Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email us on hello@boards.ie for help. Thanks :)
Hello all! Please ensure that you are posting a new thread or question in the appropriate forum. The Feedback forum is overwhelmed with questions that are having to be moved elsewhere. If you need help to verify your account contact hello@boards.ie

Russia - threadbanned users in OP

17047057077097103690

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,214 ✭✭✭wylo


    I agree, Putin knows that the ball will now be in Zelenksy's court and the longer the war goes on the more likely the Ukrainian people will grow tired of the notion of a brave resistance.

    Everyone including Putin needs a way out of this that saves them politically.

    It may also buy Ukraine more time to build up their own defense even more than they have been doing. I also agree Crimea is a lost cause, it seems like the equivalent of a Northern Ireland but with no nationalists living there.

    The one big issue with all of this is it basically means a country can bully their way into getting what they want.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 772 ✭✭✭Heraclius


    Not joining NATO is being defenceless though. Russia could repeat its invasion whenever it wants.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,970 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    You genuinely think Putin, a man who has pathologically lied and broken agreements, will keep to those terms?

    "Ukraine is building a dirty bomb, we have to go back in"

    "Ukraine is rebuilding it's military, we have to go back in"

    "Ukraine is secretly in talks to join NATO, we have to go back in"

    ...



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,002 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    Unfortunately, that 500,000 figure is entirely doable. The Russian military number 1.1 million. The goons you see who are suppressing all protests and civil 'complaints and such, number about 2.2 million, so Russia already has roughly equivalent numbers of social suppressors in Russia itself.

    I heard a joke which I think went something like: 'In Russia, you are free to protest, but the authorities are free to stop you.'



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,285 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    They are also demanding that Ukraine not join the EU ("any blocs").



  • Advertisement
  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 60,313 Mod ✭✭✭✭Wibbs


    Another term I would add is non NATO alligned inspectors and peacekeepers(we'd be a charm for that) in Ukraine during the rebuilding process. If putin tried the WMD bullshít he'd be on very shaky ground. I don't think he'd risk another debacle like the one on his hands now.

    Many worry about Artificial Intelligence. I worry far more about Organic Idiocy.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 713 ✭✭✭cheezums


    No I don't trust him. But if Ukraine keeps fighting there will literally be no Ukraine left. It either ends now with some hard to swallow terms, or much later after an enormous amount of deaths and destruction.

    I also think it's a bit rich for people to say keep fighting while also saying, sorry you're on your own.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    "Cease military action"

    This is another way of saying Ukraine must demilitarise (people are reading wrong if they think that just means the immediate cessation). And by demilitarise they mean allowing Russian troops to protect them.

    This is Putin's way of taking Ukraine without further loss of the cannon fodder, which may cause him issues at home.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,621 ✭✭✭FintanMcluskey




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,798 ✭✭✭✭DrumSteve


    I'd agree with this.

    Putin fucked up big time.

    If he had of actually done his special operation, the funny thing is, the west may have given him **** but he probably would have got a pass.

    I can see Zelinskyy giving them the 2 statelets and Crimea, but not disarming. I could also see Vlad accepting that, knowing what he can expect the next time (and there will be a next time) he goes in.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 146 ✭✭Wes M.


    I dunno how a ceasefire could be achieved when Ukraine is surely on a path to Western alignment now - NATO, EU membership, however long it takes, and Russia can't pull out without winning something. Even if the invasion was rolled back, you'd imagine Russian harassment and interference will continue for years to come with propaganda and cyber warfare and election meddling. If I was Ukraine, I'd want strong partners more than ever. I read in The Times this morning, that there was talk of the Russians "uncovering" evidence to say that Ukraine was working on a nuclear weapons program, which of course would play well domestically, that this threat had to be neutered, even at great loss of life.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    That's the idea , Ukraine won't need an army because Russian peace keepers will be permanently based in Ukraine to protect Ukraine from foreign aggression



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,066 ✭✭✭HerrKuehn


    It would be very stupid of Ukraine to agree to anything that requires Putin keeps his word. I would have thought most have woken up to the fact that trying to integrate Russia with trade and dialogue has completely failed over the last 20 years. There is only one that that they respect and understand, that is the ability of defend yourself militarily.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,768 ✭✭✭Homelander


    Edit: This post was in response to someone suggesting Russia easily had the manpower needed to conquer and police Ukraine post-victory.

    It's not doable financially or politically though even if the logistics could be sorted. Committing to a multi-year war, enormous casualties, while your economy is being hammered and your country is being reduced to a pariah state....all while knowing ultimately, you will end up withdrawing anyway.

    It's not workable or feasible for Russia. Putin rolled the dice on a war that would last a few days, a short, sharp strike. It hasn't happened, he's already lost locally and on the world stage with the Russian armed forces shown up badly.

    All he's trying to do now is save face and punish Ukraine before an agreement is reached. A military defeat and occupation of Ukraine would require collossal military resources and personnel that Russia 100% does not have to commit.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,712 ✭✭✭storker


    You're assuming that's a concern for Putin.

