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GAA Betting

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  • #392
    Rasputin11
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,351 ✭✭✭Rasputin11


    kilkenny34 wrote: »
    Fair play to Down won on penalties.Thats one of the biggest upsets I have seen in hurling to be honest.

    What price were Offaly?


  • #393
    kilkenny34
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 158 ✭✭kilkenny34


    Rasputin11 wrote: »
    What price were Offaly?


    1/33 handicap 12


  • #394
    mountgomery burns
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,148 ✭✭✭mountgomery burns


    mountgomery burns wrote: »
    Wexford -2 is bet of the weekend I think. Captain David McInerney confirmed out now to add to the other 5 or so first team players missing for Clare.

    I'd forgive any team one bad game especially this year, but there should be enough motivation for Wexford to bounce back here. Even with only 14 men, you'd still have to view poorly Laois almost catching Clare on the line last weekend.

    Also think Galway will have too much for KK, if Dublin hadn't put a rookie on TJ they might be in the Leinster final. Was really unimpressed with Dublin last weekend so it's a concern they ran them so close even at one stage they were being hammered. Galway -1 should do.

    Double at 14/5

    Shocked at that Wexford result.

    Coleman didn't score so recouped some of the loss.


  • #395
    Rasputin11
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,351 ✭✭✭Rasputin11


    kilkenny34 wrote: »
    1/33 handicap 12

    Some upset, must be up there with Antrim against Wexford U21 a few years ago.


  • #396
    Same As
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,611 ✭✭✭Same As


    Same As wrote: »
    Jennings Football Selections 14/11/2020 & 15/11/2020:


    Saturday 14/11/2020:

    Armagh-Armagh double result (Armagh vs Donegal)
    2pts 10-1 bet365 -2

    Over 14.5 Armagh points (Armagh vs Donegal)
    2pts 11-10 Betfair, Paddy Power -2

    Jamie Clarke Man of the Match (Armagh vs Donegal)
    1pt 14-1 Boylesports -1


    Boylan Hurling Selections 14/11/2020:


    Saturday 14/11/2020:

    Wexford to win by one to three points (Wexford vs Clare)
    2pts 7-2 general -2

    Clare-Wexford double result (Wexford vs Clare)
    2pts 9-2 general -2


    Tipperary -2 (Tipperary vs Cork)
    4pts 10-11 general +3.64


    Kilkenny draw no bet (Galway vs Kilkenny)
    1pt 6-4 Boylesports +1.5

    Over 3.5 goals (Galway vs Kilkenny)
    1pt 5-6 Paddy Power -1

    -5 & -.86 respectively today.

    Running Profit Loss for Racing Post Tipsters (Excluding Outright Selections in Post #266):


    Jennings Total Points Staked: 176.5
    Jennings Profit/Loss: -3.21
    Jennings Total Selections: 81
    Jennings Total Winners: 28
    %: 34.57%


    Boylan Total Points Staked: 89
    Boylan Profit/Loss: -9.36
    Boylan Total Selections: 51
    Boylan Total Winners: 16
    %: 31.37%


    Jennings Football Selections 15/11/2020:


    Sunday 15/11/2020:

    Meath -1 (Meath vs Kildare)
    3pts Evs Betfair, Paddy Power


    Mayo -1 (Galway vs Mayo)
    2pts 23-20 bet365


    Cavan (Down vs Cavan)
    1pt 13-8 BoyleSports


    Over 2.5 Dublin goals (Dublin vs Laois)
    3pts 6-5 Paddy Power

    Over 3.5 Dublin goals (Dublin vs Laois)
    2pts 9-2 Paddy Power


    Boylan Hurling Selections 15/11/2020:


    Limerick -5 (Limerick vs Waterford)
    1pt 4-5 general


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  • #397
    Capt. Autumn
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 324 ✭✭Capt. Autumn


    kilkenny34 wrote: »
    Fair play to Down won on penalties.Thats one of the biggest upsets I have seen in hurling to be honest.

    Massive shock and one that would have incinerated many accumulators today.

