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Irish Property Market chat II - *read mod note post #1 before posting*

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,867 ✭✭✭Villa05


    The article implies they may be sold to investment funds which the state will eventually be leasing many of them back from. All about maximising the price and all the money flowing out of the country

    Quiet an achievement for a site that was in state ownership.

    Maybe it's our new security policy. If it's that easy to extract the wealth from a nation why risk your nations people in a war



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,207 ✭✭✭✭Bass Reeves


    No house is in very good condition a slight bit dated but only very slight. Attic is converted into forth bedroom but it cannot be listed as such with an ensuite.

    House is probably near 2k sq ft, gardens and deck look very good as well. C1&2 houses are probably as cheap or cheaper to run than an A rated house. Heard that a lit of A rated houses are seeing over well ove 100/ month rise in cost of electricity.

    No pictures of inside of house tells a story. The other house is a walk into house. If you have the figures for the lending it is ready to live in.

    In the house above you need to its a three bed house. I know nothing about the l but in this house there's seem to be huge emphasis on its location. The other house is a nice red brick two story.

    Landscaping in today's market could be worth 50k. You also have the hassle of financing and getting this project complete. House will probably selling excess of 600 k so gab will close a bit. While the house is being renovated you will have to rent 2-3 k a month for a year will cost 25-35k.

    A lot is about location location. Not sure of the garden size but you have nothing in front of the house. Probably a lot of rentals in the area as well

    Slava Ukrainii



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,121 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    I like it! Surrender to someone and sign a punitive treaty on the off-chance that they may feel like invading someday...



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,331 ✭✭✭ionapaul


    For the first house, the 140 sq m includes the attic, just to note!

    Still looks in good condition, totally agree with you there, and the location is very good IMHO. That's what has driven the bidding above €1M...



  • Administrators Posts: 55,043 Admin ✭✭✭✭✭awec


    The downstairs photos don't do it justice IMO. Furniture is moving around between photos (a navy sofa moves between photos) making it hard to understand what is going on.

    It's also not obvious from the photos that there are 2 decent sized sitting rooms downstairs, not just 1.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,431 ✭✭✭combat14


    great to hear dublin is absolutely flush and awash with money

    meanwhile - ordinary workers are desperate for pay increase to mitigate general inflation running rampant at 8%


    Pay rises to match inflation to be sought at over 2,500 companies





  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,121 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    IF pay-rises happen across the board, it will only solidify and perpetuate the inflation. This is the self-reinforcing feed-back loop of inflation that is as old and money itself.

    Inflation -> prices rises -> print more money to afford said prices -> inflation -> repeat.

    However, we're unlikely to finally break the cycle in this iteration of economic irresponsibility. Ergo, I predict that there indeed will be pay rises across the board. If many private sector workers get them, one may be assured that the civil service unions will not be far behind, and that will be a lot of fun....

    At this point, if anyone has cash and is at a loss as to what to do with it, it would not be a bad time to think long and hard about getting rid of it. One of my friends recently dropped nearly 5k on an electric guitar reasoning that in a fear years, the guitar will at least be worth something whilst the 5k will be guaranteed to be worth less. Ad interim, he can enjoy the instrument (one of John Petrucci's signature guitars; it's a beauty!) and work on his shredding.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,120 ✭✭✭wassie


    One of my friends recently dropped nearly 5k on an electric guitar reasoning that in a fear years, the guitar will at least be worth something whilst the 5k will be guaranteed to be worth less.

    By my reasoning €5K in cash a few years will still be worth €5k. Guaranteed.

    The guitar, will be worth something but no where near €5k.

    But I take your point on being concerned with inflation reducing the net present value of cash today into the future.

    I would hold the opposite view but for different reasons. As a value investor, I feel asset (share) prices are over-priced in the main. I am more than willing to hold as much cash as I can so that I can take advantage of buying opportunities should the concerns surrounding a potential recession eventuate in the next couple of years. Any drop in my purchasing power caused by inflation should be more than offset by a corresponding drop in share prices.

    As for house prices.....that Im not so sure of.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,121 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    The 5k in cash will be 5k in cash, but it's buying power will have declined.

    I agree that assets are inflated, and it's hard to know what to invest in, but I wouldn't sit on cash at the moment. Instruments, guitars at least, do actually hold value quiet well. I have a few basses that are approaching vintage age (25 years), and they're worth a little more than what they would have cost new. This isn't true for all instruments, of course.

    My mate's guitar will stay close to the 5k mark as long as it's well cared for, but of course, he bought it to play it!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,619 ✭✭✭Timing belt


    We will have strike after strike come the summer/autumn as workers fight to get pay rises. It will be teachers, Garda, civil servants one after each other as gov will not give 8% pay rises and will probably cap it a 4%.

    mean while jobs that are in demand in the mnc’s etc…will get the 8% which will only lead to further house price increases.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,839 ✭✭✭mcsean2163


    EU will set inflation not us. We're small fish.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 187 ✭✭someday2010


    It’s hard to predict. A series of left of field ECB rate hikes precipitated by events on the continent could cause a drop. However, the only thing that would cause a crash is a reversal of the supply/demand dynamic and the only way that will happen again is mass emigration and a massive MNC retrenchment which would only happen if the Fed goes nuts and raise US interest rates by 7%.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,604 ✭✭✭Amadan Dubh


    Personally, if that's the difference between your mortgage and rent, I would rather pay the mortgage. And I think that would almost be a no brainer. That is a huge difference and even in a stressed environment, with job losses or hours reduced, €1k pm as a mortgage is probably fine. But your key incentive is the big difference in mortgage and rent; €1k pm. Two caveats are that the place you would pay the mortgage on is somewhere you aren't settling for and you do actually like it. The other caveat is that you could fix the interest rate for a while and still pay around €1k but try to pay off more while the rates are fixed if you can.

