Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email us on hello@boards.ie for help. Thanks :)
Hello all! Please ensure that you are posting a new thread or question in the appropriate forum. The Feedback forum is overwhelmed with questions that are having to be moved elsewhere. If you need help to verify your account contact hello@boards.ie

Covid 19 Part XXXV-956,720 ROI (5,952 deaths) 452,946 NI (3,002 deaths) (08/01) Read OP

1125612571259126112621580

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 68,190 ✭✭✭✭seamus


    I engaged with her yesterday on it and basically she thinks that we can still make covid go away by fitting air conditioning in every public building in the country and giving out public advice about ventilation.

    Her frustration at being continuously ignored by politicians while also being given a big platform by the media is becoming apparent. She likely thought that because she was given airtime, that she would be listened to. As a result, the less relevant her solutions are becoming to the current situation, the more desperate she is to try and justify them.

    She definitely had a good point that could have yielded a considerable bonus if it had been acted on in 2020. At this stage though it's too late. The primary driver of spread is in people's homes and they're not going to retrofit air filters or keep their windows and doors open for the next decade to try and stop the spread of covid. We can spend billions in a rushed operation to make sure every public building has air filtration systems, and it will do precisely **** all to stop Covid.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,051 ✭✭✭Shelga


    Can I just say... I don't care about schools. Like, really, really don't care.

    I get that it's an important topic for lots of people, I understand why it's in the news a fair bit, but the tone seems absolutely hysterical. There should be absolutely 0% chance of further closures or delays, in a sane world.

    Again, I don't care about schools!!! Ahh feels good to say that :D



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 933 ✭✭✭robfowler78



    Much like closing nightclubs at 12 and pubs at 8 and reducing capacity in theatres etc it looks like the Government have a strategy of leaving things open but the reality is the places cannot function fully and may well be closed.

    schools will be no different the government won’t close them but staff shortages will make them practically closed. Kids sitting in school doodling because their teacher isn’t in. But at least the government kept them open. They need to do something other then leave places half open or lockdown new ideas needed now at this stage.

    https://www.rte.ie/news/coronavirus/2022/0105/1269884-covid-schools/



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 114 ✭✭jimmymack


    Ah, really? Will just have to pray for a negative so 😂



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 68,190 ✭✭✭✭seamus


    Growth in hospital admissions is beginning to taper off (believe it or not). We should begin to see a bigger ramp-up of discharges in coming days too to offset admissions. If we do peak in the next 4 days, it'll be pretty impressive that the models this time managed to get it fairly bang on the money. I guess that's the bonus of using proper inputs.

    And assuming we peak this weekend, there's a 5-6 day lag time with hospital numbers, so we should start to see solid drops in hospital numbers by next weekend.

    We're now 11 days into this surge and have seen basically no movement on ICU numbers. There's no reason to expect that to change, which means that this is effectively over bar the shouting.

    Bit of an unknown with schools. Logic dictates that with kids going back to school we might see a second short peak around the 20th, but past experience is that kids going back to school doesn't yield the flood of new cases that everyone warns about. And certainly doesn't impact hospital numbers.

    We're 2-3 weeks away from case numbers finally becoming irrelevant.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,123 ✭✭✭Jinglejangle69


    Even if you have a booster you're not allowed into the coutry without a negative test.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 933 ✭✭✭robfowler78


    Hi Seamus you seem to have a great level insight into all this. We’re do you see us going in relation to covid pass and vaccination. Do you think it will be needed in the summer or only be boosters for the winter time. I think we are coming to the end of this now but will have surges in winter. So I’d be thinking boosters etc in winter but it seems a few countries are still insisting on vaccination and boosters through out the year. Just wondering what your take would be it’s good to get a “from both sides” non bias view.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 784 ✭✭✭daydorunrun


    Get an antigen test rather than a PCR which may show positive for an old covid infection. Antigen will show positive for current infection I believe.

    “You tried your best and you failed miserably. The lesson is, never try.” Homer.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    I see the architect below saying her, nphet and the WHO are wrong. Some ego.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,670 ✭✭✭✭rob316


    Add special needs education to that, its been devastating to their development.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,238 ✭✭✭✭B.A._Baracus


    The reality is no one has a feckin clue as to what is going to happen. Projections are fine and dandy but are to be taken as one possible outcome.

    Because if someone truly knew what was going to happen, they'd be playing the lotto tonight instead.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    Just a reminder that a COVID zero approach still exists and just how cruel and harsh it is. We have it easy!




  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    I dont think passengers on planes would be comfortable with positive individuals being permitted on flights



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,104 ✭✭✭✭callaway92


    From application for Covid sick pay/leave thing, how long did it take to be paid for it?

    Applied 2 days ago is all (for period 27th Dec to 5th Jan)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,670 ✭✭✭✭rob316


    Fair play to Ciara Kelly calling it as it is, as a GP she saw worse flu seasons than this Omicron wave. We are behaving entirely disproportionate to the risk.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 68,190 ✭✭✭✭seamus


    Time has cruelly taught me that thinking you know what's going to happen next with a pandemic will guarantee you're wrong :D

    If we logically follow the way things are going now, we can somewhat come up with a roadmap

