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The Coming World War

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  • Registered Users Posts: 4,438 ✭✭✭McGiver


    I've been using the same method in these discussions! 😀

    Name some Russian world famous products or services....erm....a VERY long pause 😎

    R36M2 (nuclear warhead carrier), Novichok, Polonium based agents, Mig-35, vodka?

    Vodka is in fact of Polish origin.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,573 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    Concerning Russia (USSR time) and central planning of the economy.

    The manager of a factory in the USSR that made sewer pipes said that he could not make plastic sewer pipes because, although he could hugely increase production of pipes at lower cost, his production target of pipes (set by centralised planning) was measured in tonnes of pipes produced not metres of pipes produced. Consequentially, because plastic pipes weigh so little, there is no way he could make the cheaper product.

    This is always a problem with central planning that is the result of huge countries that cannot just let decisions be made locally. It affects the huge industrial military complex so favoured by large countries that they create as their defence forces, and which swallow huge amounts of their wealth, but create nothing. There are spin offs from such spending, but nothing in comparison to the costs involved. The USA, China, and Russia all suffer from this. It is not possible to build state of the art fighter aircraft, warships, missiles, satellite systems, etc. on the cheap. It is not a democratic choice - because it is all done under a veil of extreme secrecy - people must not be allowed to know.



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,438 ✭✭✭McGiver


    I've a few Russian acquaintances, all emigrants. They're pretty clear and consistent on where their country stands...

    It's not a shíthole, not at all. It's a corrupted broken despotic oligarchic place with astronomical wealth inequalities (100 richest individuals hold 20% of assets) ridden with deep alcoholism. Largest number of alcohol related deaths in the world.

    Russia was never really an advanced country, historically. It had serfdom the longest in Europe, then straight from feudalism to communism (with no capitalism in between) and then to democracy which quickly turned into oligarchic pseudo-democracy.

    With its resources and territory Russia should be the wealthiest and most prosperous place in the world. Also, it should be in top of the Human Development Index, but it's 52nd, in fact.

    May Russian apologetists explain why it is not the wealthiest and humanly developed?



  • Registered Users Posts: 6,093 ✭✭✭Elmer Blooker


    Read up on the Yeltsin era and it will explain the wealth inequality, the oligarchs, the alcohol abuse etc.

    I would highly recommended a book called ‘Second Hand Time’ by Svetlana Alexievich which tells the stories of ordinary people and how they coped when the country was being robbed blind, humiliated and looted during the Presidency of the US installed puppet Yeltsin.

    Are your Russian acquaintances old enough to remember the Yeltsin era?



  • Registered Users Posts: 18,386 ✭✭✭✭Bass Reeves


    It was not the us that installed Yeltsin. He was made by the slow pace of reform and the inability of the Communist party to let go control of the country. Ya Russia would have been better served of Gorbachev had survived longer. The falling out between himself and Yeltsin was bad for Russian people. But Yeltsin was not installed by the US. He was just an incapable russian president who sourrounded himself with corrupt people and may have been himself

    Slava Ukrainii



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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,037 ✭✭✭Harryd225


    All this talk about Russian wealth equality but doesn't the USA not have more or ar least the same amount of wealth inequality.



  • Registered Users Posts: 6,093 ✭✭✭Elmer Blooker


    Not only did the US install Yeltsin but they openly bragged about it and didn’t even try to hide the fact, look up ‘Time Magazine, Yanks to the rescue’

    Yeltsin is nothing more than a cartoon character on the cover of the magazine.

    It is very obvious that the US enjoyed rubbing Russia’s nose in the dirt and humiliating them after they ‘won’ the Cold War.



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,438 ✭✭✭McGiver


    The issues are much older. Some issues are rooted in that era, but most are much MUCH older.

    As I said, Russia never was really advanced. Before 1990 it NEVER had capitalism or proto-Capitalism. It had a very long period of serfdom due to authoritarian government (Tsardom) limiting the power of the estates and establishing a proper estate assembly that could evolve into a parliament or constitutional monarchy. Pretty much once the Mongol allied Muscovites took over it went downhill.



  • Registered Users Posts: 18,386 ✭✭✭✭Bass Reeves


    Since when has Time Magazine been the defacto documents if US foreign policy.

    What you are spouting is rubbish. Yeltsin prevent the 1990 hard-line putsch.

