Share Picks 2020

retalivity · 30-11-2020 03:28PM

Slack looks like its going to take off again today.

EDIT, Salesforce deal to be announced at EOD tuesday https://www.cnbc.com/2020/11/30/salesforce-deal-to-buy-slack-expected-to-be-announced-tomorrow.html?__source=twitter|main

DutchYurt · 30-11-2020 04:11PM

retalivity wrote: »

Slack looks like its going to take off again today.

EDIT, Salesforce deal to be announced at EOD tuesday https://www.cnbc.com/2020/11/30/salesforce-deal-to-buy-slack-expected-to-be-announced-tomorrow.html?__source=twitter|main

Feck. Bought this before earnings (on admittedly the hype of zoom, tesla etc) it crashed, I was bag holding and sold out at small loss.

Some one mentioned the quote the stock market is a way for the impatient to give their money to the patient. This is a perfect example.

Congrats to all those holding. Lesson learned for me.

Timmaay · 30-11-2020 04:13PM

Another bloody share offering from NNDM this morning (which I was expecting but not so soon), anyways I managed to grab more shares on the Frankfurt exchange (ticker 2N5B) for 5.80$, tiny volume and crap spread as a result, but anyways they are back up to 6.55 now and in the green for the day already. Mad stuff that it jumped back up so fast, but anyways the Frankfurt exchange is proving very useful to me to buying up stuff on news before the usa premarket even opens.

DutchYurt · 30-11-2020 04:25PM

Opened at a whopping +3% overall today and less then an hour later I'm -1% overall so far.. This daily watching isn't good for my health

MurDawg · 30-11-2020 04:28PM

Have a chunk of Slack, but never been through this process of a takeover. What exactly happens if Salesforce are to confirm this week?

littlevillage · 30-11-2020 04:45PM

Bought into Palantir last week mid 20's... pure FOMO. Typical.... its falling on its ass now, after two/three savage weeks of basically upwards only movement.

I'm not too worried as its a long term play, and if it tanks back into the teens, I'll double down

Supercell · 30-11-2020 04:56PM

Jeeze, everything freezing today, I guess the BTC new ath has the rabble foaming at the mouth.

Nemeses2050 · 30-11-2020 05:02PM

Glad got rid of NKLA last week...May be Citroen are right....Who knows...

EV's not the flavour today...looks like they buying Crypto

Cyclicals down as well.

Jesper · 30-11-2020 05:53PM

I enjoy this thread and value the contributor opinions. I have also done my own research and hold a trading account outside of my pension.
Right now I have a lump sum of $13,000 to invest in a self traded pension. I have just set up a self trading pension account with Conexim.

Key Considerations.
- This is a pension fund so long term buy and hold only. Stability is key. I know this should be Coke Cola, Berkshire etc. but I am happy to be a 8-9 out of 10 risk profile.
- I think USA stocks are running hot at the moment so I'm happy to hold emerging market stocks.
- I have a 20+ year time frame to retirement :mad: (generalisation).
- I only want about 6 picks. I hope to add yearly. $13,000 limit.

What would you spend $13,000 on. Wildcards accepted.

Microsoft MSFT $215.00 10 $2,150.00
MercadoLibre MELI $1,500.00 2 $3,000.00
PayPal PYPL $210.00 0 $0.00
Pinducocuo PDD $145.00 0 $0.00
Alibaba BABA $280.00 6 $1,680.00
JD JD $90.00 12 $1,080.00
Google GOOG $1,800.00 0 $0.00
Shopify SHOP $1,050.00 2 $2,100.00
Bristol-Myers S BMY $64.00 20 $1,280.00
SAP SE $120.00 $1,200.00
Total TOT $55.00 $0.00
Sea SE $183.00 0 $0.00
TSM TSM $98.00 15 $1,470.00
AMD AMD $88.00 0 $0.00
Take2 TTWO $178.00 0 $0.00
CrowdStrike CRWD $150.00 0 $0.00
Veeva VEEV $275.00 0 $0.00
Roku ROKU 285 $0.00
$13,960.00

If nothing else I'm happy to share my thoughts on stocks I like and get an interesting debate going. I do some of my own research (not always technical) and I'm a member of a few subscription services. I like other options like PSTH/Trade Desk/Stone etc. etc. but the bouncy ones I'll try trade on my personal account.

Shedite27 · 30-11-2020 06:19PM

MurDawg wrote: »

Have a chunk of Slack, but never been through this process of a takeover. What exactly happens if Salesforce are to confirm this week?

This week, if it's confirmed, you'll see the Slack share price more or less pegged to the Salesforce share price. Both would go up and down in unison for the next few months.

Then in a few months, when the transaction completes, there'll be some day you log into your brokerage account, and your Slack shares are gone, and Salesforce shares are there instead.

