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Brexit discussion thread XIV (Please read OP before posting)

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,085 ✭✭✭✭BonnieSituation


    I just went back and watched the full interview from last night. My God, yer man was like a dog with a bone with his insistence on cross-community consent. It's like he thought it was some sort of "GOTCHA" moment.


    MON was very impressive. As you would expect from any politician on top of their brief with a clear message.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 866 ✭✭✭timetogo1


    If the UK wants to sell more cheese to Canada it (the UK) will have to ask the EU to reduce its quota.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,698 ✭✭✭✭BlitzKrieg


    Much like how they shipped out the (at the time not signed not completed) trade agreement announcement with Australia when Boris was struggling at the G7, the tories have once again shipped out a potential trade deal to try and distract from the boozy partygate.


    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-61604784


    Slight problem.


    it's not a trade deal its a MOU (Memorandum of Understanding) has no actual legal framework and of course could have been done even as an EU member


    it's such a complete non story being pushed that you can actually with a quick google find another MOU done between educational bodies in the UK, USA and Ireland https://www.newsletter.co.uk/business/consumer/a-memorandum-of-understanding-has-been-signed-3707987


    But quick they need a brexit win to distract from the fact their brexit king is a boozy w*nker.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,698 ✭✭✭✭BlitzKrieg


    The above gets better


    turns out Slovakia signed an MOU with Indiana five years ago https://www.insideindianabusiness.com/articles/indiana-seeking-to-enhance-partnership-with-slovakia


    It's such an amazing non story that just searching MOU and a random EU country throws up loads of MOUs with member states and US states or organisation. Ireland has signed multiple with New York alone.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,476 ✭✭✭✭Hotblack Desiato


    BBC unquestioningly parroting fake news / government propaganda. Sad.

    Scrap the cap!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,767 ✭✭✭eire4


    But predictable these days. The BBC have become more and more propaganda outlet when it comes to their government rather then balanced news source



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,788 ✭✭✭Enzokk


    Is this the first call from the Conservative MP for a return to the single market?


    "And then there’s the unresolved issue of the Irish border. Current plans to bin the Northern Ireland Protocol could trigger a trade war with the EU (causing further economic harm) and is alienating the United States, our closest security ally.

    As a recent YouGov poll indicates, this is not the Brexit most people imagined, with the majority believing Brexit has gone badly. There is appetite to make improvements – not U-turns but course corrections.

    In a nutshell, all these challenges would disappear if we dare to advance our Brexit model by re-joining the EU single market (the Norway model). Leaving this aspect of the EU was not on the ballot paper, nor called for by either the Prime Minister or Nigel Farage during the 2016 referendum. There was, however, much discussion about returning to a “common market,” which is exactly what I propose."


    A common sense solution that will help their economy and solve the NIP in one swoop. I do find it interesting that this is the first call for a return to the single market. There will be opposition to it from the usual suspects but as the country keeps suffering those voices should become more and more marginalised.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 36,711 CMod ✭✭✭✭pixelburp


    "The Norway Model", oh ye gods. I mean, at this stage nothing would surprise me and in some ways this was always the end result: hard Brexit is a pox on the nation and something had to give that amounted to a return to the Single Market. Of course, good luck anyone suggesting this - and calling it the Single Market. Watch those proposing it tie themselves in knots calling it anything but the Single Market.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,294 ✭✭✭✭VinLieger


    Thats all well and good but EFTA would have to accept them and with the amount of **** they have pulled the last 6 years I doubt that's gonna happen.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,359 ✭✭✭peter kern


    correct me but at this stage this would take many many years and right now its not guaranteed efta would take them and i guess rather unlikely they would take them on. so i struggle to see an norwegian model after all the uk shenanigans.



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  • Posts: 17,378 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Joining the customs union would make sense. Not sure about the SM.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 36,711 CMod ✭✭✭✭pixelburp


    I doubt that MP even knows there are more aspects to the "Norway Model" than the single market. Christ I doubt they'd have even heard of EFTA given how stark the ignorance of European institutions was revealed to be.

    Who has that Red Lines infographic from yore? There a similar setup the UK can aim for that'd only contain SM access? That's Turkey, ain't it?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,788 ✭✭✭Enzokk


    I don't think it would be EFTA membership though. That would be too integrated to try and sell. They will sell it as common market access only. The fine print will read about following rules and regulations set by the EU but a savvy leader could sell the fact that they can leave at any time to try and soothe the baying mob.


    He mentions in the piece they have cut way from the political union and single market membership is not a political union.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,540 ✭✭✭yagan


    It would be hilarious if Britain realigned with the single market via Northern Ireland. However wouldn't they still have to operate customs infrastructure as they're supposed to for GB goods entering NI but not for onward sale into the EU?

