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Irish Property Market chat II - *read mod note post #1 before posting*

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,045 ✭✭✭MacronvFrugals



    Genuine question, I'm on a good wage and all together 22%(personal 15% and employer 7%) goes into my pension each month or over 1200 euro, in no way would I ever think that would be enough to cover current private rents during retirement, with this are they relying on a substantial decline in rents within a couple generations? What if pensions dont perform as well?

    As an aside this scheme does help our "pension timebomb crisis" right?


    New pension scheme needed to pay for 'generation rent' who will never own a home when they retire


    The Government has privately conceded that the new auto-enrolment pension scheme is needed for the increasing number of older people who will still be renting when they retire, the Irish Independent can reveal.


    A confidential Cabinet memo prepared for ministers states that the new pension scheme will be “particularly important” as home-ownership rates are in decline and an increasing number of older people need enough income to meet the cost of rent during their retirement.


    “An increasing number of older people will need sufficient income to meet rental costs during their retirement years,” the memo states. “The expansion of pension coverage is key to addressing this challenge.”





  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,121 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    Is there any information on whether Irish pension funds do the same thing overseas? I'm quite sure that they do.

    Anyways, it's good to know that the state has decided to consider the future needs of todays working generations. Knowing that there's a shared room in the tenement block will warm the heart of many a 30-something as they pay massive amounts of tax to keep todays retired generations in pensions.

    Sarcasm aside, how can a society continue to function when the social-contract is broken? Keeping older generations in generous pensions is pauperising the younger generations. I, for one, think that it's time these pensions were reconsidered.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,503 ✭✭✭✭Mad_maxx


    What bear market?


    There hasn't been a bear market since the shortest one on record in 2020



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,367 ✭✭✭JimmyVik


    If they rent it they might never get thier house back, or at best have to go through the courts for years to get it back, so i dont see that happening.

    If properties arent rented at the moment they are unlikely to be rented in the future. Totally different ball game to helping out people from a war zone.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,503 ✭✭✭✭Mad_maxx


    Well it should suit them now ? ,demand is enormous

    Perhaps it's government regulation providing obstacles?

    Spec regulations are far too high nowadays for one ,drives costs up hugely



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,870 ✭✭✭Villa05


    I would imagine it would offset some of the hap the state would otherwise be paying for your rent. Would we have been better off if we left the Queen in charge



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,367 ✭✭✭JimmyVik


    I remember the smugness of people a decade ago talking the value they got renting and that renting was always better than buying.

    I was one of them :)

    Now over a decade later, I have reversed that opinion. Renting is 100% dead money imo. And its only going to get worse. And whats even adder is it is getting worse at a frightening rate. As landlords leave the market and people who had cushy below market rents for years it is accelerating.

    We have passed the point of no return. People with controlled rents are in for some shock at what their new rent will be when their landlords sell up, and sell up they all will. You're only option will be REITs.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,045 ✭✭✭MacronvFrugals




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,611 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    Loan to income (LTI) limits set the upper bound for what a couple can pay for a house. Due to building standards, its increasingly expensive to build new homes. Add in recent inflation in construction materials and land, and its getting more and more difficult to build new homes at a price they will actually be sold.

    Construction is starting to slow down



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,950 ✭✭✭✭_Brian


    Currently tidying up our rented property as we’re between tenants.

    seriously looking at selling. The power balance between tenants and landlords is nowhere near balanced, add to that draconian tax on rental income and it’s not attractive at all.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,367 ✭✭✭JimmyVik


    You also have a likley SF in government looking over your shoulder too. You are the devil to their voters and will be punished. You may never see the inside of your own property again, l;et alone sell it at full market price, if they follow through with their stated plans.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,611 ✭✭✭timmyntc




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,367 ✭✭✭JimmyVik


    He better get out with a trowel himself and build them :) Because they never going to get anywhere near whats even needed for Irish people. Never.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,913 ✭✭✭PommieBast


    @RichardAnd

    Sarcasm aside, how can a society continue to function when the social-contract is broken? Keeping older generations in generous pensions is pauperising the younger generations. I, for one, think that it's time these pensions were reconsidered.

    My working assumption (no pun intended) is pensions and retirement as they are recognised today not existing in 20 years time. Only question is whether it will be the current 18-35s electing a burn-the-state right-wing party, or (more likely) the IMF coming to town.


    @JimmyVik

    We have passed the point of no return. People with controlled rents are in for some shock at what their new rent will be when their landlords sell up, and sell up they all will. You're only option will be REITs.

    When that happened to me I worked out that my rent per square meter almost tripled, but for me the bigger shock was even places asking north of £2k having queues out the door. I emigrated not because of the prices but the way potential tenants are treated.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,120 ✭✭✭wassie


    As an aside this scheme does help our "pension timebomb crisis" right?

    Australia introduced a defined contribution pension scheme 30 years ago. The basic system at present is that employers contribute 10% of salary to employees fund and is set to rise each year by 0.5% to 12% by 2025. According to wikipedia, "as of 30 September 2021, Australians have AUD$3.4 trillion in superannuation assets, making Australia the 4th largest holder of pension fund assets in the world".

    We are very late to the party.....and the squeezed middle as usual will pay for it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,367 ✭✭✭JimmyVik


    An the government of Ireland would look at a pot like that as a potential source of funds to raid. Ask FG.

    I think you should only be able to force people to auto enrol if you make it impossible for the govt to raid pensions again.