I'm hearing this will be a stock+cash deal too, so the cash bit will be paid out as a dividend on that day

cronos · 30-11-2020 06:22PM

Nemeses2050 wrote: »

Glad got rid of NKLA last week...May be Citroen are right....Who knows...

EV's not the flavour today...looks like they buying Crypto

Cyclicals down as well.

I wonder is it worth entering NKLA in this dip. I have an order sitting at 15 euro a share. Probably won't drop enough but would be great if it did I think.

Bob Harris · 30-11-2020 06:33PM

cronos wrote: »

I wonder is it worth entering NKLA in this dip. I have an order sitting at 15 euro a share. Probably won't drop enough but would be great if it did I think.

Have a look at this video especially clips from Mad Money and you will see a CEO who looks like the the captain of a sinking ship. Cramer knows it too and is easy on him but NKLA as a business is fcuked. There are no trucks, no badgers, no future and there might be a speculative bounce here and there but in 6 months it mightn't exist.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0giBtH2vQNU

Watch at 7.30 when he gets asked about the badger....there's more chance of me developing the badger truck than Nikola.

Stablelad123 · 30-11-2020 06:57PM

Bob Harris wrote: »

Have a look at this video especially clips from Mad Money and you will see a CEO who looks like the the captain of a sinking ship. Cramer knows it too and is easy on him but NKLA as a business is fcuked. There are no trucks, no badgers, no future and there might be a speculative bounce here and there but in 6 months it mightn't exist.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0giBtH2vQNU

Watch at 7.30 when he gets asked about the badger....there's more chance of me developing the badger truck than Nikola.

The Badger Truck was put on hold indefinitely today.

Nice call.

RIGOLO · 30-11-2020 07:55PM

There are a lot of Wall St raids in play the last couple of days, there always are.
This mornings open and you could see so many stocks dropped on no news. It was all a play to shake some hands out .
Typical Monday action, its only the first day of the week.
If you have faith in your companies then hold .

NVAX just hit 140, Id scalped some gains on it, but still had a significant holding that I bought sub 50 , and rode all the way to 189, and watched it fall back to sub 70, but I believed in it and held and continue to do so. Sometimes the faith pays off.

Chinese EV numbers for November are out this week, I expect them to be very good , I think todays action in the big boys trying to get their hands on some cheap EV shares, NIO, LI, XPEV.

And BTC continues to deliver, MARA and RIOT recover 30% , Id sold out some late last week but thats okay I moved it to NNOX which is up 13% , lets see how it does when they run the live demo and the investor chat on Tuesday.

If you had a stock and saw it drop early today but it miracolously recoverd later, study the day chart, this is how they grab shares that you have , they run it low and then scare you off.

Nemeses2050 · 30-11-2020 07:57PM

Agree with the above sentiments, stay away from NKLA folks...GM walked away...

Bob Harris · 30-11-2020 08:05PM

Nemeses2050 wrote: »

Agree with the above sentiments, stay away from NKLA folks...GM walked away...

Damn right they walked away...Nikola could give them nothing they could drive away in!

jams100 · 30-11-2020 08:58PM

Jesper wrote: »

I enjoy this thread and value the contributor opinions. I have also done my own research and hold a trading account outside of my pension.
Right now I have a lump sum of $13,000 to invest in a self traded pension. I have just set up a self trading pension account with Conexim.

Key Considerations.
- This is a pension fund so long term buy and hold only. Stability is key. I know this should be Coke Cola, Berkshire etc. but I am happy to be a 8-9 out of 10 risk profile.
- I think USA stocks are running hot at the moment so I'm happy to hold emerging market stocks.
- I have a 20+ year time frame to retirement :mad: (generalisation).
- I only want about 6 picks. I hope to add yearly. $13,000 limit.

What would you spend $13,000 on. Wildcards accepted.

Microsoft MSFT $215.00 10 $2,150.00
MercadoLibre MELI $1,500.00 2 $3,000.00
PayPal PYPL $210.00 0 $0.00
Pinducocuo PDD $145.00 0 $0.00
Alibaba BABA $280.00 6 $1,680.00
JD JD $90.00 12 $1,080.00
Google GOOG $1,800.00 0 $0.00
Shopify SHOP $1,050.00 2 $2,100.00
Bristol-Myers S BMY $64.00 20 $1,280.00
SAP SE $120.00 $1,200.00
Total TOT $55.00 $0.00
Sea SE $183.00 0 $0.00
TSM TSM $98.00 15 $1,470.00
AMD AMD $88.00 0 $0.00
Take2 TTWO $178.00 0 $0.00
CrowdStrike CRWD $150.00 0 $0.00
Veeva VEEV $275.00 0 $0.00
Roku ROKU 285 $0.00
$13,960.00

If nothing else I'm happy to share my thoughts on stocks I like and get an interesting debate going. I do some of my own research (not always technical) and I'm a member of a few subscription services. I like other options like PSTH/Trade Desk/Stone etc. etc. but the bouncy ones I'll try trade on my personal account.