    I can't actually see them effectively managing that when they've postponed their own checks on EU imports for the fourth time. Plus before Brexit the UK already had the majority of fines for distributing unverified imports into the single market. Their whole attitude towards EU trade standards was very only fools and horses.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,294 ✭✭✭✭VinLieger


    So that would be a whole seperate negotiation and system then similar to what the Swiss have setup which the EU have vowed to never do again due to how complex and time consuming it was which they definitely will not get into with perfidious albion so in reality its EFTA or bust



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 18,333 CMod ✭✭✭✭Nody


    Ask and ye shall receive (I thought it appropriate to use the UK parliament one):

    And even Turkey is probably to much control as Truss can't ask for more cheese quotas etc.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,222 ✭✭✭Stephen_Maturin


    It’s bizarre really.

    Can’t possibly imagine the reason behind these “unusual gains”



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,359 ✭✭✭peter kern


    he speaks of a norwegian model so he wants efta and the ecj lol



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,862 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    They will not get EFTA because the other EFTA could not tolerate them.

    If they accept the SM, that has implications that the Brexiteers could not stomach, but there could be a landing zone there.

    Accepting the CU would scupper all those beneficial Global Britain trade deals, if only they had a few to scuttle.

    Of course, agreeing to both would remove the need to find those elusive 50,000 customs officers.

    [Whatever happened to those 50,000 customs officers?]



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  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 36,711 CMod ✭✭✭✭pixelburp


    I suppose the chief consideration has to be, ultimately, is this a lone wolf MP mouthing off, or a stalking horse towards an eventual " we were always at war with Eurasia" moment, whereupon no, actually, this was always the end result of Brexit Britain. The pivot from Johnson on this may yet cause enough spinning in Churchill's grave to solve the energy crisis over there.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,753 ✭✭✭✭Leroy42


    It all comes down to choices. Choices that the UK felt they didn't have to make since they were the UK and thus too important.

    These 'solutions' are nothing new. It was all laid out to them in easy to read graph immediately after the ref result.

    The Uk chose the hardest of options as none of the others were worth the choices they would have to make.

    And they still think like that. Hence them looking to simply ditch the NIP.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,393 ✭✭✭Grassey


    Brexit means Norway isn't as catchy a soundbite though



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,275 ✭✭✭fash


    One wonders how attractive a career it is going to be if there is ongoing uncertainty of the UK rejoining the SM or CU in some fashion.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,862 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    While they were in the SM/CU they failed to properly inspect goods entering the SM/CU and got a whopping fine from the ECJ over Chinese jeans that were allowed in at a price well below the wholesale price of cotton. So they will need customs officers no matter.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,476 ✭✭✭✭Hotblack Desiato


    Yeah, same as every other EU country. Not 50k of them though.

    Scrap the cap!



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  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 39,543 CMod ✭✭✭✭ancapailldorcha


    It makes sense for a post-Brexit UK that didn't do it's best to poison relations with its most important neighbours. Sadly, that isn't the UK we have. Joining the single market and customs union solves all of the problems that Brexit caused with the only downside being agitating angry Brexity types who definitely knew what they were voting for but not this which was the only course a Tory Brexit could travel.

    The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.

    Leviticus 19:34



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,862 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    In Ireland, we have the 'agin the gubbernet' who oppose all Gov policies unless the specifically benefit themselves - and even the, the Gov support is not nearly enough.

    In the UK, the populace has been fed lies about the EU for four decades. As a result the majority of the populace is 'agin the EU and the faceless bureaucrats in Brussels'.

    Now the best bit of comment is this video by Patrick Stewart and others - 'What did the ECHR ever do for us?' The same idea applies re the EU.

    It is worth reposting it.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ptfmAY6M6aA



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,630 ✭✭✭✭Mr.Nice Guy


    Speaking of feeding lies, here's the Express outraged that free movement is a thing:

    Bemoans the 'preferential treatment' given to EU citizens. Sad thing is most of their readers probably believe they're being punished, as opposed to facing the consequences of their decisions.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 36,711 CMod ✭✭✭✭pixelburp


    And naturally, the top voted comment in the article is someone whinging that it's the EU "punishing" them for leaving, with replies along the usual thrust of EU-phobic twaddle. The penny steadfastly refused to drop it seems

    Mind you, there's also a fair mix of "this is what you get" as well, albeit not attracting many votes themselves, so maybe there's some small hope.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 39,543 CMod ✭✭✭✭ancapailldorcha


    There's a demographic amongst the Brexit voters whose minds have been thoroughly and permanently warped by decades of Express and Mail propaganda. I think that at this point they're intellectually incapable of understanding any of this. The only way this will change is if they discard their rags and actually calm down but if they had the self-awareness for that, they wouldn't use the Express for anything besides toilet paper.

    The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.

    Leviticus 19:34



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  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,862 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    Well, those people in the queue do not appear quite as cross as if they did not have their [French printed] blue passports. At least they know they have those - which they could not have had if they were still in the EU.

    Oh, wait a bit, they could have had them, but who knew?