    Gorbachev crested an elected assembly but Yeltsin was the main beneficiary. Gorbachev was being squeezed between hardliners and liberals led by Yeltsin. He had an agreement with Yeltsin for reform however the 1991 putsch by hard-line Communists against Gorbachev made Yeltsin the main power figure in Russia after he got the General public out in the street against the army tanks. Ordinary soldiers switched sides. Gorbachev survived but was mortality wounded as a leader. The hardliners hated him over allowing the break up of the Warsaw pact countries and the liberal taught he was acting too slow.

    Yeltsin climb to power after that was unstoppable and he opened up Russia too fast. The main beneficiary were Russian oligarchs who seized control of businesses and resources.

    If you want to be critical of anything it there failure of the West to financially support Russia when Gorbachev was in power.

    Rags like Time and Newsweek make a lot of unsubstantiated claims which are mostly exaggerated.

    Slava Ukrainii



  • Registered Users Posts: 6,093 ✭✭✭Elmer Blooker


    I agree that Time is a rag but the headline bragging how US ‘advisors’ won the election for Yeltsin is accurate, a $10bn IMF ‘loan’ (most of which ‘disappeared’) helped Yeltsin’s election campaign too.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 717 ✭✭✭techman1


    Very good analysis there of Russia and Yeltsin in the early 90s, one thing that can be said for Yeltsin back then he was a very brave man. To make a stand against the Communists and the army was a very brave thing to do. I wonder what side Putin was on back then, we know that he is an avowed anti communist now but what side was he on in 1991?



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Putin is an avowed anti communist? He only cares about a system of government that suits him, which allows him a western type lifestyle. Its not ideology, its expediency.



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,020 ✭✭✭Brussels Sprout


    Russia has certainly been mismanaged throughout the recent centuries but I would quibble with your assertion that it should be the wealthiest and most prosperous nation on earth. Although Russia is gigantic, it has a lot of geographical problems.

    Firstly, a lot of its terrain, especially west of the Urals, is basically a frozen desert - more than 60% of the country is covered in permafrost. This has knock-on affects for agriculture, transportation and habitation. As a result 77% of the population live west of the Urals - in just 23% of the territory of the entire country. Secondly, none of the ports in the west, north or east of the country are ice-free all year round and this greatly hindered the development of the country. This was one of the reasons by Russia annexed Crimea, as they feared losing access to the warm water port of Sevastopol - although even that port is bound by the fact that any russian ships have to travel through seas entirely controlled by NATO member Turkey. Thirdly, the West of Russia has always been its weak point - the wide flat plains allow enemy armies to advance rapidly with no obvious defensive positions. The Russians of course know this which is why they have always been fanatical about controlling those countries on their western borders - in order to create a buffer zone.

    Contrast all of that with the USA, which has:

    • Easy access to 2 oceans and the Gulf of Mexico all year round
    • A fully navigable river system, in the Mississippi/Missouri that allows access to the centre of the country, especially the agricultural heartland, via New Orleans
    • Land suitable for both planting crops and building roads throughout the country
    • An entire ocean between it and the traditional European colonial powers, Britain, France and Spain with whom it battled with for control of their territory
    • Friendly (and significantly weaker) neighbours to the north and south


    Russia is one of the few countries in the world that sees an upside to global warming - in that they believe it will unlock more of their Siberian interior as well as allow navigation via the Arctic Sea all year round. This is a double edged sword though - as was seen in massive forest fires that swept through the country last summer.



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,438 ✭✭✭McGiver


    Geography is cool but doesn't negate the fact that they have massive land and resources at disposal and that Russia should be the wealthiest country in the world.

    Compare with Norway 😎

    Which emerged from Danish and then Swedish imperialism in a very poor state mere 115 years ago.

    Or even compare with Finland which emerged from Russian shackles 105 years ago.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,573 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    Norway, Denmark, Sweden and Finland all refrained from getting into an arms race with the USA or USSR, and so avoided committing huge amounts of their national wealth trying to build advanced arms for a war that never happened.

    They also refrained from central planning that cause the wages to be low because the productivity was low. Best summed up by the aphorism from the Russian workers - 'We pretend to work because they pretend to pay us!'

    The Stalin regime also had collective farms in 1927 that were so successful that the whole experiment was abandoned in 1933. All USSR industry suffered from centralised 5 year plans that were so inefficient because they failed to take account of industry specific requirements, and local conditions.

    Russia is not very wealthy (or not as wealthy as they could be) in the past (USSR) because of communism, corruption, and bad management. Now it is because of corruption and kleptocracy.



  • Registered Users Posts: 34,524 ✭✭✭✭Hotblack Desiato


    It's pretty strange when a list of "historic invasions" includes events which never happened.

