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Irish Property Market chat II - *read mod note post #1 before posting*

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,925 ✭✭✭PommieBast


    Remembering all the Covid-era walks I had thru Spencer Dock and how that place had "bubble" written all over it. To be fair if all the DART improvements actually materialise it'll be a good location, but for now it just looks like it'll turn soulless just like Parkwest.

    Trying to at least be vaguely on topic 😁



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,599 ✭✭✭Roberto_gas


    went to view a property…good apartment but in shambles..was rented out and the owner owns 2-3 properties up north and this one in south..

    no white goods in kitchen and unfurnished..an open boiler with pipes visible in one of the bedroom..soiled carpet ! Possibly tenants left it in a mess so they got rid of everything.

    Agent said owner wants out from all his property in this boom before things go south..very honest lady 😅😅 !

    The apartment will get sold purely because many renters are on notice and will have to buy something ! Thats your demand right there which is outpacing supply



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,839 ✭✭✭mcsean2163


    I didn't propose a solution. I outlined the current situation. Not enough houses.

    We have two neighbouring families, both working and both being evicted into homelessness because of a lack of supply and astronomical prices. If Gardai, nurses, teachers, public sector employees or shop assistants cannot afford to live in Ireland despite a high minimum wage it surely doesn't matter to them what Facebook is doing. Home ownership in the 25-34 bracket has more than halved since 2006.

    To be honest, I'm just back from two weeks in South West Ireland and it's like a different country. Unfortunately, we have to live within a radius of Dublin as WFH is not possible for one of us. Dublin is an absolute shqthole and the one acre and a few spuds seems to be beyond our reach here.


    Surely reducing international visas for 2022 while the housing crisis is a crisis would make sense, instead it's increasing from 16,275 to 40,000.

    It's been a great blessing to attract so many new people to Ireland but even for those people coming here now and getting fleeced for accommodation, it's surely not great.

    We seem to be entering an era where people are praying for Facebook to collapse rather than enjoying life in Ireland. Where public sector workers cannot afford to buy a house and may face homelessness as they are too poor to be able to exist in our country. That doesn't seem great...

    Anyway, I getting off my soapbox, maybe I'm saying the wrong things and am brain dead as bass reeves suggests.



  • Posts: 5,121 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    ..



  • Posts: 5,121 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    I think that the number 1 most important existential issue facing the country, by a distance (not including climate change that we as a nation can’t do anything about) is an ageing population. A birth rate well below replacement. A pension time bomb amid a falling tax take. We need to make sure we attract and retain high numbers of young professionals, through encouragement of the right kind of immigration, the bedrock of which is the skilled international jobs to bring them in to.

    we need to build accommodation, not try (activity or passively) to reduce demand. The latter is a recipe for disaster



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,604 ✭✭✭Amadan Dubh


    Housing almost certainly a factor here; teachers leaving Dublin due to high cost of living. Who can realistically replace these teachers without housing costs dropping materially?

    This is just a sensational state of affairs.




  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Computer Games Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 8,685 CMod ✭✭✭✭Sierra Oscar


    It's the same story with nurses, hospitals simply unable to fill junior positions despite huge amounts of funding allocated for new posts. Similar story with Gardaí, resignations in Dublin amongst junior Gardaí are trending well above the national average.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,839 ✭✭✭mcsean2163


    That approach anecdotally seems to be neutering a large proportion of society that works hard is responsible but feels that they cannot afford children because they cannot buy a house.

    Singapore faced similar problems in 2013 and hit a fertility low of 1.1 babies per person in 2020.

    I'm not sure if pricing out a cohort that works hard but is now not remunerated enough to have a stable home and thus exits the reproduction game is a good idea.

    Post edited by mcsean2163 on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 996 ✭✭✭Ozark707


    RTE reporting on the contraction in construction due to price pressures

    "Severe price pressures forced the Irish construction sector to contract marginally in June, the first time it has reduced in size since April of last year when the pandemic was still restricting activity.

