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Relaxation of Restrictions, Part VIII *Read OP For Mod Warnings*

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,566 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    BTownB wrote: »
    Couldn't agree more.

    Still hasn't come back to me on Sweden and its "disastrous approach"!

    Despite doing better than 15 other EU countries, but it doesn't fit with his agenda.

    How many of those 15 countries are getting ready for their 3rd wave?
    "There is a big risk of a third wave," said state epidemiologist Anders Tegnell, "and a clear need to continue following the measures that we have in place".


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,728 ✭✭✭storker


    Try read the post I replied to.
    Specifically mentioned busy A+E.

    I know. I read it. COVID patients are told not to attend A&E, and suspected COVIDS cases are brought in using a separate entrance, at least that's was I was told about St. Vincents, and it's not unreasonable to assume that the same is true of other hospitals. It's bed and particularly ICU capacity that is the concern, not numbers attending A&E.

    (In fact the reduced numbers attending A&E is an interesting indication of how many unnecessary visits were being made pre-COVID.)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,966 ✭✭✭ArthurDayne


    And that's the thing, just a bit of balance would be nice. Like if it works out as that Irish Independent article says, that'll have been basically 7 months of full lockdown. We're not even half way through that yet and you can see it in people, it's taking a toll. At some stage you've gotta meet people half way.

    I agree too that the UK will likely open up before us and that'll be hard to take. It's tough enough seeing far away countries like the US, Australia, New Zealand, China having a bit of freedom again but when it's the country next to ours who were the laughing stock of the world less than a year ago opening up before us, that's got to hurt.

    The problem is though that calling for balance means being ready for the very inevitable follow-up question of “So you think more deaths is an appropriate price to pay for that?” ....and being able to say “Yes, and here is why”.

    So far, the people in positions of power have shown little appetite to run that gauntlet. The reasons for having more balance are nuanced and often complex — it risks coming across as cold philosophy — while simply saying “Lockdown saves lives and here is a picture of an old person dying on a ventilator so anyone who supports reopening is a cold hearted monster” is a much easier, less complicated, and less reputationally risky position to take.

    The advantage that the supporters of the government strategy have is that they can point to tangible occurring things — they can show images from hospitals and point at hard numbers like deaths. Those who criticise the government’s strategy have to rely on more abstract concepts (though nonetheless real) and can’t dredge up photographs of future disasters to come from the socioeconomic crisis wrought by the global shutdown or hard data on why the loss of liberty must always be balanced — and not always trumped — by the loss of life.


  • Posts: 4,806 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    The hospital wasnt though was it? Although you did try and imply that. You lose credibility when you misrepresent a situation to prove a point. And you did misrepresent it by saying hospitals were dead.

    The hospital I work in was at capacity for much of January. Walking past A&E it was empty at times, sometimes maybe one or two people waiting. That was no reflection on the situation in wards.

    Again, it really really helps to read through posts.

    The poster specifically said people couldn’t get help through A+E because hospitals were so overwhelmed.

    Complete nonsense. Didn’t happen.

    Anyways, I’m done with this line of debate. If people want to believe that A+E was busier than ever, so be it.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 87 ✭✭BTownB


    Boggles wrote: »
    How many of those 15 countries are getting ready for their 3rd wave?

    Tegnell has to point out the risk and incentivise people to follow the rules they have (again it's not a free-reign, let it rip scenario).

    We get our risks pointed out to us day-in day-out. We are terrified of a "fourth wave"


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,153 ✭✭✭✭Gael23


    The problem is though that calling for balance means being ready for the very inevitable follow-up question of “So you think more deaths is an appropriate price to pay for that?” ....and being able to say “Yes, and here is why”.

    So far, the people in positions of power have shown little appetite to run that gauntlet. The reasons for having more balance are nuanced and often complex — it risks coming across as cold philosophy — while simply saying “Lockdown saves lives and here is a picture of an old person dying on a ventilator so anyone who supports reopening is a cold hearted monster” is a much easier, less complicated, and less reputationally risky position to take.

    The advantage that the supporters of the government strategy have is that they can point to tangible occurring things — they can show images from hospitals and point at hard numbers like deaths. Those who criticise the government’s strategy have to rely on more abstract concepts (though nonetheless real) and can’t dredge up photographs of future disasters to come from the socioeconomic crisis wrought by the global shutdown or hard data on why the loss of liberty must always be balanced — and not always trumped — by the loss of life.