    "We may be destroyed but if we are we will drag a world with us...a world in flames". (Adolf Hitler)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 269 ✭✭Perseverance The Second


    A 4th Su-34 has been visually confirmed as a loss for the Russian's. That means they have lost around $160 million (USD) just on these 4 jets. All Because they are too cheap to use guided munitions (if they even have any)





  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 515 ✭✭✭TheTruth89


    I don't think he has the control nor is he has much a "mad dog" as is being portrayed. If NATO went in in the morning there would be no nuclear war.


    Over caution on the wests part.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,964 ✭✭✭jmreire


    Your post read " Show them the map ( of Ireland I presume ) and how that worked out for Ireland, and I replied that the Ukrainians are quite capable of working out what they want themselves, and I'm pretty sure that being subjugated by Russia in any shape or form ( Irish Solution) is not acceptable .....quite the opposite, in fact. And they are prepared to die rather than submit. Slava Ukraine.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 799 ✭✭✭technocrat


    Even if it got that far, I can see the top generals refusing to carry out Putins nuclear orders.

    I think at that stage we would see Putin quietly been 'disappeared'.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    There's no need for a no fly zone. The west are playing it perfectly. Give the Ukrainians the weapons, 'Here you go, target, press fire, have your camera ready'. The Russians can't fly without out losing multi million dollar assets with Ukraine making use of ground level, sub $1m dollar AA ordinance.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,712 ✭✭✭storker


    The only problem with that is the neutrality bit. There was a need to for Ukraine to be in NATO - this argument has now been clinched by Putin himself. Ten or more years is a long time before the EU Defence Pact would kick in. That's ten years in which the Russian Army could learn from its combat failures and apply the lessons, ready for Round #2. Maybe the Ukrainians could offer a one-sided non-aggression commitment as a sop, without even asking Putin to reciprocate since his word would be worthless anyway.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,712 ✭✭✭storker


    That's my point. You're advocating the risking of millions of lives based on "I don't think..." Given the possible consequences, that's not terribly convincing.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,964 ✭✭✭jmreire


    Oh, if history is anything to go by, its not the external aggression that will be his main worry ( but he will still have to worry about it) it will be the home grown variety, 600'00+ sq miles and hostile population of 44 million. Yeah, that should cause even worse headaches than Afghanistan and Chechnya combined.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 515 ✭✭✭TheTruth89


    I'd agree with that too, I think Putin made an awful tactical blunder actually invading Ukraine his greatest bargaining chip was the "Threat" of invasion and propaganda videos showing the fire power they d face if they did invade.


    If the Nazis couldn't subdue population s completely in the 1940s and they were beyond ruthless Russia hasn't a snowballs chance in hell of subdueing western backed population that are freedom fighters.


    Russia is going to come out of this extremely bloodied, I think it's a matter of time before Putin is forced back to the negotiation table and the big one will be Ukraine not to join NATO but seeing as they have weathered the worst the Russians have to offer they should stay the course it's a guaranteed win at this stage they merely have to persevere to win now.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,002 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    Andrei V Kozyrev

    @andreivkozyrev

    "2. Russian military. The Kremlin spent the last 20 years trying to modernize its military. Much of that budget was stolen and spent on mega-yachts in Cyprus. But as a military advisor you cannot report that to the President. So they reported lies to him instead. Potemkin military"

    That would explain a few things, like Putin miscalculating due to an overconfidence in the militaries capabilities.

    I guess he's learning the hard way.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,970 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    It's doubtful Putin would ever accept such peacekeepers

    The "agreement" would give Putin carte blanche to strike Ukraine with cruise missiles whenever he wanted citing whatever manufactured "violations" he wanted. He gets to legitimize stealing their territory. There would be a Russian puppet in control. The country would be a completely vassal state at the mercy of an aggressive military power, who will almost certainly be invading them at a later stage (just doing it correctly next time when they've actually learned how to do modern combined arms wars)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 515 ✭✭✭TheTruth89


    Based on logic it's nearly a certain that he wouldn't launch nuclear weapons because NATO intervened in Ukraine.


    Go thru it yourself say NATO goes in what do you think will happen what's he going to do ? And what's he going to accomplish by doing it ?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 894 ✭✭✭Bayonet


    Just to point out, not everyone is the Azov battalion is a neo-Nazi. They have neo-Nazis among them, but it's not the whole lot.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,970 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    I'm not saying keep fighting, I am saying the decision is up to the Ukrainians.

    The terms aren't "hard to swallow", that's not the issue. They would cease to be a sovereign nation and would become a puppet state.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 146 ✭✭Wes M.


    When the invasion began and was being widely described as Putin's personal war, I naively hoped that men of conscience within the Kremlin might step forward to unwind the whole thing, with Putin placed under house arrest (or suffering a massive heart attack), but as the days go on, I'm starting to think that the people in the inner circle are as bold and vicious as Putin is. I suppose, you have to be to earn your place in that circle. I know some of the connections go back to the 70's (jobs for the boys as it were) but reading up about them at the weekend, and if what I read is true, it's quite a rogues gallery that is administering this war...



This discussion has been closed.
Advertisement