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Covid 19 Part XXXI-187,554 ROI (2,970 deaths) 100,319 NI (1,730 deaths)(24/01)Read OP

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Comments

  • #8522
    marno21
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 14,650 Mod ✭✭✭✭marno21


    stephenjmcd wrote: »
    2075 swabs from 23,581 tests. 8.8%.

    7 day now at 10.8%

    Last Friday was 3457 and 15.1%. Definitely making good progress here. The Wednesday bump and higher on following days has been less severe this week.

    Fingers crossed we’re optimistically touching 1k swabs on Tuesday next week.


  • #8523
    pauldry
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,464 ✭✭✭pauldry


    Sleety_Rain wrote: »
    Decent swab numbers today off a lot of tests

    We are making good progress

    Surely case numbers should be in line with that also as yesterday they were a bit higher than swabs


  • #8524
    stephenjmcd
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,449 ✭✭✭✭stephenjmcd


    seamus wrote: »
    Edit: Beaten to it.

    Good numbers today.

    Interestingly yesterday's swabs got revised too, so yesterday's positivity rate was 9.99%.

    Decline in swabs is staying solid. Down 35% week-on-week. Translates to a halving every two weeks, an R0 of about 0.5.

    I was actually just trying to look and see was yesterday's changed.

    What were yesterday's revised swabs seamus ?


  • #8525
    titan18
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,052 ✭✭✭✭titan18


    Those swabs and positivity rate are better now. Hopefully we'll be looking at another 500 less a day or so next week


  • #8526
    Eod100
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,178 ✭✭✭✭Eod100


    stephenjmcd wrote: »
    2075 swabs from 23,581 tests. 8.8%.

    7 day now at 10.8%

    Hoping we get down to below 2,000 soon all going well.


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  • #8527
    fred funk }{
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,834 ✭✭✭fred funk }{


    marno21 wrote: »
    Last Friday was 3457 and 15.1%. Definitely making good progress here. The Wednesday bump and higher on following days has been less severe this week.

    Fingers crossed we’re optimistically touching 1k swabs on Tuesday next week.

    It'll be such a relief to get into the hundreds again.


  • #8528
    fred funk }{
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,834 ✭✭✭fred funk }{


    seamus wrote: »
    Edit: Beaten to it.

    Good numbers today.

    Interestingly yesterday's swabs got revised too, so yesterday's positivity rate was 9.99%.

    Decline in swabs is staying solid. Down 35% week-on-week. Translates to a halving every two weeks, an R0 of about 0.5.

    These are fantastic figures. Do you know how low we got the R number to last summer?


  • #8529
    seamus
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 68,190 ✭✭✭✭seamus


    stephenjmcd wrote: »
    I was actually just trying to look and see was yesterday's changed.

    What were yesterday's revised swabs seamus ?

    Yesterday was originally 2,300 positives on 22,611 tests.

    That was changed to 2,318 positives on 23,196 tests.


  • #8530
    bb1234567
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,513 ✭✭✭bb1234567


    Lol my next door neighbour called to our door for a chat, 'listen I won't stand to close to ye I'm actually waiting on a test I've a few symptoms so I'll keep some distance just in case until I get the result, probably won't be positive.'

    :o:pac:


  • #8531
    Kunta Kinte
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 718 ✭✭✭Kunta Kinte


    seamus wrote: »
    Edit: Beaten to it.

    Good numbers today.

    Interestingly yesterday's swabs got revised too, so yesterday's positivity rate was 9.99%.

    Decline in swabs is staying solid. Down 35% week-on-week. Translates to a halving every two weeks, an R0 of about 0.5.

    This may be a stupid question but why do figures frequently get revised be that upwards or downwards? Is it due to testing issues or notification mistakes or some other reason?


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  • #8532
    Eod100
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,178 ✭✭✭✭Eod100


    Netherlands imposes curfews for first time since second World War

    https://www.irishtimes.com/news/world/europe/covid-19-netherlands-imposes-curfews-for-first-time-since-second-world-war-1.4465430?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter


  • #8533
    majcos
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 596 ✭✭✭majcos


    copeyhagen wrote: »
    50% was the figure a week or two ago, not 1/3

    No. Overall, it was not 50% at any stage across all hospitals. Colm Henry made a comment at one of briefings that in certain hospitals it reached that point over the previous week or two but that was not the average/overall percentage across the healthcare system.

