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Covid 19 Part XXXV-956,720 ROI (5,952 deaths) 452,946 NI (3,002 deaths) (08/01) Read OP

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,978 ✭✭✭✭bucketybuck


    In the Irish rush to pat themselves on the back about their super vaccination programme, they conveniently gloss over just how long it took them to ramp it up in the first place. The UK were vaccinating half a million a day in January while the Irish were still months away from serious scaling up but no matter, you aren't allowed to do anything but fellate the HSE over their roll out.

    We are just seeing the same thing now with boosters. A slow, disorganised start that will probably smooth out in a few months and everybody will call them great again.

    Well, they would if they could spare time from crying about all the people who don't bother getting boosters.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,913 ✭✭✭Danno


    They'll be peeved off at having to work overtime this weekend and miss the Golf Clubhouse dinner. Expect a punishment beating restriction next week.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,140 ✭✭✭xhomelezz




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,985 ✭✭✭political analyst




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,266 ✭✭✭Juwwi


    Hello Relax brah

    apologies if l missed your reply .

    did you have a positive pcr test and then get an appointment for the booster shot ?



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,840 ✭✭✭✭NIMAN


    A thought came to me today when reading an article about children needing to get the vaccine.

    It basically said that a large cohort of society isn't vaccinated, that its rife in schools and as long as they aren't vaccinated, we are going to struggle to contain the virus.

    Now, thats all well and good and on a medical level they are more than likely correct. But I got to thinking, surely all these top medical folk in the world and in this country knew this would happen eventually, yet it was never mentioned in the last year? When they were all raving about our superb vaccination rate, not once did I hear anyone come on the media and say "you know this isn't going to work because the kids are unvaccinated".

    It has only become a thing lately, when it was found that vaccinating 93% of the adults wasn't enough. The conspiracy nuts will be loving this on social media. They were all saying when the vaccines arrived, "they'll want your kids done next", and indeed they did. Now its looking like it will soon be approved for all age groups.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,224 ✭✭✭✭JRant


    If this turns out to be true we'll all be licking door handles soon.

    "Well, yeah, you know, that's just, like, your opinion, man"



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,484 ✭✭✭Charles Babbage


    What is impossible about it? If 20% of unvaccinated and 5% of vaccinated got it, that is 400,000. If 1% of these went to hospital that is a problem.


    The original variant was less transmissible and vaccinating three-quarters of the population as we have today would likely have stopped it. Delta is twice as transmissible and so three-quarters is not enough. This has always been discussed, but of course the conspiracy nuts only read their own nonsense.

    Post edited by Charles Babbage on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 167 ✭✭Mango321


    It's extreme spin bordering on misinformation.

    Most likely it's the anonymous 'Chise' (who has a donation link on her profile, like Ivor Cummins) that is being referred to:

    https://twitter.com/BNODesk/status/1464734073897766919



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Having a link to donations in your profile isn't a crime. A lot of scientists do. It might surprise you but most don't get paid that well so they may accept donations for their time. You don't have to give anything. Can't say I ever have.

    Ivor Cummins is a grifter and conman who exploited the pandemic to enrich himself. Really not comparable.

    Lastly Chise's comments were themselves taken out of context. She specifically referred to it causing mild illness in vaccinated people. She mentions that young, healthy unvaccinated people are becoming quite ill and it may eventually spread to older and vulnerable people.




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    It's not nonsense when it is setting government policy. The trouble with the models is that even the best case scenarios are way out and you might want to revisit your understanding of the word possible for the pessimistic projections. Now that would not be an issue if it was just an extra piece of data but it's the only piece of data the government is using. Their variables for hospitalisations are over double actual HSE data and it is questionable whether they should be doing such long range projections off static data. Your last line sums up one of the major criticisms of epidemiological modelling; it looks at disease only but does not take human behaviour into account the way other types of models do.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,123 ✭✭✭prunudo


    But with context that Doctor is saying, young patients only have mild symptoms (fact), older unvaccinated paitents will have severe illness (opinion). So appears the original context was correct for now until more data is available.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,558 ✭✭✭Leftwaffe


    BNO Newsroom calling someone out for stating the truth by labelling it as an untruth. Mad for fear.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 31,289 ✭✭✭✭Lumen


    @NIMAN wrote

    A thought came to me today when reading an article about children needing to get the vaccine.

    It basically said that a large cohort of society isn't vaccinated, that its rife in schools and as long as they aren't vaccinated, we are going to struggle to contain the virus.

    Now, thats all well and good and on a medical level they are more than likely correct.

    I haven't seen any epidemiologic analysis to support this, either that's it's particularly "rife" in primary schools or that if kids get vaccinated we'll achieve herd immunity (which seems to be what you're suggesting, unless you meant something else by "contain").