    But the key point would be that, even ignoring €2k rent per month (which you can't), a €1k pm mortgage would appear to be objectively sustainable.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,121 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    Yeah that seems likely. Good old civil servants...



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,986 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    central banks are stuck in a low rate environment, they maybe forced to stop rate hikes, due to the pressures involved in economies, including the pressures the hikes are causing themselves, they may even be forced to reduce rates due to these accumulations, if central banks do go for significant hikes, they ll more than likely cause major recessions, they know this.....



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 641 ✭✭✭J_1980


    A large part of the population would be better of in a disinflationary recession than the current left wing money printing nonsense.

    at 15% recession unemployment, 84% (excl top1% and unemployed) are better of. Rampant inflation is far more destructive to society than austerity. It’s just the vocal left wing who make it sound otherwise.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 187 ✭✭someday2010


    Not much chance of a disinflationary recession in the current climate. Stagflation here we come.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,986 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    'left wing', thats interesting! you seem to be well out of touch of modern political and economic ideologies there, tis far from left wing! again, our current inflationary issues are largely not related to money creation, but more so linked with supply chain issues, including energy supply chain issues. this is triggering 'inflationary expectations', a human behavioral issue, i.e. everyone is expecting prices to rise, so in turn, everyone is increasing prices, i.e. its a feedback loop. again, a significant proportion of money created in both the public and private domains has been used in helping further asset price inflation, qe etc.....



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,121 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    The Left / Right paradigm is not a helpful way to view the world. We're living in what is often called Neo-Liberalism or Globalism, and it is apolitical. The only thing that matters is profit.

    The Left is pandered to an tolerated by the globalist establishment because they represent an ideology far more conducive to consumerism. The Right, being more conservative, are less inclined in this regard. Thus, the leftists are playing the role of "useful idiots". Rest assured, when a MNC changes its logo to a rainbow flag or tweets about BLM, it does so because it believes that it will aid its bottom line. If it were more profitable to back the Right, these companies would do just that.

    Personally, I have no time for ideologues of any flavour...



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,600 ✭✭✭fliball123


    At least with MNCs and any other offering from the right wing ideology/company/product you have options to pick and choose at a price point you want or the option not not to engage or buy. You cannot say the same when it comes to left wing ideologies, there is no choice the bleeding heart gets what it wants and any one dare try to call out the punitive measures that Ireland are currently experiencing when welfare is actively competing with jobs and those not working getting housing above those who are out there trying to earn a living is an example of how the tail wags the dog in this country and those who call it for what it is are blasted by all as someone who doesn't care about the poor its ridiculous. I think both sides right and left have eradicated the norm or the middle ground and yet its those in the middle that will suffer in order to indulge both wings.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,986 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    pup should not have been abandoned, it was clearly supporting many businesses, keeping them open, by removing it, it has now placed all the pressure back onto these businesses, many will now simply fail....

    we need to stop looking at such policies as a competing element with businesses, they can be of great help, as was proved, we could have easily kept it in play, slowly reducing it as needed, to reduce the pressure on these businesses, until normalisation of our economy occured, we have now jeopardized large parts of our economy by removing it.... this is where we re completely failing with such polices.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,600 ✭✭✭fliball123


    Well we will only know if that was the right thing to do in a couple of years, we tried austerity after 08 and let companies fail hand over fist with over 400k business hitting the wall and people had to be paid statutory redundancy and then dole money not to mention retraining and the price tag that came with. We will only know if PUP was the right way to go in a couple of years. At the very least it has given every company a chance to remain viable coming out of corona.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,986 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    ...and then theres the chance, we wont know, we may come to the conclusion that its inconclusive, i.e. its sometimes impossible to be sure such experiments are a success or not, im putting my money on inconclusive, but it made sense then, and it still makes sense right now, i.e. save as many businesses and jobs as possible, we really dont want to be dealing with the aftermath of the alternative!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 72,775 ✭✭✭✭L1011


    Politics forum is elsewhere....



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,600 ✭✭✭fliball123


    Well we will know. The measure will be our unemployment rate. If we have people working they are nett tax payers and if they are on the dole they are nett tax takers. So it will be very easy to spot if PUP and trying to keep everyone at work has paid off over the next 2 years or so.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,867 ✭✭✭Villa05


    It also means the day of reckoning gets much closer.

    The wealth divide gets wider. The number of people requiring subsidies for basic living increases, state spending on salaries increases.

    House price increases reduces the number of citizens that can cover their own accomodation costs. More people renting means more money disappearing out of the economy untaxed to foreign investment funds.

    Ff left us in the worst possible position going into the last recession, Fg have repeated the feat and the next one is very close



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,986 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    disagree, i believe this is an over simplification of the issue, many factors are at play regarding employment and unemployment, from national issues to international, and everything in between, taxation is only one entity, as is things such as monetary polices etc, tis incredible complicated stuff to the point we truly dont know what ultimately causes these issues, and may never fully



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,600 ✭✭✭fliball123


    Well we will have to agree to disagree and L1011 has asked us to move on so move the talk back to property.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,986 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    funnily enough, we actually are talking about property markets also, but.....



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,867 ✭✭✭Villa05


    Money printing has been around for over a decade and is a significant contributer to asset price inflation and the main reason housing is unaffordable to so many of our young.

    It would be very odd for that to be left wing policy.



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