Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email us on hello@boards.ie for help. Thanks :)
Hello all! Please ensure that you are posting a new thread or question in the appropriate forum. The Feedback forum is overwhelmed with questions that are having to be moved elsewhere. If you need help to verify your account contact hello@boards.ie

"Green" policies are destroying this country

11111121141161171118

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,598 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    Except the graph does not show we are pretty much bang on average.for electricity prices. The EU average is 0.2192 EUR per KWh. Ireland at 0.2323 is 6% more expensive.

    If you compare Ireland to to the 3 countries with more expensive electricity than us, then gas prices do not appear to be the reason.

    Germany from Fraunhofer ISE during January - July 2019 electricity generation. . 47.3% Renewables, Natural Gas 9.3%.

    Denmark Wind 46.8%. Natural Gas 20%

    Ireland. Wind 42%. Natural Gas 52%

    Belgium uses very little natural gas for electricity generation so no point in doing comparisons. Of the other two the stand out is that for renewables there is no great difference in percentages, yet they both use a much lesser percentage of natural gas and still have higher electricity prices than Ireland



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,598 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    I do not have the vaguest clue what you are on about now unless you have two profiles here.

    The post you are replying to was to Chips Lovell as regards his views. Not blanch152



  • Posts: 15,362 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    This will definitely help if implemented




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2


    There are a lot of variables at play in the retail EUR cost per MWh by country.

    Germany for instance is noted by it's high level of surcharges, taxes, and grid fees to consumers. You can't lay that at wind energy's door, that's a regulatory and ultimately, political decision to have those charges to a consumer and doesn't speak to the raw price of generating a MWh of electricity by whatever means.

    The story in Germany is the same as in Ireland, a gas-fired MWh hour is far more expensive to produce than a renewable-generated MWh.

    "The average power price for households and small businesses in Germany stood at 32.16 cents per kilowatt hour (ct/kWh) in 2021, according to an analysis by the German Association of Energy and Water Industries (BDEW). More than half of the price was due to politically determined components, such as taxes, levies, and surcharges."



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,069 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    The German surcharges are specifically so renewables, like wind, can be subsidised. Yes, you can lay those at the wind and solar industries doors.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2


    It's a terrific investment because Germany will race ahead in the development of renewable technologies and renewable infrastructure.

    The fundamental is the same, a KWh of renewable electricity is leagues cheaper than a KWh of gas-fired electricity (and indeed nuclear) to produce. That's just a fact.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,598 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    That still doesn`t really tally for natural gas being the principle reason for electricity prices being higher. Belgium uses little or no natural gas for electricity generation, Denmark has a higher percentage from wind energy than Ireland, but only 20% from natural gas compared to our 52% and is still more expensive than Ireland for electricity.

    For Germany I do not see what your point is on a gas fired MWh being far more expensive than renewable generated MWh, unless Germany are using a very very expensive means of producing electricity using natural gas.

    Their electricity supply from renewables is 47.3% and 9.3% from natural gas. Ours is 42% from wind and 52% from natural gas. For your natural gas being more expensive to produce than renewables to have the effect on electricity prices you are suggesting, it would have to cost at least 5 times more to produce in Germany than it does in Ireland. Unless German efficiency has really gone to the dogs, I very much doubt that is the case.

    As cnocbui has pointed out and as far as I know,those politically determined components such as taxes, levies and surcharges that are adding to the cost of electricity in Germany are in the main to subsidise renewables and have nothing to do with natural gas.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2


    The taxes levies and surchages in Germany (for instance) go towards R&D for renewable generation, grid innovation etc not towards a price subsidy for the consumer for renewables - you're distorting how the feed-in tarrif is structured. 340'000 people are employed in renewable energy R&D and spin offs in Germany.

