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Covid 19 Part XXVIII- 71,942 ROI(2,050 deaths) 51,824 NI (983 deaths) (28/11) Read OP

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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,134 ✭✭✭caveat emptor


    I meant to reply to this earlier, I looked up some statistics out of curiosity.

    AADT is Annual Average Daily Traffic, which is a measure of traffic volumes.

    The approximate AADT for the border crossing at Bridgend in Donegal/Derry = 19,300

    The AADT crossing from Lifford in Donegal/Strabane = 17,250

    I Googled this earlier and these figures were discussed at a Donegal County Council meeting in October.

    I dont know what the AADT for those roads would be currently with the lockdown.

    I'm not sure if this has been posted. It's from @dazult_pdempsey on twitter. Very easy to see that the problem of cross border commuting is linked to the communities on the border and likely increasing the figures. I don't think there should be a border closure but the cross border communities treated as one in terms of getting numbers down. DUP will throw a spanner in the plan but it's not acceptable at this stage for those people living there.

    532838.jpeg


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,251 ✭✭✭speckle


    thats it lockdown just has to stop.. full stop...no excuses.. not a singke one... flipping heck... I have just gone and broken another tooth... I wont have any left if we dont quickly come to an arrangement with this virus. Another week of going around with sharp pins sticking out... followed by an emergency visit to my nice spaceman dentist... why oh why... hope everyone is having better times...
    Dear Covid for Christmass this year please send me a free pass to a nice dentist that does crystal implants or could you add a sequlae to your collection that makes teeth grow back.
    Thankyou kindest regards
    speckle

    ps If you do... I will tell you the secret of Rudolfs red nose ;)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,201 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    France the standout in Europe today, reporting 932 new deaths and 24,000 new cases.


    https://twitter.com/Reuters/status/1327369434315558914


    Only the constant applied pressure of restrictions can prevent a blowout of cases across the continent - this is why it is vital the toughest restrictions remain until a vaccine is widely distributed - i'm thinking the latter half of Spring, if lucky.


  • Posts: 4,727 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    France the standout in Europe today, reporting 932 new deaths and 24,000 new cases.


    https://twitter.com/Reuters/status/1327369434315558914


    Only the constant applied pressure of restrictions can prevent a blowout of cases across the continent - this is why it is vital the toughest restrictions remain until a vaccine is widely distributed - i'm thinking the latter half of Spring, if lucky.

    A blowout of cases is the key word there though.

    Only small numbers dying. And generally the very elderly with multiple underlying conditions.

    Restrictions are only really causing social and economic harm.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,564 ✭✭✭OscarMIlde


    Stheno wrote: »
    So these people could then become persistent sources of infection within the health environment and the vicious cycle continues?

    Especially if they are asymptomatic? And given the if one is a HCW, they may feel a sense of duty to go into work if required to do so, is this not the makings of a.perfect storm?

    They are tested though. I saw this happen in my workplace. Someone was positive, four other people were identified as potential close contacts. They left work and isolated until they had a negative PCR test. They were allowed return to work after a negative result due to a derogation as they had no symptoms. They had to take their temperature hourly and log it, and if was above a certain amount they had to leave work. They had a second PCR test at day seven. Thankfully again, all were negative.

    To be honest, it was essential that they come back if negative, as we couldn't run properly with that many people gone. All of us knew the situation and were ultra cautious about any interactions. We all wear masks all the time anyway, but we limited the amount of people in the labs at any one time.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,329 ✭✭✭owlbethere


    Interesting Princeton led Study that studied half a million people in India which found the superspreader effect in full action:

    'The researchers found that 71% of infected individuals did not infect any of their contacts, while a mere 8% of infected individuals accounted for 60% of new infections.'


    Data also suggested that children and young adults were key to transmitting the virus in the studied populations.

    '“Kids are very efficient transmitters in this setting, which is something that hasn’t been firmly established in previous studies,” Laxminarayan said. “We found that reported cases and deaths have been more concentrated in younger cohorts than we expected based on observations in higher-income countries.”

