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Vaccine Megathread - See OP for threadbans

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,049 ✭✭✭✭Red Silurian


    Gael23 wrote: »
    Who would be left waiting if this were to happen?
    https://www.rte.ie/news/coronavirus/2021/0417/1210409-covid-19-ireland/

    It could work to drop our case numbers but vaccine hesitancy is highest amongst the younger people as well who tend to follow the bull**** on social media more so the real question is would you reach enough people to slow the virus down considerably
    harr wrote: »
    So teachers , guards or any frontline workers I include shop workers and carers in that aren’t allowed to jump the Q as it’s more streamlined and efficient to go by age and do everyone in turn and now doing a complete U-turn and saying one particular group might be more important than the other..
    An awful lot of teachers , guards and carers would be suddenly put straight to the back of the Q
    Talk about mixed messaging, only a couple of days into the new age based system and they are talking about changing already.

    they're still going by age, just in reverse


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,151 ✭✭✭✭Gael23


    There will be an all out strike in the civil service if this happens


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    harr wrote: »
    So teachers , guards or any frontline workers I include shop workers and carers in that aren’t allowed to jump the Q as it’s more streamlined and efficient to go by age and do everyone in turn and now doing a complete U-turn and saying one particular group might be more important than the other..
    An awful lot of teachers , guards and carers would be suddenly put straight to the back of the Q
    Talk about mixed messaging, only a couple of days into the new age based system and they are talking about changing already.
    It's not about queues, it's the possible value to reducing the overall prevalence of the disease and nothing has been decided yet.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,049 ✭✭✭✭Red Silurian


    Gael23 wrote: »
    There will be an all out strike in the civil service if this happens

    Why?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,151 ✭✭✭✭Gael23


    Why?

    The teaching unions won’t have it, GRA will kick up too


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    Gael23 wrote: »
    The teaching unions won’t have it, GRA will kick up too
    They've already done that, now it would look like a tantrum!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,512 ✭✭✭harr


    is_that_so wrote: »
    It's not about queues, it's the possible value to reducing the overall prevalence of the disease and nothing has been decided yet.

    Still puts the 30-50 age group in last place to get a vaccine.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    harr wrote: »
    Still puts the 30-50 age group in last place to get a vaccine.
    By a manner of weeks one would guess if they opt for this approach so June/July rather than June. They'll still get in before the refusniks!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,394 ✭✭✭✭Professor Moriarty


    Gael23 wrote: »
    The teaching unions won’t have it, GRA will kick up too

    The civil service won't go on strike if teachers are upset about not receiving a vaccine.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,432 ✭✭✭SusanC10


    Just 2 weeks ago the Government were saying that vaccination of older ages first was based on medical advice. Has that advice changed ?

    Husband and I are mid-late 40s so would be end of the queue with this.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,185 ✭✭✭Ohmeha


    This latest assessment request on 18-30s has to have an economic motivation as the hospitality sector the government desperately wants to re-open this summer is significantly dependent on employees in this age cohort


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    SusanC10 wrote: »
    Just 2 weeks ago the Government were saying that vaccination of older ages first was based on medical advice. Has that advice changed ?

    Husband and I are mid-late 40s so would be end of the queue with this.
    It still holds but most people under 60 in reasonable health are at a far lower risk anyway. They are just considering how doing the younger group first might impact cases and potentially return us to return to normal faster.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,812 ✭✭✭plodder


    SusanC10 wrote: »
    Just 2 weeks ago the Government were saying that vaccination of older ages first was based on medical advice. Has that advice changed ?

    Husband and I are mid-late 40s so would be end of the queue with this.
    I presume it has finally sunk in that vaccination reduces virus transmission which is what they are looking for here.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 205 ✭✭Skygord


    70 year-old family member getting their jab today - rural village in the midlands.
    It's taken a while but the 70+ cohort must be getting close to being complete. Perhaps another week or two?

    Great to read above about 65-69's starting via MVC's next week.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,669 ✭✭✭Klonker


    I think it would be s disastrous move to vaccinate the 18-30s first. It would be over complicating something that doesn't need to be and nobodies calling for. When they moved away from vaccinating teachers/guards etc. they stressed that age was the largest factor to severe covid and now they'd be rowing back again.

    I wouldnt be one to appease the unions for the sake of it but there would be a huge backlash from them if this was implemented. Very little teachers and guards would fall into the 18-30 group than the 30-50 group. After the government said on NIAC advise that even though these professions have to deal with large numbers of students/the public as part of their job we will vaccinate by age as they are at more risk to severe covid. Now they're thinking of vaccinating this other lower risk group first that have higher case rates for no obvious reason apart from they don't follow the covid guidelines as well as the rest of the population.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    Skygord wrote: »
    70 year-old family member getting their jab today - rural village in the midlands.
    It's taken a while but the 70+ cohort must be getting close to being complete. Perhaps another week or two?

    Great to read above about 65-69's starting via MVC's next week.
    That could mean the 60-64 group starting in early May and the under sixties by the end of May.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    Klonker wrote: »
    I think it would be s disastrous move to vaccinate the 18-30s first. It would be over complicating something that doesn't need to be and nobodies calling for. When they moved away from vaccinating teachers/guards etc. they stressed that age was the largest factor to severe covid and now they'd be rowing back again.

