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Irish Property Market chat II - *read mod note post #1 before posting*

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,121 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    I've never been a fan of the EU. To me, a grand alliance of states that have centuries of animosity between them was never going to be smooth sailing. This is not the United States, and whilst we may all be Europeans, there isn't a lot to unit us. Living beside each other without wars is all that the EU needs to deliver, but it seems that somewhere along the line it became something else.

    As things stand, we face a situation where owning a home will go from being a reasonable aspiration for anyone willing to work to being a pipe dream for an increasing proportion of the population. The question is whether these younger generations will accept this "new normal" (to borrow a neologism) or whether they will seek to correct it. I personally am starting to look at my parents, aunts and uncles and older relatives in general and raising my eyebrows as they talk of retirement at 60 and what to do with their holiday homes. I'm not one to indulge the green-eyed monster, but my patience is wearing thin. The older generations have benefited very well from the state and seem to have little worry about how those younger than them will fare now that the bill for their indulgences is arriving.

    In my opinion, the rising popularity of figures like La Penn, whether or not she achieves the office she seeks, speaks to a change. The current Western model, as embodied by figures just like the dancing peacock over in Canada, is crippling the middle class and those just below it. Something has to change, so let the change roll in!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,207 ✭✭✭✭Bass Reeves


    Looking at the Irish tax system

    @16k you pay no tax

    @20k you pay 6% of your income in tax

    @30k you pay 12% of your income in tax

    @40kyou pay 25% of your income in tax

    @80k you pay 35% of your income in tax

    The issue is that any tax system is discriminatory. It's a combined system of self employed and PAYE.

    Because of our low corporate rate it pays micro industries to incorporate earlier than others countries.

    Our taxation system at lower taxation rates is hugely beneficial to the self employed

    Slava Ukrainii



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,839 ✭✭✭mcsean2163


    myhome at 11642 properties now, slowly but surely ticking up.

    This boggles my mind. 732 sqm. I guess it has a swimming pool. It just seems very big to me. I guess if I was 22 again, a pool would be pretty cool, maybe the stripe guys will buy it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,011 ✭✭✭✭Giblet


    Jesus that looks ghastly.. Money cannot buy taste.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,867 ✭✭✭Villa05


    The people in the first 4 categories most likely spend all their income to cover a basic enough cost of living some may even need subsidies, but work should always be rewarded more than SW.

    Spending all their income means they pay significant vat in proportion to their total income.

    In the 80k bracket, people can offset their tax with pension contributions at the higher rate of tax. If done, they can bring their effective tax rate down to very close to the person on 40k.

    With regard to self employed. There is a spirit of reselience and entrepreneurship in this sector that I feel should be rewarded. Alot to be said for people that have the get up and go to do things for themselves.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,604 ✭✭✭Amadan Dubh


    35k is pretty much the minimum wage you need as a working renter to be able to survive in Dublin anyway so it shouldn't really be seen as a level to raise taxes on. Full time workers earning less than €35k are likely being subsidized by the State in their lives via some form of benefit.

    That being said, 35k is apparently the median income in the State which shows out vastly unsustainable the rents in this country are.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,207 ✭✭✭✭Bass Reeves


    The average full time worker in the country earns about 50k at the moment. Earning are skewed by the amount of mostly students working part-time.

    In general earnings in Dublin would be running 10% above national averages. The median wage in Dublin is probably near 50k. Add to this that when you look at earning it PAYE workers you are looking at. A lit of the self employed have the ability to shelter earnings.

    Slava Ukrainii



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,604 ✭✭✭Amadan Dubh


    That's even more of a reason to not touch anything up to 35k.

    So much cash gets pumped into property that it is low hanging fruit to tax more, especially if the tax encourages the capital to flow around more eg because people can no longer afford the tax on their property. Looking at the value of housing increase so much each year, yet the cost for existing owners remains the same during that time doesn't really lend itself to a sustainable and productive economy. By not taxing properties more we are incentivising hoarding. Wealth in this country is almost unanimously defined by home ownership which applies to mean that the wealthy are the homeowners, whether they believe / approve / feel / deny it and part of our progressive tax system is to tax higher on wealthier participants.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 101 ✭✭IamMe33



    Slimy revolting treachery against a generation who can't compete with funds and councils

    This government has brazenly sold out a swathe of the population as revenue generators for foriegn pensions, and has the temerity to persist in efforts to convince everyone it's for their own benifit.

    The sooner they're gone the better, even if SF won't improve things.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 101 ✭✭IamMe33


    Slimy revolting treachery against a generation who can't compete with funds and councils

    This government has brazenly sold out a swathe of the population as revenue generators for foriegn pensions, and has the temerity to persist in efforts to convince everyone it's for their own benifit.

    The sooner they're gone the better, even if SF won't improve things



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 368 ✭✭keoclassic


    Bang on. But they keep doing it... And right in front of our faces. Everytime time I see our housing minister on rte, I get instant elevated blood pressure!! This madness has to stop. I really do hope everything goes bang, a mass reset is what's needed.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,604 ✭✭✭Amadan Dubh


    Rentals in Dublin city now down to 444 ads on Daft. It's a ticking timebomb before a big MNC employer pulls the plug on new hires and a domino effect starts to happen across employers. New jobs announcements will stay as announcements and not materialise. Workday and Tik Tok being the big announcements in the last few months but it really does come down to housing; severe supply shortage and unsustainable prices.

