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Covid 19 Part XXXV-956,720 ROI (5,952 deaths) 452,946 NI (3,002 deaths) (08/01) Read OP

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 209 ✭✭Ah_well.


    Well when it was suggested hysteria, doubt and a media blitz would be on the way as we got closer to reopening it was dismissed by many here too. To be fair I didn’t think it’d ramp up just yet. They have surpassed my expectations . I thought they’d at least have another day to bleed out of the budget but no rte news at 1 lead headline with the fear mongering . Over 2k cases to be announced today according to Fergal Bowers . The government need to show a spine for once and get on with it



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 479 ✭✭P.lane78


    Lads ... remember the vaccine doesn't prevent covid cases, it alleviates the worst effects of covid for the recipient...so equating our record vaccination to cases is pointless ... something else is going on and even Leo admitted in the interview, they don't know for sure why this is happening...it has being said numerous times in this thread....I think it's the Peltzman effect and after the 22th this will only increase..

    That and the fact that we are entering the suspected vaccine waning window especially for medical staff



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 209 ✭✭Ah_well.


    It’s baffling how our cases are so high compared to the rest of western Europe . Our open border with the north and their high incidence rate ? Our nearest neighbours having a high incidence rate in the Uk? Our autumn climate perfect conditions ?poor ventilation standards ? Vaccines waning ? I don’t know . I don’t think anyone does .



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,399 ✭✭✭Deeper Blue


    More discharges than admissions to hospital yesterday yet the numbers in hospitals have gone up, clearly people are catching it in hospitals.

    It'd be nice if the media would report on this rather than just giving the big scary hospital numbers. The concept of journalism seems alien to our media though so not that surprising.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,678 ✭✭✭Multipass


    Or because we had such long lockdowns that we haven’t had as much spread as other countries. We flattened the curve so much that we’re still on it.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,443 ✭✭✭✭stephenjmcd


    I find it a little odd that it's just RTE running these headlines today. Would have expected the indo etc to jump on board but nothing yet



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 726 ✭✭✭SupplyandDemandZone


    Interesting take and you could be right but surely with our vaccination numbers that shouldn't matter. It's just bizarre.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,328 ✭✭✭bloopy


    If you compare Ireland to other countries in Europe, we all have the same spike of cases for each of the waves.

    However, in between waves our case rate per 100000 drops down to extremely low levels. Other countries see a drop between waves but the incidence rate per 100000 is a good bit higher than ours.

    Is it possible that our lockdowns have been too effective? As in, Europe had a higher, but manageable case rate between spikes allowing for a larger proportion of their population to be exposed to the virus. Maybe they have a higher rate of natural immunity than we do.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 479 ✭✭P.lane78


    Leo's spin doctors have played a blinder on this one .... restrictions might not be lifted people, look.. look that way ...don't talk about the budget folks ...it's a master stroke



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,420 ✭✭✭Cork2021


    didnt someone say in the restrictions thread that a member of Nphet is married to someone in RTE? possible source??



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,443 ✭✭✭✭stephenjmcd


    And just like that the RTE headline changes





  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 68,190 ✭✭✭✭seamus


    @FintanMcluskey wrote:

    "We need more time for cases to come down"

    Why do you think that can't be used as justification again?

    Because nothing is changing.

    Any time that's been said before, cases have either been reducing or there has been something happening to bring them down; i.e. lockdowns or vaccines. So giving more time for cases to come down made sense.

    But right now, nothing is changing. There will be no new restrictions and materially no increase in vaccination rates. Therefore no reason to expect cases to drop, and therefore no logic behind sitting around waiting for them to drop.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 479 ✭✭P.lane78


    Only a bit of natural immunity (nine months ISH ) at a rate of 1500 a day ...granted the majority of those are vaccinated



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 209 ✭✭Ah_well.




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 68,190 ✭✭✭✭seamus


    Yep, Limerick in particular seems to be a mess and has been for a week or more. Tallaght's not far behind though.

    We already know that in general vaccination amongst groups on lower incomes and with lower education levels, tends to be lower. And surveys from earlier in the year bore out that this would be similar for Covid vaccines. So it should be no surprise really that we would see hospitals in areas with a large working class populations having outbreaks.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]




  • Posts: 4,727 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    This is my theory as well. Other countries used lockdown as a last resort to avoid hospitals getting overwhelmed and immediately removed as many restrictions as possible the minute it seemed safe enough to do so and allowed their hospitals to be busy.

    Ireland chose to remain in strict lockdown on many occasions when we had tiny case numbers. We wanted to try get to 0 in hospital. Then when a wave comes along we get hit arguably hardest in Europe.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 726 ✭✭✭SupplyandDemandZone


    And stats to back that up?

