Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email us on hello@boards.ie for help. Thanks :)
Hello all! Please ensure that you are posting a new thread or question in the appropriate forum. The Feedback forum is overwhelmed with questions that are having to be moved elsewhere. If you need help to verify your account contact hello@boards.ie

CSO rental report & Landlord statistics

  • 22-11-2021 12:36pm
    #1
    Registered Users Posts: 3,151 ✭✭✭




    good to see some hard data from the CSO a few days ago, from a combination of sources (census, rtb, lpt, ber and Revenue), up to 2020:

    • over half of landlords have net income under €10k
    • 67% of landlords have 1 rental and a further 19% have 2 (i.e. 86% with 2 or under)
    • age profile of Landlords is getting older, as fewer younger people can afford to buy rentals, and existing LLs age
    • 22% of LLs use rent as their primary source of income (presumably that’s a combination of companies and also some elderly folks with a single rental, no mortgage and pension income)
    • total number of landlords has been dropping since 2016, down 4,400 in 2020 to 165k, while the number of rentals owned by companies has increased.
    • of the 165,000 landlords, there can be more than one LL registered to a single rental (husband/wife, sister/brother, etc), so selling a rental can remove multiple LLs from the market


    as an investment market, it’s very clear that most LLs are either not investors (accidental), or are taking on a lot of tenant-side risk to rely presumably on future capital appreciation. with much of that appreciation probably already done, it helps explain the exodus of LLs in recent years.


    the market is clearly broken on both sides, but it’s rare to get detailed data on the LL side.



«13

Comments

  • Registered Users Posts: 3,151 ✭✭✭sk8board


    Just 2% of new mortgage approvals are for Buy2Let’s. 2%!

    the market is completely broken, on both sides.

    im sure there are some cash buyers across the market, but it’s unlikely with such low interest rates on offer, and 100% interest deductible.


    Mortgage approvals slow in October - BPFI

    https://www.rte.ie/news/business/2021/1130/1263935-bpfi-mortgage-approvals/

    Post edited by sk8board on


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,368 ✭✭✭JimmyVik


    I cant help but imagine how financially ignorant that 2% must be :)



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,151 ✭✭✭sk8board


    in reality it’s in the noise level, and probably most of them are people obliged to change their existing FTB mortgage to a B2L by their bank



  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 32,278 Mod ✭✭✭✭The_Conductor


    Its good to see some nice hard data for a change- we all hear anecdotal stories of the exit from the sector etc- but few hard facts such as are outlined here.



  • Registered Users Posts: 12,480 ✭✭✭✭Varik


    Where are you seeing the 165k total and the drop from, it's not in the article and I can't see it in the actual report.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users Posts: 3,151 ✭✭✭sk8board


    RTB annual report - its easy to find on their website and they always include a graph of total LLs since their inception about 15 yrs ago. The numbers are falling since 2016, and the rate of LLs leaving is accelerating each year.

    also, bear in mind that this is the net change in registered LLs - there will be some new LLs joining the market, and also cash LLs who are being found and (rightly) forced to register. It also won’t include LLs who didn’t notify the RTB that they were exiting (I’m not aware that it’s a requirement).

    the number of LLs exiting the market is actually higher.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,151 ✭✭✭sk8board


    some up to date data on the continuous increase in the number of LLs leaving the market, 2012 v 2020. Its been accelerating every year since 2016.

    https://m.independent.ie/news/tenants-feel-squeeze-as-46-landlords-a-week-left-market-in-the-autumn-41121495.html



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,368 ✭✭✭JimmyVik


    <QUOTE>"However, Sinn Féin housing spokesperson Eoin Ó Broin said that it was a “bare-faced lie” to say that the new legislation would put in place tenancies of indefinite duration.“Almost nobody gets evicted on those grounds.

    “Tenants are getting virtually no additional extra protection,” he said.

    “While the technical change [the minister] is making is welcome, what he really needs to be doing is removing those other two grounds for eviction.

    “If the landlord wants to sell, they should sell with the tenant in situ.”

    The data, which has not yet been formally published by the RTB but was released to Mr Ó Broin, shows that the number of landlords selling their properties is now higher than pre-pandemic levels in the past several years."</QUOTE>

    And there go the landords who are left straight out the door :)



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,151 ✭✭✭sk8board


    Yeh I saw that too - it’s a pretty narrow buyers market if the only person you can sell to also needs to be a landlord :D

    complete and utter unimplementable populism.

    the central bank said a few years ago that for every 5 LLs leaving the market, that 1 new LL was entering - and they weren’t even buyers, it was usually a couple moving in together and keeping both houses they already owned (i.e yet another accidental LL).

    I’d imagine the recent price rises would mean that 1-in-5 figure is far lower now, as it’s a less attractive investment



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,151 ✭✭✭sk8board


    (Green line) Fascinating drop in rental availability on Daft, from 24,000 in 2011, to just 1,300 today - note in particular the steep fall in the past 18 months, a clear indicator of landlords taking advantage of increased property prices to leave the market.

    it will be interesting to see how how many LLs leave before it bottoms out, it’s down from 220k in 2011 to 164k today.