    The key word being "unsustainable" which should be interpreted to mean that something may give and people should've seen it coming that maybe a market with double digit increases in costs due to severe supply shortages was perhaps not the most resilient or stable foundation on which to claim that our housing market is sturdy.

    The big increases in costs while supply has dried up feels a bit like the tide receding before a tsunami comes. The question is how many people didn't realise that the tide receding was not something to stand and watch but in fact something to run very far away from!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,839 ✭✭✭mcsean2163


    Do you think many people would be willing to pay 400k for an apartment in devaney gardens? It doesn't look like a very nice construction either.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,867 ✭✭✭Villa05


    You don't need anyone to buy them when you have a gov that will use your money to lease them



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,839 ✭✭✭mcsean2163


    The other guy seemed to be implying that they should have been sold to individuals that want to pay 400k to live in devaney gardens.

    So is your point the government should have bought them for social housing? If so I agree, buy the rest and lease on the cost rental non welfare model and have a price for a portion that a renter could buy the property at would be a good idea maybe.

    Really weird development IMHO.



  • Posts: 18,749 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    The original plans for O Devanney gardens was great. If they had have built what they wanted in the beginning plenty of people would have bought houses there, me included. Shame they didn't allow permission



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,839 ✭✭✭mcsean2163


    Yep, close to the phoenix park and close to town. Lots going for it I guess but whatever they seem to have built...



  • Posts: 18,749 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,121 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    SF won't do diddly squat. The Left, for the most part, are no threat to globalism as they represent an ideology that goes well with consumerism. Mass immigration, social housing and big spending in general by the state makes corporations salivate as there are plenty of government contracts to be snatched up. All that SF will do is promise the earth, the moon and the stars and burn out the funny-money press trying to deliver it.

    We're beyond the point of fixing things with an election. As I've said before, the Irish civil service has been filled to the brim with people who are hell-bent on pushing globalist agenda either because they are invested in it or, even worse, because they are utopian ideologues. These people don't come and go with elections, and if any politician tried to take them on, the media and the Twitter harpies would drag them through the mud.

    However, let's not fool ourselves into thinking that this is some dark cabal that has taken over the country. The Irish electorate has, for decades, voted in parties who espouse the above. Furthermore, the bureaucrats who fill the ranks of the civil service are not some alien lizard people (though in some cases, I could be convinced otherwise). Rather, they comprise Irish people and are representative of the status quo of the population. What I’m saying here is that none of this was really forced upon us. Whilst there was and always will be manipulation though the media by interest groups, at the end of the day, the Irish people chose to sow the harvest that we are now reaping.  



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Interesting thoughts. Do you feel house prices will fall by much and over what time-frame? I cant see much falling in the next 2 years anyway? Me and my wife are thing of buying, our mortgage would be about 1k but if we rent it'll be at least 2k per month. Thats 24k in 1 year which is a nice chunk off a mortgage.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,625 ✭✭✭fergus1001


    I think anyone buying a house in the next 6 months should be prepared to go into negative equity



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,431 ✭✭✭combat14


    Rising cost of living impacting would-be home-buyers

    A new survey by property listing site MyHome.ie found that 52% of respondents said inflation was affecting their ability to purchase

    with predicted buildings material inflation of 18% next year just 12% believe that the next 12 months represent a good time to buy ... this will most likely serve to put a brake on soaring market demand..



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 39 Just Some Young Lad


    That's fair that people would not buy them at their current price of 400k, but that is because we need a decline to continue. By not allowing funds to purchase these properties (and others) they will sit on the market a depreciate in value until they reach an amount that the general populous deems acceptable and then begins to purchase them. The less properties funds can buy into, the more on the open market, the lower the price because demand wouldn't outweigh supply by as much as it does now, and the better off we'd all be. It wouldn't "fix" the situation. There is no silver bullet, but it would start a reduction in prices.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,985 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    jesus, where do even start with this one!

    we re clearly coming to an end of the global neoliberal/neoclassical era, and nobody really knows what to do next, but we better get cracking with solutions, before we get bomby and shooty!

    but to fair, sf are gonna struggle beyond belief in government, and you can be damn sure, it wont be solved in a single term



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,121 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    I’m not suggesting some sort of insurgence. Rather, I’m merely saying that anyone who thinks that voting out FF/FG will bring a change is deluding themselves.  



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,611 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    I dont believe SF will solve the issue, but I know 100% that FF/FG will only make things worse.

    Their record on housing to date has been to inflate the bubble more and more - all any other party would have to do is not actively make things worse and they would have a better record than the incumbents.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,985 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    i do completely agree with this statement, we ve no real ideas on how to resolve our property problems, and absolutely, sf wont come in waving magic wands, this is gonna take years, if not decades to resolve, dont be surprised if the situation deteriorates under sf, theyre gonna struggle....

    the problem goes far beyond ffg, other major institutions such as the ecb are helping to worsen the situation, we re stuck in a catastrophic failure at a fundamental level, possible/probably a catastrophic collapse, and nobody knows where it ll end up.....

    sf will also be stuck in this situation, with severe limitations in place in order to change things, we re all waiting for more global changes to occur...



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,045 ✭✭✭MacronvFrugals



    Some increases in the Drumcondra Griffith Wood BTR development!






  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,867 ✭✭✭Villa05


    Probably a quote that sums up housing

    "The construction/housing sector is like a spoilt child, the more money you throw at it, the more it comes back looking for more"

    Lorcan Sirr on the Mick Clifford podcast




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,985 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    its a rent seeking mess, it just keeps sucking up more and more money, which only truly benefits major asset owners, and ultimately the fire sectors....



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