    • Cases will peak here and across the western world over the next 2 months
    • The common belief (even from NPHET) is that case numbers will burn down to really low levels within 6 weeks of the peak [a]
    • The realisation that testing & tracing is pissing in the wind with this variant; by the time you've tested someone and traced their contacts, you've missed the window to stop spread. To be effective, you would need to be turning around PCR tests in 12 hours and then going two levels deep on close contacts within 24 hours. [b]
    • Omicron is not generally progressing to critical illness. [c]
    • Antivirals are going to come online in the next 6 weeks. [d]
    • Points b, c & d mean that the testing system will ramp down considerably and probably be reserved for hospital and GP referrals. People with symptoms will be simply told to stay at home until they feel better. People who feel very ill will be advised to contact their GP, who will order a test and prescribe antivirals.
    • Points a, b & c will mean that covid certs/passes are obsolete for internal use. We will not be attempting to control spread nor protecting the unvaccinated, which means they have no purpose. We should see all venues and activities returning to full operation by March/April, but it could be longer depending on politicians' level of confidence.
    • Some fear will still remain about new variants. The vaccination programmes for children will continue apace regardless of case numbers, and a new booster programme for at-risk individuals will pop up in August. Probably same again in 2023.
    • Covid certs for travel will be chaotic for at least this year. The EU, UK & US will likely drop any pre-test requirements for travel, but may still require vaccination certs for travellers from far-flung places, to reduce the chances of importing an exotic variant. But other countries will have their own mixed bags. If you're not vaccinated & boosted, there's a good chance that your travel options will be limited to Europe and the US. And even then you may have to jump some extra hoops.


    There's going to be lots of noise about some of this. You see people on Twitter saying, "Don't ignore Omicron; I've got it, you don't want it". But they've forgotten that the goal was never about protecting people from having to spend a few days in bed. It was always about keeping ICU numbers down so that hospital systems wouldn't collapse.

    If a virus doesn't generaly progress to a critical illness, then governments are not under some moral obligation to try and control it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,130 ✭✭✭Akabusi


    I 100% agree in terms of severity, but not in case numbers, that is the problem at the moment.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,238 ✭✭✭✭B.A._Baracus


    Excellent point. But to be honest, I don't think jimmymack gives a f**k. I mean you would think the mentality of "I shouldn't travel if positive" would come into someone's mind before asking if they could or not. Therefore, if he could he would travel/enter the country while positive. Isn't that right Jimmy? Lol.

    As I said here yesterday, people don't care anymore with covid.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 322 ✭✭muddypuppy


    Here's another pre-print that says the opposite (for young healthy males)

    Honestly I think the risk is blown up (both the incidence rate for myocarditis from the vaccine and covid is minuscule) but I don't like how it's usually swept under the rug. And I'm saying this as a healthy young male with both my doses done.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,146 ✭✭✭Chris_5339762


    Back in late November or early December someone at work had a cough and I caught it. They also spread it to my boss.


    Before I knew I was sick I met up with a friend. She got it. I also passed it onto my dad.


    All of us wretchedly sick. I spent two days in bed... chills, utter exhaustion, feeling rotten, a week of sneezing, coughing and just general fatigue. The fatigue hasn't 100% cleared but I'm willing to say some of that could be the rotten weather out.

    All of us did PCRs and antigens, all of which were negative. They are both convinced it was Covid. I'm not (yet), but thinking about and writing down the symptoms makes me wonder was it really. The timing would line up with Omicron beginning to appear.... but I'd have thought at least one test would have been positive.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 31,277 ✭✭✭✭Lumen


    As discussed on the booster thread that is a poor pre-print study. There are better ones which are peer reviewed and show different results.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 933 ✭✭✭robfowler78


    I can see it playing out similar to this myself 🤞🏻🤞🏻. My only sore point would be if they tried to make vaccinations mandatory like in france I have the vaccinations myself but I still prefer the option to choose I just think that’s a slippery slope to go down.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,052 ✭✭✭✭titan18


    Ya, you're way too optimistic. We have countries going on about 4th doses, vaccine mandates, considering the non vaccinated like untermensch who dont deserve a social life anymore and then a mix of extremes online that makes political and social stuff even more polarised than before. Even if the virus is no a huge danger that cripples hospitals, we've launched a completely different mess out these few years which needs to be contained too.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,065 ✭✭✭✭Danzy


    Given how fast it is spreading, it will run out of people to infect quick enough.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,447 ✭✭✭✭namloc1980


    Why are you obsessing about case numbers? So many people in this country are obsessed with the case numbers. The release of the case numbers is like a daily ritual at this stage.

    We won't be able to move on as long as this obsession with the case numbers continues.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,187 ✭✭✭GeorgeBailey



    Not saying she happens to be wrong in this instance but anytime you feel someone with a big profile is "calling it as it is" just be aware that they're not actually calling it as it is but merely have identified a section of the population whose buttons they can press at a whim. Most Newstalk presenters will be guilty of this at some point or other. Peter Casey during the last presidential campaign was another example.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 68,190 ✭✭✭✭seamus


    Ireland won't be making vaccinations mandatory at this point. A new, more virulent variant can always change the game, but based on where we are now I can't see any reason why mandatory vaccination would be called for.

    In this country the resistance to mandatory vaccination is high, meaning that the criteria to justify it need to be pretty exceptional. i.e. that the danger is high and no reasonable alternative exists.

    Omicron is a considerably milder illness and we'll have antivirals available to mop up the unvaccinated, which means that there will be no justification for mandatory vaccination. As I've said before, it will likely become part of the childhood immunisation schedule (because why not), but not mandatory.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,789 ✭✭✭PowerToWait


    As a GP she also continuously and vociferously asserted the view that children do not catch or spread the virus.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 273 ✭✭shamco


    I tested positive and had very similar symptoms but included loss of taste and smell



Advertisement