    Confirms that Offaly are now firmly in the third tier of hurling. A shame, because the number of teams dining at the top table is getting smaller and smaller.


  • #398
    Lundstram
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,129 ✭✭✭Lundstram


    Capt. Autumn wrote: »
    Massive shock and one that would have incinerated many accumulators today.

    Confirms that Offaly are now firmly in the third tier of hurling. A shame, because the number of teams dining at the top table is getting smaller and smaller.
    If people put a 1/33 shot into an accumulator they deserve to lose it.


  • #399
    Capt. Autumn
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 324 ✭✭Capt. Autumn


    Capt. Autumn wrote: »
    Wexford +5 playing with a gale against Clare.

    Half-Time
    All-Ireland SHC round 2
    Wexford 0-3 Clare 0-13, MW Hire O'Moore Park, 2 pm

    There has to be a Wexford response here.

    Full Time:
    Clare 1-21
    Wexford 0-17

    Wexford got only three points closer despite the wind. Luckily for me I messed up on the betting slip and took Clare -5. Was going to double the money on Wexford +5 but the thought of a five-point difference between the teams dissuaded me. :)

    I'd say that's the end of the Davy Fitzgerald saga in Wexford. They were so far off the pace this year, he'll hardly have the stomach to continue (ya know)


  • #400
    Capt. Autumn
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 324 ✭✭Capt. Autumn


    Lundstram wrote: »
    If people put a 1/33 shot into an accumulator they deserve to lose it.

    But isn't that what accus are for? Dead certs or close to that?


  • #401
    Lundstram
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,129 ✭✭✭Lundstram


    Capt. Autumn wrote: »
    But isn't that what accus are for? Dead certs or close to that?
    Not the way I'd look at accums but I guess we're all different. Very rarely do them anyway, mugs game.


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  • #402
    Capt. Autumn
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 324 ✭✭Capt. Autumn


    Lundstram wrote: »
    If people put a 1/33 shot into an accumulator they deserve to lose it.
    Lundstram wrote: »
    Not the way I'd look at accums but I guess we're all different. Very rarely do them anyway, mugs game.

    Agree with that.
    Whenever you see bookies giving 'enhanced' odds, beware.


  • #403
    Rasputin11
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,351 ✭✭✭Rasputin11


    Lundstram wrote: »
    Not the way I'd look at accums but I guess we're all different. Very rarely do them anyway, mugs game.

    Had Clonoulty in one before at 1/33, they lost, it cost me a right few bob and was contributing almost nothing to the odds.


  • #404
    Same As
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,611 ✭✭✭Same As


    Capt. Autumn wrote: »
    Full Time:
    Clare 1-21
    Wexford 0-17

    Wexford got only three points closer despite the wind. Luckily for me I messed up on the betting slip and took Clare -5. Was going to double the money on Wexford +5 but the thought of a five-point difference between the teams dissuaded me. :)

    I'd say that's the end of the Davy Fitzgerald saga in Wexford. They were so far off the pace this year, he'll hardly have the stomach to continue (ya know)

    Can you please stop with the after-timing?


  • #405
    Keano
    Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 12,810 Mod ✭✭✭✭Keano


    Capt. Autumn wrote: »
    Full Time:
    Clare 1-21
    Wexford 0-17

    Wexford got only three points closer despite the wind. Luckily for me I messed up on the betting slip and took Clare -5. Was going to double the money on Wexford +5 but the thought of a five-point difference between the teams dissuaded me. :)

    I'd say that's the end of the Davy Fitzgerald saga in Wexford. They were so far off the pace this year, he'll hardly have the stomach to continue (ya know)

    After timing is frowned upon, please don’t do it again. Thanks


  • #406
    kilkenny34
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 158 ✭✭kilkenny34


    Rasputin11 wrote: »
    Some upset, must be up there with Antrim against Wexford U21 a few years ago.


    Correct that is prob the biggest hurling shock in memory.Antrim barely trained for it.


