2020 officially saw a record number of $1 billion weather and climate disasters.

Of the two inland stations I looked at in recent years, (Mullingar, Claremorris) the same trend exists. Note the far higher frequency of not just high wind events, but also moderate storm events pre 2000 compared to the last two decades. I imagine if the naming system existed back then that most years would have got through a good portion of the alphabet with relative ease.

National Geographic is such a waste space now.

They will write any old shíte it seems, once it's global warming related.

And we’re the alarmists.

it’s not wind power that’s threatening our power supply btw, it’s the increase in demand due to poorly planned data centers. If every data center has as a condition of Planning permission, a requirement to have 48 hour on site back up energy, then our grid would be fine. But even if we get brownouts this year, and the chance is remote, there is an even smaller chance that anyone will die because of it. Yet you’re prepared to commit us to increased global warming, guaranteeing that more lives and biological systems will be lost, just to avoid a short term easily solvable risk of inconvenience

and even if the grid is hit to the worst possible extent you can argue for, the solution is to invest in grid storage technologies, which will be provided very quickly by the state or private sector if we just stop subsidizing the fossil fuel industry

National Geographic has been rubbish since before I was born, really nice photographs, really poor journalism

Claremorris’peak gusts per year are not particularly relevant climatological data.

Anyone can choose any station or number of stations or areas here and get data on several parameters going back decades. Just because some people think that cherrypicking is going on.

Climate Explorer: Select a daily time series (knmi.nl)

In my living memory there have been a very small number of notable storms, hurricane charley 1986. Was only a child but remember the impact that it had

Darwin 2014,. Not because it was named Darwin, but because I saw the devastation that followed it, I saw the roads and walls that were swept away by the storm surge and I was able to experience first hand

Ophelia, 2017 which could have caused similar devastation if Darwin hadn’t already felled whole groves and big parts of mature woodland

Katia 2011 was a scary event that missed my part of the island but did impact with huge flooding and coastal erosion that I saw directly when I took a drive to the beach the day after it passed

then there was the 2009 flooding event where half my county was under water. Didn’t give that storm a name cause it wasn’t particularly windy, but flooding causes just as much suffering as a wind storm probably even more

Max gusts are one element in what makes a storm damaging/severe/powerful

a max gust of 140kph is not as severe as sustained winds of 120kph over an extended period, and a windstorm accompanied by a storm surge and high levels of precipitation, like an extra tropical cyclone is more damaging than the traditional winter frontal storm in Ireland which can be locally intense but short lived and locally damaging

You cannot dismiss the findings of a comprehensive study involving a large number of variables and historical measurements by playing top trumps with data points

(So what if that Oil tanker has a bigger displacement, the submarine has torpedoes )

My ‘world view’ is that, globally, climate change is going to have a very severe negative effect on our ability to survive and prosper as a species if we allow it to warm beyond 1.5c to 2c

we are currently on a trajectory of 3c + if we follow the advice of Gaoth Laidir and the rest

this is backed by the IPCC, not my opinion

My ‘world view’ is science based. Gaoth’s ‘world view’ is based on one parameter at one or two ‘randomly’ chosen weather stations near where he lives (probably, I don’t care/know where he lives, but anywhere in Ireland is proximate on a global scale)

Gaoth loves drilling down into specific details, and is missing the wood for the trees. It’s obvious to even the oil industry that they cannot argue that climate change isn’t a massive threat.

they don’t argue that in public anymore, not directly anyway.

The ‘Luke warmers’ have the most transparently stupid ideology of all. Paraphrased as ‘Global warming isn’t as bad as it’s going to be Yet, therefore there’s nothing to worry about’ Luke warmers know perfectly how bad things could get if unaddressed, they just choose to believe that everything will be fine

We’re at 1.2c above preindustrial heading for 3c+

their arguments that the recent chaotic weather are ‘natural variability’ because it may have been worse at x time in the past’ is stupid because we’re only at the beginning of the warming we’ve already Locked ourselves into.

it’s like the guy who feels a lump in his testicle and thinks ‘this is only a little bit more lumpy than normal, it’ll die down. By the time you realize it’s not getting smaller, you’ve lost at least that testicle and potentially your life.

