paid jobs they had been working in since the late 200... Oh



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