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General British politics discussion thread

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,755 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,755 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    Thanks. Tories and SNP up +5 seats according to these figures apparently. It's a 2 week old pole though as the tweet posted says.

    By the way 10% and 10 points are not the same thing. Tories are up to 10% according to this pole



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 148 ✭✭Padraig178


    Points is a shortened version of the term percentage points.

    If a vote goes up by 5 percentage points that's a five point gain .



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,755 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    It was explained to me as a more complex system than just overall percent of the vote but I don't know enough about it to argue the point



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,023 ✭✭✭✭Joe_ Public


    One obvious trend from the polling is the Greens gone from below 3% in 2019 to generally 8-9% now. The vast chunk of those gains almost certainly coming from disaffected young and ethnic labour voters who have been offered precious little by the present leadership which may figure it can do without them if they can regain ground in the red wall. Time will tell on that. Just over 6 months until London goes to the polls so that should be quite revealing. The deputy labour leader of Camden council in Starmers constituency defected to the Greens yesterday which is another worrying sign.



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 43,536 Mod ✭✭✭✭Seth Brundle


    I see that Priti Patel is proposing to provide immunity to Border Force officials who turn away asylum seekers who may subsequently die e.g. from drowning...




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,755 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    Regardless of the percentage for greens they will sadly only end up with 1 seat. I doubt they will dent the labour vote either because the labour/green tactical vote and swap vote is very strong on the ground.

    As for London thankfully they are not voting on FPTP so people (like myself) can vote green and also vote Labour (or anti Tory) so it should not have a major impact



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 14,712 Mod ✭✭✭✭marno21


    The Tories were showing authoritarian signs and the UK was starting to look anti democratic at times but based on the latest polling it looks like they would sail through any election anytime soon and don’t need any help to get back in.

    Hard to think what card Labour have to play next. The electorate have rejected McDonnell style hard socialism and the electorate don’t seem too gone on Remainer Keir from central London. Is Andy Burnham worth a shot?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,023 ✭✭✭✭Joe_ Public


    I mean, they had elections last May in which the Greens made huge gains, mostly at the expense of labour. More than doubled their haul of seats and wiped out labour majorities in strongholds like Sheffield and Bristol. If the current trends persist, it's odds on they'll make significant gains in London and their performance in recent mayoral and assembly elections augurs exceptionally well for them.

    Its not going to translate to national elections but they still should be targeting 3 seats. Bristol South has a big labour majority so it's a big ask admittedly but Labour's popularity is diminishing there and there's a realistic chance of an upset. Or a close run contest at least.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 9,569 ✭✭✭blackwhite



    Tory MP stabbed at a clinic this morning



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 148 ✭✭Padraig178


    Now announced as having died.

    What a dreadful business.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 73,414 ✭✭✭✭L1011


    And only ~5 years since Jo Cox was murdered. Whatever you think of a democratically elected politician, even the standard level of abuse they get given is inappropriate. This is just insanity.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,901 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    Jo Cox all over again.

    What a despicable crime against democracy. Agree or disagree with his politics if you will, but this man picked up a nomination paper and put himself forward to make his community a better place. He and his constituents are fully and absolutely entitled to engage without fear or hindrance and this is as much a treason as it is an empty and senseless murder.

    We could talk about the level of public discourse and the disconnect between people and politics in the UK in recent decades, but thats maybe for another day.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,643 ✭✭✭✭Mr.Nice Guy


    Shocking. He went out this morning to do his job and then something like that happens. They might have to provide the option of personal security for every MP from now on. Too many incidents.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 42,640 CMod ✭✭✭✭ancapailldorcha


    It's insane that this has happened again, somehow. I think MP's here generally tend to be quite available to the public. It'd be tragic if that had to change but for the safety of those doing the job, that might be necessary.

    RIP. Nobody deserves that.

    The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.

    Leviticus 19:34



  • Posts: 5,853 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Sadly, just as with Jo Cox, when the nut jobs on social media go over board and direct hatred towards a specific group of people, someone will decide to take matters in to their own hands.

    Having access to your MP is a basic part of not just their job, but also democracy. Judging by some of the bills and causes Amess supported, this is something he took very seriously as well.

    Such a tragedy.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,333 ✭✭✭✭briany


    It'll do no good to the public to find out what the motivation was. It'll just be used as extra fodder to demonise one viewpoint or the other, by having this latest crazy associated with them. That said, I'm sure it'll still come out soon enough. But for the police, it would be useful information because if it's not a lone wolf attack, there could be a network of others aiding and abetting or planning similar things.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 148 ✭✭Padraig178


    Much too early to speculate. All we know so far is that the arrested man is a 25-year-old Somalian and that counter-terrorism police are leading the investigation.The UK Independent is reporting that there is an Islamist motive behind the killing.

    A lovely thread on the MP involved.

    https://twitter.com/E_K_Holmes/status/1449046903392509963

    Post edited by Padraig178 on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,084 ✭✭✭✭VinLieger


    The man they arrested is not Somalian he is a British national of Somali heritage, the exact facts matter when it comes to things like this.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,319 ✭✭✭✭A Dub in Glasgo


    The facts do not matter to certain posters on here


    RIP



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 43,536 Mod ✭✭✭✭Seth Brundle


    Mod:Tasteless comment deleted



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 148 ✭✭Padraig178


    At the time I posted these were the exact facts being reported in the media.

    However, he's still a Somalian - who has also become a British national.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 27,791 ✭✭✭✭Peregrinus


    He hasn't "become a British national"; he has been a British citizen since birth. He was born in London and, as far as has been reported, has lived in the UK all his life.

    He is "of Somali heritage" in the way that the Prince of Wales is of Greek heritage - his father was born in Somalia. I don't know if this qualifies him for Somali citizenship and, if it does, I don't know if its an entitlement he ever exercised.



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 43,536 Mod ✭✭✭✭Seth Brundle




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,451 ✭✭✭✭hotmail.com


    It'll be interesting to see if Angela Rayner will temper her language following this murder.

    She only referred to the Tories as scum recently.



  • Posts: 5,853 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    messing with Human Rights judgements is a very delicate area.

    However, think about this:

    Two convicted paedophiles who groomed, raped and trafficked young girls, are appealing against deportation under article 8 of the Europe convention in Human Rights, the article that protects their right to family life. Four years after their release, they are still living in the same area as the girls, despite losing an appeal against deportation, because they have now taken it to the ECHR.

    It does seem the perpetrators have more rights than the victims at times.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,708 ✭✭✭serfboard


    In one of the replies to that tweet, the following is quoted from John Stuart Mill: "Bad men need nothing more to compass their ends, than that good men should look on and do nothing".

    But there is another quote from the same speech that's even more apt: " It depends on the habit of attending to and looking into public transactions, and on the degree of information and solid judgment respecting them that exists in the community, whether the conduct of the nation as a nation, both within itself and towards others, shall be selfish, corrupt, and tyrannical, or rational and enlightened, just and noble."



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,755 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    And the EU is the only place where it feels to you like this. The only place where you can appeal ?

    They would still appeal in an "independent" UK but just to a different court



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  • Posts: 5,853 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    this has nothing to do with the EU.

    This is in relation to the ECHR, not the ECJ.



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