It's all well and good picking an individual datapoint when it suits you (e.g. a station that breaks a temperature record) but when a range of stations are all showing the same thing it's suddenly not. Maximum mean speeds are also not showing an increasing trend, so that's two strikes. Three and you're out.

And I took stations from all over Ireland, not just one near I live. None of them was near where I live, as it happens. There's your third strike.

You said we in Ireland are experiencing more violent storms. You are completely wrong. Several posters have posted several datasets from several stations all over the country to show that you are wrong and yet you still deny it.

I agree Eirgrid are highly respected experts in their field. If we give them the resources they need to preserve our grid infrastructure while also reducing our reliance on fossil fuels, I have supreme confidence that they would get the job done. This is a discussion about resource allocation. The fossil fuel industry want us to panic and subside their supply. We need to call their bluff and invest in long term sustainable solutions

I work with engineers and developers every day in my job, they build what they are told to build. They are constrained by resources and deadlines way more than by the technology at their disposal

i am not opposed to emergency funding to pay to extend the life of retiring infrastructure by a few years, but only if it’s a definite stopgap while renewable is coming online

You can give me as many strikes as you like as a self designated umpire, nothing you can say about historic records nullifies the projections that we’re only at 1c of warming and on track to exceed 3c within a few decades if we follow your business as usual strategy

it takes time for the signals to emerge from the noise. You have 2 centuries of records to call on, climate change only started accelerating properly in the last 25-30 years. 10 years ago Richard Lindzen was saying temperatures had ‘only’ warmed by .6c now we’re at 1.2c, with a 40% chance of beating 1.5c by 2025 (wmo 2021)

your predictions from a few years ago on temperature rises were completely wrong. What is your ECS prediction as of now?

And none of this takes away (which it attempts to do) from the fact that you attempted to sell us a baseless false claim about increasingly storm intensity in the country we actually live in.

It’s only laughable to lukewmists like you.

Unlike you I care about people not living Immediately nearby.

Where does that energy go?

Your away with the fairies🙄

Just stop digging. I too said I was not talking about near me but you seem to have read that incorrectly too.

And what's this new term "lukewarmists"? I haven't hear that one before? Did you read that in a peer-reviewed reputable paper or did you come up with it yourself?

Did I read earlier on the rolling blackouts impact in negligible?

amazing level of ignorance. Carbon energy has saved significantly more lives than is currently at threat from a 3c increase.

Arkasia you cherrypick like no other in here. Energy crisis is poor planning, but you don’t accept that flood risk is also due to poor planning?

Natural gas prices increasing is good to make it redundant and force us into renewables. Yes that’s how it works.. Not like governments will incentivise exploration with tax credits.

Also mention of storing energy. Really? Surprised that this is mentioned at all!

Unfortunately the Greens in a previous government under Eamon Ryan scuppered any Nuclear chances the country had.

He has stated that while he is in Government there will never be nuclear power. Private jets are ok tho, and fabricated situations of him cycling.

Eamonn is a plant for big oil, he must be.

https://fluenceenergy.com/energy-storage-technology/ can do energy storage of 1mb to 500mb

And I'm sure the multi billion euro data centre companies are being constantly pitched energy storage solutions by the dozens of established companies in the industry, but why would they make the investment in these solutions when they can just draw cheap electricity off the grid even if this means governments have to maintain gas or coal power stations to balance the load

https://ysgsolar.com/blog/top-50-energy-storage-companies-2021-ysg-solar

A book I am hoping to get for Christmas:

“False Alarm” By Bjorn Lomborg – Book Review (forbes.com)

Reading a few reviews, I thought this one in Forbess was particularly interesting:

"Lomborg is a “lukewarmer”. He thinks global warming is real, man-made, and a serious problem, which can be and needs to be tackled. But he disputes that it is an existential risk, or indeed our biggest challenge".

So it seems that 'lukewarmer' is the new media driven buzzword for alarmists to take on and throw at people who don't fully share their views. So be it, but as I have said before, most climate alarmists are very lukewarm people themselves, which makes itself evident everyday by their vapid predictability and their fog horning of every single (favoured) media point, and not just regarding climate.