    The Levelized Cost of Energy (a metric commonly used to determine the cost of generating electricity stripping away subsidies if that's what you're worried about) has renewables, and wind above all as by far the cheapest method of generating a KWh of electricity. That's both on a live basis taking a calendar year and as a projection over the lifetime of the hardware/plant. That debate is done and dusted and has been for quite some time, gas and other fossil fuels are not going to get any cheaper relative to non-fossil fuel options, renewables are and will continue to.

    I don't have to show you a graph of gas prices for the last couple of years to impress upon you the folly of overreliance on this method of production.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,328 ✭✭✭Banana Republic 1


    I wonder how many of them those who hit thanks tab on this comment actually have a heat pump or geothermal installed, none I’d imagine.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,328 ✭✭✭Banana Republic 1


    you mean continue burning turf, spreading turf on your toast, pouring liquified turf on your cornflakes, etc. The Stone Age didn’t end for the lack of stone even fairy Lou agrees with that.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,910 ✭✭✭?Cee?view


    Leagues cheaper than nuclear? Are you serious? Can you back that assertion up?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,910 ✭✭✭?Cee?view


    You're probably right, because most people are scared away by the ridiculous capital cost.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,049 ✭✭✭Mecanudo



    What are we up against - one clown on a radio?

    Link or that never happened! 😂



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2


    Are *you*serious? Back it up that nuclear isn't significantly more expensive than renewable. Go on.

    It's mind boggling that in 2022 people think that nuclear isn't a hugely expensive form of generating electricity.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 196 ✭✭UID0


    Nuclear has a levelized cost of $131 - $204 per MWh excluding decommissioning costs.

    Onshore wind has a levelized cost of $26 - $50 per MWh. Offshore wind has a median cost of $83.

    CCGT is cheaper than both nuclear and offshorewind, but more expensive than onshore wind.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,621 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    Homer didnt park anything! His friend "lost" the car in new york on a drunken bender.

    You cant give out about the price of nuclear on the one hand, whilst on the other cheering taxes and surcharges on domestic generation because the fund innovation and R&D in the renewable domain - can you not see the connection here?

    Solar & wind have gotten and will continue to get massive subsidies. Like many industries, theyve basically been built by subsidies. Give anywhere near as much to the "dying" nuclear industry and you'll see similar innovation and cost decreases.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2


    Levelized cost of energy for renewables (stripping away subsidies etc etc) have proved for a long time that renewables (and wind above all) are by far the cheapest method of electricity generation.

    It's not a debate any more. It hasn't been for a long time.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,069 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    Ireland's current wind generation is 3.9% of demand. Proponents of renewables are strange to me. No one has answered my question: What zero CO2 source is going to fill that 96.1% hole and where are the numbers to show what that plus the spend on turbines will cost in total?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,367 ✭✭✭JimmyVik


    Show me a person who doesnt have to heat their homes or put put bins or buy food or any other goods that need to be transported and i'll show you a person who can avoid taxes by choices.



  • Posts: 15,362 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Please go have a read on LCOE and how it's calculated (specifically in relation to the points you raised about subsidies) to understand how govts, companies and investors are assessing which source costs more.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,367 ✭✭✭JimmyVik


    Let them all out and you'll see what impact it has on crime rates.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,069 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    I was watching a France24 debate on energy a week or two ago, and as the expert put it, the costs quoted for wind and solar are lies, as they do not include the cost of the infrastructure and fuel used to fill in the gaping holes when they are not generating. And that's before we even begin to talk of the infrastructure and operating costs of backing up renewables with a zero CO2 magic black box.

    Renawables backed up with batteries is a non starter, the costs are higher and uncompetitive with Nuclear and always will be for Li-ion. That leaves H2, but the costs are a complete unknown.

    Contrary to what my stance might suggest, I love the idea of H2, but the realist in me thinks the inefficiencies and NOX problem are going to make it more expensive than nuclear, particularly the projected costs of SMRs.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,598 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    No, you do not have to show me a graph where Germany is concerned of the folly of shutting down all it`s nuclear plants by the end of this year in favour of using gas when it comes to energy costs. That is self evident.