    People in lower pay backgrounds had been catching the virus more because they hadn't the opportunity to hide away at home behind laptops and worked in areas requiring manual labour. I'm interested to see the figures on lower vaccine take up thanks



  • Posts: 4,727 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Indo now reporting the same stuff as RTE. Easing of restrictions in doubt etc



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,624 ✭✭✭FintanMcluskey


    Because nothing is changing.

    Hospital numbers are increasing

    The very metric used as justification for restrictions up to now has been hospital numbers, and you say nothing is changing.

    I can be accused of a lot of things but I've been consistent throughout this, this was a dangerous precedent for us to accept what we have accepted all Summer in Ireland with our vaccination rates.

    If the reopening goes ahead as planned, which I hope it does, and if you agree with the reopening, its an admittance you've been wrong in justifying restriction's in Ireland for about the past 6 months, or at least since HCW's and the most vulnerable were vaccinated.(I think about April)

    If we can reopen now, its an admittance our policy has been criminally wrong for months.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,919 ✭✭✭✭Goldengirl


    Your post shows how disingenuous you are being .

    I think most of your posting is bang on and am disappointed that you do not for some reason appear to be taking on board that there us a pretty large increase in numbers being hospitalised . Amongst healthcare people are getting worried about this rise as if it continues there is obviously continued pressure on the service when the service is stretched as it is .

    And no, you know if you read my post and others that is not what I want . It is risk boosters for healthcare and those at risk not just those at very high risk , and not next year as that may be too late .

    I can't understand the logic of some arguing against protecting those at most risk but yet they want all restrictions eased .

    It's obvious to me that the way to ensure that we continue reopening fully is to protect the vulnerable through boosters and also boost those that care for them and the sick si that we don't end up in crisis again .



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,443 ✭✭✭✭stephenjmcd


    Took them long enough to latch onto it.

    MM in the Dail not seeming to worried, ministers at a budget press conference this afternoon saying they expect it to go ahead. The gov position at this moment in time looks to be to go ahead.

    Personally I think it'll take place, would I be surprised if vaccine passes were kept for pubs & clubs, probably not but it would really just be for show at this stage, haven't had mine checked in a while now



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Hearing a lot of anecdotes about consultants in hospitals being worried, but doesn’t seem to be echoed by the government nor Paul Reid



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    I notice in the Indo version that they say that the CMO will be back from leave on Monday for that meeting, something some people may see as a sign for the worst! Elsewhere in the Indo they suggest that we could have 2000+ cases today.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,919 ✭✭✭✭Goldengirl


    Restrictions being extended will not make a blind bit of difference to hospital services at this stage .

    Vaccinations have worked and boosters for those vulnerable / at risk will hopefully continue that .

    Anyone who is not vaccinated will get infected and some will get sick and be hospitalised , but short of mandating vaccines for these people ,which would be political and social suicide , the only other thing that can be done is to ask that they cocoon. Like that is going to happen !

    The only restriction I see continuing is masks in crowded areas ,health and public transport.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,443 ✭✭✭✭stephenjmcd




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 479 ✭✭P.lane78


    Consultants are worried every winter ...our health system is not fit for purpose ...throw in covid , 'normal influenza' and a massive backlog/waiting list ...the pinch point is the system , not the unvaccinated ...the media/Government spin will not reflect this



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,787 ✭✭✭mohawk


    Limerick was a mess of a hospital ever before Covid came along. Look at the trolley numbers in Limerick pre Covid. It is the main hospital for the entire mid-west region so I don’t think your analysis that lower vaccination rates is the cause of higher numbers in Limerick. Anyone who was any experience in Limerick hospital isn’t surprised that that hospital seems to get outbreaks regularly.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 209 ✭✭Ah_well.


    You may well be right . I honestly have no idea why our cases are so high .



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  • Posts: 4,727 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    To be fair to the government, I don't envy them at all at the minute.

    I'm sure they are secretly worried about the case numbers and hospital numbers increasing. I'm sure they are wondering why its happening when we have such high vaccination rates.

    I'm sure they are also a bit skeptical of NPHET advise after what happened with the models last time.

    But I'm sure they are also aware of how bad the optics will be if we delay reopening or even reimpose restrictions with 90% vaccinated. And thats after one of the longest lockdowns in the world.

    I personally think we'll proceed with the 22nd unless numbers seriously jump but I have a feeling we won't make it through winter. And we'll end up debating when it will ever be ok to remove restrictions.



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