US Presidential Election 2020 Thread II - Judgement Day(s)

Larbre34 · 05-11-2020 03:38PM

Mr.Nice Guy wrote: »

CNN say Pennsylvania won't be called today as there are 120,000 votes in Philadelphia alone to be called. Around 700,000 votes total to be counted state-wide. Seems to bode well for Biden if current voting trends continue.

Its only 10am there, thats not really good enough.

Also, marry me Erin Burnett.

bennyl10 · 05-11-2020 03:46PM

Great breakdown by Georgian officials there

seems like a big chance for Biden

ancapailldorcha · 05-11-2020 03:58PM

Please do not dump memes here. Post deleted.

An Ciarraioch · 05-11-2020 04:00PM

bennyl10 wrote: »

Great breakdown by Georgian officials there

seems like a big chance for Biden

Indeed, just needs roughly two-thirds of the remaining votes, which should be easily doable given the trends so far.

Shelga · 05-11-2020 04:04PM

At what time are we expecting final Georgia call?

bennyl10 · 05-11-2020 04:06PM

Shelga wrote: »

At what time are we expecting final Georgia call?

4/5 am

Brian? · 05-11-2020 04:12PM

Shelga wrote: »

At what time are we expecting final Georgia call?

Very soon

everlast75 · 05-11-2020 04:12PM

I'm sorry if others have posted here re this point, but I had assumed the race for the Senate was over

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1324382400814698496?s=20

Big Pussy Bonpensiero · 05-11-2020 04:13PM

Brian? wrote: »

Very soon

I think we're only getting Fulton County soon but I'm open to correction?

everlast75 · 05-11-2020 04:18PM

https://twitter.com/KlasfeldReports/status/1324385139938439168?s=19

Hopefully the trend of things to come...

Nody · 05-11-2020 04:18PM

everlast75 wrote: »

I'm sorry if others have posted here re this point, but I had assumed the race for the Senate was over

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1324382400814698496?s=20

First seat is confirmed; second had 2002 votes above the 50% mark last time I saw numbers. That would put the senate at 50 (Rep) vs. 48 (Dem) as a starting point. For obvious reason both sides will pour money into the fight but I highly doubt Dems will get both; maybe one if lucky.

Kiith · 05-11-2020 04:19PM

9k votes up for grabs in Fulton now. Biden could cut Trumps lead in half in the next few minutes.

VinLieger · 05-11-2020 04:19PM

everlast75 wrote: »

https://twitter.com/KlasfeldReports/status/1324385139938439168?s=19

Hopefully the trend of things to come...

Hes claiming some legal win in PA which i cant see any info anywhere about

Exclamation Marc · 05-11-2020 04:20PM

Biden campaign streaming a "Where we Stand" video on Youtube.

Claiming they are on track to win Nevada, Pennsylvania and calling Wisconsin, Michigan and Arizona. On PA - "We are nearing parity and continue to project most of the remaining ballots will given Biden the win".

You would hope (and assume) that these are extremely educated predictions given the nature of the opposition should it go belly up.

droidus · 05-11-2020 04:21PM

Its looking very close in Nevada https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/1324369122533142528

jasonb · 05-11-2020 04:22PM

AP have released a statement saying they're continuing to watch and analyse vote count results in Arizona. That's all the statement says really! I think what they're saying is we called it for Biden, and we still stand by that, but we're keeping an eye on it. Which I assume they're doing in all the counts!

But it definitely doesn't sound like they're thinking of retracting their call...

Christy42 · 05-11-2020 04:23PM

Exclamation Marc wrote: »

Biden campaign streaming a "Where we Stand" video on Youtube.

Claiming they are on track to win Nevada, Pennsylvania and calling Wisconsin, Michigan and Arizona. On PA - "We are nearing parity and continue to project most of the remaining ballots will given Biden the win".

You would hope (and assume) that these are extremely educated predictions given the nature of the opposition should it go belly up.

Worrying that Georgia isn't mentioned?

I mean they are obviously biased. Trump will lay into them no matter what and it is expected both sides will map out their paths to victory.

10000maniacs · 05-11-2020 04:26PM

Georgia will be a recount anyway. Its going to be a few 1000 either way.