    The BNP Paribas Real Estate Ireland Construction Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) found new orders fell at a sharp and accelerated pace.

    Purchasing activity was also squeezed and staffing levels stagnated.

    "June has been a watershed month for construction activity," said John McCartney, Director and Head of Research at BNP Paribas Real Estate Ireland."

    ...more here

    https://www.rte.ie/news/business/2022/0708/1309227-high-prices-force-contraction-in-construction-sector/



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,909 ✭✭✭Villa05


    Good to see a response to rising costs, now if we could do the same for the costs of land, margin, white collar grab, competent regulation, professional fees selling costs etc.

    We need not wait for direct labour (the most value add component of costs) to take action. Materials have fallen sharply since that survey was taken, labour will follow suit when the recession kicks in.

    The survey is contradictory to the results of one of our builders last week who said that rising costs were offset by changing work practices and they even increased there margin.

    Again looks like action when we feel like it to reduce costs. Look at the other far more damaging costs and we will se progress



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,909 ✭✭✭Villa05


    It's amazing how they can forecast and increase the supply of labour at the stroke of a pen. Do they use the same forecasts for the Housing requirements or is that a separate set of forecasts

    60k leaving certs per year

    40k non EU migrants

    ?? EU migrants

    35k refugees

    2 rental properties available in the 16 largest urban centres in the country that come within general HAP guidelines for those areas



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Computer Games Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 8,685 CMod ✭✭✭✭Sierra Oscar


    Further constraints on supply is the last thing we need and certainly won't help bring down prices. The amount of phases delayed / deferred in developments in recent weeks is notable. The demand is still there (houses effectively sold before the open days due to estate agents managing bookings), it's the increases in costs that is causing mayhem.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,909 ✭✭✭Villa05


    More rewards for people who leave their properties empty. Will this encourage more to leave their properties empty?

    Surely the best way to fund this would be to introduce a compulsory selling order on the owners of empty properties and for the 30k grant to be deducted from the sale price and granted to the purchaser on return of the property to a usable condition.

    Tax waste

    Reward work

    Does that sound sustainable, rather than the 40 years of BS our population have been putting up with




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,333 ✭✭✭enricoh


    In the UK their is extra pay for civil servants living in London. I've never heard a mention of it here for Dublin, even with the new pay talks at the minute I haven't heard the unions pushing it.

    It seems a no brainer to me that any extra is to be spent on a Dublin allowance - e.g say 20% extra for those living there n 10% extra for those commuting in



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,100 ✭✭✭Browney7


    My instinctive reaction to this is "Define Vacant?". This could well be a Trojan horse for HTB for second hand sales. If a house needs a bit of work but is still habitable does it qualify? Who's the arbiter of whether 30k gets paid or not.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,612 ✭✭✭fliball123


    Really on top of the other pay rises you do know the rest of us have to pick up that tab, thanks but no thanks the public sector employees are running the same race and jumping the same hurdles when it comes to "living somewhere" as those of us in the private sector with their bonus of their guaranteed pensions, pay increments and job security giving them a very healthy head start, so if they want to live in Dublin that is a personal choice and as a tax payer I think it would be very wrong for us to cover their choice by paying them another 20%.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,909 ✭✭✭Villa05


    Implement the system I outlined and all of this need not matter. A 0 cost (outside of the administrative side) solution to getting empties back in use



  • Posts: 5,121 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    €30k barely scratches the surface of any substantive renovation work these days. You might be able to cover cosmetic work. Maybe some internal insulation at best. That’s about it



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,566 ✭✭✭✭Sleepy


    The only reason I can think of for there not being and Irish equivalent of the "london weighting" for public sector workers based in Dublin, Cork or Galway is that their unions must be controlled by those residing rurally. The oft-touted "Garda married to a Nurse or Teacher" that can't afford to buy a home in Dublin helps push the wage demands of all public servants when the reality is that the same couple would be extremely comfortable, if not actually quite well off, living in Leitrim, Mayo, Roscommon, Tipperary etc.

