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Covid 19 Part XXXV-956,720 ROI (5,952 deaths) 452,946 NI (3,002 deaths) (08/01) Read OP

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,338 ✭✭✭Bit cynical


    I know we're all trying to do our best, but I think the same people predicting an end to compulsory restrictions will be back justifying them if that end fails to materialise.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    There does seem to be a determination in government to get out from under the singular NPHET advice. That they too are now looking at ways to ease restrictions bodes well. It suggests that we are intending to live with this, a task made a lot easier by a large proportion being vaccinated. Cases will continue to appear, and we may see boosters but the risk is likely to be reduced to mild to no symptoms for those vaccinated. The main challenge will be a HSE one of COVID + flu cases in the winter.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,990 ✭✭✭Sweet.Science


    Whats the situation with these statutory powers ? I keep hearing they expire in November . Can they not just be extended like what was already done ?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,633 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    Vaccine passes can be extended till January, other emergency powers till Feb IIRC


    Then it needs another government vote, which it will surely get anyways



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 68,190 ✭✭✭✭seamus


    Theoretically they can be extended by 3 months, but they're emergency powers. In effect, it only remains constitutional to extend them so long as there continues to be an emergency. One could envision some flimsy grounds on which they might justify it in November, but not a chance in February.

    In reality, political pressure is what will force them to be allowed to lapse. In November there would be someone banging on the door of the supreme court five minutes after the powers were extended. And for the supreme court to strike the powers down would be politically devastating. A massive gamble for any government. That's not to even address the pressure they would face within their own parties. All it would take is 5 TDs to defy the party whip and the whole thing comes crashing down.

    Of course it'll all be whipped us a "will they-won't they" thing for weeks. Anyone with any savvy will see this as the most opportune time to strike and accuse the government of totalitarianism before they've even said whether or not they want to extend the powers.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,990 ✭✭✭Sweet.Science


    Ok . I can't see them not being extended into Spring 2022 myself .



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,338 ✭✭✭Bit cynical


    @seamus wrote:

    "One could envision some flimsy grounds on which they might justify it in November, but not a chance in February."

    We're already gearing up for some sort of extension of the legislation in our heads so that if it is extended we can say that we never ruled it out as a possibility when challenged.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 68,190 ✭✭✭✭seamus


    Merely a case that I don't have a crystal ball to know what's going to happen in the next 3 months. Only a fool would say, "They definitely cannot justify extending the legislation in November".

    On Xmas Day 2019 if you had been told that in 3 months' time half the planet would be in lockdown over a pandemic, you'd have laughed and been absolutely certain that the person was talking bollox. At that time there hadn't been any official reports of any mysterious illnesses, you'd have only heard about rumours out of China told in weird corners of the internet.

    The emergency powers are set to lapse in 3 months' time. I'm reasonably confident they won't extend them for a variety of reasons, but I'm not foolish enough to declare certainty about what can happen between now and then.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,628 ✭✭✭FintanMcluskey


    I don’t think this can ever end

    30,000 people die in Ireland each year

    A frightening figure that we need to be address regardless of social or economic cost



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,340 ✭✭✭blackcard


    How would you rate the outcome in Italy, France, UK and how would you rate their health systems?



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,338 ✭✭✭Bit cynical


    @seamus wrote:

    "The emergency powers are set to lapse in 3 months' time. I'm reasonably confident they won't extend them for a variety of reasons, but I'm not foolish enough to declare certainty about what can happen between now and then."

    I don't wish to put you on the spot but if they did extend emergency powers, would you support them? Obviously it would depend on the circumstances but what, in your opinion, would be sufficient rational justification for extending those powers?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,758 ✭✭✭✭lawred2




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,990 ✭✭✭Sweet.Science


    I think there is no chance they are not extended . Our hospital numbers will increase as will ICU. At what stage will they plateau . You would hope by November but who knows . Then its also in the middle of Flu season . And MM is unable to make a decision about what socks to put on in the morning .

    Xmas last year will be the soundbite and nobody will challenge it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,990 ✭✭✭Sweet.Science


    Housing crisis and investment funds have had a couple of weeks off.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 784 ✭✭✭daydorunrun


    Divisive means differing opinions- of its magnification, accuracy and general roll. this has been debated a lot over the last year and a half by many medical professionals and scholars. You’re being a smart ass trying suggesting that it’s just random conspiracy theories that only exist on Facebook and YouTube.

    “You tried your best and you failed miserably. The lesson is, never try.” Homer.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 68,190 ✭✭✭✭seamus


    Data, basically. Proof that an emergency still exists, such as;

    Hospital and ICU numbers on an exponential growth trend, or already at a very high level (> 150 in ICU) with another surge beginning.

    Or the emergence of a new variant with markedly more serious properties (such as greater serious illness in under 25s), which is proven to be more infectious and more resistant to vaccination.