    Fingal County Council are certainly not competent to be making decisions about the most important piece of infrastructure on the island. They need to stick to badly designed cycle lanes and deciding on whether Mrs Murphy can have her kitchen extension.



  • Registered Users Posts: 18,386 ✭✭✭✭Bass Reeves


    Looks like you whole preface was incorrect. Again this morning the washing machines in the Kremlin are going full tilt washing Putin's underwear. Underpants and toilet paper in Moscow have trebled in price.

    He is like the good old Duke of York he marched them up to the top of the the hill, he have to march them back down again now.

    He walked right into this one. Biden played a blinder.

    Slava Ukrainii



  • Registered Users Posts: 665 ✭✭✭goldenmick


    The bottom line is that Russia was, is, and always will be a country that suffers from massive corruption - and will certainly remain so for as long as Putin stays in power... and I can see that continuing for a long, long time. He's an astute and shrewd character who knows what strings to pull to try and get what he wants, but he is also a closet warmonger and a huge danger to the whole of humanity the longer he continues to breathe fresh air.



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    @Sam Russell Norway, Denmark, Sweden and Finland all refrained from getting into an arms race with the USA or USSR, and so avoided committing huge amounts of their national wealth trying to build advanced arms for a war that never happened.

    You obviously haven't seen the swedish military along with the Danes , Norwegians and Finn's , Sweden has developed some of the best and capable military systems in the world , something they have been doing since the end of ww2 , the Finn's similarly have a defense budget almost 5 x ours they have been set up to defend against Russian aggression and possible invasion something Russia probably doesn't want to do considering what happened last time something like 200,000 dead Russians ,the danish military is also very capable and like Sweden set up to defend against foreign aggression and there also a Nato country,

    While the swedes ,danes,finns , Norwegians didn't try to compete as superpowers they did develop their military capabilities , unlike like us here in Ireland people expect other countries to completely defend us because we have no capability to do so ,and the people don't want any spending done on the military here we have posters on boards demanding the disbandment of the military.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,573 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    @Gatling

    Of course, none of those countries had a civil war being conducted on part of the island which was washing into our territory.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    No but the did get invaded and occupied and in parts annexed at various points

    Post edited by Gatling on


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,573 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell




  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    I would be delighted to be wrong.

    Did Russia pull all its troops and weaponry away from Ukraine overnight? Has the Ukraine crisis ended?



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,416 ✭✭✭Count Dooku




  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    So, I got a few things wrong in my OP, namely the prediction of a simultaneous attack. Yet still it seems the Third World War is coming.

    Johnson, Biden and Lavrov have all mentioned the possibility of a third world war in the past few days.



  • Registered Users Posts: 34,524 ✭✭✭✭Hotblack Desiato


    Must be rather galling for Putin the great difficulty his military is having subduing a far smaller and weaker but determined opponent. Even when he "wins", he's still got a country of 44 million people on his doorstep, most of whom are still there and implacably opposed to him, his forces and any puppet government he may try to install.

    Fingal County Council are certainly not competent to be making decisions about the most important piece of infrastructure on the island. They need to stick to badly designed cycle lanes and deciding on whether Mrs Murphy can have her kitchen extension.



  • Registered Users Posts: 15,823 ✭✭✭✭AMKC
    Ms


    Its actually just under 42million and 4miilion of them at least will have left Ukraine soon enough. So 10 percent of there population.

    Live long and Prosper

    Peace and long life.



  • Registered Users Posts: 18,386 ✭✭✭✭Bass Reeves


    The Russians army has been shoe to a p!SS poor outfit. This game is farm from over. Some commentators are predicting s collapse of Ukraine in the next 2-3 weeks. However after 9 days they have just about taken there first city. There attack on Kyiv is stuck. The Russians are now starting to indiscriminate bomb populated area to try to force a peace deal.

    If the Polish army intervene they will probably drive the Russian out of Ukraine

    Slava Ukrainii



  • Registered Users Posts: 15,823 ✭✭✭✭AMKC
    Ms


    Live long and Prosper

    Peace and long life.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 4,114 ✭✭✭chicorytip


    I think there has never been a lesser chance of world war breaking out than at this moment in time. The Russian invasion of Ukraine is beginning to peter out and Putin will be deposed. There has never been such a global alliance of cooperation in actions to defeat terrorism as that witnessed since this invasion began. It is madmen and tyrants that beget wars, not the people they preside over. Hitler, Saddam, Gaddafi, Karadjic and now Putin. The weight of public opinion is now sufficient to crush them.



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