    Published 30th September in Science journal.

    The fundamental fact of the matter is that until we successfully identify and isolate superspreaders, whatever age they might be, in a fast turnaround, we're chasing our own shadow.

    I read an interesting piece before. It might have something to do with the accent, volume or tone of voice


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,450 ✭✭✭✭stephenjmcd


    France the standout in Europe today, reporting 932 new deaths and 24,000 new cases.


    https://twitter.com/Reuters/status/1327369434315558914


    Only the constant applied pressure of restrictions can prevent a blowout of cases across the continent - this is why it is vital the toughest restrictions remain until a vaccine is widely distributed - i'm thinking the latter half of Spring, if lucky.

    Level 5 until a vaccine? Yeah as much as you might want that it ain't happening for very obvious reasons


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,436 ✭✭✭Cork2021


    Level 5 until a vaccine? Yeah as much as you might want that it ain't happening for very obvious reasons

    It’s just beggars belief that some people think level 5 can just keep going on and on until we all get vaccinated or COVID burns out. We’d be in a depression not a recession. Just imagine the impact on people’s lives from losing their job or business...... not worth bearing thinking about. It’s bleak


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,564 ✭✭✭OscarMIlde


    gigantic09 wrote: »
    Was around town at lunchtime yesterday. Large gangs of school kids hanging around outside various shops. They were huddled together like a colony of penguins in a David Attenborough documentary. Some were wearing masks but alot seemed to put them back in the pockets once they came out of shops. Hadn't really witnessed this before but assume its an every day occurrence. To be honest it's sickening that half the country is forced to close down yet this is happening, its rubbing people's noses in it and making a joke of our whole covid plan of action.

    Yep, came out of work at half seven this evening, and a gang of dolled up teenage girls were waiting to get onto a Luas. Clearly off to some kind of social event. There were lots of people waiting at the Luas stops, as well, and very few of them seemed like workers heading home. I'm guessing a lot of 15-25 year olds still think they don't have any part to play in containing this pandemic.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 400 ✭✭rooney30


    A blowout of cases is the key word there though.

    Only small numbers dying. And generally the very elderly with multiple underlying conditions.

    Restrictions are only really causing social and economic harm.

    Only small numbers dying?? Get real . Over 900 deaths in France last 24 hours , around 550 in Italy , 1200 in the US .


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,786 ✭✭✭wakka12


    A blowout of cases is the key word there though.

    Only small numbers dying. And generally the very elderly with multiple underlying conditions.

    Restrictions are only really causing social and economic harm.

    To be fair the number of deaths is not small at all least of all in the case of France, 7000 French people have died in the last two weeks with COVID

    In an average fortnight 24,000 French people die. To call that a small number of deaths is pretty shocking statement!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,749 ✭✭✭✭wes


    Level 5 until a vaccine? Yeah as much as you might want that it ain't happening for very obvious reasons

    I think we would hit 0 covid before a widespread vaccine tbh.

    I would support a 0 covid strategy, but 0 covid is a non-starter due to the North losing the run of themselves.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,203 ✭✭✭✭hmmm


    If we have vaccines with 90% effectiveness which are due to become widely available, we don't need zero Covid any more - that was a strategy for long-term suppression of the virus where a vaccine was uncertain. We need to get ourselves to the vaccine finishing line with as few unnecessary deaths and suffering as possible. That's probably going to be Level 3 for a few months. People need a bit of patience, and the government needs to keep the chequebook out.

    If we got to (say) mid-Summer and most restrictions are lifted, can you imagine how busy the travel and hospitality industries will be for the rest of the year?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,826 ✭✭✭✭Strumms


    OscarMIlde wrote: »
    Yep, came out of work at half seven this evening, and a gang of dolled up teenage girls were waiting to get onto a Luas. Clearly off to some kind of social event. There were lots of people waiting at the Luas stops, as well, and very few of them seemed like workers heading home. I'm guessing a lot of 15-25 year olds still think they don't have any part to play in containing this pandemic.

