Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email us on hello@boards.ie for help. Thanks :)
Hello all! Please ensure that you are posting a new thread or question in the appropriate forum. The Feedback forum is overwhelmed with questions that are having to be moved elsewhere. If you need help to verify your account contact hello@boards.ie

Russia - threadbanned users in OP

1131813191321132313243690

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,441 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    I'm reading that state TV has stopped showing maps of the Donbass region and southern / eastern Ukraine on its daily broadcasts, as it is painfully obvious that the army is making absolutely zero progress in the region.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    I'm more surprised they are not just extending the occupied area on the map. Its not as if they mind lying.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,441 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    One wonders when the penny will start to drop with the Russian public that the war is being lost. They will surely smell a rat at some point.....we're two months into the war and the regime has made virtually zero progress.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,306 ✭✭✭✭Drumpot


    As a person I never respected once beautifully said “There are known unknowns and unknown unknowns”. There are plenty of people on this thread who know alot more about this Ukraine conflict then me. But not one know anymore about what Putin would or would not be capable of doing or if there would be enough checks and balances to prevent a disaster. Even if there was, many more intelligent people would point out that an escalation of war can result in a catastrophic event by mistake.

    I agree with standing up to Putin, but I don’t know the best way of doing it. I’m not implying anything by saying that. I am hoping like everybody else , that Putin is just one massive bluffer and if he wasn’t that somebody would stop him.

    I don’t see an easy way to navigate this situation but it is wise to have some people in dialogue with Putin. A wise man keeps his friends close and his enemies closer. I’d say a lot of the stuff we see on tv is spoon fed theatrics and there is more dialogue then we know (like what used to happen in Cold War behind the scenes). I’d be very concerned if there wasn’t engagement in other forums. Diplomacy is wise (even if it does seem futile), especially when war can still be avoided from spilling outside of Ukraine.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    I think the charade will be kept up for the May 9th fantasy parade, then after that Putin might start declaring some sort of denazification goal achieved and slink out of Ukraine.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,600 ✭✭✭francois




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,734 ✭✭✭20silkcut


    As well as that the German gas situation is a convenient mud guard for many EU countries. I’m sure most of them are happy enough that Russian gas is still pumping into EU energy supply with the Germans taking all the political flak. You won’t hear any complaints from them about German policy.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    I don’t know that it matters. The story will be that the whole of NATO has piled in behind Ukraine and that NATO is no trying to destroy Russia and Russian culture and civilisation. And that this is now an existential fight for the defence of Russia. And the public in a large part will buy that.

    at least thats the view of my trinity educated Russian friends in Moscow (who can no longer speak to their pro Putin parents, who think that they are betraying Russia)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,215 ✭✭✭✭ILoveYourVibes


    I have a funny feeling that if russia and the russian people dont get to grips with the fact they are NOT a world power ...and their military is weak ...karma will happen.


    They have a lot of neighbors who don't like them who are ...less moral than some. If they sense weakness....it will haunt them nukes or no nukes there are many ways to skin a cat



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,453 ✭✭✭✭astrofool




  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,215 ✭✭✭✭ILoveYourVibes


    Do we think Ukraine can actually kick the russians out and get them to stop bombing by air eventually without giving territory? oooorrr


    I mean will russia give up in a year or so??? Putin will get a hobby like?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    If they have the right air defense systems they can remove the threats from aircraft and cruise missiles to a degree, nato has the ability to track aircraft and missles heading to ukraine , but it Ukrainians hasn't the right weapons to counter the threats all they can do is track and hope get some kind of warning out



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,215 ✭✭✭✭ILoveYourVibes


    im not sure that is a way to win but more like hoping your enemy gives up ....



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,441 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    But even that narrative can only get them so far. There are no NATO troops on Russian soil, no NATO attacks on Russian territory and nor will there be. Trying to portray the Putin regime as the "victim" in all this may be trickier than it looks.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,215 ✭✭✭✭ILoveYourVibes


    All of this is so very true. But they can just lie and say there are nato troops there.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,039 ✭✭✭jackboy


    If the west keep supplying them they can win. Russia will get weaker over time and Ukraine will get stronger. Ultimately, the west will decide who will win and what ‘winning’ means.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,337 ✭✭✭fly_agaric


    I don't think it would help much. I think will see them doing more. Feels like a long time ago given how much has happened since, but the starting position pre war was that German govt. was not going to provide any weapons to Ukraine or even allow others to re-export their German sourced weapons. Seems to be disputes in the govt. over it (the "large" weapons), public wants more done too I think I've read.

    The UK govt. is the only one that might castigate Germany publically e.g. saw an opinion piece in the Daily Telegraph arguing for trade sanctions to be extended to Germany. Crazy on face of it, but sometimes that newspaper reflects the Tory party politicians' thinking on issues.

    On the energy trade embargo, well just feel very doubtful it can be cut off tomorrow morning as demanded without economic crisis and effects of this rippling out all across the EU. Including here. Now there is an argument that the price is worth it - that we're basically in a new cold war with Russia in all but name and citizens of all EU member states will just need to accept what this means + how they are going to suffer for it for some time to come.

