GAA Betting

dobman88 wrote: »

Handicap -6 for the final? Seems like a gift

-5 with B365, max bet for me and hopefully the line moves and can cover it.

ciaran1988 wrote: »

Handicap opened up at -4 with Boyles and -5 with Powers

There are probably a huge number of mayo fans backing them or at least with the handicap so it keeps the margin down. If you were to ask the bookies to predict the actual result I'm sure they'd go with 8-10+

RIALTO1 wrote: »

-4 looks very tempting - 4/5 still with B356. Know Dublin have this record of the finals always being tight but think this team will have that as one of their targets.

Unknown at this point is the weather - who knows what it would be like on the day.

I am generally very reluctant to commit to handicap betting or overs/unders without knowing the conditions. However in this instance I cant see it having an effect, if its 'good' weather then Dublin can rack up a big score - looking at the 9 goal chances (not including the cynical pull downs) that Tipp were given, can you imagine Rock, O'Callaghan, Small etc. not taking at least half of those - and on the flip side if we get proper 'winter' conditions then Dublin are a much bigger and more physical team who will bully the Mayo backs in particular.

dobman88 wrote: »

I think -4 is an absolute gift. They've hammered Tyrone and Kerry last 2 years. I like the look of this Mayo team and I really think they will be the ones to have a proper crack off Dublin but its definitely a year too early for them.

As I posted previously, I was expecting it to be -6 and even that I'd expect to be covered.

It is -6 with Paddy Power. I'll be happy with a one point win as that's what is usually is against Mayo in semi finals and finals. I dont like betting on big matches with my county involved. Enough stress as it is

Pogue eile wrote: »

I am generally very reluctant to commit to handicap betting or overs/unders without knowing the conditions. However in this instance I cant see it having an effect, if its 'good' weather then Dublin can rack up a big score - looking at the 9 goal chances (not including the cynical pull downs) that Tipp were given, can you imagine Rock, O'Callaghan, Small etc. not taking at least half of those - and on the flip side if we get proper 'winter' conditions then Dublin are a much bigger and more physical team who will bully the Mayo backs in particular.

But can we take yesterday as Mayo's defensive standard. Did they not go out to blitz Tipp, surely they can't play as open again. They know to beat the Dubs they need goals, but they know if they concede 3-4 they as done for. If yesterday was Mayo's standard, then the evens on Dublin scoring over 1.5 is like finding money in the street, and 11/4 over 2.5 is max bet territory as well. I will wait for inplay for that.

CorkeryABU wrote: »

Boyles opening Dubs at 2/5 and the handicap at 4 was short lived. Got a bet on -3 at 4/6.

Cillian o connor anytime goal at 11/10 is up with the worst prices I’ve ever seen.

That is an embarrassing quote. Such a pity they dont offer not to score a goal markets.

CorkeryABU wrote:

Cillian o connor anytime goal at 11/10 is up with the worst prices I’ve ever seen.

Random stat:

Lee keegan has found the net against Dublin in his last 3 championship games against them.

Pogue eile wrote:

Ah they have to be fair - Westmeath had a shot cleared off the line, Laois hit the post and Meath defintely had a few half chances early in the game. And I would say none of those carry even remotely close to the attacking threat that Mayo do.

Pogue eile wrote:

O'Connor has 5 goals scored and is by far the most likely Mayo goal scorer, PP are the biggest at 9/4 so will be interesting to see if that holds up.

Also, he's the penalty taker, but i wouldn't touch the 11/10 myself.

Same As wrote: »

Re: Anytime Goalscorer prices, this isn't an isolated incident, Boyles are very rarely top price in the Anytime Goalscorer market.

I have accounts with 8 different firms and bet across 3 sports in general. In the first 6 months this year less than 2% of my bets were with Boyles - they are pretty much never best price on anything - some of those 2% were simply to keep the account open by taking prices that could be got somewhere else.

Same As wrote: »

I only really punt on GAA and YTD ~25% of my bets have been with Boyles. I usually only get involved in match odds, handicaps, total points & total goals markets and they aren't as far out of line in those. I'm very price sensitive.

I guess it depends on what markets you punt on

Yeah that's true, I bet on 3 sports and volume wise GAA would be third - and most of my GAA betting would be on club matches where invariably PP and B365 are the most competitive.

Jfk66 wrote: »

Max bet for me this evening
Galway u20 v Laois u20 hurling championship
Galway -12 5/6 with paddy power
Same line is -14 with BoyleSports expect this to come in

On paper that looks a great bet, considering Galway's pedigree and how the respective counties faired in the corresponding minor championships.

Not in Ireland at the moment, what is the weather like, its about the only factor that I think might dissuade me from this one.

Defo somebody from powers following on here . Anytime somebody posts something up price changes very soon after .

-13 10/11 with b365 is worth getting the hammer out for

Game is on TG4 YouTube.