    From what I recall of the data, there are large numbers of outbreaks in hospitals and nursing homes too. Are those going to disappear if we vaccinate primary school kids? What about crèches and other pre-school environments?

    I've no ideological opposition to vaccinating kids but to think that it's the last barrier in the way to the sunlit uplands of COVID-free hospitals is magical thinking.

    Relatedly, I recall that when anyone raised this issue of kids potentially being a reservoir of infection a number of people absolutely lost their sh!t.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 60,325 Mod ✭✭✭✭Wibbs


    The original variant was less transmissible and vaccinating three-quarters of the population as we have today would likely have stopped it.

    That's a fierce lot of conjecture and I'd like to see citations on that. IMHO there's no way in hell you can contain a virus with vaccinating three quarters of the population with a leaky vaccine, that certainly reduces transmission, but doesn't stop it nearly enough. Especially when you have asymptomatic infections that can spread it, unvaccinated reservoirs of virus around the world and in close quarters environments like schools.

    We stopped smallpox because you only became infectious when obvious symptoms presented and the vaccine was much less leaky and resistance persisted longer, so you could ringfence outbreaks when and where they occurred on top of wider vaccination drives. On the transmissibility front smallpox had an R0 between 2 and 6, so higher than covid. Transmissibility it seems is less of an issue if you have a different disease profile and less leaky vaccines. Even so it took the guts of a century to irradicate it.

    To be fair the vaccines we have were developed and produced in record time, an incredible achievement, but their main aim/result was a serious impact on lowering serious illness and death, which is fantastic. Plus covid is a coronavirus and before this pox came along there had been no successful vaccine against that type of virus.

    Many worry about Artificial Intelligence. I worry far more about Organic Idiocy.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,250 ✭✭✭✭iamwhoiam


    Definitely not the fault of the vaccinators and I made sure to say that to the exhausted lady who gave it to me

    In all fairness I was 3.5 hours in a queue in the freezing cold and didnt see a single person give out to staff there . We did have the odd moan among ourselves and a whinge about the HSE and their scandalous handling of City West appointments yesterday . They gave appointments and at the same time advertised for walk ins . Gave appointments to people who were not yet 5 months past the 2 nd dose and after queuing for two hours were told to go home .



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    Hospitals at 566 this morning, up 30.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,439 ✭✭✭Cork2021


    Hopefully it’ll hold out and not go over 600 in the morning



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,336 ✭✭✭CruelSummer


    Omicron is the new show in town. I think it’s early days & what is available publicly might not be all relevant data. Then again certain countries might know more than others through other channels. South Africa is in their summer also which means data might not directly correlate with a European winter. Coupled with demographics of populations, the situation isn’t clear.

    If it does turn out that the infection is less severe - that is great news and a good outcome. I really think going forward the older and most vulnerable should be the groups vaccinated. There should be a strategic shift towards therapeutics where needed for the rest of the population as they come on stream.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,600 ✭✭✭BanditLuke


    Darn it. Really need that headed the opposite direction with the Xmas season upon us. The hospital's will need all the capacity they can in the coming weeks.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    It's been like a yo yo for months. I don't track this in any detail but Sunday does seem to rise, probably because of fewer discharges. Last weekend for example it went from 640 to 669.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,591 ✭✭✭bennyl10




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,677 ✭✭✭Happydays2020


    Project Fear is in full swing.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 68,190 ✭✭✭✭seamus


    Hospital numbers virtually always rise at the weekend. Very few discharges.

    It'll be up again tomorrow morning, but if it stays under 600 it's a great result.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,600 ✭✭✭BanditLuke


    Not really Seamus. We need those numbers way way down below 300 if possible. I'm not liking the look of the hospital situation at present really was hoping for the boosters to have a greater effect.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,677 ✭✭✭Happydays2020


    What has been the rate of growth over the last two weeks? What is the profile of those in hospital? Age? Vaccination status?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,477 ✭✭✭✭namloc1980


    Hospital numbers are down 15% in one week from last Sunday. That's a big and positive move. Why does everything have to be catastrophised? Your post is seriously of the "glass is half empty" variety.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 68,190 ✭✭✭✭seamus




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,600 ✭✭✭BanditLuke


    Fear Seamus, pure fear. I'm terrified of this thing.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 68,190 ✭✭✭✭seamus


    If you're under 70, healthy and vaccinated, your odds of being severely impacted by Covid are absolutely tiny. You're statistically more likely to be hit by car.

    If you're over 70 but still vaccinated, it's no more dangerous really than most other illnesses you might pick up at that age.

    No need for the fear.



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