  • #407
    Capt. Autumn
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 324 ✭✭Capt. Autumn


    Total points Under 40.5 on Dublin vs Laois tomorrow available on Boyle @4/5

    Last time out for Dublin, same venue 33 points were scored:
    Dublin 0-22 Westmeath 0-11.

    Weather forecast For tomorrow, Sunday, there will be a mix of bright or sunny spells and bands of showery rain. Southwest winds will be fresh and gusty. Maximum temperatures 9 to 11 degrees.

    Of course, if Dublin turn on the afterburners this may well be breached but on a wet blustery day, I think it's a big ask.

    Worth a small wager methinks.


  • #408
    Sultan of Bling
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,027 ✭✭✭Sultan of Bling


    Capt. Autumn wrote:
    Last time out for Dublin, same venue 33 points were scored: Dublin 0-22 Westmeath 0-11.


    I think the game is in croke park.


  • #409
    Capt. Autumn
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 324 ✭✭Capt. Autumn


    Sultan of Bling wrote: »
    I think the game is in croke park.

    Yes, Sultan, it is.


  • #410
    kilkenny34
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 158 ✭✭kilkenny34


    3 hurling games today total points resulted in unders winning.Clare /Wex and Tipp/Cork comfortably under,be interesting to see the pitch in Thurles tomorrow as the unders might be the option again.

    Up the cats.


  • #411
    Rasputin11
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,351 ✭✭✭Rasputin11


    kilkenny34 wrote: »
    Correct that is prob the biggest hurling shock in memory.Antrim barely trained for it.

    Only sent down about 18 players.


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  • #412
    Capt. Autumn
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 324 ✭✭Capt. Autumn


    Capt. Autumn wrote: »
    Yes, Sultan, it is.

    My bad, Dublin/Westmeath was in O'Moore Park Portlaoise.


  • #413
    Lundstram
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,129 ✭✭✭Lundstram


    Lundstram wrote: »
    Meath -1 to beat Kildare at EVS. This is a good Meath side that ran Dublin close a few weeks ago and demolished Wicklow last week while Kildare needed a late surge to see off a poor Offaly side. Meath scored 7 goals in their last game while Kildare have scored 1 goal in their last 6 games.

    Pains me to type that as a Kildare man but that price is just too good to turn down.
    Came in easily in the end.

    :(


  • #414
    Same As
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,611 ✭✭✭Same As


    Same As wrote: »

    Jennings Football Selections 15/11/2020:


    Sunday 15/11/2020:

    Meath -1 (Meath vs Kildare)
    3pts Evs Betfair, Paddy Power +3


    Mayo -1 (Galway vs Mayo)
    2pts 23-20 bet365 -2


    Cavan (Down vs Cavan)
    1pt 13-8 BoyleSports +1.63


    Over 2.5 Dublin goals (Dublin vs Laois)
    3pts 6-5 Paddy Power -3

    Over 3.5 Dublin goals (Dublin vs Laois)
    2pts 9-2 Paddy Power -2


    Boylan Hurling Selections 15/11/2020:


    Limerick -5 (Limerick vs Waterford)
    1pt 4-5 general -1

    -2.37 & -1 respectively today.

    Updated Running Profit Loss for Racing Post Tipsters (Excluding Outright Selections in Post #266):


    Jennings Total Points Staked: 187.5
    Jennings Profit/Loss: -5.58
    Jennings Total Selections: 86
    Jennings Total Winners: 30
    %: 34.89%


    Boylan Total Points Staked: 90
    Boylan Profit/Loss: -10.36
    Boylan Total Selections: 52
    Boylan Total Winners: 16
    %: 30.77%


  • #415
    Pogue eile
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,878 ✭✭✭Pogue eile


    Pogue eile wrote: »
    PP had a specail treble yesterday, not sure if still available and it was Tipp, Galway and Wexford @ 5/1 thought it was a cracking bet. Strangely enough you would nearly have the biggest doubts about the AI champions of the trio!!