MikeCork2009 · 05-11-2020 04:27PM

Christy42 wrote: »

Worrying that Georgia isn't mentioned?

I mean they are obviously biased. Trump will lay into them no matter what and it is expected both sides will map out their paths to victory.

Georgia is mentioned. It was just on the second slide of their presentation.

Christy42 · 05-11-2020 04:27PM

Exclamation Marc wrote: »

Biden campaign streaming a "Where we Stand" video on Youtube.

Claiming they are on track to win Nevada, Pennsylvania and calling Wisconsin, Michigan and Arizona. On PA - "We are nearing parity and continue to project most of the remaining ballots will given Biden the win".

You would hope (and assume) that these are extremely educated predictions given the nature of the opposition should it go belly up.

Note Trump's campaign are also predicting PA and AZ. I wouldn't put much stock into what both sides predict for themselves.

Itssoeasy · 05-11-2020 04:28PM

Christy42 wrote: »

Worrying that Georgia isn't mentioned?

I mean they are obviously biased. Trump will lay into them no matter what and it is expected both sides will map out their paths to victory.

The numbers that seem to have just come out recently sound promising for joe Biden. I mean Biden can get Pennsylvania and that’s the ball game and could run up the score with the others. Trump is at 213 so presumably would need Pennsylvania in whatever run he would need to make to 270. I think it’s fair to say that Biden has more paths to 270 and with Pennsylvania he has a far more direct path.

Edit: Georgia was mentioned in the video.

Itssoeasy · 05-11-2020 04:29PM

10000maniacs wrote: »

Georgia will be a recount anyway. Its going to be a few 1000 either way.

What’s the threshold for a recount in Georgia do we know ?

Brian? · 05-11-2020 04:29PM

Big Pussy Bonpensiero wrote: »

I think we're only getting Fulton County soon but I'm open to correction?

Yeah. I was wrong.

Christy42 · 05-11-2020 04:30PM

MikeCork2009 wrote: »

Georgia is mentioned. It was just on the second slide of their presentation.

Ty. Can't watch myself at the moment. Was worried they knew something for a moment as there is no way I wouldn't be calling Georgia for Biden with the publicly available data if I was on Bidens's team.

paul71 · 05-11-2020 04:31PM

Christy42 wrote: »

Note Trump's campaign are also predicting PA and AZ. I wouldn't put much stock into what both sides predict for themselves.

The last count of 13,000 (in the last 20 minutes) votes in Philadelphia came in at 12,000 for Biden 1,000 for Trump, looks like PA will be about 150,000 to 200,000 for Biden.

Itssoeasy · 05-11-2020 04:33PM

14 min ago
USPS processed thousands of ballots yesterday in battleground states
From CNN's Paul Murphy
According to data submitted today in federal court filings, the USPS processed thousands of ballots Wednesday in critical battleground states. If properly postmarked, those could be counted in accordance with state laws.

This data does not tell us whether the ballots were postmarked by or on Election Day, or if they were delivered Wednesday.

Here's a look at the processed ballots:

In the Nevada Sierra district, which covers most of Nevada, 9,037 ballots were processed by USPS.
In the Greensboro and Mid-Carolinas districts, 5,915 ballots were processed. These districts split North Carolina, and small parts of Virginia and South Carolina.
In Pennsylvania, USPS processed 6,877 ballots across the state: 3,494 in the Central Pennsylvania district, 1,667 in the Philadelphia Metro district (this district does cover some parts of New Jersey and Delaware), and 1,716 in Western Pennsylvania.

An interesting story from CNN about ballots the USPS found after that sweep. The ones to look at are Nevada and Pennsylvania.

beggars_bush · 05-11-2020 04:35PM

And now we see why Trump and friends tried to defund the postal service

Nody · 05-11-2020 04:35PM

Itssoeasy wrote: »

What’s the threshold for a recount in Georgia do we know ?

Recount can be requested if the margin is less than or equal to 0.5%. The recount must be requested within two business days after county certification.

Taken from here.

Akabusi · 05-11-2020 04:36PM

Just under 15K difference in GA now

Brian? · 05-11-2020 04:37PM

Anyone know what the longest count ever was in a US presidential election.

This one must be close, it's been going on for 3 years now.

US Presidential Election 2020 Thread II - Judgement Day(s)

Comments