    Would almost like to see Germany actually try and do it (immediate embargo)...the crying and wailing around Europe + potential politcal explosions if I'm right in my feelings about impacts when it starts to hit home (including here) could be quite something to behold. I am a bit sceptical of extent of desire to suffer for a higher purpose. The Irish public apparently (think I read this morning), wants a cap instituted on the Ukrainian refugees...enough is enough and would Putin be a good lad now and stop it as far too many have now come for us to cope with (20-25k or so?).

    Putting Germany + China and India all into the same box...I suppose this is the way with an echo chamber where the comments just get more and more extreme as time passes + no one (as far as I can see) says, well, hold on a sec lads?

    "Germany" is not in support of Russia here edit: even if it can be argued they are not doing enough for Ukraine.

    For all the talk (assuming there is not a sudden cut off done at EU level?) it will be interesting to come back and see what countries manage to successfully work to decouple themselves from Russia after a few months + get the energy monkey off their own backs, what countries are just going along to get along + even start quietly bending the sanctions to make a few more bob etc.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,061 ✭✭✭✭briany


    I think it could depend on how the Russians are able to define 'Russian soil' to their own people. If they're able to define it as occupied regions which Ukraine, backed by NATO, try to retake, then that's the danger. Not that we should really accommodate Russia's views on what is otherwise internationally-recognised as 'not Russia', but just to remind ourselves where they seem to be at, psychologically.

    The current Russian position seems to be that Ukraine isn't even a real country, or one that only exists due to Russia's prior beneficence. To those who accept that view in Russia, I don't think it'd take much to make the leap to Russia is being attacked if/when Ukrainian forces, backed by NATO, make big gains in occupied regions. If Ukrainian forces were, for example, able to drive the Russians out of Kherson, I'd have to think the Russians would really drive the sabre-rattling to a whole new level.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,067 ✭✭✭✭Danzy


    Sigmar Gabriel, ex Vice Chancellor and served as Foreign Minister under the Merkel regime.


    He is threatening to Sue the New York Times for writing about his meetings with Russians Govt officials.


    That went well until loads of photos started appearing showing him at lots and lots of meetings and social events.


    Including a day out with Matthias Warnig, ex Stasi officer, who worked with Putin in Eastern Germany, targeting financial institutions for spies and was so trusted by Vlad that he sent his daughters to him in the early 90s.


    He is the managing director of Nordstream AG. He has long standing connections in the CDU, especially in Pomerania, Merkel's base and the SPD.


    This could well be the scandal of the century, for 20 years the top jobs in German Govt have all been for people who were solid and unquestionable servants of Putin's Russia and that's why they advanced up the ladder in their parties.



  • Posts: 1,263 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    @[Deleted User] IMO you should delete that reference to your friends or edit post to make them less easily identifiable by Putin's minions. Thinking of their safety. Cheers.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,215 ✭✭✭✭ILoveYourVibes


    That last sentence is scary to me for some reason.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,441 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    One good thing in this is that the West no longer needs to court Russian public opinion. They are clearly beyond all help and completely enmeshed with Putin himself. This means they can concentrate on defeating Russia militarily and not give a flying fig what the Russian public think about anything. There certainly won't be any revolution from within and a coup is very unlikely.

    It does beg the question whether the country can ever be rehabilitated or if it will remain a pariah state for decades to come, irrespective of what happens to Putin.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,723 ✭✭✭storker


    Daily Telegraph arguing for trade sanctions to be extended to Germany. Crazy on face of it, but sometimes that newspaper reflects the Tory party politicians' thinking on issues.

    This is funny when you consider the economic sanctions the Tories have inflicted on Britain.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,215 ✭✭✭✭ILoveYourVibes


    Responding to your last few lines. I have come to the conclusion that Russians are very passive.


    I was looking around the world in repressive regimes and all the revolutions going on in those repressive regimes right now. People do resist in violently oppressive nations and it works in the long term.

    I wonder why russians don't worry about the country their grandchildren will live in? If you dont make it better you will make it worse.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,067 ✭✭✭✭Danzy


    Germany is the only significant ally of Putin this side of India and China.


    While sanctions won't be applied to Germany, Berlin must be told to change sides and quickly. Who doubt's if a small EU country was the lynchpin in the attempted destruction of another democracy in Europe that sanctions would be the mildest part.


    Countries are aware that they are talking to Berlin but it is Moscow that answers.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,067 ✭✭✭✭Danzy


    They lived under Communism for 70 years where even a mild joke was enough to have you disappeared.


    Russian troops are putting up Soviet flags and Lenin statues, that is going to shut mouths.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,441 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    I've been watching quite a few vox pop videos from the streets of Moscow and it's striking how many people feel disconnected from what's going on in Ukraine and powerless. It's as if they are not "citizens" of Russia at all, more like tiny, irrelevant cogs in the machine - very much totalitarian state territory. No sense that they feel have any say whatsoever about their country or its future.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,692 ✭✭✭✭Igotadose


    All they've known in their history is the boot. First the Romanovs, then the Communists, then the Putinistas. For a brief period, they were giddy with newfound freedoms under Yeltsin, but that only lasted about 5 years and they reverted true to form. They've never cared about their descendants in the past, why start now?



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    You can't really rely on Moscow voxpops. If I were in Moscow and anybody asked me what I thought about the war in Ukraine, I'd be saying, 'what war, don't you mean the special military operation'. And that beloved Putin is doing a bang up job. You pick your battles.



  • Advertisement
This discussion has been closed.
Advertisement