  • Advertisement
  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Wow, only 1,300 properties to rent in the entire country 😲



  • Registered Users Posts: 544 ✭✭✭agoodpunt


    populist socialist treshold directed policies have the private market striped of supply politics needs to be remove from the property market they are responsible for its destruction starting with the scraping of the rtb



  • Registered Users Posts: 210 ✭✭Max H


    RTB are too tenant biased. I agree bad landlords should be penalised. But to get a bad tenant out, who is trashing your house, or not paying rent, or being anti social is not the problem of the landlord, they are the state's problem. They should be removed asap and put in a hotel or b and b till social state supplied housing is available. You give up your right to being in a nice house if you act like an eejit. And the same goes for landlords too. But small private landlords need protecting as well, and they are not.



  • Registered Users Posts: 149 ✭✭Hontou


    Irresponsible bad tenants are the greatest enemy of good tenants. If the criminal behaviour (in my opinion) of property damaging and overholding tenants could be dealt with quickly, then good tenants would have a better chance of getting a rental. I have just read on a property forum of a working man with good landlord references living in a hostel. Meanwhile, some rental properties have non paying tenants supported by the government. Good, responsible tenants should have some kind of lobby group. Landlords are not allowed differentiate between good and bad tenants. References are often false and GDPR rules etc. mean tenants cannot be vetted. I sold rental properties because I could never risk again having a bad tenant. It only takes one to destroy a property. I had decades of great tenants but the government backed, increased risk, has destroyed the market for good tenants. There could be more and better landlords and a better market for good tenants if both bad tenants and bad landlords were dealt with swiftly in the criminal courts where they belong.



  • Registered Users Posts: 544 ✭✭✭agoodpunt


    decent older tenants wiill be excluded, youmg families returning to ireland and body starting a new career is the result of socializeing the private market and in part has aided the supply shortage.

    Result is we are seening more and more houses been sold with tenants excluding some buyers from securing a home if they want to buy.

    Corporate landlords playing no tax while small LL been screwed.

    Threats to make tenancies indefefiinte whille tenants can move when ever the want they cannot be held on total one sided contracts.

    Removal of property rights, families moving a member into a property been challenged resulting in many been left vacant.

    And the socialist clowns call rents to be frozen again the market is still fecked from the last one so lets really feck it even more.

    Post edited by agoodpunt on


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,368 ✭✭✭JimmyVik


    I think sometime last year we passed the tipping point where nothing any government do to encourage landlords back into the market will be enough.

    Too many years of constant battering through ever changing legislation and eroding rights over your own property have left their mark.

    Now even if they did something to encourage landlords back they wouldnt bite as they would be wondering how long until its reversed.

    Also the spectre of new legislation to kill the value of their investment or prevent them leaving the sector if they need to is looming.

    Noone in their right mind would buy investment property now. Anyone still in it is thinking seriously about getting out, our has got out.

    Property investment is a dead duck now. Unless you are a REIT, with all the perks that entails, you just cant make it work or take the risk.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,151 ✭✭✭sk8board



    this mightn’t seem like a lot, but it’s about 4,000 LL’s leaving the market annually, or about 2.5% of all LLs in the country (165,000, which is down from 212,000 a few years ago).

    the rental market is just getting tighter and tighter, from both Supply and Demand.

    on an aside, daft listings are down to just 1,150 across the whole country this morning - a record low.

    for reference that’s down from a high of over 20,000 high in 2012.



  • Registered Users Posts: 601 ✭✭✭tvjunki


    Don’t forget the banks were part of this situation in 2008 up to 2012. Pushing home owners to keep their property and rent it out while they buy a second or third property.

    Many landlords are not advertising on Daft. The cost to advertise has increased over the years. They have no need to do this and are using other methods, e.g. word of mouth, my home.ie and agencies not using daft but their own websites. There is so much focus on Daft numbers.

    Yes the nail was in the coffin last year where indefinite tenancies was signed in November last year. The risk or polices pushing into law to stop landlord requesting vacant possession.

    You buy a btl house to have as you will not have a pension when you are older. It is the only business that is loss making that you pay tax on. You pay property tax that cannot be written off against tax, 52% tax in rental income and then 33% cgt when you sell. The rates have creeped up over the years. Your risking so much now and the risk of a tenant overholding the tenancy has increased. Rtb are not helping either.

    Large Reits buying up new properties and leaving them empty to keep the rents high. They pay no tax and have full time lawyers detailing with tenants that do not pay. There is a housing estate in Donabate where I think 200 properties were bought by an Reits many sitting empty as they are able to pick and choose their tenants.

    Any second time buyers will have difficulty as well as first time buyers buying at the moment with the competition from large corporate buyers as well as charities buying up homes.