    I wouldnt be one to appease the unions for the sake of it but there would be a huge backlash from them if this was implemented. Very little teachers and guards would fall into the 18-30 group than the 30-50 group. After the government said on NIAC advise that even though these professions have to deal with large numbers of students/the public as part of their job we will vaccinate this other lower risk group first that have higher case rates for no obvious reason apart from they don't follow the covid guidelines as well as the rest of the population.
    The portal records age so there's really no big deal in setting it up if they want to. There are other considerations at work in the suggestion.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,463 ✭✭✭✭namloc1980


    More tinkering with the cohorts is just getting annoying at this stage. Plenty of 30-50 year old going to be very pissed off with this proposal.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 54 ✭✭greenheep


    This would be seen as rewarding people breaking the rules. How will 49 year olds feel when they see 18 year olds getting done weeks before them when their risk is much lower just because the government are worried they will be going out to party and socialise


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,004 ✭✭✭Van.Bosch


    You joke yet 75% of our new cases every day are in the under-45 age group... So theoretically if we vaccinate that age group then our figures should drop 75%

    That’s true but I think the motivation is more economic, get them done and open up quicker.

    Maybe they should just do everyone under 60 by a lottery, bit of both approaches. Everyone applies and the portal generates your appointment over the next 2 months randomly!


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 625 ✭✭✭kave2




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,180 ✭✭✭1huge1


    Skygord wrote: »
    70 year-old family member getting their jab today - rural village in the midlands.
    It's taken a while but the 70+ cohort must be getting close to being complete. Perhaps another week or two?

    Great to read above about 65-69's starting via MVC's next week.

    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1cUZy6AMCwuA2zhtRuKK7cqMVgmhdDsGsZrFWJTkw9DY/edit#gid=502588836

    According to the above, there is still c. 100k of over 70s still due to get their first dose, great to see that there are some GPs (as in your case) that are already down at the 70 yr olds, but presumably if there are that many left to vaccinate, many other GPs still must still be in the 75-80yr old range.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,450 ✭✭✭✭stephenjmcd


    JTMan wrote: »
    Irish Times reporting that those aged 18-30 age would get shots before those aged 30-50 under new plan. (I assume they mean 16-30).

    There will be war over this.

    The logic given seems to be that the younger party and socialise more. This does not sit well with me from a fairness perspective.

    Those aged 30-50 are at significant more risk than the younger groups. All other countries, that I am aware of, are doing vaccinations by descending age group.

    Why would there be war ?

    It's in the original vaccine plan from December. Should enough evidence on the reduction of transmission become available that the rollout could be changed to go from youngest up. There's alot of logic behind it


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,135 ✭✭✭Jinglejangle69


    Why would there be war ?

    It's in the original vaccine plan from December. Should enough evidence on the reduction of transmission become available that the rollout could be changed to go from youngest up. There's alot of logic behind it

    There's also a logic behind vaccinating people based on age.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 68 ✭✭sd1999


    Vaccinating younger cohorts will have a bigger impact on case numbers than vaccinating 30-50s. Lowers case numbers means the economy can open up faster. Is that not what people have been crying out for for ages?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 205 ✭✭Skygord


    1huge1 wrote: »
    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1cUZy6AMCwuA2zhtRuKK7cqMVgmhdDsGsZrFWJTkw9DY/edit#gid=502588836

    According to the above, there is still c. 100k of over 70s still due to get their first dose, great to see that there are some GPs (as in your case) that are already down at the 70 yr olds, but presumably if there are that many left to vaccinate, many other GPs still must still be in the 75-80yr old range.

    Thanks, yes I check that spreadsheet daily (many thanks to whoever is doing it, very useful). That's why I guessed 1 - 2 weeks, but then again there are still dose 1's being given to cohort 1 using the same MRNA stock. Also, I assume cohort 4 under 60's are now switched over from AZ to MRNA, so maybe I was too optimistic. Thanks.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    There's also a logic behind vaccinating people based on age.
    There is but there's an argument being made with this proposal that vaccinating the 18-30 cohort first may bring about a faster reduction in cases.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,450 ✭✭✭✭stephenjmcd


    There's also a logic behind vaccinating people based on age.

    There is but it was always in the original plan that should sufficient evidence on transmission come to light that the rollout could be pivoted to go up the age groups instead of down.

    The reason being primarily younger people in low paid customer facing jobs with long hours of multiple interactions & contacts in said jobs, more young people in shared housing and cramped conditions.

    The vast majority of cases now are in the U45 age bracket so this is where transmission is taking place. It makes sense to root it out. If you stop transmission from vaccinating the younger you start protecting the older anyway.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,135 ✭✭✭Jinglejangle69


    There is but it was always in the original plan that should sufficient evidence on transmission come to light that the rollout could be pivoted to go up the age groups instead of down.

    The reason being primarily younger people in low paid customer facing jobs with long hours of multiple interactions & contacts in said jobs, more young people in shared housing and cramped conditions.

    The vast majority of cases now are in the U45 age bracket so this is where transmission is taking place. It makes sense to root it out. If you stop transmission from vaccinating the younger you start protecting the older anyway.

    So you're suggesting because some young people work in supermarkets they are accounting for the majority of cases???

    And under 45 isn't 18-30.


This discussion has been closed.
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