    I think there needs to be a balance that while a small number may die, for the greater good of society we need to open up


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,656 ✭✭✭FintanMcluskey


    Judging by the countries and regions that didn't impose strict lockdowns - fcuk all.

    The frustrating part is that this fact is usually justified by the fact that those countries that didn’t lockdown didn’t perform as well as New Zealand or Norway.

    It’s becoming demotivating to have a conversation with such incoherence regarding facts


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 718 ✭✭✭Kunta Kinte


    storker wrote: »
    Unbelievable (almost) that you're still posting rubbish like this. There's is more to a hospital than A&E, which is just one function within a much larger unit. The reason that nobody has been left to die because of the measures that you're so against. I saw a report recently from a hospital in the UK which had hit capacity and 25% of COVID admissions were under-50s.

    What needs to stop is this it's no-more-serious-than-the-flu garbage, which in my opinion qualifies as dangerous misinformation and should be treated accordingly.

    As for people getting out from under the bed, maybe you should try it. It might explain why so few facts are actually getting through to you. Of course, the irony in someone who's been here day in day out typing the same rubbish daily for nearly a year making disparaging comments about other peoples lives is just too rich not to savour...

    The poster who you are referring to constantly parrots the same "it`s only a mild respiratory illness" nonsense and when challenged to back up his claims with evidence never does so.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 585 ✭✭✭Windmill100000


    Klonker wrote: »
    How would that compare to January from previous years?

    I've never seen ICU at capacity for extended periods of time, and certainly not across the country in 13 other hospitals, which we experiencef in January.

    There is a surge in flu each year, true, but for example in the 2018/19 season we had 159 admitted nationally to ICU throughout the season and 97 deaths. Covid is keeping people in ICU for extended periods of time and that's having a major impact on availability.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,656 ✭✭✭FintanMcluskey


    VonLuck wrote: »
    And when the anti-restriction folk use the emotive argument about grandparents not being able to see their families it's perfectly fine, is it?

    The thing is, restriction won’t stop death

    30,000+ people pass on each year in Ireland

    So the hyperbolic drivel about deaths is easily rationalised by the fact death is part of life.

    Living is also part of life, that we have stopped without rational reason


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,883 ✭✭✭✭thebaz


    Boggles wrote: »
    Nonsense.

    But, who do you cocoon?

    The largest cohort requiring critical care are 55-70.

    So we lock up everyone over 55?

    No, because that isn't plausible is it?

    Utter nonsense - you protect the people most at risk , the people most at risk are those over 75 - you rationale is lock down everyone regardless if they are at risk - that is the nonsense


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,566 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    BTownB wrote: »
    Tegnell has to point out the risk and incentivise people to follow the rules they have (again it's not a free-reign, let it rip scenario).

    People are sick the of rules.

    It's why Sweden are heading more towards us then we are to them.

    There strategy is based on a compliant populous, and as I have all ready explained to you that is now split.

    Not a good place to be, when they are admitting the more transmissible UK strain is now becoming dominant.

    If people are tired of voluntarily restrictions, imposing those restrictions by law is just going to create further division and apathy.

    That's before you even move onto the reality of 12,000+ people dead and almost 5000 people pushed through their ICU's.

    It is one way it is remarkable what they have achieved, but it was always going to come to a head.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,211 ✭✭✭LineOfBeauty


    The problem is though that calling for balance means being ready for the very inevitable follow-up question of “So you think more deaths is an appropriate price to pay for that?” ....and being able to say “Yes, and here is why”.

    So far, the people in positions of power have shown little appetite to run that gauntlet. The reasons for having more balance are nuanced and often complex — it risks coming across as cold philosophy — while simply saying “Lockdown saves lives and here is a picture of an old person dying on a ventilator so anyone who supports reopening is a cold hearted monster” is a much easier, less complicated, and less reputationally risky position to take.

    The advantage that the supporters of the government strategy have is that they can point to tangible occurring things — they can show images from hospitals and point at hard numbers like deaths. Those who criticise the government’s strategy have to rely on more abstract concepts (though nonetheless real) and can’t dredge up photographs of future disasters to come from the socioeconomic crisis wrought by the global shutdown or hard data on why the loss of liberty must always be balanced — and not always trumped — by the loss of life.