Another very tech heavy portfolio there my top 5 out of those for a 20 year hold would be:

1. Google
2. Sap
3. Microsoft
4. PayPal
5. Crowdstrike

Take Your Pants Off · 30-11-2020 10:59PM

I decided to add some gaming stocks into my portfolio today

TTWO:
Not a lot of short-term catalysts, but great long-term pick since its valuation multiple is low relative to the recent past.
It is Overvalued.
I have done my homework on this one and the next GTA is in development without a doubt.
As soon as GTA 5 was announced the stock shot up and never really stopped rising other than a few healthy pullbacks with the broader market. The run up it had from the time it was announced to the time it was released was significant.

GTA 5 was the most successful video game of all time in terms of revenue. The video game world is going to go nuts when it’s announced and the stock should reflect the excitement.
The only problem is it could be a couple more years before we even get an announcement.
They are benefiting from the stay-at-home culture and video games are probably going to keep increasing in popularity for the rest of our lives.

ATVI:
Best portfolio at the right time. Most of the top games on Twitch are ATVI.
Overvalued

Current valuation: $79.57
Valuation of entry parameters:
Analyst ratings: Buy
Analysts target price: 90-95

Tenacent:
I don’t know much about this one. Saw it on a forum recently.
Article from Motley is an interesting read though. Might put it on my watchlist and pick it up in a few weeks.

https://www.google.ie/amp/s/www.fool.com/amp/investing/2020/10/02/is-tencent-stock-a-buy/

Treppen · 01-12-2020 10:12AM

Tencent are a Chinese giant, basically if you want to sell your games in China you have to give them your soul/shares
They have Epic/fortnite, Activision, Roblox on their books.

RedRochey · 01-12-2020 10:13AM

I use the Vaneck eSports ETF as a gaming play, has all the big names in there

Atlas_IRL · 01-12-2020 10:24AM

RIGOLO wrote: »

We all have limited time, so this weekends research was not spent (yet) on upcoming earnings but in reading PSH Pershing Square Holdings (Bill Ackmans fund) June semi-annual report, all 47 pages, its a cliffhanger, I cant wait for the movie.

So Id begun building a position in the PSTH SPAC (thanks to ambergold who alerted me to it) and based on the report Im increasing that significantly in coming weeks. Its the largest blank cheque spac in operation 4 billion in investor funds , 12 billion was bid, and they shut it down after 2 days it was so oversubscribed. PSH have option to add 1-3 billion making it 5-7 billion in total.
Lots of rumours and public comment from Ackman himself saying he is having discussions with alot of well known private entities, airbnb, bloomberg and stripe. I think Stripe is the one he wants, PSH need to add a fintech to its portfolio, they are overweighted to restaurant and hospitality. And when you consider PSH made 40% gains even with major holdings in those sectors it shows how well managed it is as they hedged early for a shutdown and won big. Also PSH is in 101-105th position for FTSE100 rating, Ackman wants addition to FTSE100 and becoming an index funds target, he doesnt understand why PSH is undervalued and isnt already in, but Im betting he is betting on the PSTH deal when its announced getting them over the line.Also Ackman has reduced the normal SPAC founders shares and commissions, so its all benefiting the spac investor. Once the merger is announced I expect PSTH to increase considerably.

So its all about PATIENCE, we are entering a time of life and the seasons where foraging for food, stockpiling and hibernation will all pay dividends in the new year. Same applies to stocks and thats why Im gathering up all the PSTH nuts I can buy and expecting to feast on them come early spring at the latest.

BlackFriday e-commerce up 22% on last year.. should be a few stocks out there that will report amazing numbers for Q4 based on this, just need to find the ones that dont have all of this priced in yet or have had a small dip. So again patience and ability to wait for the pop will pay off in 2021.

this is all just opinion good luck all.

I think Stripe are too big for this personally. The volume is massive on this one but with spacs the market acts like a 5yo when the company they all want isn't the merger company. Ackman will get something big though! Expect a pullback if it is not stripe or a fancible company like robinhood your fav app

They recover quite quick though.

RedRochey · 01-12-2020 11:08AM

Has anyone used Grayscale Bitcoin Trust to get exposure to Bitcoin? Haven't done any research on it yet but sounds like an easy way to get Bitcoin into your stock portfolio

Take Your Pants Off · 01-12-2020 11:12AM

RedRochey wrote: »

I use the Vaneck eSports ETF as a gaming play, has all the big names in there

Thanks! Looks interesting. Would you know why is there 2 different prices for it? On trading212 I am getting 40USD and on Google and Yahoo Finance I am getting 60USD!