    On the debate on renewables being done and dusted I would not be so sure. Like many Green concepts when you give them even a cursory look many of them just do not add up. Ireland, Denmark, Germany and Belgium are the four most expensive countries in Europe for electricity. Of the four, Belgium uses little or no gas. For the other three their percentage of electricity from renewables is very similar. Ireland 42%, Denmark 46.8% Germany 47.3%. When it comes to gas their is a much wider disparity. Ireland 52%, Denmark 20%, Germany 9.3% yet very little difference in the price of electricity.

    As the Arthur Conan Doyle quote goes, is there not a case to be made for once you eliminate the impossible, whatever remains, no matter how improbable, must be the truth. Especially as you actually agree with cnocbui that for Germany, with the lowest percentage of gas use, tax levies and surcharges go to supporting renewables.

    While 340,000 employed in renewable energy R&D and spin offs in Germany may look impressive, from a population of 83 million it really pales into insignificance compared to the 2016 CSO census that show 265,000 from a population of 5 million in Ireland are employed in the agricultural sector. A sector that Irish Green`s are more than happy attempting to destroy.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,069 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    Nuclear is zero CO2. You have to compare prices based on that criteria. Leaving out the complete nonsense of pumped storage we don't have the geography for, the only ready to go tech we currently have is Li-ion batteries. Li-ion grid scale storage plus renewables is more expensive than nuclear - and it's not even close - even with the 2050 projected costs for batteries nuclear would still be significantly cheaper. Li-ion batteries will never be cheap enough because those 2050 projections are probably the basic mining/transport/processing/manufacturing/profit floor.

    https://spectrum.ieee.org/what-energy-storage-would-have-to-cost-for-a-renewable-grid



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2


    Charlie, take a look at gas prices over the last 12-18 months, and read up how European wholesale electricity prices track the gas price no matter what the energy mix (due to a preponderance of gas generation on European grids).

    I've got better things to be doing with my time than arguing with someone in denial that wind is the cheapest generation method. It's a stone cold fact and you simply can't make any case that wind renewables are increasing the wholesale price of electricity when they're doing the exact opposite, and erratic gas prices are the culprit.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,049 ✭✭✭Mecanudo


    Things are not good in Europe where renewables simply can’t keep up

    From a recent IT article

    "Europe is facing an energy crisis, with utilities relying on coal and even oil. About 30 per cent of France’s nuclear capacity will be offline at the beginning of January, leaving the energy market at the mercy of weather. To make matters worse, Germany is closing almost 50 per cent of its nuclear capacity before the end of the year.

    German power for delivery next year surged as much as 6.8 per cent to €270 euros a megawatt-hour. Prices also gained as gas surged after shipments from Russia via a key pipeline reversed direction, with gas flowing eastward towards Poland instead. That’s making it harder for Europe to rely on the fuel to make electricity."

    The possibility of the France-Ireland Celtic Interconnector is also looking increasingly  ropey. Especially considering France is now importing electricity from Germany  and Germany is importing more electricity from Eastern Europe and the Nordics than itself is exporting ...



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,598 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    Looking a bit of a mess alright, and were Germany not supposed to close all their nuclear plants this year, but perhaps that has changed due to them having a major dip in supply from wind this Winter due to very little wind. Something we tend to be toddling along ignoring based on "sure what harm, won`t French nuclear give us a dig out" when that likelihood is now looking ropey.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,049 ✭✭✭Mecanudo


    The article is from this December (21/12/21) so whether the 50% closure was achieved I'm not sure.

    Post edited by Mecanudo on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,598 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    Yurt, in the examples I gave you for three of the most expensive countries in Europe for electricity, with gas use being 52%, 20% and 9.3% then there is no correlation between gas and the price. If anything, especially where Germany is concerned, it points more towards taxes and levies to support renewables being the cause.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,598 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    Pretty sure there was a commitment that all would be closed by end of 2022. With a drop in wind energy due to little wind this Winter they may have taken the sensible option and re-thought that idea.



Advertisement