    Hospital acquired Covid cases were running around 20% of all hospital cases but there was a sharp rise in December/January.

    Between 21st of June and 3rd of January, there are 995 reported hospital acquired cases of Covid. Over that same period, there was a total of 2996 cases in hospitals. Works out at 33.7%.

    From the beginning up to January 18th, there have been 274 patient deaths due to hospital acquired Covid.


  • #8534
    seamus
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 68,190 ✭✭✭✭seamus


    fred funk }{ wrote: »
    These are fantastic figures. Do you know how low we got the R number to last summer?
    I don't, I'm sure there's a Philip Nolan graph somewhere with it though!

    I think I recall around May NPHET saying it could be as low as 0.2 or 0.3 at that time. But that covers the period where we were all seeing those pictures of deserted streets. I went for a run over the M50 on Easter Sunday and it was literally empty. Like something out of a disaster movie.

    By July we were back to 1 or more. The thing about having really low daily numbers is that it sneaks back up on you. The R0 can be 1.5, but while you have double digit daily cases it feels like everything is grand.

    Before you know it, it's late August, the R0 is 1.8 and you're back in triple-digit figures.


  • #8535
    muddypuppy
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 322 ✭✭muddypuppy


    Kunta Kinte wrote: »
    This may be a stupid question but why do figures frequently get revised be that upwards or downwards? Is it due to testing issues or notification mistakes or some other reason?

    I don't think we know. They're always adding new tests (since I've started to check), to me it looks like some labs are late to report their results or something.
    For sure it got more common lately, I guess before they would just lump the delayed tests in the day after.

    KiwoNBr.png


  • #8536
    seamus
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 68,190 ✭✭✭✭seamus


    Kunta Kinte wrote: »
    This may be a stupid question but why do figures frequently get revised be that upwards or downwards? Is it due to testing issues or notification mistakes or some other reason?
    I haven't a clue. I can only guess that some labs miss the cut-off for reporting their figures, that data will be reported the next day, but backdated to the actual day that the positive result came in.

    The revisions downward are rarer, but more confusing. They probably validate the data each day to check for double-counting or swabs allocated to the wrong date, so maybe that's what happens.


  • #8537
    majcos
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 596 ✭✭✭majcos


    bb1234567 wrote: »
    Lol my next door neighbour called to our door for a chat, 'listen I won't stand to close to ye I'm actually waiting on a test I've a few symptoms so I'll keep some distance just in case until I get the result, probably won't be positive.'

    :o:pac:

    Oh good grief. (This is the polite version of what I really feel like saying/typing when I hear stories like this.)


  • #8538
    Eod100
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,178 ✭✭✭✭Eod100


    bb1234567 wrote: »
    Lol my next door neighbour called to our door for a chat, 'listen I won't stand to close to ye I'm actually waiting on a test I've a few symptoms so I'll keep some distance just in case until I get the result, probably won't be positive.'

    :o:pac:

    What goes through some people's heads?! :rolleyes:


  • #8539
    GeorgeBailey
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,187 ✭✭✭GeorgeBailey


    bb1234567 wrote: »
    Lol my next door neighbour called to our door for a chat, 'listen I won't stand to close to ye I'm actually waiting on a test I've a few symptoms so I'll keep some distance just in case until I get the result, probably won't be positive.'

    :o:pac:

    Easy mistake to make in fairness. In case anyone is unsure, the correct protocol in situations such as this is to not let on about the covid test in the first place.


  • #8540
    josip
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,785 ✭✭✭✭josip


    Eod100 wrote: »
    What goes through some people's heads?! :rolleyes:


    Nothing, absolutely nothing.


  • #8541
    Stateofyou
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 2,431 ✭✭✭Stateofyou


    GeorgeBailey wrote: »
    Easy mistake to make in fairness. In case anyone is unsure, the correct protocol in situations such as this is to not let on about the covid test in the first place.

    What? Not sure if you're joking... the correct protocol is to self isolate at home, probably in a separate room if you live with others, until you have the result.


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  • #8542
    Mervyn Skidmore
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,210 ✭✭✭Mervyn Skidmore


    Hairdresser in Sligo with a fairly steady stream of people knocking on the door and collecting stuff. The funny thing is that it is literally next door to the Garda Station. Been going on all week.


