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Covid 19 Part XXXV-956,720 ROI (5,952 deaths) 452,946 NI (3,002 deaths) (08/01) Read OP

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,624 ✭✭✭FintanMcluskey


    I'm a glass hall full person aswell so hopefully we will be out of this mess completely by Spring and we begin to live with a less virulent and dangerous strain in Omricon.

    They say the definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results.

    This is not going to end next Spring

    Or the Spring after that



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,614 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    Where did he say "there is no difference in the transmission"?

    If the studies listed came out after that tweet, deGascun may not have been aware of them, that study about viral loads triggered others. It's true that vaccinated people can transmit to their close contacts. But - they don't transmit as much as unvaccinated.

    He is referencing a study on viral loads, which is just about peak viral loads. It did not consider how infectious they were.

    Subsequent information established the peak viral loads phase is much shorter for vaccinated than unvaccinated, and as referenced in the New Scientist article the actual viral load output from vaccinated was not as infectious as that from unvaccinated.

    So, the claim there is no difference in transmission from vaccinated versus unvaccinated is untrue.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Posts: 8,647 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Odyssey's information is correct according to UpToDate.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 725 ✭✭✭M_Murphy57



    This is from the information the hse have issued ahead of childrens vaccinations. Are the hse wrong?


    Screenshot_20211221-125527_Drive.jpg




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,647 ✭✭✭✭El Weirdo


    The average of the British soldier was 26 in WW2...

    In Vietnam, it was nineteen. N-n-n-n-nineteen.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,753 ✭✭✭✭lawred2


    Hard cringe reading comments like that... such a feeble unthinking attempt at shutting down discourse. I'm sick of people choosing piety above rationality.

    edit: to be clear - I mean the comment you quoted. I agree with you.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,753 ✭✭✭✭lawred2


    the restrictions work - more restrictions needed



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,624 ✭✭✭FintanMcluskey


    6% of paddy's didnt get the vaccine, and they've been exposed to a hostile reception everyday for 6 months

    N -n-none of them received a hero's welcome



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 203 ✭✭Tom_Crean


    They weren't really sure what was going on.

    Some succumbed to PTSD.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    Denmark has jumped to 13,057 today off their highest daily testing total of 243K.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,675 ✭✭✭✭billyhead


    You must be a drain to live with. Be positive. How do you know it won't end in 2022. What I'm saying is restrictions might be phased out by Spring apart from the usual shite of face mask wearing, social distancing, washing hands etc. Who knows but I would rather think positively then fear or expect the worst.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,038 ✭✭✭Ficheall




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 629 ✭✭✭Apothic_Red


    Lots of tests, slight uptick in positives.

    No clear sign of Omicron ripping through yet



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,247 ✭✭✭duffman13


    I dont know why you'd want or need a booster for at least 6 months after having Covid. I don't think it'll do any harm getting it but the natural response is as strong (for 6 months) as a vaccine according to the CDC.


    I'm sure quite a lot of people have gotten a vacvine/booster who had been asymptomatic at this stage



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,591 ✭✭✭johnnyrotten


    Some parents need a head wobble. Lots of kids taken out of school early and walking around packed shopping centres unmasked



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,492 ✭✭✭floorpie


    Strange, if you are so big on sources for claims, why didn't you challenge the original poster who made a claim without a source? Double standard much?

    No, you just don't prove a negative in a circumstance like this, i.e. you can never prove that a vaccine doesn't prevent transmission under some circumstances, however you can prove that they do, so that's where the burden of proof lies.

    You should read the paper that this article references (here: Vaccine effectiveness against SARS-CoV-2 transmission to household contacts during dominance of Delta variant (B.1.617.2), August-September 2021, the Netherlands | medRxiv), to see that rates of transmission is NOT reduced from/to vaccinated/unvaccinated people. Transmission is only higher from unvaccinated to unvaccinated, which is irrelevant now.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 441 ✭✭strawdog


    Doesn't seem to be any clear data on whether that holds for Omicron but they seem to be saying it doesn't whereas a mRNA booster does improve outcomes. Maybe infection on top of 2 initial doses as good as booster?

    I've yet to hear of people who have recovered in the last 3 months who have been reinfected, but as with all Omicron questions it will become clear over the next few weeks as it takes hold



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,425 ✭✭✭✭Cluedo Monopoly


    Is there a mental health expert in NPHET?

    If not, there should be.