    That's the thing, when it becomes an argument based on extremes like "you went for a walk in a park with a friend therefore this old person dying was caused by you" you end up with 2 sides at each other's throats. Even taking into account the risk of variants, by the time you've got the over 75's vaccinated and some of the over 65's to me that should be at least time to get this thing to a Level 3. And really at that stage, there shouldn't even be consideration of going back to a full Level 5 lockdown. If that was the plan, if you knew that was the plan and that they'd stick to that I'd say OK, as horrible as it is, getting to May is at least a target to aim for. Instead what we've seen over the last week particularly is more and more doomsday opinions, more dire leaks, almost like they're prepping us for the inevitable. That's what I mean by balance, I'm not saying open everything up right now and go wild, I'm not even saying open everything up in May and go wild, but at that stage you'd have thought Level 3 would not be unreasonable, but now they've made clear that in their view it is.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,656 ✭✭✭FintanMcluskey


    Boggles wrote: »
    People are sick the of rules.

    It's why Sweden are heading more towards us then we are to them.

    There strategy is based on a compliant populous, and as I have all ready explained to you that is now split.

    Not a good place to be, when they are admitting the more transmissible UK strain is now becoming dominant.

    If people are tired of voluntarily restrictions, imposing those restrictions by law is just going to create further division and apathy.

    That's before you even move onto the reality of 12,000+ people dead and almost 5000 people pushed through their ICU's.

    It is one way it is remarkable what they have achieved, but it was always going to come to a head.

    Those numbers are not what justified our lockdown last March for 2 weeks

    We agreed to lockdown for 2 weeks to flatten the curve and prevent 10 times the above numbers dying in Ireland


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,527 ✭✭✭copeyhagen


    Cant visit this thread anymore thanks to a few of them regular morons.

    "theres a risk of a 3rd wave". of course there fookin is. theres a risk ill get a smack of a car going the cafe for my take away coffee.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,566 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    thebaz wrote: »
    Utter nonsense - you protect the people most at risk , the people most at risk are those over 75 - you rationale is lock down everyone regardless if they are at risk - that is the nonsense

    Jesus, the cohort that need ICU the most are 55-70 years of age. 3 times I have said it now.

    Like I have all ready explained if you are 75+ you only have a slim chance of getting near ICU.

    You can't run an effective health care service if your ICU's are full of patients with Covid.

    They need to be full of patients recovering from life changing or life saving surgeries.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,656 ✭✭✭FintanMcluskey


    copeyhagen wrote: »
    Cant visit this thread anymore thanks to a few of them regular morons.

    This thread seems to be much busier than the “main thread” now which in itself is an indicator of a change in mood

    Science will always win out in the end


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,985 ✭✭✭Russman


    Judging by the countries and regions that didn't impose strict lockdowns - fcuk all.

    You really believe that ? I mean, I know this is the Restrictions thread and all that goes with it, but do you really think the virus won't rip through a population ?

    All the sunbelt states in the US, even the northern ones like the Dakotas - is that not enough evidence as to what might happen ?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,883 ✭✭✭✭thebaz


    Boggles wrote: »
    Jesus, the cohort that need ICU the most are 55-70 years of age. 3 times I have said it now.

    Like I have all ready explained if you are 75+ you only have a slim chance of getting near ICU.

    You can't run an effective health care service if your ICU's are full of patients with Covid.

    They need to be full of patients recovering from life changing or life saving surgeries.

    Thanks Professor Boggles - I got to leave hear too.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,491 ✭✭✭dalyboy


    Hellraiser posted a list of TDs yesterday (Thanks for that btw) So this morning I made a list of senators and also some mental health charities who seem to be very very quiet in all this. I will be emailing them both. I will be adding senators to the TD list to voice my displeasure and also dismay at yet more leaks, dripping more doom and gloom into our lives via a hungry media desperate for the next headline or soundbite of misery and why there is no clarity whatsoever given on what these low numbers appear to be. I will be asking the charities why they have been so quiet and why none of them have highlighted in any visible way the toll this has taken on people.
    And I can only speak for myself and those around me, but this time around, especially in the past few weeks a real anger has grown. I have noticed a turn in support for these measures which are viewed as ill thought out and lacking any real hope.

    We need to also target this media misery train.
    If we can isolate the “journalists” direct email from their media articles it would make for another addition to a proactive campaign against the madness.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,566 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    thebaz wrote: »
    Thanks Professor Boggles - I got to leave hear too.

    Because I can read an epidemiology report?

    Have a good one.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,517 ✭✭✭RobitTV




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 585 ✭✭✭Windmill100000


    Again, it really really helps to read through posts.

    The poster specifically said people couldn’t get help through A+E because hospitals were so overwhelmed.

    Complete nonsense. Didn’t happen.

    Anyways, I’m done with this line of debate. If people want to believe that A+E was busier than ever, so be it.

    I think stepping back from this line of debate is a very good idea.