  • #8543
    Happydays2020
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,677 ✭✭✭Happydays2020


    Mervyn Skidmore wrote: »
    Hairdresser in Sligo with a fairly steady stream of people knocking on the door and collecting stuff. The funny thing is that it is literally next door to the Garda Station. Been going on all week.

    Is it drugs?


  • #8544
    majcos
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 596 ✭✭✭majcos


    Mervyn Skidmore wrote: »
    Hairdresser in Sligo with a fairly steady stream of people knocking on the door and collecting stuff. The funny thing is that it is literally next door to the Garda Station. Been going on all week.
    How many are people now looking on Google maps or similar for hairdressers located next to Sligo Garda station?


  • #8545
    Cluedo Monopoly
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,456 ✭✭✭✭Cluedo Monopoly


    is_that_so wrote: »
    More on the coronavirus becoming as mild as a cold naturally.
    One day, the pandemic will end. Scientists don't know how that finale will play out but a new model offers a teaser: The deadly SARS-CoV-2 may not totally disappear but instead become a commonly circulating cold virus that just causes some mild sniffles.


    https://www.livescience.com/coronavirus-common-cold-virus-future.html

    I have always hoped that it would play out like this. Fingers crossed.

    What are they doing in the Hyacinth House?



  • #8546
    CFlat
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,884 ✭✭✭CFlat


    Happydays2020 wrote: »
    Is it drugs?

    Yes. They're are getting Blow dries.


  • #8547
    Purple Papillon
    Closed Accounts Posts: 36 ✭Purple Papillon


    The virus was first reported in the news last January. A yesr on from that, I feel so blessed that I still have my health. I feel blessed that our government took action last spring to suppress the virus. There were things they got wrong and should have done differently but not going to hold it against them. The government worked hard to hammer down on the virus. I feel blessed for the public health team that's chasing the virus and for Tony Holohan and the NHPET having televisied briefings keeping us all informed and as safe as possible. I feel blessed my local community took this seriously and it never appeared in the news for misbehaving and going against public health guidelines. I feel blessed that I'm living in the decade for scientists to get on board and develop vaccines in the fight against this virus. I know joy everyone has been as lucky as me. I hope the next few more months will go well. I hope the numbers come down more. There's more vaccines on the way and I hope we will emerge soon for the better.


  • #8548
    pawdee
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 558 ✭✭✭pawdee


    Purple Papillon wrote: »
    The virus was first reported in the news last January. A yesr on from that, I feel so blessed that I still have my health. I feel blessed that our government took action last spring to suppress the virus. There were things they got wrong and should have done differently but not going to hold it against them. The government worked hard to hammer down on the virus. I feel blessed for the public health team that's chasing the virus and for Tony Holohan and the NHPET having televisied briefings keeping us all informed and as safe as possible. I feel blessed my local community took this seriously and it never appeared in the news for misbehaving and going against public health guidelines. I feel blessed that I'm living in the decade for scientists to get on board and develop vaccines in the fight against this virus. I know joy everyone has been as lucky as me. I hope the next few more months will go well. I hope the numbers come down more. There's more vaccines on the way and I hope we will emerge soon for the better.

    Enough of that positivity.


  • #8549
    MerlinSouthDub
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,627 ✭✭✭MerlinSouthDub


    seamus wrote: »
    I don't, I'm sure there's a Philip Nolan graph somewhere with it though!

    I think I recall around May NPHET saying it could be as low as 0.2 or 0.3 at that time. But that covers the period where we were all seeing those pictures of deserted streets. I went for a run over the M50 on Easter Sunday and it was literally empty. Like something out of a disaster movie.

    I looked through the Thursday NPHET updates from May. The lowest quoted R number I could find was "between 0.4 and 0.6". It does feel like we are doing nearly as well as April/May, which is a bit surprising given the restrictions are not quite as severe and there was (supposedly) a new infectious variant at play.


  • #8550
    saabsaab
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,740 ✭✭✭saabsaab


    josip wrote: »
    Nothing, absolutely nothing.


    Fr Dougal comes to mind


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  • #8551
    Eod100
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,178 ✭✭✭✭Eod100


    https://twitter.com/gavreilly/status/1352662956450971650


This discussion has been closed.
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