    What are they doing in the Hyacinth House?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,861 ✭✭✭✭The Nal


    Why? Theyre a recently created organisation to deal specifically with Covid 19.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 241 ✭✭MarkHenderson


    Positivity heading the wrong way. Timing is brutal with the new variant



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,428 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    I would again highlight that this is household contacts (where transmission would be higher due to increased length of exposure) and that there was an effect.

    And point out again that the authors conclusion and yours are at odds with each other (but you knew this already 😉).

    Our results indicate that vaccination confers protection against onward transmission from vaccinated index cases, albeit somewhat less for Delta than for Alpha. Vaccine effectiveness against transmission to unvaccinated household contacts is stronger than to vaccinated household contacts, with the latter already largely protected from infection, and especially from severe disease, by their own vaccine-induced immunity, but differences in risk behavior may also play a role. Possible waning of vaccine effectiveness against infection and against onward transmission could result in increases in SARS-CoV-2 circulation among populations with high vaccine coverage. As full vaccination remains highly effective in preventing severe disease, also for Delta, a high vaccination coverage remains the key to control the COVID-19 pandemic.



  • Posts: 8,647 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Is this paper really relevant now seeming as omicron is dominant variant now? Also, the paper doesn't agree with your interpretation of the data set ( which is all it is).



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,780 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    No sign of it yet

    Post edited by ninebeanrows on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,292 ✭✭✭gipi




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,371 ✭✭✭✭hotmail.com


    Is there sanctions for parents who take their children out of education like this?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,239 ✭✭✭Pussyhands


    Good question I heard on the radio was why hasn't there been some real advances in treatment of covid once you have it? I know there's some pill from Pfizer that will enhance their "covid franchise".

    Like, everyone was pulling themselves over how fast they were able to come up with a vaccine but the vaccine was pretty much solved right away when covid was on the scene, just took the few months for trials and approvals. So many vaccines were developed right away. It can't have been that impressive science if so many scientists around the world had it figured out right away.

    More impressive would be treatments for people who have covid. I had covid bad and I was sure there'd be something they'd be able give me but no....absolutely nothing.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,492 ✭✭✭floorpie


    I would again highlight that this is household contacts (where transmission would be higher due to increased length of exposure) and that there was an effect.

    The model they create just uses transmission data, the amount of contact isn't relevant here.

    And point out again that the authors conclusion and yours are at odds with each other (but you knew this already 😉).

    I'll again point out that this is discussion, not a finding of the study!

    Is this paper really relevant now seeming as omicron is dominant variant now?

    Likely not

    Also, the paper doesn't agree with your interpretation of the data set ( which is all it is).

    I'm not interpreting the data, I'm just reading their findings:

    image.png image.png

    In other words, the "adjusted 63%" is only for transmission from unvaccinated to unvaccinated people, which isn't relevant anymore.

    I don't care about their narrative discussion, only what they actually studied, and actually found.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,614 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    Right, so people can throw out any kind of negative claim that want to, and you won't look for substantiation. They didn't just not definitely prove a negative, but provide any support or justification whatsoever for the sweeping claim. Really? Pull the other one. There is a burden of justification for such sweeping claims, or it is a licence for fake news.

    But in any event, the original claim has been shown to be without foundation, by multiple studies. And I stand over, supported by the studies, the claim that vaccines reduce transmission and infection.

    Also, the discussion was originally about covid pass which is a different environment to household close contacts, and so specially relevant to whether transmission is higher unvaccinated to unvaccinated.

    The study you have cited shows there is less transmission among vaccinated people versus unvaccinated - with a lower secondary attack score. As does the studies I have cited.

    So the best study you can find to counter the claim the vaccination doesn't affect transmission, actually proves that it reduces it.

    Effectiveness of full vaccination of the index against transmission to fully vaccinated household contacts was 40% (95% confidence interval (CI) 20-54%), which is in addition to the direct protection of vaccination of contacts against infection. Effectiveness of full vaccination of the index against transmission to unvaccinated household contacts was 63% (95%CI 46-75%).

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,428 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    It's a bit disingenuous to try and use someone's paper to prove a point when the author disagrees with you and rejects your analysis.

    But that's our floorpie!



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,460 ✭✭✭bikeman1


    Can you advise when would be a “good time” for a new variant?

    At last we have a variant that is not more than a cold for the vast vast majority of people compared to the one before. The timing couldn’t be better.



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