    It's deeply unfair and the above is an entirely predictable consequence.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 311 ✭✭SmokyMo


    From my POV, friends who are middle class cant afford children. most are in their mid 30s. Friends who would be considered 'working' class, have 2 - 3 kids from different partners and paying 40e per month for a corpo 3 bed. Ireland system is designed to encourage this behavior. I feel sorry for front line staff, nurses, firemen, teachers.. I see education being next big crises.

    We need 40k permits because we have low skill labor shortage.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,333 ✭✭✭enricoh


    No I don't want additional pay rises. The government n unions were negotiating recently but didn't conclude a deal. Whatever they were spending on that deal should be spent on a Dublin weighting instead imo.

    Maybe the government n unions are happy enough with the status quo.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,909 ✭✭✭Villa05


    What if small builders purchased them and turned them around quickly? Silver bullet?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 996 ✭✭✭Ozark707


    If we have no where for these low skilled labour to live in do you think we should be bringing them in?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,909 ✭✭✭Villa05




  • Posts: 577 ✭✭✭ Musa Unkempt Tech


    I think we should be making prefab houses, most of it can be made in a factory and much quicker than traditional houses. They are making them now for the Ukrainian refugees, but I dont see why other people shouldnt be allowed to avail of them. It would solve alot of the issues Ireland currently has, dont need to bring in 40k trades people from developing countries, and they are much cheaper to build. They might not last as long as a traditonal house, but they would last a few decades, nobody needs a house to last 100s of years because nobody lives that long.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,612 ✭✭✭fliball123


    There should be zero payrises going on in the public sector until we are out of covid, the cost of living crisis, inflation and when we are through the soon to come recession. No point paying you lot the rate of inflation if a lot of it has been driven up by a war, covid and supply chain issues when inflation drops and the war is over and prices drop the general public will be left paying bloated PS salaries again not to mention the knock on effect for pensions (which at its current levels are already a ticking timebomb waiting to go off for the tax payer) and all the while Leo and Mehole are toying with the idea of upping PRSI or increasing the age for people in the private sector to work till 68. There are going to be a tonne of job losses in the private sector in the next 2/3 years and you boyos want pay rises this money has to be borrowed currently and the interest rates are only going one way and if you want to live in Dublin that is your choice no one should be asked to pay you more to do so. Its a phucking joke one of your brethren on another thread stating Ulster bank are getting an 8% payrise so the public sector should be getting this on top of inflation too and then not adding in the fact that there will be zero jobs in Ulster bank in Ireland after they have pulled out of the country so whats 8% of zero? Please keep the PS crap separate to this discussion there is a separate thread for it and it will turn it into a sh1tshow. There are actually some good commentary with regards to property.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,388 ✭✭✭✭Bass Reeves


    Not really. You will have to renovate to an A or B energy rating. You will probably not be able to Apple for the energy grants. Even if you are renovating is as of not more expensive than new builds. The advantage may be people with the skillset to do a lot of the labour themselves. Some of these will be former commercial buildings


    This is as much a way of encouraging urban development in towns and villages as anything else. These building have been sitting there for decades in many cases.

    Slava Ukrainii



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 73,010 ✭✭✭✭L1011


    Drop the public sector pay talk - not the forum for it


    Separately (referring to different posts by different people) - you are all here long enough to have read the warnings in Post 1.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5 calculatingspace


    We finally went sale agreed on a house we really like, after 6 months of searching.

    It's been two weeks and we're having doubts about the area. It's around Dorset St lwr, Belvedere Rd. We initially thought it would be alright with the proximity to Phibs and Drumcondra, but driving/walking around the area we're not sure anymore.

    Anyone live around there and have any insights on how rough it actually is?



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  • Posts: 577 ✭✭✭ Musa Unkempt Tech


    Its good for the proximity, mostly alright place with some pockets like dorset lane and sherrard st would avoid, not much in terms of parks except mountjoy park which can be abit dodgy at times, there is a samll tesco there on dorset st but any the big shops you have to drive



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