    You have no way of knowing anyone else's experience. You had your experience, allow others to share theirs.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,966 ✭✭✭ArthurDayne


    Gael23 wrote: »
    I think there needs to be a balance that while a small number may die, for the greater good of society we need to open up

    Exactly, and what you are saying has (more or less) never been a controversial standpoint because it is precisely one of the fundamental subconscious bases on which we live out our daily lives in a way that makes life worth living. But it’s when people become conscious of the concept that they become uncomfortable with it — and even like to pretend that they don’t agree with it.

    Take for example during the summer, I met a friend for a pint in the pub who I’ve been at loggerheads with on Covid restrictions from the word Go really (he was, at that time anyway, a strong supporter of the government’s strategy). He did however think it was good to have some things opened in the summer, so I put it to him: “Us all being in pubs and restaurants again probably means that the virus will spread more than it otherwise could, so basically what you are saying is that at least some people dying is a price worth paying for us to be here”. He mmm’d and aaah’d and got a bit animated and accused me of the usual “cold / immoral / unethical” ....all of course while he drank his pint in a bar with about 30 other people sitting somewhat close. He didn’t want to face the uncomfortable truth.

    People aren’t comfortable when they are confronted with the great moral conundrum — our lives are lived often at the expense of our own health and the wellbeing of others. The only way of minimising that conundrum is to create some form of sterile, bland existence where we can almost never put ourselves and others at any form of risk (like spreading disease). And that’s the problem, once you put the words “people dying” and “greater good” into a sentence on, say, a political talk show — you run the risk of a backlash that could destroy your reputation and your career with it.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,832 ✭✭✭Whatsisname


    I mentioned previously the mood change I've seen on the CoronavirusUK sub. Last night a story was leaked that social distancing could remain until Autumn. Nearly every single comment was completely against it. From people saying they've given up enough of their lives already to others saying that once the start of March comes along, they're done with all restrictions. This was a previously hysterical, "WE NEED TO LOCKDOWN NOW" kind of sub. It's completely flipped its head over the last month.

    The whole situation has made me so frustrated I find it hard to articulate my thoughts sometimes but this comment in particular really summed up how I feel.
    I think we as a society have lost all sense of perspective. We have completely lost our grasp on normality. 1 year ago I bet we wouldn’t even fathom that we could keep people social distanced all the way to the end of 2021 even with vaccinations. Yet now they are willing to impose such measure like they mean nothing and are just a small price to pay.

    We need to reset our brains and remember what it is like to have a normal risk tolerance, not this covid induced paranoia to crush all death and case statistics down to 0.

    It’s incredible, now we have vaccines and are supposed to be on the way out of this mess they are clamping down harder and harder. The vice grip has never been so tight on us with no sign of easing.

    I’m so bored of living, working, eating and sleeping at the same desk and bed 24 hours a day.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,656 ✭✭✭FintanMcluskey


    RobitTV wrote: »

    “My father died at 46”

    “I’m not going to start playing your game”

    I love to see those populist presenters get the rug pulled from their immature conversation

    As that guy said, 617,000 die each year in the Uk. All of those deaths are sad.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 585 ✭✭✭Windmill100000


    This thread seems to be much busier than the “main thread” now which in itself is an indicator of a change in mood

    Science will always win out in the end

    I think that's possibly because all the news in the last few days has been around the relaxation of restrictions and when that may happen.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,033 ✭✭✭✭Richard Hillman


    RobitTV wrote: »


    He is right. We have tried our best over the last year. We cannot go on like this. The needs of the many outweigh the needs of the few.

    This is a war time effort. And like all wars people have to go to the front line.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,291 ✭✭✭Padkir


    Boggles wrote: »
    Did someone claim that?

    But again moving patients requiring critical care is not ideal is it?

    Wouldn't you agree?

    Yes, absolutely someone claimed this:

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by Sierra Oscar View Post
    They’ll care once their mother or father who is suffering from a suspected heart attack is told their is no place for them in A&E. That’s the cold, hard reality of lifting restrictions rapidly and letting hospitals become overwhelmed.

    Of course moving patients requiring critical care isn't ideal, but neither is extended lockdown and having 500,000 people out of work for limited gain. There has to be some balance.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,802 ✭✭✭✭suicide_circus


    “My father died at 46”

    “I’m not going to start playing your game”

    I love to see those populist presenters get the rug pulled from their immature conversation

    As that guy said, 617,000 die each year in the Uk. All of those deaths are sad.
    The face on the interviewer at the end :D


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