    Well this aged well :D


  • #416
    keane2097
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,798 ✭✭✭✭keane2097


    I mean, typically when PP enhance selections it means they want you to back them so it always pays to be very wary of teams that find their way into those specials.


  • #417
    Pogue eile
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,878 ✭✭✭Pogue eile


    keane2097 wrote: »
    I mean, typically when PP enhance selections it means they want you to back them so it always pays to be very wary of teams that find their way into those specials.

    Why? In the case of GAA they have zero 'inside info', they are privy to the exact same info as Joe Public, it is simply one opinion v another, value is value whether it is in an enhanced special or not.

    Incidentally the other GAA special at the weekend was Mayo, Meath and Limerick which came in @5/1.

    These are promos, the max bet is €20 for a reason, there is nothing underhand or suspicious about them, if you see it as value then it is a no brainer. There are times where the enhancement is miniscule and times where another bookie is bigger without the enhancement but that is a different argument entirely.


  • #418
    keane2097
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,798 ✭✭✭✭keane2097


    Pogue eile wrote: »
    Why? In the case of GAA they have zero 'inside info', they are privy to the exact same info as Joe Public, it is simply one opinion v another, value is value whether it is in an enhanced special or not.

    Incidentally the other GAA special at the weekend was Mayo, Meath and Limerick which came in @5/1.

    These are promos, the max bet is €20 for a reason, there is nothing underhand or suspicious about them, if you see it as value then it is a no brainer. There are times where the enhancement is miniscule and times where another bookie is bigger without the enhancement but that is a different argument entirely.

    I've just over the years found it profitable to be on high alert about the teams that end up in those specials. I suspect PP were looking to take on Mayo & Wexford and used the two specials to encourage money on them. If you think PP are picking the teams in them at random you can ignore the suggestion.


  • #419
    Pogue eile
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,878 ✭✭✭Pogue eile


    keane2097 wrote: »
    I've just over the years found it profitable to be on high alert about the teams that end up in those specials. I suspect PP were looking to take on Mayo & Wexford and used the two specials to encourage money on them. If you think PP are picking the teams in them at random you can ignore the suggestion.

    I don't think they are random per se. Everyone knows that the profitable angle is to bet where you have an edge or where you see a rick in the market, by their very nature multiples invariably, not always but invariably, remove this edge simply because each market has an over-round of somewhere in the 110% bracket so once you multiply the over-round the chances of having an edge are reduced singnificantly.

    In other words bookies love multiples and these enhanced trebles are just another way to entice punters to bet them, and with the €20 max there is no big risk.


  • #420
    keane2097
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,798 ✭✭✭✭keane2097


    Pogue eile wrote: »
    I don't think they are random per se. Everyone knows that the profitable angle is to bet where you have an edge or where you see a rick in the market, by their very nature multiples invariably, not always but invariably, remove this edge simply because each market has an over-round of somewhere in the 110% bracket so once you multiply the over-round the chances of having an edge are reduced singnificantly.

    In other words bookies love multiples and these enhanced trebles are just another way to entice punters to bet them, and with the €20 max there is no big risk.

    If you have edge in two markets the most profitable thing you can do is accumulate them, so you can rest assured that the multiples PP are encouraging are the ones containing the selections they are most confident they are not giving away edge in. They're not 'not random per se', they're not random full stop.


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  • #421
    Pogue eile
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,878 ✭✭✭Pogue eile


    keane2097 wrote: »
    If you have edge in two markets the most profitable thing you can do is accumulate them, so you can rest assured that the multiples PP are encouraging are the ones containing the selections they are most confident they are not giving away edge in. They're not 'not random per se', they're not random full stop.

    So you are accepting that the oddsmaker in PP knows more about the markets than you and has an edge? I certainly don't accept that, in fact I know one of them very well and I am reasonably confident I have an edge on him, particularly on Club matches.

    If it is a case that the bookie has a knowledge edge then you should not be betting on GAA full stop, got nothing to do with accums or specials or any of the like.

    You seem to be suggesting that PP are privy to some info that the ordinary punter isn't?


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