    Neither of which I see as being particularly likely.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,973 ✭✭✭✭bucketybuck


    Are we in an emergency situation today, right this minute?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    No, I'm just giving a civil opinion on something that does the job and in my experience those who have issues with it were YouTube video redirected my way last year. I'm always amused how they routinely ignore the input and expertise of those running such tests and treating them as little more than button pushers. For me it seems a pretty pointless battle to wage but each to their own.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 68,190 ✭✭✭✭seamus


    Yes. We're in the middle of a large wave of the virus with just under 60% of the population fully vaccinated out of a theoretical 80-85%. It only stops being an emergency when the threat has been addressed as much as is reasonably possible.

    Maybe my definition of emergency and the legal one is different. After all, the government had emergency powers all the way though WWII despite not actually being a part of it.



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  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Its difficult to get the recovery cert if you got covid abroad as many young people did.

    Many are now queuing to get the pfizer jab as they want to go indoors to socialise. I know one young person did ask at the centre would one jab do as he got covid in Spain in July, he was told no, you need two jabs to get the covid cert.

    If these young people got covid here wouldnt they get the recovery cert and not be expected to take two shots.

    Its all a bit worrying.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,990 ✭✭✭Sweet.Science


    I had it a few months ago and am getting my 2nd one next week



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,389 ✭✭✭irishguy1983



    Yeah I never quite understand how people speak with such certainty about how the future will roll out (considering how things have gone on in last 12 months)…..The amount of people on this thread who know exactly what is hoping to happen is incredible:) I haven’t a clue - not really what is going to happen even when we hit 90% fully vaccinated….



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    These young people barely had it four weeks ago.

    Are you not concerned about taking two doses of a vaccine for something you have immunity too.

    Am I worrying about nothing, if they were even thirty I wouldnt feel as anxious but they are onky eighteen.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,628 ✭✭✭FintanMcluskey


    Seamus what do you think will have changed regarding the danger posed by covid in a few weeks when those measures are due to be extended???


    The Dublin marathon is cancelled due to the emergency and that is an outdoor event that will have been true to take place a few days before the legislation expires


    I can guarantee that if anyone challenges the extension of the powers the will be labelled Gemma o d style loons by the mainstream media and many others on here including yourself



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    This is why many Pharma companies stayed well away from pregnant women and then children post thalidomide.

    The golden goose at the time was an anti nausea drug for pregnant women but looked how it turned out. Children taking medical interventions is always very risky but if their heads fall off we will be told at least it didn't explode on the way down, "exploding heads" now a symptom of covid.

    in saying that Thalidomide is a very useful drug for treating leprosy in Brazil..so all things have uses. As it's spreading now in the vaccinated, I don't see the point of jabbing kids.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,876 ✭✭✭✭bodhrandude


    Well fcuk this for a game of soldiers, I'm away up North to a festival for the weekend. first festival work I've got since Electric Picnic 2019. I'm gonna go for it as I'm not going to sit around waiting for lazy ass politicians to come back from their holidays with not even a promise of a small camping music festival in this country apart from its Northern half.

    If you want to get into it, you got to get out of it. (Hawkwind 1982)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,628 ✭✭✭FintanMcluskey


    Do I remember incorrectly or did you not complain about others not following public health advice in Ireland earlier in the year?


    Could have you completely wrong I will admit and apologise if I do



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,876 ✭✭✭✭bodhrandude


    I've been pretty compliant right up to this coming weekend, the government is fecking around with the live entertainment (music) and EP being cancelled was the last straw for me. Its a small festival and I will mask up during more crowded situations and in the marquees, I'm bringing my own santiser and what not. No, just run out of patience really. Your right though I did post the Salthill beach clip in April.

    If you want to get into it, you got to get out of it. (Hawkwind 1982)



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 224 ✭✭Lyle


    Just looking at some of Brian MacCraith's vaccination figures, in light of some info from the Music and Entertainment Association of Ireland and their meeting with government in the past few days where they were told the government is looking for 85-90% of 18+ being fully vaccinated before re-opening indoor events, which I'm invested in as indoor events are my job for more than a decade and I still haven't been able to return to work.

    So many different percentages are floating around now for the vaccines (total pop., 12+, 16+, 18+) that it actually wasn't easy to find the updated 18+ percentage until MacCraith tweeted about it because it isn't really the one being touted much anymore, despite it still being the important determining factor for indoor events and associated careers going ahead again.

    According to MacCraith's figures, two weeks ago, on July 28th, we were at 71.1% of 18+ fully vaccinated. Today, we're at 78.3%, so we've increased by 7.2% in those two weeks. If we can match that again, come the 25th of August (which is even before the government are apparently going to announce their plan for reopening indoor events) we should be at 85.5% of 18+ fully jabbed, and more again by the following week, hopefully bringing us close to 90% by the end of August.

    I can't see them coming out on September 1st and just throwing the shackles off, even though by their own apparent metrics given to MEAI that's exactly what should happen, but it's given me a lift today to see that they have actually set a percentile figure as a target for getting events back running and that we are so very close to achieving it in the rollout. I thought posting this might hopefully give anyone else in the same boat as me a bit of a lift as well after so long out of work.



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