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US Presidential Election 2020 Thread II - Judgement Day(s)

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,668 ✭✭✭harr


    bennyl10 wrote: »
    Sky saying no guarantee he will speak if the election isn’t called
    I can’t imagine he would want to till he is 100% certain of a result. Would he wait for trump to ring him to concede the race or is it unlikely trump would do that.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,124 ✭✭✭TomOnBoard


    Itssoeasy wrote: »
    I know this isn’t specifically election related but I see Steve bannon’s lawyer has decided to not represent him going forward after his beheading comments last night.

    I think it very relevant to the election. Bannon has been heavily involved in the strategising and rat****ing aspects of the more recent campaign activities. He had a big role in the Hunter laptop tosh, as well as a tsunami of anti- Biden video out of China.

    He's currently out on bail.. I'd be very surprised if his bail isnt revoked shortly on foot of his exhortation to violence on Chris Wray and Anthony Fauci. Manhattan Corrections Centre sounds about right for Stevie Boi...


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 64 ✭✭Canice Picklington


    TomOnBoard wrote: »
    They can take the name from here: US Presidential Election 2020: Judgement Days....

    Brendan Gleeson can play Trump again... Those Piranha underbites need another airing...

    Peter Kay could reprise Phoenix Nights - except set in a Maricopa County counting centre rather than a downmarket nightclub in Bolton.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,124 ✭✭✭TomOnBoard


    Zak Flaps wrote: »
    This is how cults operate!

    Also Nigerian Princes!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,972 ✭✭✭Brussels Sprout


    harr wrote: »
    So it seems some senior White House officials are trying to clam things and telling trump it as good as over and he is being hyped up to keep fighting by giuliani and certain family members

    What do we reckon the order of bullishness is on fighting?

    I'll go with:
    1. Don Jr. - amped up, RNC speech style and willing to take on all comers
    2. Eric - doesn't seem that bright - probably doesn't realise that it's over
    3. Ivanka - supportive of her father whilst probably secretly spotting an upside for herself
    4. Melania - plotting her escape


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  • Posts: 6,583 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Can't wait for the dramatization in years to come about what is happening right now in the White House.

    Would basically be a mix of American Psycho and Downfall.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,418 ✭✭✭letowski


    The military ballots in a mute point in GA. I doubt there is much returned at this stage. Nonetheless, there are military bases in and around the Savannah area where you get large young African American male population that join the military there. And give all Trump comments this year, they won't split well for Trump.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,039 ✭✭✭✭Itssoeasy


    It’s been announced there is a lid on the White House which means we won’t hear anything on camera from the president.


  • Posts: 6,583 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    prawnsambo wrote: »
    If you were lucky enough to register an email address with the Trump campaign, you'll probably be delighted to receive one of these in your inbox.

    If true, it's like something you would see on a conspiracy theory site or similar grifter site.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,436 ✭✭✭✭prawnsambo


    What do we reckon the order of bullishness is on fighting?

    I'll go with:
    1. Don Jr. - amped up, RNC speech style and willing to take on all comers
    2. Eric - doesn't seem that bright - probably doesn't realise that it's over
    3. Ivanka - supportive of her father whilst probably secretly spotting an upside for herself
    4. Melania - plotting her escape
    I honestly believe that Trump believed that he could found a dynasty and have Trumps in the WH for years. I'm sure all the Trump tots thought they'd get a turn in the Oval office after Ivanka. They'd feel entitled enough. Must be tough now. So they'll be pushing like crazy to keep the show going on.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,464 ✭✭✭✭extra gravy


    Itssoeasy wrote: »
    It’s been announced there is a lid on the White House which means we won’t hear anything on camera from the president.

    Pity there isn't a "lid" for his phone.


  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 23,214 Mod ✭✭✭✭Brian?


    I have an image in my mind of Mitch McConnell sitting in a hotel room staring at a tranquilizer gun. Mumbling to himself "Just do it Mitch, it needs to happen".

    On the coffee table there are 6 long straws and one short.

    they/them/theirs


    The more you can increase fear of drugs and crime, welfare mothers, immigrants and aliens, the more you control all of the people.

    Noam Chomsky



  • Posts: 6,583 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Itssoeasy wrote: »
    It’s been announced there is a lid on the White House which means we won’t hear anything on camera from the president.

    Another one, wasn't there one the night before he came out and declared victory and fraud at the same time?


  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 17,616 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    Quin_Dub wrote: »
    A recount in Georgia is absolutely fair given the current situation.

    However , as it's now moved to ~1200 vote lead it's getting less likely that would change the result.

    The volume and distribution of those overseas ballots will be important.

    If there are about 8000 as reported and they were to break roughly 60:40 to Trump (60% being roughly the GOP level of support in the Military) then that would give Trump a roughly 1600 vote net gain.

    In that case , Biden would be the one looking for the recount as he'd only be ~400 behind.