    Otherwise the government is just taking peoples money and storing it in a nice place that the government can dip into it.

    There are a hell of a lot of people who stopped their pensions after the last raid. Trust is hard earned and easily lost.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,121 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    Hmm, I think that Ireland is not the kind of place where a right-leaning party would be able to flourish. The problem with right-leaning parties is that whilst some of them do indeed have a handle on the problems of globalism, they mingle these policies with social issues that are far too heavily influenced by old-style Catholic church teachings. No party is going to get far with that kind of thing.

    I personally think that the "reaction" to the current mess will be the election of increasingly bizarre collections of economically illiterate lefties who will, as leftist often are, be played like a fiddle by the neo-liberal civil servants who sit behind the throne, so to speak.

    Thus, I agree. the IMF will be here at some point once again.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Very curious, for the active home buyers on here, by active I mean people actually bidding on houses etc and not just looking on daft, how are you finding the whole process? From personal experience I find alot of the houses we have viewed etc are nowhere near meeting the asking price let along exceeding them with the very odd exception. We are looking in Galway, maybe it is completely different in Dublin or elsewhere. Also looking at new build estates, €375k for 4 bed semi d, not a bad price in the scheme of things. Would like to get everyone else's opinion on their experience.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 720 ✭✭✭houseyhouse


    That’s a great price if the location suits you. I’m not actively buying right now but have been going to open houses and so on in Galway city. Curious to see how the ODJ auction goes next week. We bought in 2020 and paid close to 350k for a 3 bed semi-d that needs a LOT of upgrading to get to the standard of a new build (1960s house). Got an estimate from an architect recently and it was eye watering. Hence going to viewings again.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Cheers for your reply. Yeah location suits, so will see. Currently talking to developer. So will you sell the property you bought in 2020 then or rent it? Tricky to know what is best to do. We can the HTB scheme so I guess it helps.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,367 ✭✭✭JimmyVik


    I cant remember the last time i even heard of a winning bid for a house being below the asking price.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,431 ✭✭✭combat14


    ecb will have to look at inflation across all euro member states not just spain .. obviously some economies are more important than others

    if ecb indicate high inflation is permanent and up interest rates there will be carnage as all and sundry will demand commensurate pay rises to compensate for 7-8% inflation ... if employers pay out the snowball effect kicks in



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 720 ✭✭✭houseyhouse


    Hard to say what we’ll do but we probably wouldn’t let it out. Don’t think we’d get another mortgage. Though I haven’t really considered it until this moment.

    Feels like there are no good options. We are seeing what we can scrape together and whether we could do a smaller job on the house. Problem is the location of the current house is perfect and our kids love it here so we’re very reluctant to move them.

    Are the houses you’re looking at in the city? Just had a quick look on daft and I only see one development and it’s a good bit over €375k for a 4 bed.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,979 ✭✭✭growleaves


    New York and New Jersey are not great jurisdictions for small landlords to thrive in either.




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,045 ✭✭✭MacronvFrugals



    ‘Payment shock’ awaits US home buyers as mortgage rates climb


    image.png





  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,950 ✭✭✭✭_Brian


    64CB9C09-53D6-40A3-AB7D-10F9BBDC125A.jpeg

    this is the level of dirt and disrespect one of our tenants left behind them. It took some negotiation and I’ll admit we returned the deposit to get them out rather than a protracted legal battle. They were getting rent at maybe 30% below market value. This carpet was 3 years old and spotless when they moved in.

    don’t really want to be dealing with this crap any more.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,040 ✭✭✭optogirl


    We have been actively looking/bidding for 18 months. Outbid on everything - one was a 2 bed ex-council house with no extension - went 70k over asking. Currently the highest bidder on a house in D7 (25k over asking). Our mortgate is with the local authority and engineer's report has stated need for substantial refurbishment so pretty sure they will not allow us to buy it. It's an absolute pain in the arse at the moment and very stressful. Waiting in a rental house for the axe to drop.



  • Moderators, Education Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 35,196 Mod ✭✭✭✭AlmightyCushion


    The state will be paying €1 for every €3 a person pays into it. The employer also contributes €3. So the state is contributing about 14.25% to your pension fund under this scheme. You will also save tax on the money they contribute so the €3 an employee contributes will cost the employee a lot less in real terms. That €3 would be less than €2 in your pocket if you were to not contribute to this scheme.

    The pension levy you talk about was 0.6% for 3 years, 0.75% for 2014 and then 0.15% for 2015. I disagreed with it and thought it was a terrible idea. However, someone contributing to a pension likely saved more in tax and earned more in fund growth over the years than they lost through the pension levy. It is possible there are some edge cases that did not but in the vast majority of cases that would be true.

    Even if they bring back the pension levy at some stage, it is incredibly likely that someone contributing to this new scheme would be better off than if they hadn't.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,604 ✭✭✭Amadan Dubh


    "Sharp slowdown in housing appreciation" - you have to admire the spin they put on it. Lipstick on a dying pig.

    This is even before rate rises have happened. When they start to happen and the manufactured recession kicks off, it could get ugly.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,367 ✭✭✭JimmyVik


    The same line trotted out in defence of the last pension raid.

    Very simple to fix though. Make it illegal for anyone to raid pension funds, especially the state.

    Theres a reason they wont do that though isnt there, or they would have done it already.

    The fact that your pension put is sitting there with an open lock for the government to dip into and take as much as it likes is a problem. Its easy to fix that problem, unless you need it not to be fixed.



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