    The whole teen / very early 20’s demographic now don’t really give a shît unfortunately...

    Loads of young people in those demographics completely disregarding mask wearing and social distancing....

    Having both of those protective behaviors cast into the wind is trouble for everyone...


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,997 ✭✭✭✭Goldengirl


    JP Liz V1 wrote: »
    Limerick hospital has a good few staff out with Covid

    188 ...affecting elective general admissions there .


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,139 ✭✭✭What Username Guidelines


    hmmm wrote: »
    If we have vaccines with 90% effectiveness which are due to become widely available, we don't need zero Covid any more - that was a strategy for long-term suppression of the virus where a vaccine was uncertain. We need to get ourselves to the vaccine finishing line with as few unnecessary deaths and suffering as possible. That's probably going to be Level 3 for a few months. People need a bit of patience, and the government needs to keep the chequebook out.

    If we got to (say) mid-Summer and most restrictions are lifted, can you imagine how busy the travel and hospitality industries will be for the rest of the year?

    Probably one to worry about later, but I’d love to understand what the “end game” might look like. Let’s say by some miracle we’re all vaccinated by mid summer, or at least all >65 and vulnerable are, but the vaccine results in a 90% reduction in severe cases as opposed to full immunity. When do we ramp down testing? Even if we start seeing similar numbers to summer just gone, 4 cases/0 deaths per day, when Tony said he was still concerned.

    I’m definitely getting ahead of myself here and making assumptions. And I know it’ll be a gentle return to normality with trepidation as opposed to a declaration of “its over, enjoy!!”, but given their previous, I wonder if NPHET even know what the variables are for them to fully unwind.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,826 ✭✭✭✭Strumms


    I’d say workplaces will be encouraged to go back to a ‘staggered’ normalization. Say 70% remaining at home 30% in the office.

    Same for social events, pubs and cinemas might get the go ahead a few months before gigs.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,949 ✭✭✭ChikiChiki


    France the standout in Europe today, reporting 932 new deaths and 24,000 new cases.


    https://twitter.com/Reuters/status/1327369434315558914


    Only the constant applied pressure of restrictions can prevent a blowout of cases across the continent - this is why it is vital the toughest restrictions remain until a vaccine is widely distributed - i'm thinking the latter half of Spring, if lucky.

    Open up 1 week into December for a huge cash injection into the economy. Then back into a 6 week lockdown from mid January. Hopefully by the time March/April comes around vaccines are widely distributed.

    Consistent tough restrictions is completely unworkable.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,203 ✭✭✭✭hmmm


    Probably one to worry about later, but I’d love to understand what the “end game” might look like. Let’s say by some miracle we’re all vaccinated by mid summer, or at least all >65 and vulnerable are, but the vaccine results in a 90% reduction in severe cases as opposed to full immunity. When do we ramp down testing?
    I would guess myself that we'll see another wave of cases build in the new year, but it will be competing with vaccines, rapid home/office testing and possibly an extended level 3 lockdown so should not reach that same threat of overwhelming the hospitals.

    That will allow track and trace really come into its own, and possibly you might see a similar ring vaccination strategy to Ebola where if you are a close contact you get vaccinated, along with your own close contacts. That will allow us to step down the Levels as outbreaks become more isolated and easier to trace.

    Eventually then hopefully we get broad population herd immunity which will effectively end the virus on the island and most of the richer parts of the world. I know the anti-vaxxers don't like it, but I expect you will require a vaccination cert or a recent negative test to travel and to do a lot of other day-to-day activities.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,950 ✭✭✭polesheep


    Strumms wrote: »
    The whole teen / very early 20’s demographic now don’t really give a shît unfortunately...

    Loads of young people in those demographics completely disregarding mask wearing and social distancing....

    Having both of those protective behaviors cast into the wind is trouble for everyone...