    However . Trumps support in the military recently isn't great , in fact in August he was under water with the military

    If that were to bear out in these ballots , or even slightly above 50% Biden is probably safe in Georgia.

    So , the Biden lead in Georgia is now out to over 4000 which moves it firmly into "A recount is a waste of time" territory.

    There's also more detail on the overseas ballots - There were ~8000 in total some of which are already in and counted , it's just that the deadline for receipt is later today.

    In all likelihood there's only a handful that might yet arrive so they are not the potential magic bullet for Trump.

    Georgia is done.


    On the flip side , it does look like Trump is closing at a decent clip in Arizona and the last few blocks of votes he was hitting the required % distribution rate.. If that can be maintained it's going to be very close there.

    Not that it makes a whole lot of difference in the overall scheme of things though.. Biden still has a clear EC victory.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,039 ✭✭✭✭Itssoeasy


    DubInMeath wrote: »
    Another one, wasn't there one the night before he came out and declared victory and fraud at the same time?

    I don’t think there was one the other night.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,498 ✭✭✭✭For Forks Sake


    TomOnBoard wrote: »
    Also Nigerian Princes!

    The Nigerians are subtle in comparison to team Trump


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 64 ✭✭Canice Picklington


    DubInMeath wrote: »
    Would basically be a mix of American Psycho and Downfall.
    Mixed with Father Ted.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 897 ✭✭✭omicron


    Why haven't any networks called North Carolina or Alaska yet does anyone know?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,464 ✭✭✭✭extra gravy


    Rudy has a new video out entitled "Election theft of the century" :D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,124 ✭✭✭TomOnBoard


    E.V.E.R.Y time John King says "Election", my feckin Amazon Echo comes alive, thinking he called Alexa!!!


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 272 ✭✭Movementarian


    Quin_Dub wrote: »
    So , the Biden lead in Georgia is now out to over 4000 which moves it firmly into "A recount is a waste of time" territory.

    There's also more detail on the overseas ballots - There were ~8000 in total some of which are already in and counted , it's just that the deadline for receipt is later today.

    In all likelihood there's only a handful that might yet arrive so they are not the potential magic bullet for Trump.

    Georgia is done.


    On the flip side , it does look like Trump is closing at a decent clip in Arizona and the last few blocks of votes he was hitting the required % distribution rate.. If that can be maintained it's going to be very close there.

    Not that it makes a whole lot of difference in the overall scheme of things though.. Biden still has a clear EC victory.

    Yeah Arizona is a strange one given its been called already by so many broadcasters and they don't seem to be retracting it either. Wonder if that will change


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 272 ✭✭Movementarian


    omicron wrote: »
    Why haven't any networks called North Carolina or Alaska yet does anyone know?

    I think in NC's case their deadline for returned postal ballots etc is a few days away so they have said no final call until they are all in.

    Alaska is something similar I believe plus just natural logistics delays.


  • Posts: 6,583 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Itssoeasy wrote: »
    I don’t think there was one the other night.

    Though one was called

    https://twitter.com/kaitlancollins/status/1324116138763128842?s=20


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,440 ✭✭✭✭8-10


    DubInMeath wrote: »

    That was the day after the election, he didn't speak on the 4th after 2.30am


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21 Jo jo the eskimo


    So outside the trump inner circle and folks with absolutely nothing to lose who are key names vocally backing up trumps bull****
    Hannity
    Ted cruz
    Lindsey Graham
    Newt Gringrich


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,796 ✭✭✭✭Inquitus


    AZ, PA, NV and GA are all going for Biden, do any of these decision desks have the balls to just call it!


  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 17,616 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    So outside the trump inner circle and folks with absolutely nothing to lose who are key names vocally backing up trumps bull****
    Hannity
    Ted cruz
    Lindsey Graham
    Newt Gringrich

    Kevin McCarthy has been vocal , but hedging his bets a little.

    The 1st ones to break ranks will be the freshly re-elected GOP Senators.

    They've just been given another 6 year stint , Trump can't touch them win or lose.

    If I was a GOP house or Senator due for re-election in 2022 I'd probably be hedging too , just in case he managed to get back in.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,436 ✭✭✭✭prawnsambo


    Biden's margin in NV has jumped another 2k or so. Now up above 22k.


  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 17,616 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    Yeah Arizona is a strange one given its been called already by so many broadcasters and they don't seem to be retracting it either. Wonder if that will change

    His "run rate" is slipping though , he was running slightly ahead of the required pace , but he's dropped back below the required level.

    Biden should hold on , but it will be tight..

    Might be thankful for that 0.1% recount threshold yet.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,146 ✭✭✭10000maniacs


    35,000 seems to be the point they will call it. That figure moves Biden to outside the automatic recount margin.
    We will see 7000 shortly, and another 90,000 in 2 days time in PA. Very little inbetween.


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