  • Registered Users Posts: 972 ✭✭✭redarmyblues


    The REITS pay tax on their activities in administering the rentals (15% of rental income), as I understand it they do not own the properties, the institutional investors in the REIT own the properties and they pay tax on the rental at the appropriate rates, these rates are generally lower than Mom n Pop rates but not necessarily so, for example a pensioner with rental making 8K a year would probably pay no tax just USC. The institutional investor pays the same CGT rate as the pensioner.



  • Registered Users Posts: 6,149 ✭✭✭Claw Hammer


    The rental income is reduced in the REITs by borrowing the money from a sister company abroad who has in turn sourced the money at a much lower interest rate. The profit on the Irish rental income is thus converted into an arbitrage profit in another jurisdiction which conveniently has a nil or low tax rate.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users Posts: 972 ✭✭✭redarmyblues


    I thought the original seed in most cases are institutional funds seeking a return since the best days of couponed fixed income are long gone.



  • Registered Users Posts: 6,149 ✭✭✭Claw Hammer


    It is always sourced from abroad. The original seed will be sent abroad and lent back if necessary.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,956 ✭✭✭spaceHopper


    I help my mother look after what was my Dad’s rental house in flats. 

    I see renting as something you should do in your 20’s when you are starting out by your 30’s you have either bought on your own or with a partner. 

    Rent Allowance is for short term problems like losing you job, if it becomes long term you move to social housing. 

    I don’t think private rental should be used for social housing for longer than 1 year as a stop gap. 

    I don’t believe in renting for life as when you retire you are f*cked.

    Bad tenants are a nightmare and haven’t used daft for the last two tenants, word of mouth from somebody living in the house works best. If they are disruptive their friend has to live with it so they will filter out the dross. 

    One day I will inherit the house – I’m not in any rush for that to happen. My heart wants to keep it, it used to make sense on paper but not I’m not so sure, the risk are to high.  



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,151 ✭✭✭sk8board


    Just 75 of the 3,900 mortgage approvals in Feb were for investment purposes, with an avg mortgage value of €160k (!).

    this is approvals, so actual drawdowns will be lower. It’s incredibly small volume for a market with nearly 1.8m dwellings.





  • Registered Users Posts: 11,401 ✭✭✭✭Flinty997


    I'd like to know the breakdown of landlords with social housing tenants. Or the average rent breakdown of Landlords.

    I think REITs are mostly at the top end of the market. Small landlords at the bottom. But I have no stats.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,151 ✭✭✭sk8board


    There was a big report recently on the average incomes of landlords - it was something like €10k annually, and it split it by region and no. of rentals etc.

    REITs can’t turn away HAP no more than a small accidental LL, so the mix will likely be similar, but where they will differ (and may be what you’re referring to sorry), is that REITs will own more expensive places with rents beyond the limits of the HAP scheme.

    65% of all LL’s only have one rental, which is a very risky situation from an investment income perspective (120k from the 165k total LLs), and this explains why average LL incomes are so low. The notion of profiteering LL’s isn’t bourne out by the facts.



  • Registered Users Posts: 11,401 ✭✭✭✭Flinty997


    REITs target the most profitable end which is the high end. Which makes perfect sense for a business. There was talk if them expanding into other sections of the market, like social housing. But were almost not existent at that end at the time of the article (a year or more so) I was reading.

    My point is the LL who are leaving will have a bigger impact on social and affordable housing availability as a result.

    Is like to see some detail on that.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,151 ✭✭✭sk8board


    Yep, that’s correct for sure.

    the RTB annual report details the LL exodus, it started in 2016 and was 4,500 LLs in the 2020 report. There were 220,000 registered LLs in 2012 (exceptional circumstances), and it’s 165,000 today - nothing suggests that hasn’t decreased further in 2021 given the end of Covid lockdowns (it was difficult to exit the market in 2020 when you were blocked from removing a tenant).



  • Registered Users Posts: 11,401 ✭✭✭✭Flinty997


    The problem with a bad tenant is they can wipe out any gains for not simply the year or two they are in the property but also the years it takes you to make it back.

    So that along with the dates and hassle makes it not worth the grief.

    Then over the length of the investment you might have 2 or 3 of those tenants in the space of 20 years or you might have none.

    If a landlord can reap some capital gains now leave the market then get back in, in 2-3 years the prices might have fallen. (Unlikely) or just invest in a REIT.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users Posts: 19,008 ✭✭✭✭Donald Trump



    Well that report was on the average net rental income for "landlords", not their average income. You can't be realistically proposing that every individual with a single additional property to rent out should be able to live off the back of solely that property - they will need an additional income rather than the passive rental income of a single house.

    Average house price is about 300k. 20% deposit is 60k. So if you have 60k lying around, get a mortgage of 240k. buy that house and then deduct all your expenses, including interest etc, and have 10k coming in, that's not a bad return on your 60k. Lets even suppose you go mad and have another 40k upfront costs you burn through. You're still netting 10k per year on that 100k.


    I presume the notion of "profiteering" comes from the fact that many would have bought their properties for far less than current values and would have been able to make it work on rental incomes far less than todays rental levels. The cost of the money they borrowed has fallen if anything, and their money coming in has shot up



Advertisement