    Honestly, what did you expect?


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,950 ✭✭✭polesheep


    hmmm wrote: »
    I would guess myself that we'll see another wave of cases build in the new year, but it will be competing with vaccines, rapid home/office testing and possibly an extended level 3 lockdown so should not reach that same threat of overwhelming the hospitals.

    That will allow track and trace really come into its own, and possibly you might see a similar ring vaccination strategy to Ebola where if you are a close contact you get vaccinated, along with your own close contacts. That will allow us to step down the Levels as outbreaks become more isolated and easier to trace.

    Eventually then hopefully we get broad population herd immunity which will effectively end the virus on the island and most of the richer parts of the world. I know the anti-vaxxers don't like it, but I expect you will require a vaccination cert or a recent negative test to travel and to do a lot of other day-to-day activities.

    I can guarantee that ALL of the anti-vaxxers won't like it. You, however, are deliberately wrongly including those with legitimate concerns among the anti-vaxxers.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 2,770 ✭✭✭GT89


    This man is hero pity there are not more like him. The guy in the high vis trying to force entry should be done for criminal damage.
    https://twitter.com/LeahButlerSmith/status/1327299949424480257?s=19


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 232 ✭✭AssetBacked2


    ChikiChiki wrote: »
    Open up 1 week into December for a huge cash injection into the economy. Then back into a 6 week lockdown from mid January. Hopefully by the time March/April comes around vaccines are widely distributed.

    Consistent tough restrictions is completely unworkable.

    So much for living with covid, this is just nonsense. We have a plan to live with covid, which should have a quantifiable method to determine which level is required.

    Not just an arbitrary "Open for a week, then lockdown for 3 months". Fcuk off with that.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,203 ✭✭✭✭hmmm


    polesheep wrote: »
    I can guarantee that ALL of the anti-vaxxers won't like it. You, however, are deliberately wrongly including those with legitimate concerns among the anti-vaxxers.
    The only thing holding us back next year will be the anti-vaxxers. The world will move on however and not wait for them to catch up - businesses will want to reopen, people will want to mix socially safely and international travel will restart with lots of people wanting to travel.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,566 ✭✭✭✭eagle eye


    Cork2021 wrote:
    It’s just beggars belief that some people think level 5 can just keep going on and on until we all get vaccinated or COVID burns out. We’d be in a depression not a recession. Just imagine the impact on people’s lives from losing their job or business...... not worth bearing thinking about. It’s bleak

    And what about the impact on people of losing their lives?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,249 ✭✭✭TomSweeney


    eagle eye wrote: »
    And what about the impact on people of losing their lives?
    More will lose their lives from non covid reasons..


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,249 ✭✭✭TomSweeney


    GT89 wrote: »
    This man is hero pity there are not more like him. The guy in the high vis trying to force entry should be done for criminal damage.
    https://twitter.com/LeahButlerSmith/status/1327299949424480257?s=19
    Yellow high vis guy, little hitler, imagine the type of people that apply for these COVID COMPLIANCE OFFICER jobs ?



    Evil little sociopathic thugs.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,566 ✭✭✭✭eagle eye


    GT89 wrote:
    This man is hero pity there are not more like him. The guy in the high vis trying to force entry should be done for criminal damage.
    What makes him a hero?


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 2,770 ✭✭✭GT89


    hmmm wrote: »
    The only thing holding us back next year will be the anti-vaxxers. The world will move on however and not wait for them to catch up - businesses will want to reopen, people will want to mix socially safely and international travel will restart with lots of people wanting to travel.

    How exactly will anti vaxxers hold anyone back? Get the vaccine you are safe and not gonna get covid. Who exactly are anti vaxxers putting at risk? Other anti vaxxers who don't get the vaccine?


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  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 2,770 ✭✭✭GT89


    eagle eye wrote: »
    What makes him a hero?

    Opening his businness whilst the governement unlawfully demand he closes.


This discussion has been closed.
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