Covid 19 Part XXXI-187,554 ROI (2,970 deaths) 100,319 NI (1,730 deaths)(24/01)Read OP

GreeBo · 06-01-2021 05:14PM

seamus wrote: »

I disagree

The positivity rates tentatively suggests that growth is slowing down, which means a peak is imminent.

What am I saying? In the 7 days from 24th to 30th December, positivity rates grew by 18.5% per day, on average. From 31st today, they have grown by 6.19%, on average.

If we get to Friday and the positivity rate is still coming in at 26% or less, then we're nearly at the peak.

The forecasts have been slowly improving as the number come in this week. What was once a near vertical forecast, is starting to turn. Slowly.

I might eat my words tomorrow, but I'd say Monday is the key day that will confirm if the tide has turned.

I don't think you can figure too much out from positivity rates when the criteria for performing tests are so arbitrary and we are testing a statistically small number

DOCARCH · 06-01-2021 05:15PM

Martina1991 wrote: »

The time it takes from start to finish can vary by location or by how busy GPs are but I think most people get referred, an swab appointment text and appointment in the same day or within 24 hours.

I'm in Dublin....

I called GP at 10.30am on Monday, had appointment by text within an hour, had test at 5.30pm on Monday and had result by text at 9am on Tuesday. Positive! Contact tracers called at 10am on Tuesday.

All appeared pretty streamlined/well organised.

WoollyRedHat · 06-01-2021 05:15PM

[Deleted User] wrote: »

Its 60,000 people

At a time when we don't know what are actual cases are.

PTH2009 · 06-01-2021 05:15PM

What a **** show

06-01-2021 05:16PM

Hurry up Micheál I need to pee.

stephenjmcd · 06-01-2021 05:17PM

Just get on with it

Funsterdelux · 06-01-2021 05:18PM

stephenjmcd wrote: »

Just get on with it

I think it was the actor Nick Berry who said..........

06-01-2021 05:19PM

Deleted User wrote: »

Its 60,000 people

Creches are full
Teachers having to mix between leaving cert classes

It onky takes 1 person to infect

d51984 · 06-01-2021 05:19PM

No ones forcing you to watch it ffs. That poor nurse, came over here to help others. RIP

agoodpunt · 06-01-2021 05:19PM

Probes wrote: »

18% is what I have seen. Glad you never felt better but anecdotal evidence like this doesn't help, we know some people don't get sick, that shouldn't be used to minimise the severity of the disease that others will have.

anybody who is not sick should stay quite really? otherwise people might think it a joke

hope you dont get that call I got over a week ago

Tpcl20 · 06-01-2021 05:20PM

Varadkar saying the Health Service being great doesn't prevent people getting covid in the first place.

Sounds very much like blaming people who have contracted the virus.

Maybe he should look at two members of his own government and blame them personally too.

GreeBo · 06-01-2021 05:20PM

CIARAN_BOYLE wrote: »

I thought the median was 5 days and the median was 7.

Anyway the real problem is lag between symptoms and result.

Symptoms day 5
Say I'll give it a day
Call doctor day 6
Doctor books phone consult day 7
Doctor refers for a test
Test contacts you on day 8 to make an appointment
You get a test on day 9
You get results on day 10
Its reported as a case on day 11

Sometimes you can go through the process quicker and sometimes it can take longer. It takes long enough in general though that if the average time to symptoms is 7 days it's usually day 14 before you are fully through the system.

And all that depends on the subject in question having symptoms, if they don't then the clock starts again at day 5 for their close contacts...

06-01-2021 05:21PM

What happens to children in leaving cert with underlying medical conditions?

06-01-2021 05:21PM

GreeBo wrote: »

I don't think you can figure too much out from positivity rates when the criteria for performing tests are so arbitrary and we are testing a statistically small number

Piont of order, for statistical purposes 28,000 is a massive sample. And as long as the criteria remains the same we can compare data. If in a week we started testing asymptomatic contacts again then would would no longer be able to compare

Funsterdelux · 06-01-2021 05:22PM

Eamon with some green shoots of hope

Atlantic Dawn · 06-01-2021 05:22PM

No new penalties, complete waste of time.

mcburns07 · 06-01-2021 05:22PM

This briefing is absolutely woeful. They're as sick of delivering them as we are of listening.

Tpcl20 · 06-01-2021 05:22PM

Is Eamon ad libbing or is he on drugs?

is_that_so · 06-01-2021 05:23PM

Contacts seem to edging down to an average of 3.

Tpcl20 · 06-01-2021 05:24PM

Funsterdelux wrote: »

Eamon with some green shoots of hope

If we sow the salad seeds on every windowsill in the country next week we'll be prepared for any summer supply shortages.

DeanAustin · 06-01-2021 05:24PM

Tpcl20 wrote: »

Varadkar saying the Health Service being great doesn't prevent people getting covid in the first place.

Sounds very much like blaming people who have contracted the virus.

Maybe he should look at two members of his own government and blame them personally too.

Didn't sound like he was trying to blame anyone. He was stating a fact.

Mental Mickey · 06-01-2021 05:25PM

I just can't pay attention to Eamonn Ryan when he starts speaking......? Zzzzz

Funsterdelux · 06-01-2021 05:26PM

How could they forget Norma in the pink getup

06-01-2021 05:26PM

WoollyRedHat wrote: »

At a time when we don't know what are actual cases are.

If allowing just over 1% of the population to attend school 3 days a week with no one else in the schools is the difference between getting this back under control or not, then we truly are f*cked

Tpcl20 · 06-01-2021 05:27PM

DeanAustin wrote: »

Didn't sound like he was trying to blame anyone. He was stating a fact.

If his government hadn't opened up hospitality just before everyone got together for Christmas then many people wouldn't have mixed and spread the virus.

Policy failure is as much to blame as individuals.

Norma Foley had to be shaken awake this time to start saying whatever it is she is saying now. She's not prepared at all. I don't think she was going to speak.

Plumbthedepths · 06-01-2021 05:28PM

Atlantic Dawn wrote: »

No new penalties, complete waste of time.

Probably better to enforce existing penalties instead of introducing new ones that also won’t be enforced.

prunudo · 06-01-2021 05:28PM

Tpcl20 wrote: »

Is Eamon ad libbing or is he on drugs?

I suspect the latter, could be prescribed mind you, he seems very distant the last year in any media appearances.

Lashes28 · 06-01-2021 05:30PM

They have masks. Wow they are getting somewhere

Plumbthedepths · 06-01-2021 05:30PM

[Deleted User] wrote: »

What happens to children in leaving cert with underlying medical conditions?

They stay at home and distance learn? This is nothing new actually.

daydorunrun · 06-01-2021 05:31PM

Serious question- Are schools closed or are they moving online?

Covid 19 Part XXXI-187,554 ROI (2,970 deaths) 100,319 NI (1,730 deaths)(24/01)Read OP

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