    I wonder how many things they could have had the Mogg is trying to put forward as yet another advantage of Brexit, because he has yet to come up with a single benefit for the general public as a result of Brexit.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,555 ✭✭✭wexfordman2



    Quite a few brexit realities starting to hit home, even the fact the the DE is printing them is significant



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,788 ✭✭✭Enzokk


    So the 2nd Tory politician is mentioning joining the single market. It has to start somewhere and it seems like it has now, the planting of the seed of an idea that become reality later on. In fairness to Hannan (never thought I would ever say that) he was always saying they would be part of the single market. But it seems like he is not intelligent enough to understand what being part of the single market means in terms of the EU membership and being out of the EU.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,862 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    Yorkshire Bylines have a long 59 page pdf on Brexit, and its shortcomings. Worth reading.

    https://yorkshirebylines.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/The-Detriments-of-Brexit-FINAL-1.pdf



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,312 ✭✭✭druss


    But Hannan is basically still stuck at his and David Davis's "cherries and cake" 2016 view of what this would mean. The UK will select the single market bits that they like. The EU will accept and acknowledge that UK standards and divergences must be fine because the UK says so. The UK will have the opt outs that it wants, above and beyond Norway and Switzerland, and will contribute and concede less, because they are terribly important.

    The only difference I see here from his 2016 fireworks-ramblings is that he now talks about UK joining EFTA. Whereas before EFTA members (and Ireland, Netherlands and Denmark) would have been so impressed by the UK deal that they would have decided to become vassals under UK leadership.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,688 ✭✭✭storker


    I suspect that the reason JRM is so quiet about Brexit "benefits" is that they do indeed exist, but involve allowing government and employers to screw everyone, Brexit supporter and remainers equally e.g. less employment legislation, repealing human rights laws, healthy and safety laws, etc.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,630 ✭✭✭✭Mr.Nice Guy


    Is this chatter about rejoining the single market an attempt to signal a change in approach, or is it rather that proponents of Brexit realise it's turned out a mess and are trying to save face? I suspect it's the latter.

    'Brexit could have worked if they had done this instead...'

    Few of them will ever bring themselves to admit that it was a doomed enterprise.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,474 ✭✭✭✭road_high


    Looking at it from our EU side I’m not so sure I’m very keen on “taking them back” really. They e caused so much hassle in Europe it’s not worth the bother really.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,312 ✭✭✭druss


    For Hannan, I'm sure that's what it is. His Brexit would have worked and please forget that he has advocated multiple different types of Brexit, including the Johnson variant, over the years.

    Similarly, the entire spectrum of Leavers have other (conflicting) visions of how it could all have worked perfectly if others had just believed enough/shouted louder etc. For most of these, including Hannan, I don't see this as any sincere attempt to change anything. Just to explain why it isn't as wonderful as they had promised. Frost running with the "stabbed in the back" line being the most irritating.

    I think the Tobias Elwood comments on Single Market are different, even if still being cake-ist. But Elwood is a former Remainer who backed Rory Stewart over Johnson for PM. Perhaps this is a more long term move, with expectation that Conservatives will slowly return to rationalism and he will have first mover advantage. And that he can ultimately "sell" joining the Single Market, but not the EU as a shrewd victory for UK negotiations.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,099 ✭✭✭joeguevara


    im a confused the footage in that tweet was Birmingham airport with a WH Smith proving it was in the UK. The length of the queue couldn’t have been anything to do with not being in the EU queue.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 28,773 ✭✭✭✭looksee


    Probably just 'a queue, yesterday'. Could be Dublin!



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,862 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    Have you discovered a lie in the Daily Express? Wow!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,027 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,476 ✭✭✭✭Hotblack Desiato


    The Irish Times is still using stock Dublin Airport photos from the early 2000s with long-gone Ryanair 737-200s and Aer Lingus 737-500s. We are not supposed to notice.

    Scrap the cap!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,027 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    In fairness papers can't be expected to send a photographer down to these airports for a quick photo or to pay a freelance/local paper for one when any auld queue photo will do.



  • Posts: 17,378 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Seems like Johnson's result is pretty good for the NIP, short-term at least? He's wounded enough to lower the chances of doing something rash, but survived so we won't get someone else coming in and having to make some big display of how British they are.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 18,333 CMod ✭✭✭✭Nody


    I'd disagree; he's wounded enough he needs a big distraction pony show for his party which means picking a big fight with EU to show how big set of bullies they are vs. UK and how he's the only one who's standing up to evil Brussels to get an external enemy.



  • Posts: 17,378 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    But it's a parliamentary bill that could have 41% of the Tories and Labour et al. against it. Or maybe not? What way would Truss's bill go now if voted on?

    Unless he's certain of wins, he'll remember that it was May's series of failures in Parliament that led to her resigning after her vote of confidence. Or maybe it was a series of failures that led to that vote, I can't remember. Regardless, failures in Parliament aren't a good look after such a bad result in the vote.



  • Posts: 17,378 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    I guess the best case scenario for NI now is Truss's bill being shot down in Parliament. After that, the best would be the vote not being held at all and Stormont consents to the NIP in December 2024.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,810 ✭✭✭✭Igotadose


    Yorkshire Bylines has put out a 'Detriments of Brexit' paper in response to ReesMogg. If you ignore the satirical forward by the PM who apologizes for having lied, the rest is serious. Lots of things going on (or not going on) in the UK directly as a result of Brexit that aren't good.





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