RIGOLO · 01-12-2020 11:38AM

RedRochey wrote: »

Has anyone used Grayscale Bitcoin Trust to get exposure to Bitcoin? Haven't done any research on it yet but sounds like an easy way to get Bitcoin into your stock portfolio

I think they have higher fees compared to say Coinbase... but I may be wrong on that.
I big upped MARA and RIOT pre this BTC spike, still kicking myself I sold a chunk at what I thouhgt were highs. Cest la vie.
HUT8 is my newest entry for this, smaller position , but it claims to have kept alot of the Bitcointhey mined, albeit they are using older slower miners, as BTC goes up, if it goes up then HUT8 will gain as will BITFARM one of the largest miners

RIGOLO · 01-12-2020 11:47AM

Atlas_IRL wrote: »

I think Stripe are too big for this personally. The volume is massive on this one but with spacs the market acts like a 5yo when the company they all want isn't the merger company. Ackman will get something big though! Expect a pullback if it is not stripe or a fancible company like robinhood your fav app
They recover quite quick though.

v.g.
if Ackman merges with Robinhood, Im out, Ive got some standards I cant be hanging with those millenials...

Ackman has been very vocal saying they want to be a minor partner up to a 15% stake, thats so he wont scare off partners. So yes Stripe are big but so big they may be happy with Ackman being a small partenr. Plus Ackman has been touting the names of his major backers in PSTH, these are not public knowledge yet but Ackmans reasoning is that these are long term stable investors who wil lgive a company time to evolve whihc makes this chunk of money appealing to a new IPO prospect.
Theres alot of FOMO on it now, maybe everyone is planning to exit right after the announcement.

Mister Vain · 01-12-2020 12:51PM

Moderna up 51% since I bought them. I was actually going to go with Pfizer but I heard something about the owner selling their shares after they announced their vaccine which seemed a bit odd. I just wish I got more of Moderna. Although I said the same thing about Square.

p to the e · 01-12-2020 01:35PM

Take Your Pants Off wrote: »

I decided to add some gaming stocks into my portfolio today

TTWO:
Not a lot of short-term catalysts, but great long-term pick since its valuation multiple is low relative to the recent past.
It is Overvalued.
I have done my homework on this one and the next GTA is in development without a doubt.
As soon as GTA 5 was announced the stock shot up and never really stopped rising other than a few healthy pullbacks with the broader market. The run up it had from the time it was announced to the time it was released was significant.

GTA 5 was the most successful video game of all time in terms of revenue. The video game world is going to go nuts when it’s announced and the stock should reflect the excitement.
The only problem is it could be a couple more years before we even get an announcement.
They are benefiting from the stay-at-home culture and video games are probably going to keep increasing in popularity for the rest of our lives.

ATVI:
Best portfolio at the right time. Most of the top games on Twitch are ATVI.
Overvalued

Current valuation: $79.57
Valuation of entry parameters:
Analyst ratings: Buy
Analysts target price: 90-95

Tenacent:
I don’t know much about this one. Saw it on a forum recently.
Article from Motley is an interesting read though. Might put it on my watchlist and pick it up in a few weeks.

https://www.google.ie/amp/s/www.fool.com/amp/investing/2020/10/02/is-tencent-stock-a-buy/

Keep an eye on CD Projekt Red. They are a Polish game developer that developed "The Witcher" games and the upcoming "Cyberpunk 2077". Their stock is available on the Warsaw Stock Exchange under the ticker CDR. Because they are listed on the Warsaw Exchange this surprisingly put a lot of investors off.

01-12-2020 01:39PM

p to the e wrote: »

Keep an eye on CD Projekt Red. They are a Polish game developer that developed "The Witcher" games and the upcoming "Cyberpunk 2077". Their stock is available on the Warsaw Stock Exchange under the ticker CDR. Because they are listed on the Warsaw Exchange this surprisingly put a lot of investors off.

I imagine for liquidity reasons.

Shedite27 · 01-12-2020 03:01PM

Mister Vain wrote: »

Moderna up 51% since I bought them. I was actually going to go with Pfizer but I heard something about the owner selling their shares after they announced their vaccine which seemed a bit odd. I just wish I got more of Moderna. Although I said the same thing about Square.

Moderna did the same . Idiot sold at $80

AmberGold · 01-12-2020 03:07PM

Just looked up my closed transactions for Moderna, $78 or so, only 40 of them thou. Spooked at the time by all the insider sales.

Share Picks 2020

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